LIU vs Northwestern Volleyball: Northwestern Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

0:3

Northwestern beat visiting LIU 3-0 (25-19, 25-18, 25-18) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Northwestern's Mara Stiglic led with 13 kills, and Lauren Dignan added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 12

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIU	19	18	18	0
NW	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Northwestern above 50 · LIU below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Northwestern — set 1, LIU 14-16 NW. Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle). NW win probability 82% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIU 18.7%81.3% NW

LIU wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.2%

3-2

9.6%

Northwestern wins

3-0

32.8%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

17.9%

LIU break %: 39.0% vs this opp
NW break %: 45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Mara StiglicKill+2.3%
Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 1 · LIU 14-16 NW · NW 82% → 84%
02
Sara van GisterenBlock+2.3%
Isabella Bullington stuffed by Sara van Gisteren
Set 1 · LIU 12-12 NW · LIU 17% → 20%
03
Ellie StiernagleKill+2.1%
Kill by Ellie Stiernagle (set by Lauren Dignan)
Set 1 · LIU 15-18 NW · NW 85% → 87%
04
NorthwesternService error+1.9%
Northwestern service error
Set 1 · LIU 14-14 NW · LIU 18% → 20%
05
LIUAce+1.9%
LIU ace on Drew Wright
Set 1 · LIU 10-11 NW · LIU 15% → 17%
06
LIUService error+1.9%
LIU service error
Set 1 · LIU 14-15 NW · NW 80% → 82%
07
Mia Rojas-AvilaKill+1.8%
Kill by Mia Rojas-Avila (set by Bella Correia)
Set 1 · LIU 13-13 NW · LIU 18% → 20%
08
LIUService error+1.8%
LIU service error
Set 1 · LIU 15-17 NW · NW 83% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

LIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Bella CorreiaOH	3	11	2	32	.281	1	0	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Sara van GisterenOH	3	7	4	22	.136	0	1	4	10	0	1	0	1	9
24Sara GarciaMB	3	5	6	14	-.071	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	3	6	0	13	.462	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
3Mia Rojas-AvilaOH	3	4	3	17	.059	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Dilara ElmaciogluS	3	0	1	6	-.167	30	1	1	4	0	0	2	1	2
6Reese TevesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	0	0
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	16	104	.163	31	2	12	34	3	1	8	5	55

Northwesternhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Isabella BullingtonOH	3	10	2	18	.444	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Ellie StiernagleS	3	1	1	4	.000	33	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
2Drew WrightL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	1	15	1	0	0	0	1
24Cate SchnellOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Gabrielle GerryMB	2	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
25Campbell ParisOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Mara StiglicOH	3	13	2	32	.344	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	13
23Gigi NavarreteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
16Ava PrattOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Lauren DignanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	17	0	0	0	0	0
6Clara SchrammOH	2	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
17Maya StillwellMB	2	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5
20Lily WagnerOH	2	4	0	4	1.000	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
4Kayla KauffmanMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Hayley SchaafMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Kaitlyn BodnarS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	12	95	.337	42	3	8	48	2	2	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 LIU · NW 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 LIUNW 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 LIUNW 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 LIUNW 5

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	36%4/11
2	38%6/16	18%2/11
3	75%6/8	0%0/6
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	46%6/13	14%1/7
6	50%6/12	50%6/12
All	53%39/74	29%16/56

Northwestern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	38%5/13
2	88%7/8	56%9/16
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	86%6/7	45%5/11
5	50%6/12	50%6/12
6	60%6/10	45%5/11
All	71%40/56	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	LIU-NW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.3
2	1-1	LIU	NW×3	Blocked	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Gabrielle Gerry, Campbell Paris	+1.2
3	1-2	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Sara Garcia		+1.6
4	1-3	NW	NW×3	Ace	Northwestern	aced Reese Teves	+1.5
5	2-3	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.1
6	2-4	LIU	NW×3	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.1
7	2-5	NW	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.4
8	2-6	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+1.2
9	3-6	NW	LIU×3	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
10	4-6	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.3
11	5-6	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU		+1.6
12	5-7	LIU	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.2
13	6-7	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.2
14	6-8	LIU	NW	Attack err	Dilara Elmacioglu		+1.2
15	6-9	NW	NW	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+1.5
16	7-9	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.1
17	8-9	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Gabrielle Gerry		+1.7
18	8-10	LIU	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.3
19	8-11	NW	NW	Kill	Gabrielle Gerry	set Drew Wright	+1.6
20	9-11	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.1
21	10-11	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU	aced Drew Wright	+1.9
22	10-12	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+1.4
23	11-12	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.4
24	12-12	LIU	LIU	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Sara van Gisteren	+2.3
25	12-13	LIU	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.7
26	13-13	NW	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Bella Correia	+1.8
27	13-14	LIU	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.8
28	14-14	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.9
29	14-15	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+1.9
30	14-16	NW	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.3
31	15-16	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.7
32	15-17	LIU	NW×4	Serve err	LIU		+1.8
33	15-18	NW	NW×4	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle	set Lauren Dignan	+2.1
34	15-19	NW	NW×4	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.6
35	15-20	NW	NW×4	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Drew Wright	+1.0
36	16-20	NW	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
37	17-20	LIU	LIU	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Dilara Elmacioglu, Sara Garcia	+1.1
38	17-21	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+1.1
39	18-21	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
40	18-22	LIU	NW	Attack err	Bella Correia		+1.1
41	18-23	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
42	19-23	NW	LIU	Attack err	Gabrielle Gerry		+0.2
43	19-24	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+0.5
44	19-25	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	LIU	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.3
2	1-1	LIU	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
3	2-1	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.0
4	2-2	LIU	NW×4	Serve err	LIU		+0.9
5	2-3	NW	NW×4	Blocked	Sara van Gisteren	blk Kayla Kauffman, Isabella Bullington	+1.2
6	2-4	NW	NW×4	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Lauren Dignan	+1.1
7	2-5	NW	NW×4	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.0
8	3-5	NW	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
9	3-6	LIU	NW	Kill	Kayla Kauffman	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
10	4-6	NW	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
11	4-7	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+0.8
12	5-7	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
13	6-7	LIU	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.2
14	6-8	LIU	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
15	7-8	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.0
16	8-8	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Clara Schramm		+1.5
17	8-9	LIU	NW×4	Blocked	Sara Garcia	blk Maya Stillwell	+1.1
18	8-10	NW	NW×4	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.4
19	8-11	NW	NW×4	Attack err	Sara Garcia		+1.2
20	8-12	NW	NW×4	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+1.0
21	9-12	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
22	9-13	LIU	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
23	10-13	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
24	11-13	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Clara Schramm		+1.2
25	11-14	LIU	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.0
26	12-14	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.9
27	12-15	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+1.0
28	13-15	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.9
29	14-15	LIU	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+1.6
30	14-16	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+1.3
31	14-17	NW	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.5
32	15-17	NW	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.0
33	15-18	LIU	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.1
34	15-19	NW	NW×3	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.2
35	15-20	NW	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
36	16-20	NW	LIU	Attack err	Maya Stillwell		+0.4
37	16-21	LIU	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
38	17-21	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.3
39	17-22	LIU	NW×3	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
40	17-23	NW	NW×3	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
41	17-24	NW	NW×3	Kill	Lily Wagner	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
42	18-24	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	·
43	18-25	LIU	NW	Kill	Lily Wagner	set Ellie Stiernagle	·
Set 3
1	1-0	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
2	1-1	LIU	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
3	1-2	NW	NW	Attack err	Sara Garcia		+0.6
4	2-2	NW	LIU	Blocked	Clara Schramm	blk Sara Garcia, Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.5
5	2-3	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+0.4
6	3-3	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
7	3-4	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+0.5
8	4-4	NW	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
9	4-5	LIU	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
10	5-5	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
11	6-5	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+0.8
12	6-6	LIU	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
13	6-7	NW	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	+0.7
14	7-7	NW	LIU×3	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.5
15	8-7	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
16	9-7	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Maya Stillwell		+0.9
17	9-8	LIU	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	+0.6
18	9-9	NW	NW	Blocked	Sara Garcia	blk Maya Stillwell	+0.8
19	10-9	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.7
20	10-10	LIU	NW	Kill	Lily Wagner	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	+0.6
21	10-11	NW	NW	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.8
22	11-11	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.6
23	11-12	LIU	NW	Kill	Lily Wagner	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	+0.6
24	12-12	NW	LIU	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.6
25	12-13	LIU	NW×5	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.6
26	12-14	NW	NW×5	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
27	12-15	NW	NW×5	Ace	Northwestern		+0.7
28	12-16	NW	NW×5	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
29	12-17	NW	NW×5	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
30	13-17	NW	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
31	13-18	LIU	NW	Serve err	LIU		+0.3
32	13-19	NW	NW	Kill	Drew Wright	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.3
33	14-19	NW	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
34	15-19	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Ellie Stiernagle	blk Bella Correia, Sara Garcia	+0.3
35	16-19	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.4
36	16-20	LIU	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
37	16-21	NW	NW	Ace	Northwestern	aced Sara Garcia	+0.4
38	17-21	NW	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
39	17-22	LIU	NW	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.3
40	18-22	NW	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
41	18-23	LIU	NW×3	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
42	18-24	NW	NW×3	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Cate Schnell	+0.1
43	18-25	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Sara Garcia		·

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northwestern def. LIU 3–0