Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

St. John's (NY) def. UConn 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: St. John's (NY) 50.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

St. John's (NY) won at UConn 3-1 (25-12, 20-25, 25-18, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. St. John's (NY)'s Lejla Hadžiredžepovic and Carola Tesoro led with 15 kills each, and Rashanny Solano Smith added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
STJOHN252025253
UCONN122518211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.393 on 28 swings: Carola Tesoro and St. John's (NY) edged UConn.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are St. John's (NY)'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. St. John's (NY) went in as RallyIQ's 50% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · St. John's (NY) 14–14 UConn

    4 straight St. John's (NY) points broke a 14–14 tie and made it 18–14.

    St. John's (NY) 50% → 68%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · St. John's (NY) 11–13 UConn

    St. John's (NY) scored 4 straight to turn an 11–13 deficit into a 15–13 lead.

    St. John's (NY) 67% → 84%

UConn above 50St. John's (NY) belowMax swing 5.3%

St. John's (NY)UConn

Sideout %
St. John's (NY) 53.2·UConn 42.6
Break %
St. John's (NY) 57.4·UConn 46.8
Hitting
St. John's (NY) .286·UConn .138
Longest run
St. John's (NY) 6·UConn 4

Lejla Hadžiredžepovic
15 kills on .233, 18 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UConn above 50 · St. John's (NY) below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.3% STJOHNrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.3% to St. John's (NY) — set 4, STJOHN 17-15 UCONN. St. John's (NY) ace on Grace Maria. UCONN win probability 20% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STJOHN 60.4%39.6% UCONN

St. John's (NY) wins

3-0
17.4%
3-1
23.1%
3-2
19.9%

UConn wins

3-0
8.6%
3-1
14.4%
3-2
16.6%
STJOHN break %
44.6% vs this opp
UCONN break %
42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    St. John's (NY)Ace+5.3%

    St. John's (NY) ace on Grace Maria

    Set 4 · STJOHN 17-15 UCONN · STJOHN 80% → 85%

  2. 02
    Lejla HadžiredžepovicAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic

    Set 2 · STJOHN 19-21 UCONN · UCONN 36% → 41%

  3. 03

    Kill by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic (set by Martina Capponcelli)

    Set 3 · STJOHN 16-14 UCONN · STJOHN 54% → 59%

  4. 04
    Lejla HadžiredžepovicAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic

    Set 4 · STJOHN 15-15 UCONN · UCONN 19% → 24%

  5. 05
    Sydney BorowyKill+4.9%

    Kill by Sydney Borowy

    Set 2 · STJOHN 18-19 UCONN · UCONN 31% → 35%

  6. 06

    Kill by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic (set by Rashanny Solano Smith)

    Set 4 · STJOHN 14-13 UCONN · STJOHN 74% → 79%

  7. 07

    Bad set by Martina Capponcelli

    Set 3 · STJOHN 14-14 UCONN · UCONN 45% → 50%

  8. 08
    Carola TesoroKill+4.8%

    Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Maggie Carcillo)

    Set 4 · STJOHN 18-15 UCONN · STJOHN 85% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415830.2330112012218
415428.3931119302117
47314.28600000031.58.5
4517.57110010052.57.5
4328.125000100636
4002.0001310500001
47419.15810000031.58.5
4001.00010311910003
4000–000210000
4000–2300800000
2001.00000000010.50.5
2000–000300000
12021.000000000002
Team totals5422112.28649635081221295
UConnhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410628.14300020031.511.5
48114.50001210132.511.5
45212.25000001073.58.5
48528.107002510008
4206.3331830400216
42413-.154012300003
45311.18200000153.58.5
4000–022000002
4115.000101320001
4000–411810001
3000–1300300000
1026-.333000000000
Team totals4124123.138368102962201276

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. John's (NY) vs UConn

Season series · St. John's (NY) leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STJOHN · UCONN 4

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 6 STJOHNUCONN 2

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 STJOHNUCONN 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 STJOHNUCONN 4

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 5 STJOHNUCONN 3

Bars above the line = UConn leads, below = St. John's (NY) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. John's (NY)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
61%11/18
2
62%8/13
62%13/21
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
75%6/8
68%13/19
5
46%6/13
54%7/13
6
45%5/11
55%6/11
All
53%41/77
57%54/94

UConn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%9/24
46%6/13
2
53%8/15
58%11/19
3
40%6/15
33%4/12
4
33%6/18
50%6/12
5
50%6/12
33%3/9
6
50%5/10
50%6/12
All
43%40/94
47%36/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#STJOHN-UCONNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UCONNUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Audrey Jensen+2.5
20-2UCONNUCONNAceUConn+2.5
31-2UCONNSTJOHN×3KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+1.8
42-2STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Maggie Carcillo+2.5
53-2STJOHNSTJOHN×3BlockedHelena Einarsdottirblk Lejla Hadžiredžepovic, Teodora Stamenkovic+2.6
63-3STJOHNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Audrey Jensen+1.9
74-3UCONNSTJOHNKillTeodora Stamenkovicset Maggie Carcillo+2.0
85-3STJOHNSTJOHNAttack errSydney Borowy+2.7
95-4STJOHNUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Audrey Jensen+1.9
106-4UCONNSTJOHN×6KillCarola Tesoroset Rashanny Solano Smith+2.0
117-4STJOHNSTJOHN×6KillCarola Tesoro+2.6
128-4STJOHNSTJOHN×6BlockedOlivia Pasternakblk Chloe' Bell, Kendall White+2.4
139-4STJOHNSTJOHN×6AceSt. John's (NY)aced Jordyn Hughes+2.1
1410-4STJOHNSTJOHN×6KillChloe' Bellset Maggie Carcillo+1.8
1511-4STJOHNSTJOHN×6KillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+1.5
1611-5STJOHNUCONNBlockedCarola Tesoroblk Hailey Maes+0.8
1712-5UCONNSTJOHN×5KillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+1.1
1813-5STJOHNSTJOHN×5AceSt. John's (NY)aced Grace Maria+1.1
1914-5STJOHNSTJOHN×5BlockedOlivia Pasternakblk Barbara Costa dos Santos, Chloe' Bell+0.8
2015-5STJOHNSTJOHN×5Attack errHailey Maes+0.5
2116-5STJOHNSTJOHN×5Attack errHailey Maes+0.3
2216-6STJOHNUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Audrey Jensen+0.1
2316-7UCONNUCONNAceUConn+0.3
2417-7UCONNSTJOHN×3Serve errUConn+0.3
2518-7STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+0.2
2619-7STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillChloe' Bell+0.1
2719-8STJOHNUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Audrey Jensen·
2819-9UCONNUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Audrey Jensen+0.1
2920-9UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+0.1
3021-9STJOHNSTJOHNBlockedSydney Borowyblk Barbara Costa dos Santos, Teodora Stamenkovic+0.1
3121-10STJOHNUCONNKillHelena Einarsdottirset Audrey Jensen·
3222-10UCONNSTJOHNKillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli·
3323-10STJOHNSTJOHNKillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Maggie Carcillo·
3423-11STJOHNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Audrey Jensen·
3524-11UCONNSTJOHNKillKendall Whiteset Rashanny Solano Smith·
3624-12STJOHNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Hazuna Akishige·
3725-12UCONNSTJOHNKillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo·
Set 2
11-0STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Rashanny Solano Smith+2.5
22-0STJOHNSTJOHN×3Attack errSydney Borowy+2.5
33-0STJOHNSTJOHN×3BlockedSydney Borowyblk Teodora Stamenkovic, Kendall White+2.4
43-1STJOHNUCONNAttack errKendall White+1.7
54-1UCONNSTJOHN×3KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Kendall White+1.8
65-1STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+2.3
76-1STJOHNSTJOHN×3Attack errJordyn Hughes+2.1
86-2STJOHNUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+1.3
97-2UCONNSTJOHNKillTeodora Stamenkovicset Maggie Carcillo+1.5
107-3STJOHNUCONN×3KillMaja Dacaset Isabella Sohl+1.3
117-4UCONNUCONN×3BlockedCarola Tesoroblk Courtney Grayson, Hailey Maes+2.1
127-5UCONNUCONN×3Attack errKendall White+2.4
138-5UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+2.0
148-6STJOHNUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Isabella Sohl+1.8
159-6UCONNSTJOHNKillBarbara Costa dos Santosset Rashanny Solano Smith+2.0
169-7STJOHNUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Hazuna Akishige+1.8
1710-7UCONNSTJOHNBlockedSydney Borowyblk Barbara Costa dos Santos, Chloe' Bell+2.1
1810-8STJOHNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Audrey Jensen+1.9
1911-8UCONNSTJOHNKillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+2.1
2011-9STJOHNUCONN×4BlockedLejla Hadžiredžepovicblk Jordyn Hughes, Audrey Jensen+1.9
2111-10UCONNUCONN×4KillSydney Borowy+3.0
2211-11UCONNUCONN×4BlockedKendall Whiteblk Sydney Borowy, Jordyn Hughes+3.2
2311-12UCONNUCONN×4KillHailey Maes+3.4
2412-12UCONNSTJOHNKillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Maggie Carcillo+2.5
2513-12STJOHNSTJOHNKillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+3.5
2613-13STJOHNUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+2.6
2714-13UCONNSTJOHN×3KillSoheila Cirelliset Maggie Carcillo+2.7
2815-13STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillChloe' Bellset Maggie Carcillo+3.6
2916-13STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillSoheila Cirelliset Maggie Carcillo+3.4
3016-14STJOHNUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+2.1
3116-15UCONNUCONNBlockedCarola Tesoroblk Courtney Grayson, Hailey Maes+3.5
3217-15UCONNSTJOHNKillChloe' Bellset Maggie Carcillo+2.9
3317-16STJOHNUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+2.7
3418-16UCONNSTJOHNKillBarbara Costa dos Santosset Rashanny Solano Smith+3.1
3518-17STJOHNUCONN×3KillAudrey Jensenset Rashanny Solano Smith+2.8
3618-18UCONNUCONN×3BlockedBarbara Costa dos Santosblk Courtney Grayson+4.5
3718-19UCONNUCONN×3KillSydney Borowy+4.9
3819-19UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+3.5
3919-20STJOHNUCONN×3KillHelena Einarsdottirset Audrey Jensen+3.9
4019-21UCONNUCONN×3Attack errLejla Hadžiredžepovic+5.2
4119-22UCONNUCONN×3BlockedLejla Hadžiredžepovicblk Jordyn Hughes, Audrey Jensen+4.4
4220-22UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+2.1
4320-23STJOHNUCONN×3KillJordyn Hughesset Audrey Jensen+3.3
4420-24UCONNUCONN×3AceUConnaced Carola Tesoro+2.6
4520-25UCONNUCONN×3AceUConnaced Carola Tesoro+0.8
Set 3
11-0UCONNSTJOHN×4KillKendall Whiteset Rashanny Solano Smith+2.5
22-0STJOHNSTJOHN×4Attack errCourtney Grayson+3.3
33-0STJOHNSTJOHN×4Attack errSydney Borowy+3.2
44-0STJOHNSTJOHN×4KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Rashanny Solano Smith+3.0
54-1STJOHNUCONN×4KillSydney Borowyset Hazuna Akishige+2.0
64-2UCONNUCONN×4AceUConnaced Rashanny Solano Smith+3.1
74-3UCONNUCONN×4Attack errTeodora Stamenkovic+3.3
84-4UCONNUCONN×4Attack errLejla Hadžiredžepovic+3.5
95-4UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+2.7
106-4STJOHNSTJOHNKillKendall Whiteset Rashanny Solano Smith+3.6
116-5STJOHNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Audrey Jensen+2.6
126-6UCONNUCONNBlockedKendall Whiteblk Sydney Borowy, Jordyn Hughes+3.7
137-6UCONNSTJOHNKillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+2.8
147-7STJOHNUCONN×3KillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+2.8
157-8UCONNUCONN×3KillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+3.9
167-9UCONNUCONN×3Attack errChloe' Bell+3.9
178-9UCONNSTJOHN×3Serve errUConn+2.8
189-9STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillBarbara Costa dos Santos+4.0
1910-9STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillCarola Tesoroset Martina Capponcelli+4.2
2010-10STJOHNUCONN×3KillMaja Dacaset Grace Maria+3.1
2110-11UCONNUCONN×3KillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+4.3
2210-12UCONNUCONN×3BlockedBarbara Costa dos Santosblk Courtney Grayson, Hailey Maes+4.3
2311-12UCONNSTJOHN×4KillBarbara Costa dos Santosset Chloe' Bell+3.0
2412-12STJOHNSTJOHN×4AceSt. John's (NY)aced Maja Daca+4.5
2513-12STJOHNSTJOHN×4BlockedHailey Maesblk Lejla Hadžiredžepovic+4.7
2614-12STJOHNSTJOHN×4Attack errMaja Daca+4.6
2714-13STJOHNUCONNAttack errLejla Hadžiredžepovic+3.2
2814-14UCONNUCONNBad setMartina Capponcelli+4.8
2915-14UCONNSTJOHN×4Serve errUConn+3.8
3016-14STJOHNSTJOHN×4KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+5.1
3117-14STJOHNSTJOHN×4BlockedMaja Dacablk Teodora Stamenkovic, Kya Harris+4.7
3218-14STJOHNSTJOHN×4BlockedHelena Einarsdottirblk Teodora Stamenkovic, Lejla Hadžiredžepovic+3.9
3318-15STJOHNUCONNKillGrace Mariaset Audrey Jensen+2.2
3419-15UCONNSTJOHN×3KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+2.9
3520-15STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillKendall Whiteset Rashanny Solano Smith+2.9
3621-15STJOHNSTJOHN×3Attack errMaja Daca+1.8
3721-16STJOHNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Audrey Jensen+0.7
3822-16UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+1.2
3922-17STJOHNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Audrey Jensen+0.5
4022-18UCONNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Audrey Jensen+1.3
4123-18UCONNSTJOHN×3KillTeodora Stamenkovicset Maggie Carcillo+1.7
4224-18STJOHNSTJOHN×3AceSt. John's (NY)aced Hazuna Akishige+0.9
4325-18STJOHNSTJOHN×3AceSt. John's (NY)+0.2
Set 4
11-0STJOHNSTJOHNKillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+3.3
21-1STJOHNUCONN×3BlockedLejla Hadžiredžepovicblk Jordyn Hughes, Hailey Maes+2.4
31-2UCONNUCONN×3BlockedTeodora Stamenkovicblk Hailey Maes, Jordyn Hughes+3.4
41-3UCONNUCONN×3Bad setMaggie Carcillo+3.4
52-3UCONNSTJOHNBlockedMaja Dacablk Teodora Stamenkovic, Kendall White+2.4
62-4STJOHNUCONN×3Serve errSt. John's (NY)+2.5
72-5UCONNUCONN×3KillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+3.3
82-6UCONNUCONN×3AceUConnaced Katianna Betancur+3.1
93-6UCONNSTJOHNKillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+2.1
103-7STJOHNUCONNServe errSt. John's (NY)+2.3
113-8UCONNUCONNAttack errCarola Tesoro+2.8
124-8UCONNSTJOHN×5KillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+1.8
135-8STJOHNSTJOHN×5Attack errMaja Daca+2.9
146-8STJOHNSTJOHN×5KillCarola Tesoroset Martina Capponcelli+3.3
157-8STJOHNSTJOHN×5BlockedHelena Einarsdottirblk Carola Tesoro, Chloe' Bell+3.7
168-8STJOHNSTJOHN×5KillBarbara Costa dos Santosset Martina Capponcelli+3.9
178-9STJOHNUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Audrey Jensen+3.0
189-9UCONNSTJOHNKillBarbara Costa dos Santosset Carola Tesoro+3.0
1910-9STJOHNSTJOHNKillChloe' Bellset Martina Capponcelli+4.2
2010-10STJOHNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Hazuna Akishige+3.1
2111-10UCONNSTJOHNKillBarbara Costa dos Santosset Martina Capponcelli+3.2
2211-11STJOHNUCONN×3KillAudrey Jensenset Lejla Hadžiredžepovic+3.2
2311-12UCONNUCONN×3BlockedBarbara Costa dos Santosblk Jordyn Hughes, Sydney Borowy+4.5
2411-13UCONNUCONN×3AceUConn+4.5
2512-13UCONNSTJOHN×4Attack errJordyn Hughes+3.1
2613-13STJOHNSTJOHN×4KillKendall Whiteset Maggie Carcillo+4.6
2714-13STJOHNSTJOHN×4KillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Rashanny Solano Smith+4.9
2815-13STJOHNSTJOHN×4Bad setIsabella Sohl+4.8
2915-14STJOHNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl+3.3
3015-15UCONNUCONNAttack errLejla Hadžiredžepovic+5.1
3116-15UCONNSTJOHN×3KillKendall Whiteset Maggie Carcillo+4.0
3217-15STJOHNSTJOHN×3AceSt. John's (NY)aced Grace Maria+5.3
3318-15STJOHNSTJOHN×3KillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+4.8
3418-16STJOHNUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Isabella Sohl+2.9
3519-16UCONNSTJOHNKillKendall Whiteset Maggie Carcillo+3.7
3619-17STJOHNUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+3.0
3720-17UCONNSTJOHN×3KillCarola Tesoroset Maggie Carcillo+3.9
3821-17STJOHNSTJOHN×3BlockedHelena Einarsdottirblk Carola Tesoro, Chloe' Bell+4.1
3922-17STJOHNSTJOHN×3Attack errGrace Maria+2.6
4022-18STJOHNUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Audrey Jensen+0.9
4123-18UCONNSTJOHNKillCarola Tesoroset Brooke Boyles+1.7
4223-19STJOHNUCONN×3Serve errSt. John's (NY)+0.7
4323-20UCONNUCONN×3AceUConnaced Carola Tesoro+1.8
4423-21UCONNUCONN×3Attack errLejla Hadžiredžepovic+3.4
4524-21UCONNSTJOHNServe errUConn+4.5
4625-21STJOHNSTJOHNKillLejla Hadžiredžepovicset Martina Capponcelli+2.4

Score shown after each rally, St. John's (NY) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).