CollegeVolleyball
FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

Western Mich. def. Chicago St. 30

(25-6, 25-20, 25-12)
Set123Sets
W MICH2525253
CHI ST620120

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CHI ST above 50 · W MICH below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100CHI STW MICHBiggest swing +0.0% CHI ST · S2 18-20rally 113 · set 3

Biggest swing: 0.0% to Chicago St. — set 2, W MICH 18-20 CHI ST. Kill by Nayella George (set by Kristine Bakhad). CHI ST win probability 0%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W MICH 100.0%0.0% CHI ST

Western Mich. wins

3-0
96.4%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
0.1%

Chicago St. wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.0%
3-2
0.0%
W MICH break %
59.7% vs this opp
CHI ST break %
29.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Nayella George (set by Kristine Bakhad)

    Set 2 · W MICH 18-20 CHI ST · CHI ST 0%0%

  2. 02
    Nina MitchellKill+0.0%

    Kill by Nina Mitchell (set by Kristine Bakhad)

    Set 2 · W MICH 17-19 CHI ST · CHI ST 0%0%

  3. 03
    Nayella GeorgeAttack error+0.0%

    Attack error by Nayella George

    Set 2 · W MICH 20-20 CHI ST · W MICH 100%100%

  4. 04
    Annalise PatchettAttack error+0.0%

    Attack error by Annalise Patchett

    Set 2 · W MICH 15-17 CHI ST · CHI ST 0%0%

  5. 05
    Gabby WeiheAttack error+0.0%

    Gabby Weihe stuffed by Nina Mitchell

    Set 2 · W MICH 16-18 CHI ST · CHI ST 0%0%

  6. 06
    CHI ST serverService error+0.0%

    Chicago St. service error

    Set 2 · W MICH 19-20 CHI ST · W MICH 100%100%

  7. 07
    Nayella GeorgeAttack error+0.0%

    Attack error by Nayella George

    Set 2 · W MICH 21-20 CHI ST · W MICH 100%100%

  8. 08
    Gabby WeiheKill+0.0%

    Kill by Gabby Weihe (set by Leah Richmond)

    Set 2 · W MICH 18-19 CHI ST · W MICH 100%100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311213.6921001002112
3809.88931308002112
311519.31600030010.511.5
37323.174220700009
35010.50013140010.58.5
3001.000601800000
34212.167000001015
30002201100002
2000100200000
1113.000000100001
1023-.667000000000
Team totals471593.3444410245016475
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310424.25000023010.510.5
37528.071100620007
33217.059000001225
3118.000001001223
3003.00000000031.51.5
3014-.2502001300000
3000001610000
3000000730000
3000000010000
1011-1.000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals211485.0822103241028638

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 10 W MICH · CHI ST 5

Set 1

25-6

Longest run 10 W MICHCHI ST 1

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 7 W MICHCHI ST 5

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 4 W MICHCHI ST 2

Bars above the line = Chicago St. leads, below = Western Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
56%5/9
2
45%5/11
79%19/24
3
83%5/6
55%6/11
4
100%5/5
0%0/5
5
71%5/7
50%5/10
6
100%4/4
71%10/14
All
75%30/40
62%45/73

Chicago St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
26%5/19
0%0/5
2
29%5/17
17%1/6
3
100%5/5
58%7/12
4
56%5/9
0%0/5
5
50%5/10
0%0/5
6
23%3/13
29%2/7
All
38%28/73
25%10/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

113 rallies

Rally log

#W MICH-CHI STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHI STW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
22-0W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
32-1W MICHCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
43-1CHI STW MICH×5KillLeah Richmondset Elana Erickson+0.0
54-1W MICHW MICH×5Attack errGraci Littlejohn+0.0
65-1W MICHW MICH×5AceW MICH serveraced Nayella George+0.0
76-1W MICHW MICH×5Attack errCamryn McCollumblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe+0.0
87-1W MICHW MICH×5KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
97-2W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
108-2CHI STW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.0
118-3W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
129-3CHI STW MICH×3Attack errCamryn McCollum+0.0
1310-3W MICHW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Carley Piercefield+0.0
1411-3W MICHW MICH×3KillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+0.0
1511-4W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
1612-4CHI STW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.0
1713-4W MICHW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+0.0
1813-5W MICHCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
1914-5CHI STW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.0
2015-5W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Elana Erickson+0.0
2115-6W MICHCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
2216-6CHI STW MICH×10KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
2317-6W MICHW MICH×10KillLeah Richmondset Cassidy Pratley+0.0
2418-6W MICHW MICH×10KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
2519-6W MICHW MICH×10Attack errNayella Georgeblk Leah Richmond, Gabby Weihe+0.0
2620-6W MICHW MICH×10Attack errCamryn McCollum+0.0
2721-6W MICHW MICH×10AceW MICH serveraced Camryn McCollum+0.0
2822-6W MICHW MICH×10AceW MICH serveraced Camryn McCollum+0.0
2923-6W MICHW MICH×10KillAnnalise Patchettset Elana Erickson+0.0
3024-6W MICHW MICH×10AceW MICH serveraced Tenese Buttry+0.0
3125-6W MICHW MICH×10Attack errRayon Thigpen+0.0
Set 2
10-1W MICHCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
21-1CHI STW MICH×3KillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+0.0
32-1W MICHW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Izzy Swiercz+0.0
43-1W MICHW MICH×3Bad setKristine Bakhad+0.0
53-2W MICHCHI ST×3KillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
63-3CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errAnnalise Patchettblk Jenesis Perrin, Nina Mitchell+0.0
73-4CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errGabby Weihe+0.0
84-4CHI STW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
94-5W MICHCHI STAttack errAnnalise Patchettblk Nina Mitchell, Camryn McCollum+0.0
105-5CHI STW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
115-6W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
126-6CHI STW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
137-6W MICHW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Elana Erickson+0.0
147-7W MICHCHI ST×3KillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
157-8CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errMia Jurkovic+0.0
167-9CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errIzzy Swierczblk Graci Littlejohn+0.0
178-9CHI STW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+0.0
188-10W MICHCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
199-10CHI STW MICHServe errCHI ST server+0.0
2010-10W MICHW MICHKillCassidy Pratley+0.0
2110-11W MICHCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
2210-12CHI STCHI STAttack errAnnalise Patchettblk Graci Littlejohn, Jenesis Perrin+0.0
2311-12CHI STW MICH×5KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
2412-12W MICHW MICH×5KillLeah Richmondset Gabby Weihe+0.0
2513-12W MICHW MICH×5KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
2614-12W MICHW MICH×5KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
2715-12W MICHW MICH×5KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
2815-13W MICHCHI ST×5KillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
2915-14CHI STCHI ST×5Attack errIzzy Swiercz+0.0
3015-15CHI STCHI ST×5KillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
3115-16CHI STCHI ST×5Attack errAnnalise Patchett+0.0
3215-17CHI STCHI ST×5Attack errAnnalise Patchett+0.0
3316-17CHI STW MICHServe errCHI ST server+0.0
3416-18W MICHCHI STAttack errGabby Weiheblk Nina Mitchell+0.0
3517-18CHI STW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
3617-19W MICHCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
3718-19CHI STW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
3818-20W MICHCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
3919-20CHI STW MICH×7Serve errCHI ST server+0.0
4020-20W MICHW MICH×7Attack errNayella George+0.0
4121-20W MICHW MICH×7Attack errNayella George+0.0
4222-20W MICHW MICH×7KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.0
4323-20W MICHW MICH×7AceW MICH serveraced Skye Riley+0.0
4424-20W MICHW MICH×7KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.0
4525-20W MICHW MICH×7Attack errCamryn McCollum+0.0
Set 3
11-0CHI STW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
22-0W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
32-1W MICHCHI STServe errW MICH server+0.0
43-1CHI STW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
54-1W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Camryn McCollum+0.0
65-1W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Reece Mazzier+0.0
75-2W MICHCHI STAttack errMia Jurkovicblk Jenesis Perrin, Graci Littlejohn+0.0
86-2CHI STW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
96-3W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
107-3CHI STW MICH×3KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.0
118-3W MICHW MICH×3Attack errNina Mitchell+0.0
129-3W MICHW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.0
139-4W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
1410-4CHI STW MICH×4Attack errKristine Bakhadblk Mia Jurkovic+0.0
1511-4W MICHW MICH×4KillLeah Richmondset Ella Guilfoy+0.0
1612-4W MICHW MICH×4Attack errNayella George+0.0
1713-4W MICHW MICH×4AceW MICH serveraced Nayella George+0.0
1813-5W MICHCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
1914-5CHI STW MICHKillLeah Richmondset Elana Erickson+0.0
2015-5W MICHW MICHAceW MICH serveraced Skye Riley+0.0
2115-6W MICHCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad+0.0
2216-6CHI STW MICH×3Attack errNayella Georgeblk Cassidy Pratley, Leah Richmond+0.0
2317-6W MICHW MICH×3KillLeah Richmondset Izzy Swiercz+0.0
2418-6W MICHW MICH×3Attack errGraci Littlejohn+0.0
2518-7W MICHCHI STAttack errBri Zimmerman+0.0
2619-7CHI STW MICHKillElla Askinset Leah Richmond+0.0
2719-8W MICHCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Nayella George+0.0
2819-9CHI STCHI STAttack errElla Askin+0.0
2920-9CHI STW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.0
3020-10W MICHCHI STAttack errBri Zimmerman+0.0
3121-10CHI STW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.0
3221-11W MICHCHI STServe errW MICH server+0.0
3322-11CHI STW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.0
3422-12W MICHCHI STAttack errIzzy Swiercz+0.0
3523-12CHI STW MICH×3KillLeah Richmondset Carley Piercefield+0.0
3624-12W MICHW MICH×3KillLeah Richmondset Elana Erickson+0.0
3725-12W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Skye Riley+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Western Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.