FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayACC

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Northwestern def. Virginia Tech 3–0

(25-17, 25-20, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
VT	17	20	23	0
NW	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NW above 50 · VT below

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Virginia Tech — set 1, VT 12-11 NW. Campbell Paris stuffed by Frances Torres & Isabella Mishler. NW win probability 95% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

VT 4.6%95.4% NW

Virginia Tech wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.3%

3-2

2.8%

Northwestern wins

3-0

56.6%

3-1

29.4%

3-2

9.5%

VT break %: 32.9% vs this opp
NW break %: 45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Campbell ParisAttack error+1.2%
Campbell Paris stuffed by Frances Torres & Isabella Mishler
Set 1 · VT 12-11 NW · VT 5% → 7%
02
VT serverAce+1.1%
Virginia Tech ace on Isabella Bullington
Set 1 · VT 14-14 NW · VT 5% → 6%
03
Campbell ParisKill+1.0%
Kill by Campbell Paris
Set 1 · VT 12-13 NW · NW 94% → 95%
04
Isabella MishlerKill+1.0%
Kill by Isabella Mishler (set by Camilla Brandalise)
Set 1 · VT 3-0 NW · VT 6% → 7%
05
NW serverAce+0.9%
Northwestern ace on Reese Hazelton
Set 1 · VT 14-16 NW · NW 95% → 96%
06
Destiny WalkerKill+0.9%
Kill by Destiny Walker (set by Ivy Cooper)
Set 1 · VT 11-11 NW · VT 4% → 5%
07
VT serverAce+0.9%
Virginia Tech ace on Isabella Bullington
Set 1 · VT 2-0 NW · VT 5% → 6%
08
Campbell ParisKill+0.8%
Kill by Campbell Paris (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 1 · VT 12-14 NW · NW 95% → 96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Virginia Techaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Isabella MishlerMB	3	9	1	17	.471	0	1	1	3	0	3	1.5	11.5
8Adeline HundlOH	3	9	5	26	.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9
24Reese HazeltonOH	3	4	10	28	-.214	0	1	0	8	2	1	0.5	5.5
6Destiny WalkerOH	3	4	5	18	-.056	0	1	3	11	0	1	0.5	5.5
26Layla MooreMB	3	5	3	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
7Camilla BrandaliseS	3	0	0	0	–	20	3	1	4	0	0	0	3
16Frances TorresOH	3	2	1	14	.071	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	3
23Ivy CooperL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	4	16	2	0	0	1
10Camdynn GonzalezS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
25Sara Letizia GaspariniOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	25	113	.080	32	6	9	50	5	8	4	60

Northwesternhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Campbell ParisOH	3	12	4	26	.308	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
12Mara StiglicOH	3	7	3	30	.133	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	7
22Isabella BullingtonOH	3	7	0	27	.259	0	0	4	6	4	0	0	0	7
17Maya StillwellMB	3	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
11Ellie StiernagleS	3	1	0	5	.200	28	0	1	10	0	0	2	1	2
2Drew WrightL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	1
9Hayley SchaafMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
23Gigi NavarreteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	1	9	0	0	0	0	3
7Lauren DignanL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	14	1	0	0	0	1
20Lily WagnerOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
8Gabrielle GerryMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Kayla KauffmanMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Kaitlyn BodnarS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	10	108	.231	32	5	8	50	6	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 VT · NW 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 VTNW 6

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 VTNW 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 VTNW 3

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = Virginia Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Virginia Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	53%8/15
2	41%7/17	38%5/13
3	60%6/10	30%3/10
4	56%5/9	33%3/9
5	38%5/13	38%3/8
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	49%36/73	39%24/62

Northwestern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	25%2/8
2	54%7/13	67%14/21
3	88%7/8	42%5/12
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	63%5/8	69%11/16
6	45%5/11	17%1/6
All	61%38/62	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	VT-NW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	VT	VT×3	Kill	Reese Hazelton	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.7
2	2-0	VT	VT×3	Ace	VT server	aced Isabella Bullington	+0.9
3	3-0	VT	VT×3	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+1.0
4	3-1	VT	NW×6	Serve err	VT server		+0.5
5	3-2	NW	NW×6	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Lauren Dignan	+0.8
6	3-3	NW	NW×6	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
7	3-4	NW	NW×6	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Lauren Dignan	+0.7
8	3-5	NW	NW×6	Ace	NW server	aced Reese Hazelton	+0.6
9	3-6	NW	NW×6	Attack err	Adeline Hundl		+0.5
10	4-6	NW	VT	Bad set	Ellie Stiernagle		+0.3
11	5-6	VT	VT	Attack err	Campbell Paris		+0.6
12	5-7	VT	NW	Attack err	Destiny Walker		+0.4
13	5-8	NW	NW	Ace	NW server	aced Ivy Cooper	+0.5
14	6-8	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.3
15	6-9	VT	NW	Attack err	Adeline Hundl		+0.3
16	7-9	NW	VT	Kill	Reese Hazelton	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.3
17	8-9	VT	VT	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+0.7
18	8-10	VT	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
19	9-10	NW	VT	Attack err	Maya Stillwell		+0.5
20	9-11	VT	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
21	10-11	NW	VT×3	Serve err	NW server		+0.5
22	11-11	VT	VT×3	Kill	Destiny Walker	set Ivy Cooper	+0.9
23	12-11	VT	VT×3	Attack err	Campbell Paris	blk Frances Torres, Isabella Mishler	+1.2
24	12-12	VT	NW×3	Serve err	VT server		+0.7
25	12-13	NW	NW×3	Kill	Campbell Paris		+1.0
26	12-14	NW	NW×3	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
27	13-14	NW	VT	Kill	Frances Torres	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.5
28	14-14	VT	VT	Ace	VT server	aced Isabella Bullington	+1.1
29	14-15	VT	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
30	14-16	NW	NW×3	Ace	NW server	aced Reese Hazelton	+0.9
31	14-17	NW	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
32	15-17	NW	VT	Serve err	NW server		+0.4
33	15-18	VT	NW	Serve err	VT server		+0.5
34	16-18	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.4
35	16-19	VT	NW×5	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.5
36	16-20	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Adeline Hundl		+0.5
37	16-21	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.3
38	16-22	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.1
39	16-23	NW	NW×5	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.0
40	17-23	NW	VT	Serve err	NW server		+0.0
41	17-24	VT	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.0
42	17-25	NW	NW	Attack err	Reese Hazelton	blk Ellie Stiernagle, Maya Stillwell	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	NW	VT	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.3
2	2-0	VT	VT	Ace	VT server	aced Isabella Bullington	+0.5
3	2-1	VT	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
4	3-1	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.4
5	4-1	VT	VT	Ace	VT server	aced Lauren Dignan	+0.6
6	4-2	VT	NW	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.3
7	5-2	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.4
8	5-3	VT	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
9	6-3	NW	VT	Serve err	NW server		+0.5
10	6-4	VT	NW×5	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Gigi Navarrete	+0.4
11	6-5	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Layla Moore	blk Maya Stillwell	+0.6
12	6-6	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Frances Torres		+0.5
13	6-7	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Destiny Walker		+0.5
14	6-8	NW	NW×5	Attack err	Destiny Walker		+0.4
15	7-8	NW	VT	Serve err	NW server		+0.3
16	7-9	VT	NW	Serve err	VT server		+0.2
17	8-9	NW	VT	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.3
18	8-10	VT	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Drew Wright	+0.3
19	9-10	NW	VT	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.3
20	9-11	VT	NW×5	Serve err	VT server		+0.3
21	9-12	NW	NW×5	Bad set	Camilla Brandalise		+0.4
22	9-13	NW	NW×5	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
23	9-14	NW	NW×5	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
24	9-15	NW	NW×5	Ace	NW server	aced Team	+0.1
25	10-15	NW	VT	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.1
26	11-15	VT	VT	Kill	Layla Moore		+0.1
27	11-16	VT	NW	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.1
28	12-16	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.1
29	12-17	VT	NW	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.1
30	13-17	NW	VT	Serve err	NW server		+0.1
31	13-18	VT	NW×4	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
32	13-19	NW	NW×4	Attack err	Layla Moore		+0.1
33	13-20	NW	NW×4	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle		+0.1
34	13-21	NW	NW×4	Ace	NW server	aced Ivy Cooper	+0.0
35	14-21	NW	VT	Kill	Layla Moore	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.0
36	14-22	VT	NW	Serve err	VT server		+0.0
37	15-22	NW	VT×5	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.0
38	16-22	VT	VT×5	Ace	VT server	aced Drew Wright	+0.0
39	17-22	VT	VT×5	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+0.0
40	18-22	VT	VT×5	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.1
41	19-22	VT	VT×5	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.2
42	19-23	VT	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
43	20-23	NW	VT	Serve err	NW server		+0.1
44	20-24	VT	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
45	20-25	NW	NW	Attack err	Isabella Mishler		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	VT	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
2	1-1	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.1
3	2-1	VT	VT	Kill	Destiny Walker	set Ivy Cooper	+0.2
4	2-2	VT	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
5	3-2	NW	VT	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.2
6	3-3	VT	NW	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.1
7	4-3	NW	VT×3	Serve err	NW server		+0.2
8	5-3	VT	VT×3	Kill	Frances Torres	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.3
9	6-3	VT	VT×3	Kill	Reese Hazelton	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.3
10	6-4	VT	NW×3	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
11	6-5	NW	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
12	6-6	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Layla Moore		+0.2
13	7-6	NW	VT×4	Kill	Layla Moore	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.2
14	8-6	VT	VT×4	Ace	VT server	aced Isabella Bullington	+0.3
15	9-6	VT	VT×4	Attack err	Mara Stiglic	blk Frances Torres, Layla Moore	+0.4
16	10-6	VT	VT×4	Attack err	Maya Stillwell		+0.4
17	10-7	VT	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
18	11-7	NW	VT	Kill	Destiny Walker	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.3
19	11-8	VT	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
20	12-8	NW	VT	Kill	Ivy Cooper		+0.3
21	12-9	VT	NW×3	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
22	12-10	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Destiny Walker		+0.4
23	12-11	NW	NW×3	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
24	13-11	NW	VT	Kill	Isabella Mishler	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.3
25	14-11	VT	VT	Attack err	Campbell Paris	blk Reese Hazelton, Isabella Mishler	+0.5
26	14-12	VT	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
27	14-13	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Reese Hazelton	blk Ellie Stiernagle, Kayla Kauffman	+0.4
28	14-14	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Adeline Hundl		+0.4
29	15-14	NW	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.3
30	16-14	VT	VT	Attack err	Kayla Kauffman		+0.5
31	16-15	VT	NW	Serve err	VT server		+0.3
32	17-15	NW	VT	Kill	Layla Moore	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.4
33	17-16	VT	NW	Attack err	Reese Hazelton		+0.3
34	17-17	NW	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
35	18-17	NW	VT	Kill	Reese Hazelton	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.3
36	18-18	VT	NW	Kill	Gabrielle Gerry	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
37	18-19	NW	NW	Attack err	Destiny Walker	blk Gabrielle Gerry, Campbell Paris	+0.5
38	19-19	NW	VT	Kill	Layla Moore	set Camdynn Gonzalez	+0.3
39	19-20	VT	NW	Serve err	VT server		+0.3
40	20-20	NW	VT	Attack err	Campbell Paris	blk Destiny Walker, Isabella Mishler	+0.3
41	20-21	VT	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
42	21-21	NW	VT	Kill	Destiny Walker	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.4
43	22-21	VT	VT	Kill	Adeline Hundl	set Camilla Brandalise	+0.8
44	22-22	VT	NW×3	Serve err	VT server		+0.5
45	22-23	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Adeline Hundl		+0.8
46	22-24	NW	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.6
47	23-24	NW	VT	Bad set	Gigi Navarrete		+0.2
48	23-25	VT	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Virginia Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.