FinalThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

South Alabama def. ULM 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: South Alabama 87.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Alabama beat visiting ULM 3-0 (27-25, 25-22, 25-16) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Dalayla Blackwell and Cambria Gaier led South Alabama with 10 kills each; ULM's Aniya Hall had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set123Sets
LA MON2522160
S ALA2725253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Alabama broke it open with an 8–0 run in the third set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.5 points. ULM peaked at 24% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had South Alabama at 88%.

ULMSouth Alabama
  • Break %+12.1 pts
    31.343.4

    Points won on own serve: 33 of 76 vs 20 of 64. ULM sided out 56.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.127
    .175.302

    Kills and errors: 46–11 vs 36–16.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    Up 12–7 in the third set, South Alabama scored 8 straight to make it 20–7. The set finished 25–16.

South Alabama above 50ULM belowMax swing 5.5%

ULMSouth Alabama

Aces
ULM 5·South Alabama 4
Serve err
ULM 7·South Alabama 9
Blocks
ULM 4·South Alabama 81 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 16 BA
Digs
ULM 49·South Alabama 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Alabama above 50 · ULM below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.5% S ALArally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.5% to South Alabama — set 1, LA MON 23-24 S ALA. Grace Troxell stuffed by Alexa Strandberg & Anabelle Cerny. S ALA win probability 84% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LA MON 12.4%87.6% S ALA

ULM wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
6.8%

South Alabama wins

3-0
40.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.4%
LA MON break %
40.0% vs this opp
S ALA break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Grace Troxell stuffed by Alexa Strandberg & Anabelle Cerny

    Set 1 · LA MON 23-24 S ALA · S ALA 84% → 89%

  2. 02
    Cambria GaierKill+4.8%

    Kill by Cambria Gaier (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 1 · LA MON 23-23 S ALA · S ALA 79% → 84%

  3. 03
    Eva DittmarKill+4.5%

    Kill by Eva Dittmar (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 1 · LA MON 25-27 S ALA · S ALA 89% → 94%

  4. 04
    Tatum ClayKill+4.4%

    Kill by Tatum Clay (set by Morgan Howard)

    Set 1 · LA MON 24-24 S ALA · LA MON 11% → 15%

  5. 05
    Cambria GaierKill+4.4%

    Kill by Cambria Gaier (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 1 · LA MON 24-25 S ALA · S ALA 85% → 89%

  6. 06
    Dalayla BlackwellAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Dalayla Blackwell

    Set 1 · LA MON 25-25 S ALA · LA MON 11% → 15%

  7. 07
    Cambria GaierKill+4.4%

    Kill by Cambria Gaier (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 1 · LA MON 25-26 S ALA · S ALA 85% → 89%

  8. 08
    Eva DittmarService error+3.8%

    Service error by Eva Dittmar

    Set 1 · LA MON 23-21 S ALA · LA MON 20% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

ULMaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311332.250201111111.512.5
37221.23810020010.57.5
33111.182033200217
3539.22200030010.55.5
3001.000010400001
3001.0001812800001
36225.16000011010.56.5
34412.000000200004
3012-.5002011220000
3000–1100400000
Team totals3616114.175345749416463
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310217.47100010052.512.5
310525.20000361010.510.5
39024.37501161010.510.5
36116.313001200217
35315.13310120031.56.5
3001.00029301000214
3508.625000000005
3000–2021500000
3000–1200300000
1109.11100120010.51.5
1001.00000000010.50.5
1000–000200000
Team totals4611116.3024449495016877

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

ULM vs South Alabama

Season series · South Alabama leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LA MON · S ALA 8

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 3 LA MONS ALA 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 LA MONS ALA 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 LA MONS ALA 8

Bars above the line = South Alabama leads, below = ULM leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

ULM

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%8/27
13%1/8
2
80%8/10
47%7/15
3
54%7/13
27%3/11
4
88%7/8
30%3/10
5
70%7/10
13%1/8
6
75%6/8
42%5/12
All
57%43/76
31%20/64

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
72%18/25
2
53%8/15
33%4/12
3
67%8/12
33%4/12
4
88%7/8
30%3/10
5
64%7/11
36%4/11
6
86%6/7
0%0/6
All
69%44/64
43%33/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#LA MON-S ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S ALALA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.1
21-1LA MONS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
32-1S ALALA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Aniya Hall+1.1
43-1LA MONLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.5
53-2LA MONS ALABlockedAniya Hallblk Dalayla Blackwell, Eva Dittmar+1.1
63-3S ALAS ALAAttack errZharia Alleyne+1.3
74-3S ALALA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.2
84-4LA MONS ALAServe errAniya Hall+1.1
95-4S ALALA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+1.2
105-5LA MONS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Halle Norvell+1.1
116-5S ALALA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+1.3
127-5LA MONLA MONAceMorgan Howard+1.7
137-6LA MONS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Halle Norvell+1.2
148-6S ALALA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+1.5
158-7LA MONS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Halle Norvell+1.3
168-8S ALAS ALA×3BlockedAniya Hallblk Dalayla Blackwell, Eva Dittmar+1.6
178-9S ALAS ALA×3AceAnabelle Cernyaced Aniya Hall+1.5
189-9S ALALA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+1.3
199-10LA MONS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
2010-10S ALALA MONAttack errEva Dittmar+1.3
2110-11LA MONS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.3
2211-11S ALALA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.4
2311-12LA MONS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.3
2412-12S ALALA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.4
2513-12LA MONLA MONBlockedElyse Heffnerblk Grace Troxell, Tatum Clay+2.0
2613-13LA MONS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell+1.5
2713-14S ALAS ALAKillAlivia Freeman+1.8
2814-14S ALALA MON×3Attack errCambria Gaier+1.6
2915-14LA MONLA MON×3BlockedCambria Gaierblk Abby Cunningham, Tatum Clay+2.3
3016-14LA MONLA MON×3Attack errCambria Gaier+2.5
3116-15LA MONS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell+1.8
3217-15S ALALA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+2.2
3317-16LA MONS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+1.8
3417-17S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+2.4
3517-18S ALAS ALA×3Bad setMorgan Howard+2.3
3618-18S ALALA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.0
3719-18LA MONLA MON×3Attack errCambria Gaier+3.0
3820-18LA MONLA MON×3Bad setAnabelle Cerny+3.3
3920-19LA MONS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.2
4021-19S ALALA MONServe errCambria Gaier+3.0
4121-20LA MONS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.4
4222-20S ALALA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+3.3
4322-21LA MONS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
4423-21S ALALA MONServe errEva Dittmar+3.8
4523-22LA MONS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.7
4623-23S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+4.8
4723-24S ALAS ALA×3BlockedGrace Troxellblk Alexa Strandberg, Anabelle Cerny+5.5
4824-24S ALALA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+4.4
4924-25LA MONS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+4.4
5025-25S ALALA MONAttack errDalayla Blackwell+4.4
5125-26LA MONS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+4.4
5225-27S ALAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+4.5
Set 2
10-1LA MONS ALABad setMorgan Howard+0.6
20-2S ALAS ALABlockedAbby Cunninghamblk Sarah Gooch, Dalayla Blackwell+0.7
31-2S ALALA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Abby Cunningham+0.6
42-2LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+0.9
53-2LA MONLA MON×3KillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+1.0
63-3LA MONS ALAServe errTatum Clay+0.7
74-3S ALALA MONServe errAddison Hurst+0.8
84-4LA MONS ALA×4KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
94-5S ALAS ALA×4Attack errKenzie Behl+0.9
104-6S ALAS ALA×4Bad setAniya Hall+0.8
114-7S ALAS ALA×4Attack errEden Pietrzak+0.7
125-7S ALALA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Bre Perrin+0.6
135-8LA MONS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
145-9S ALAS ALAAceSarah Goochaced Eden Pietrzak+0.6
156-9S ALALA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Bre Perrin+0.5
166-10LA MONS ALABlockedGrace Troxellblk Elyse Heffner, Anabelle Cerny+0.5
177-10S ALALA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+0.5
188-10LA MONLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.8
198-11LA MONS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
208-12S ALAS ALA×3Attack errTatum Clay+0.7
218-13S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+0.5
229-13S ALALA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.4
239-14LA MONS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
249-15S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
259-16S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
2610-16S ALALA MON×3Serve errCambria Gaier+0.2
2711-16LA MONLA MON×3AceTatum Clayaced Sarah Gooch+0.3
2812-16LA MONLA MON×3AceTatum Clayaced Cambria Gaier+0.5
2912-17LA MONS ALAServe errTatum Clay+0.4
3012-18S ALAS ALAAttack errZharia Alleyne+0.4
3113-18S ALALA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+0.2
3214-18LA MONLA MONBlockedEva Dittmarblk Zharia Alleyne, Aniya Hall+0.4
3314-19LA MONS ALABlockedKenzie Behlblk Elyse Heffner, Eva Dittmar+0.4
3415-19S ALALA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+0.3
3515-20LA MONS ALAKillSarah Goochset Halle Norvell+0.4
3616-20S ALALA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+0.3
3716-21LA MONS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Halle Norvell+0.4
3817-21S ALALA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+0.3
3917-22LA MONS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+0.4
4018-22S ALALA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+0.2
4119-22LA MONLA MONAttack errCambria Gaier+0.5
4219-23LA MONS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Eva Dittmar+0.6
4320-23S ALALA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.3
4421-23LA MONLA MONAceTatum Clay+0.9
4521-24LA MONS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.1
4622-24S ALALA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.5
4722-25LA MONS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
Set 3
10-1S ALAS ALA×4Attack errZharia Alleyne+0.4
20-2S ALAS ALA×4BlockedKenzie Behlblk Dalayla Blackwell, Cambria Gaier+0.3
30-3S ALAS ALA×4KillCambria Gaierset Addison Hurst+0.3
40-4S ALAS ALA×4AceAnabelle Cernyaced Eden Pietrzak+0.3
51-4S ALALA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+0.2
61-5LA MONS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+0.2
71-6S ALAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.2
82-6S ALALA MONServe errCambria Gaier+0.2
92-7LA MONS ALA×3Serve errMorgan Howard+0.2
102-8S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Addison Hurst+0.2
112-9S ALAS ALA×3KillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
123-9S ALALA MONServe errAddison Hurst+0.1
133-10LA MONS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
144-10S ALALA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.1
154-11LA MONS ALAKillAniya Hallset Abby Cunningham+0.1
165-11S ALALA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+0.1
176-11LA MONLA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+0.2
186-12LA MONS ALABad setBre Perrin+0.1
197-12S ALALA MONServe errElyse Heffner+0.1
207-13LA MONS ALA×8KillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+0.1
217-14S ALAS ALA×8KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
227-15S ALAS ALA×8KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
237-16S ALAS ALA×8BlockedKenzie Behlblk Delaney Lawson, Dalayla Blackwell+0.1
247-17S ALAS ALA×8KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny·
257-18S ALAS ALA×8AceAnabelle Cernyaced Grace Troxell·
267-19S ALAS ALA×8Attack errAniya Hall·
277-20S ALAS ALA×8KillDelaney Lawsonset Anabelle Cerny·
288-20S ALALA MONAttack errDalayla Blackwell·
298-21LA MONS ALAServe errEden Pietrzak·
309-21S ALALA MONServe errDelaney Lawson·
3110-21LA MONLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Aniya Hall·
3210-22LA MONS ALAServe errMorgan Howard·
3311-22S ALALA MON×4Bad setAnabelle Cerny·
3412-22LA MONLA MON×4KillAniya Hall·
3513-22LA MONLA MON×4AceBriana Raney·
3614-22LA MONLA MON×4BlockedEva Dittmarblk Aniya Hall·
3714-23LA MONS ALAAttack errAbby Cunningham·
3815-23S ALALA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard·
3915-24LA MONS ALAServe errTatum Clay·
4016-24S ALALA MONServe errSarah Gooch·
4116-25LA MONS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell·

Score shown after each rally, ULM first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).