UConn vs Butler Volleyball: Butler Wins 3-0 (Oct 16, 2026)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Butler 70.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Butler beat visiting UConn 3-0 (25-17, 25-18, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Butler's Raegan Durbin led with 10 kills, and Jersey Loyer added 8 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UCONN	17	18	16	0
BUTLER	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Butler held UConn under 20 in every set.

Win probability never moved more than 2.5 points on one rally; UConn topped out at 32% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Butler at 70%.

UConnButler

Break %+24.2 pts
23.147.3
Points won on own serve: 35 of 74 vs 12 of 52. UConn sided out 52.7% of the time.
Hitting+.218
.036.254
31 K / 13 E against 21 K / 18 E.
Longest run+4
37
Down 9–11 in the third set, Butler scored 7 straight to lead 16–11. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Butler above 50UConn belowMax swing 2.5%

UConnButler

Aces: UConn 5·Butler 13
Serve err: UConn 10·Butler 12
Blocks: UConn 6·Butler 44 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs: UConn 25·Butler 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Butler above 50 · UConn below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Butler — set 2, UCONN 12-13 BUTLER. Attack error by Maja Daca. BUTLER win probability 82% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCONN 29.0%71.0% BUTLER

UConn wins

3-0

5.4%

3-1

10.1%

3-2

13.4%

Butler wins

3-0

24.0%

3-1

27.3%

3-2

19.8%

UCONN break %: 39.8% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maja DacaAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Maja Daca
Set 2 · UCONN 12-13 BUTLER · BUTLER 82% → 84%
02
Courtney GraysonKill+2.5%
Kill by Courtney Grayson (set by Audrey Jensen)
Set 1 · UCONN 10-11 BUTLER · UCONN 25% → 27%
03
ButlerAce+2.4%
Butler ace on Grace Maria
Set 1 · UCONN 10-13 BUTLER · BUTLER 75% → 77%
04
ButlerAce+2.4%
Butler ace on Isabella Suhy
Set 2 · UCONN 12-14 BUTLER · BUTLER 84% → 87%
05
Hailey MaesBad set+2.3%
Bad set by Hailey Maes
Set 2 · UCONN 15-18 BUTLER · BUTLER 87% → 90%
06
ButlerAce+2.3%
Butler ace on Sydney Borowy
Set 1 · UCONN 4-5 BUTLER · BUTLER 70% → 72%
07
Jordyn HughesAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Jordyn Hughes
Set 1 · UCONN 5-7 BUTLER · BUTLER 72% → 74%
08
Jordyn HughesBlock+2.2%
Carly Slusser stuffed by Jordyn Hughes
Set 2 · UCONN 7-6 BUTLER · UCONN 17% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UConnaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Jordyn HughesMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	5	9
19Hailey MaesMB	3	4	6	15	-.133	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
11Sydney BorowyOH	3	3	5	13	-.154	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
7Courtney GraysonMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
4Isabella SohlS	3	1	0	3	.333	13	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
14Maja DacaOH	2	3	3	17	.000	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3
15Grace MariaOH	3	2	0	9	.222	0	1	1	7	3	0	0	0	3
8Audrey JensenS	3	0	0	4	.000	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
3Hazuna AkishigeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	6	3	0	0	0	1
2Maggie CarleyS	2	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Helena EinarsdottirOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Isabella SuhyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
10Olivia PasternakOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	1	2	1	2	0	0	0	2
Team totals		21	18	83	.036	21	5	10	25	13	4	4	6	51

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	10	6	26	.154	0	3	1	6	3	2	1	14
16Elise WardOH	3	7	1	14	.429	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	9
3Chase LemmingOH	3	6	2	11	.364	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	7
17Zoe McDonaldMB	3	4	0	5	.800	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	6
13Carly SlusserMB	3	3	3	9	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
4Ava HunterS	3	0	0	0	–	15	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
7Ellery ReesMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
6Aesha VogtDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	2
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
18Marin ThaxtonDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	2
Team totals		31	13	71	.254	28	13	12	35	5	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UConn vs Butler

Season series · Butler leads 1-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026UConn at Butler · Butler won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 14, 2026Butler at UConnPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 UCONN · BUTLER 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 UCONNBUTLER 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 UCONNBUTLER 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 UCONNBUTLER 7

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = UConn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UConn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%8/20	25%2/8
2	57%8/14	20%2/10
3	70%7/10	20%2/10
4	50%6/12	13%1/8
5	63%5/8	33%3/9
6	50%5/10	29%2/7
All	53%39/74	23%12/52

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	50%7/14
2	80%8/10	56%10/18
3	88%7/8	30%3/10
4	88%7/8	42%5/12
5	56%5/9	50%5/10
6	83%5/6	50%5/10
All	77%40/52	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	UCONN-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Hailey Maes	set Hazuna Akishige	+1.7
2	1-1	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
3	2-1	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+1.7
4	2-2	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+1.6
5	3-2	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Isabella Sohl	+1.7
6	3-3	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+1.7
7	4-3	BUTLER	UCONN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.8
8	4-4	UCONN	BUTLER	Blocked	Courtney Grayson	blk Carly Slusser, Raegan Durbin	+1.7
9	4-5	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Sydney Borowy	+2.3
10	5-5	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Maja Daca	+1.7
11	5-6	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+1.7
12	5-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Jordyn Hughes		+2.3
13	5-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Sydney Borowy	blk Ellery Rees, Zoe McDonald	+2.1
14	6-8	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+1.4
15	6-9	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
16	7-9	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Hailey Maes	set Isabella Sohl	+1.5
17	7-10	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
18	8-10	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+1.5
19	8-11	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
20	9-11	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+1.5
21	10-11	UCONN	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+2.5
22	10-12	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+1.9
23	10-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Grace Maria	+2.4
24	10-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser		+2.0
25	11-14	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+1.3
26	11-15	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Bad set	Courtney Grayson		+1.5
27	11-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Sydney Borowy	blk Carly Slusser, Ellery Rees	+1.6
28	11-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler		+1.1
29	12-17	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+0.6
30	13-17	UCONN	UCONN	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Jordyn Hughes	+1.2
31	13-18	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.1
32	13-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.1
33	13-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Maja Daca	+0.6
34	14-20	BUTLER	UCONN	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Jordyn Hughes	+0.2
35	14-21	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
36	15-21	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
37	15-22	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Serve err	UConn		+0.3
38	15-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Hailey Maes		+0.2
39	15-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Grace Maria	·
40	16-24	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		·
41	17-24	UCONN	UCONN	Kill	Hailey Maes	set Hazuna Akishige	·
42	17-25	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	·
Set 2
1	1-0	UCONN	UCONN	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Jordyn Hughes, Hailey Maes	+1.9
2	1-1	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.3
3	1-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Maja Daca		+1.8
4	1-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+1.7
5	2-3	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+1.2
6	2-4	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
7	3-4	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+1.3
8	3-5	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+1.3
9	4-5	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+1.3
10	4-6	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+1.3
11	5-6	BUTLER	UCONN×3	Attack err	Ellery Rees		+1.3
12	6-6	UCONN	UCONN×3	Ace	UConn	aced Chase Lemming	+2.0
13	7-6	UCONN	UCONN×3	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Jordyn Hughes	+2.2
14	7-7	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+1.5
15	8-7	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+1.7
16	8-8	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming		+1.6
17	9-8	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+1.7
18	9-9	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
19	10-9	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+1.8
20	10-10	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+1.7
21	11-10	BUTLER	UCONN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.8
22	11-11	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+1.7
23	12-11	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Audrey Jensen	+1.9
24	12-12	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+1.8
25	12-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Maja Daca		+2.5
26	12-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Isabella Suhy	+2.4
27	13-14	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Audrey Jensen	+1.7
28	13-15	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+1.8
29	14-15	BUTLER	UCONN	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Jordyn Hughes, Audrey Jensen	+1.7
30	14-16	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.9
31	15-16	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+1.8
32	15-17	UCONN	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+2.0
33	15-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Bad set	Hailey Maes		+2.3
34	15-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Hazuna Akishige	+1.8
35	15-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Hailey Maes		+1.3
36	16-20	BUTLER	UCONN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.6
37	16-21	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
38	16-22	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+0.7
39	17-22	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+0.2
40	17-23	UCONN	BUTLER	Attack err	Maja Daca		+0.4
41	17-24	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.2
42	18-24	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		·
43	18-25	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		·
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Hailey Maes		+1.0
2	1-1	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Olivia Pasternak	set Isabella Sohl	+0.7
3	2-1	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.0
4	2-2	UCONN	BUTLER	Serve err	UConn		+0.7
5	2-3	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Olivia Pasternak		+1.0
6	3-3	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Hailey Maes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.8
7	4-3	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UConn	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.1
8	4-4	UCONN	BUTLER	Blocked	Hailey Maes	blk Raegan Durbin, Zoe McDonald	+0.8
9	5-4	BUTLER	UCONN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.8
10	5-5	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Chase Lemming	+0.8
11	5-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Hazuna Akishige	+1.1
12	6-6	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Grace Maria	set Isabella Sohl	+0.8
13	7-6	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UConn	aced Jersey Loyer	+1.2
14	7-7	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
15	8-7	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Isabella Sohl	set Maggie Carley	+0.9
16	9-7	UCONN	UCONN	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Jordyn Hughes	+1.3
17	9-8	UCONN	BUTLER	Attack err	Olivia Pasternak		+0.9
18	9-9	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Grace Maria	+1.2
19	10-9	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Grace Maria	set Isabella Sohl	+1.0
20	11-9	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UConn	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.4
21	11-10	UCONN	BUTLER×7	Attack err	Hailey Maes		+0.9
22	11-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.3
23	11-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Attack err	Hailey Maes		+1.3
24	11-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
25	11-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Bad set	Isabella Sohl		+1.1
26	11-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Ace	Butler	aced Olivia Pasternak	+0.9
27	11-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Ace	Butler	aced Olivia Pasternak	+0.7
28	12-16	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		+0.4
29	13-16	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UConn	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.8
30	13-17	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Serve err	UConn		+0.7
31	13-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+0.7
32	13-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Hazuna Akishige	+0.5
33	14-19	BUTLER	UCONN	Kill	Jordyn Hughes	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
34	14-20	UCONN	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
35	14-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser		+0.2
36	14-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler		+0.1
37	15-22	BUTLER	UCONN	Serve err	Butler		·
38	15-23	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
39	15-24	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		·
40	16-24	BUTLER	UCONN	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		·
41	16-25	UCONN	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	·

Score shown after each rally, UConn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Butler def. UConn 3–0

Butler held UConn under 20 in every set.