FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeBIG-EAST

UConn def. FDU 3–0

(25-19, 25-17, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FDU	19	17	20	0
UCONN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UCONN above 50 · FDU below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to FDU — set 1, FDU 17-17 UCONN. Attack error by Courtney Grayson. UCONN win probability 97% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FDU 2.7%97.3% UCONN

FDU wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

UConn wins

3-0

63.6%

3-1

26.7%

3-2

7.0%

FDU break %: 35.6% vs this opp
UCONN break %: 50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Courtney GraysonAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Courtney Grayson
Set 1 · FDU 17-17 UCONN · FDU 3% → 4%
02
UCONN serverAce+0.7%
UConn ace on Team
Set 1 · FDU 17-19 UCONN · UCONN 97% → 98%
03
FDU serverService error+0.6%
FDU service error
Set 1 · FDU 17-18 UCONN · UCONN 96% → 97%
04
Grace MariaAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Grace Maria
Set 1 · FDU 15-16 UCONN · FDU 2% → 3%
05
Maja DacaKill+0.5%
Kill by Maja Daca (set by Isabella Sohl)
Set 1 · FDU 17-20 UCONN · UCONN 98% → 98%
06
Jordyn HughesAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Jordyn Hughes
Set 1 · FDU 13-14 UCONN · FDU 2% → 3%
07
Courtney GraysonAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Courtney Grayson
Set 1 · FDU 16-17 UCONN · FDU 3% → 3%
08
Helena EinarsdottirKill+0.5%
Kill by Helena Einarsdottir (set by Isabella Sohl)
Set 1 · FDU 15-17 UCONN · UCONN 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

FDUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Mila SamardzijaOH	3	9	1	20	.400	0	0	1	9	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
7Ava DeGuzmanOH	3	7	4	29	.103	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
12Alessia ZampieriMB	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
16Angela MarchettoMB	3	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
1Isabella ScarfoneS	3	1	0	1	1.000	10	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
17Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezOH	2	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
4Nina JasieckaOH	3	1	3	11	-.182	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	3
10Nora MargineanS	3	0	0	5	.000	8	0	3	8	0	0	0	0	0
21Jelena JevticL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	3	8	2	0	0	0	0
8Katarina TrutinaOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Szonja CsabaiMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Kayla GreenL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		24	11	85	.153	20	2	12	41	11	3	6	6	56

UConnhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Maja DacaOH	3	9	6	26	.115	1	2	3	4	0	0	0	0	11
13Jordyn HughesMB	3	8	1	10	.700	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
12Helena EinarsdottirOH	3	2	4	11	-.182	0	1	1	9	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Isabella SohlS	3	1	0	7	.143	29	1	0	11	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
15Grace MariaOH	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
7Courtney GraysonMB	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Sydney BorowyOH	3	13	3	25	.400	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	16
2Maggie CarleyS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
3Hazuna AkishigeL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	2	1	4	11	0	0	0	0	1
19Hailey MaesMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1
8Audrey JensenS	1	1	0	3	.333	2	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	4
5Olivia GrenadierMB	1	2	0	7	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
Team totals		38	18	103	.194	36	11	12	41	2	3	8	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 FDU · UCONN 9

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 FDUUCONN 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 FDUUCONN 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 6 FDUUCONN 9

Bars above the line = UConn leads, below = FDU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	36%4/11
2	54%7/13	33%4/12
3	54%7/13	22%2/9
4	67%6/9	0%0/7
5	38%6/16	50%6/12
6	50%5/10	14%1/7
All	53%39/73	29%17/58

UConn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	33%3/9
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	88%7/8	50%7/14
4	88%7/8	30%3/10
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	75%6/8	68%13/19
All	71%41/58	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	FDU-UCONN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
2	1-1	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
3	1-2	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Helena Einarsdottir	set Isabella Sohl	+0.3
4	2-2	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir		+0.3
5	2-3	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.3
6	2-4	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	blk Sydney Borowy	+0.3
7	3-4	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
8	3-5	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
9	4-5	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.3
10	4-6	FDU	UCONN	Attack err	Nina Jasiecka	blk Sydney Borowy	+0.2
11	4-7	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman	blk Helena Einarsdottir, Jordyn Hughes	+0.3
12	5-7	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+0.2
13	5-8	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
14	6-8	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.2
15	7-8	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.4
16	7-9	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Hazuna Akishige	+0.3
17	7-10	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Team	+0.3
18	8-10	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.2
19	8-11	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
20	9-11	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.3
21	9-12	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.2
22	10-12	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.3
23	10-13	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.3
24	11-13	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.3
25	11-14	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.3
26	12-14	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Mila Samardzija	+0.3
27	13-14	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Jordyn Hughes		+0.5
28	13-15	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.4
29	13-16	UCONN	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.4
30	14-16	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.3
31	15-16	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Grace Maria		+0.6
32	15-17	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Helena Einarsdottir	set Isabella Sohl	+0.5
33	16-17	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Courtney Grayson		+0.5
34	17-17	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Courtney Grayson		+0.9
35	17-18	FDU	UCONN×5	Serve err	FDU server		+0.6
36	17-19	UCONN	UCONN×5	Ace	UCONN server	aced Team	+0.7
37	17-20	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.5
38	17-21	UCONN	UCONN×5	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+0.4
39	17-22	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
40	18-22	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Maja Daca		+0.1
41	18-23	FDU	UCONN	Bad set	Madeline Joyce		+0.1
42	18-24	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	blk Sydney Borowy, Courtney Grayson	+0.1
43	19-24	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.0
44	19-25	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Maja Daca	blk Alessia Zampieri	+0.2
2	2-0	FDU	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto		+0.3
3	2-1	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.2
4	2-2	UCONN	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.3
5	3-2	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Maja Daca		+0.2
6	4-2	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.4
7	4-3	FDU	UCONN×4	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
8	4-4	UCONN	UCONN×4	Kill	Maja Daca	set Maggie Carley	+0.3
9	4-5	UCONN	UCONN×4	Bad set	Nora Marginean		+0.2
10	4-6	UCONN	UCONN×4	Ace	UCONN server	aced Kayla Green	+0.2
11	5-6	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir	blk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto	+0.2
12	5-7	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.2
13	6-7	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Maja Daca	blk Nina Jasiecka	+0.2
14	7-7	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Maja Daca	blk Nina Jasiecka	+0.3
15	7-8	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
16	8-8	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Hazuna Akishige		+0.2
17	8-9	FDU	UCONN×5	Serve err	FDU server		+0.2
18	8-10	UCONN	UCONN×5	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman	blk Jordyn Hughes, Isabella Sohl	+0.3
19	8-11	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
20	8-12	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Isabella Sohl	set Madeline Joyce	+0.2
21	8-13	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
22	9-13	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
23	10-13	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU server	aced Sydney Borowy	+0.2
24	10-14	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.1
25	11-14	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
26	11-15	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
27	12-15	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
28	12-16	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
29	13-16	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.1
30	13-17	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
31	14-17	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.1
32	14-18	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.1
33	14-19	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Madeline Joyce	+0.1
34	15-19	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
35	15-20	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Maja Daca	+0.1
36	16-20	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
37	16-21	FDU	UCONN×3	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
38	16-22	UCONN	UCONN×3	Ace	UCONN server	aced Madeline Joyce	+0.1
39	16-23	UCONN	UCONN×3	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
40	17-23	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone		+0.0
41	17-24	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
42	17-25	UCONN	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
2	1-1	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Olivia Grenadier	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
3	1-2	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Mila Samardzija	+0.1
4	2-2	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
5	2-3	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.1
6	3-3	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
7	4-3	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Maja Daca		+0.1
8	4-4	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.1
9	5-4	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Sydney Borowy	blk Angela Marchetto, Alessia Zampieri	+0.1
10	5-5	FDU	UCONN×3	Serve err	FDU server		+0.1
11	5-6	UCONN	UCONN×3	Attack err	Angela Marchetto		+0.1
12	5-7	UCONN	UCONN×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+0.1
13	6-7	UCONN	FDU×6	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
14	7-7	FDU	FDU×6	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Madeline Joyce	+0.1
15	8-7	FDU	FDU×6	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.2
16	9-7	FDU	FDU×6	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+0.2
17	10-7	FDU	FDU×6	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir	blk Angela Marchetto, Ava DeGuzman	+0.2
18	11-7	FDU	FDU×6	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Madeline Joyce	+0.3
19	11-8	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Olivia Grenadier	+0.1
20	12-8	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Nora Marginean	+0.2
21	12-9	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
22	13-9	UCONN	FDU	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir		+0.2
23	13-10	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Olivia Grenadier	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
24	14-10	UCONN	FDU×3	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.2
25	15-10	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Szonja Csabai		+0.3
26	16-10	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU server	aced Team	+0.3
27	16-11	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
28	17-11	UCONN	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.2
29	17-12	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Audrey Jensen	set Katarina Trutina	+0.1
30	17-13	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Team	+0.2
31	18-13	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.3
32	18-14	FDU	UCONN	Serve err	FDU server		+0.2
33	18-15	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Team	+0.3
34	19-15	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.3
35	19-16	FDU	UCONN×9	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Audrey Jensen	+0.2
36	19-17	UCONN	UCONN×9	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman	blk Hailey Maes	+0.3
37	19-18	UCONN	UCONN×9	Ace	UCONN server	aced Mila Samardzija	+0.3
38	19-19	UCONN	UCONN×9	Attack err	Nina Jasiecka		+0.3
39	19-20	UCONN	UCONN×9	Bad set	Nina Jasiecka		+0.3
40	19-21	UCONN	UCONN×9	Attack err	Nina Jasiecka	blk Olivia Grenadier, Sydney Borowy	+0.2
41	19-22	UCONN	UCONN×9	Ace	UCONN server	aced Mila Samardzija	+0.2
42	19-23	UCONN	UCONN×9	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Hazuna Akishige	+0.1
43	19-24	UCONN	UCONN×9	Ace	UCONN server	aced Team	+0.0
44	20-24	UCONN	FDU	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.0
45	20-25	FDU	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Audrey Jensen	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, FDU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.