CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026
Green Bay logo

AwayHORIZON

3:2
Northwestern logo

HomeBIG-TEN

Green Bay def. Northwestern 32

(9-25, 27-29, 25-20, 25-23, 15-12)
Set1234*5Sets
GRNBAY9272525153
NW25292023122
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NW above 50 · GRNBAY below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100NWGRNBAYBiggest swing +25.1% GRNBAY · S5 14-12rally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 25.1% to Green Bay — set 5, GRNBAY 14-12 NW. Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez). NW win probability 41%16%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GRNBAY 12.2%87.8% NW

Green Bay wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.7%

Northwestern wins

3-0
40.9%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.3%
GRNBAY break %
36.7% vs this opp
NW break %
45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Diane PichelmanKill+25.1%

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 14-12 NW · GRNBAY 59%84%

  2. 02
    Cate SchnellAttack error+16.6%

    Cate Schnell stuffed by Kirsten Fish & Kelsey Justman

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 11-10 NW · GRNBAY 35%52%

  3. 03
    Isabella BullingtonAttack error+16.3%

    Attack error by Isabella Bullington

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 13-12 NW · GRNBAY 42%59%

  4. 04
    GRNBAY serverAce+16.1%

    Green Bay ace on Team

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 15-12 NW · GRNBAY 84%100%

  5. 05
    Isabella BullingtonAttack error+13.7%

    Attack error by Isabella Bullington

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 12-11 NW · GRNBAY 41%55%

  6. 06
    Alexa HernandezKill+12.9%

    Kill by Alexa Hernandez (set by Kendall Schara)

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 10-10 NW · GRNBAY 22%35%

  7. 07
    GRNBAY serverService error+12.2%

    Green Bay service error

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 12-12 NW · NW 45%58%

  8. 08
    GRNBAY serverAce+12.1%

    Green Bay ace on Isabella Bullington

    Set 5 · GRNBAY 7-5 NW · GRNBAY 43%55%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514430.3330243006319
513331.3231003006316
58437.108333181132.513.5
59627.11100010052.511.5
5509.5565004900427
1017-.143000000000
510939.0260003000010
50001221310002
50003221600002
5000114710001
5000000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals5929182.16559101973412413101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520249.36700010132.522.5
5508.62547201610007
5318.250000400214
5001.0001111610001
45834-.088112220006
2203.667000301013
50000021320000
50002012400000
49014.64300010111.510.5
4318.25000000052.55.5
38832.0000001012210
3016-.167100310000
3000000000000
1123-.33300000010.51.5
Team totals5623166.1995246841041411109

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 GRNBAY · NW 12

Set 1

9-25

Longest run 4 GRNBAYNW 12

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 5 GRNBAYNW 6

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 GRNBAYNW 5

Set 4*

25-23

Longest run 4 GRNBAYNW 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 3 GRNBAYNW 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = Green Bay leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
46%6/13
2
80%8/10
43%6/14
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
58%7/12
36%4/11
5
50%6/12
63%12/19
6
27%6/22
14%1/7
All
49%43/87
44%33/75

Northwestern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
33%4/12
2
50%7/14
50%8/16
3
54%7/13
30%3/10
4
41%7/17
42%5/12
5
78%7/9
46%6/13
6
50%6/12
75%18/24
All
56%42/75
51%44/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

210 rallies

Rally log

#GRNBAY-NWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NWNW×3Attack errKirsten Fish+1.2
20-2NWNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
30-3NWNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
41-3NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
51-4GRNBAYNWAttack errKelsey Justman+0.6
61-5NWNWAttack errKirsten Fish+0.8
72-5NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
82-6GRNBAYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
92-7NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
103-7NWGRNBAYAttack errIsabella Bullington+0.4
113-8GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.4
123-9NWNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
134-9NWGRNBAY×4Serve errNW server+0.3
145-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
156-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errMara Stiglic+0.8
167-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGRNBAY serveraced Isabella Bullington+1.0
177-10GRNBAYNWKillEllie Stiernagleset Isabella Bullington+0.8
187-11NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
198-11NWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
208-12GRNBAYNW×12KillGabrielle Gerryset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
218-13NWNW×12KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
228-14NWNW×12Attack errGillian Koning+0.5
238-15NWNW×12KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
248-16NWNW×12AceNW serveraced Kennedy Schmitz+0.2
258-17NWNW×12Attack errOlivia Neumannblk Gabrielle Gerry+0.1
268-18NWNW×12Bad setAlexa Hernandez+0.1
278-19NWNW×12Attack errOlivia Neumann+0.0
288-20NWNW×12KillCampbell Parisset Drew Wright+0.0
298-21NWNW×12KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.0
308-22NWNW×12KillGabrielle Gerryset Ellie Stiernagle+0.0
318-23NWNW×12Attack errVictoria Kurilov+0.0
329-23NWGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+0.0
339-24GRNBAYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.0
349-25NWNWAttack errSari Marks+0.0
Set 2
10-1GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
20-2NWNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
31-2NWGRNBAYServe errNW server+0.5
42-2GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
52-3GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
63-3NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
74-3GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
84-4GRNBAYNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
95-4NWGRNBAYAttack errMara Stiglicblk Kirsten Fish, Diane Pichelman+0.8
105-5GRNBAYNWKillEllie Stiernagleset Lily Wagner+0.7
115-6NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.0
126-6NWGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
137-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Lily Wagner+1.2
148-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Drew Wright+1.3
158-7GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.8
169-7NWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
1710-7GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
1810-8GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.9
1911-8NWGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
2012-8GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errIsabella Bullingtonblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.5
2112-9GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.8
2213-9NWGRNBAY×5KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
2314-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
2415-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×5Attack errIsabella Bullington+1.3
2516-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×5AceGRNBAY serveraced Team+1.0
2617-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillKelsey Justmanset Kirsten Fish+0.8
2717-10GRNBAYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
2818-10NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
2919-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
3019-11GRNBAYNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.1
3119-12NWNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
3220-12NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
3320-13GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.2
3420-14NWNWAttack errDiane Pichelman+0.4
3521-14NWGRNBAYAttack errMara Stiglicblk Diane Pichelman, Alexa Hernandez+0.5
3621-15GRNBAYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
3721-16NWNWAttack errDiane Pichelmanblk Mara Stiglic+0.5
3822-16NWGRNBAYAttack errMara Stiglicblk Diane Pichelman, Alexa Hernandez+0.7
3922-17GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.3
4023-17NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
4123-18GRNBAYNW×6KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
4223-19NWNW×6Attack errKayla Birminghamblk Campbell Paris, Hayley Schaaf+0.4
4323-20NWNW×6KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.8
4423-21NWNW×6KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.4
4523-22NWNW×6KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+2.4
4623-23NWNW×6Attack errKirsten Fish+3.5
4724-23NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+3.3
4824-24GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+3.3
4925-24NWGRNBAYAttack errIsabella Bullingtonblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+3.3
5025-25GRNBAYNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+3.3
5125-26NWNWAceNW serveraced Kendall Schara+4.0
5226-26NWGRNBAYAttack errMara Stiglicblk Kirsten Fish, Diane Pichelman+2.7
5326-27GRNBAYNWKillEllie Stiernagleset Lauren Dignan+2.7
5427-27NWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
5527-28GRNBAYNWKillEllie Stiernagleset Lauren Dignan+2.7
5627-29NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.2
Set 3
11-0NWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+0.3
21-1GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.3
31-2NWNWAttack errKelsey Justmanblk Campbell Paris, Kayla Kauffman+0.4
42-2NWGRNBAYServe errNW server+0.3
52-3GRNBAYNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
62-4NWNW×3Attack errKelsey Justman+0.4
72-5NWNW×3KillKayla Kauffmanset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
83-5NWGRNBAY×5KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.2
94-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
105-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×5Attack errKayla Kauffman+0.5
116-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×5Bad setEllie Stiernagle+0.5
127-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
137-6GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.4
148-6NWGRNBAYServe errNW server+0.4
158-7GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.4
169-7NWGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kelsey Justman+0.5
179-8GRNBAYNW×5KillMaya Stillwellset Macy Kline+0.4
189-9NWNW×5Attack errOlivia Neumannblk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell+0.6
199-10NWNW×5Attack errKayla Birmingham+0.5
209-11NWNW×5KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
219-12NWNW×5AceNW serveraced Team+0.4
2210-12NWGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.3
2311-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errCampbell Paris+0.5
2412-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
2512-13GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.4
2613-13NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
2713-14GRNBAYNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
2814-14NWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
2914-15GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
3015-15NWGRNBAYAttack errIsabella Bullingtonblk Kelsey Justman+0.5
3115-16GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.5
3216-16NWGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
3317-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3418-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillAlexa Hernandezset Kelsey Justman+1.0
3519-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errMara Stiglic+1.0
3620-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errKayla Kauffman+0.9
3721-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errMara Stiglicblk Olivia Neumann, Alexa Hernandez+0.7
3821-17GRNBAYNWAttack errKayla Birmingham+0.2
3922-17NWGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
4022-18GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+0.2
4122-19NWNWAttack errKayla Birminghamblk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell+0.5
4223-19NWGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
4324-19GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errMara Stiglicblk Olivia Neumann, Kelsey Justman+0.4
4424-20GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.1
4525-20NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.2
Set 4
10-1GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.1
21-1NWGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
32-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+1.9
43-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
54-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGRNBAY serveraced Gigi Navarrete+2.3
64-2GRNBAYNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+1.4
75-2NWGRNBAYServe errNW server+1.7
85-3GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+1.4
95-4NWNWKillCate Schnellset Ellie Stiernagle+2.1
106-4NWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
117-4GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+2.5
127-5GRNBAYNW×3KillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+1.5
137-6NWNW×3KillEllie Stiernagle+2.2
147-7NWNW×3Attack errDiane Pichelmanblk Maya Stillwell, Cate Schnell+2.1
158-7NWGRNBAY×3KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
169-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Team+2.5
1710-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Bad setEllie Stiernagle+2.7
1810-8GRNBAYNW×4KillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
1910-9NWNW×4KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+2.4
2010-10NWNW×4Attack errKayla Birmingham+2.4
2110-11NWNW×4Attack errKayla Birminghamblk Maya Stillwell, Cate Schnell+2.2
2211-11NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
2311-12GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+1.6
2412-12NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2513-12GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errMaya Stillwell+2.8
2613-13GRNBAYNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8
2713-14NWNW×3Attack errOlivia Neumannblk Hayley Schaaf+2.5
2813-15NWNW×3Attack errKelsey Justman+2.3
2914-15NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
3015-15GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGRNBAY serveraced Gigi Navarrete+2.8
3115-16GRNBAYNWFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.9
3216-16NWGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
3317-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Bad setEllie Stiernagle+3.5
3418-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errLily Wagnerblk Diane Pichelman, Alexa Hernandez+3.9
3518-17GRNBAYNWAttack errDiane Pichelman+2.3
3619-17NWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+3.0
3720-17GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+4.2
3820-18GRNBAYNWKillCate Schnellset Ellie Stiernagle+2.1
3921-18NWGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kelsey Justman+3.2
4021-19GRNBAYNW×3Serve errGRNBAY server+2.1
4121-20NWNW×3Attack errKayla Birminghamblk Campbell Paris, Maya Stillwell+4.0
4221-21NWNW×3Attack errKayla Birminghamblk Campbell Paris+4.8
4322-21NWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+4.2
4422-22GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+3.7
4523-22NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+5.0
4624-22GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errCampbell Parisblk Kelsey Justman, Olivia Neumann+7.6
4724-23GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+2.8
4825-23NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+8.9
Set 5
11-0NWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+6.1
22-0GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errIsabella Bullingtonblk Diane Pichelman, Kirsten Fish+9.4
32-1GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+5.8
43-1NWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+7.1
53-2GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+6.0
64-2NWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+7.4
74-3GRNBAYNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+6.3
84-4NWNW×3KillCate Schnellset Ellie Stiernagle+9.3
94-5NWNW×3KillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+8.8
105-5NWGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+6.5
116-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+10.9
127-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Isabella Bullington+12.1
137-6GRNBAYNW×4Attack errOlivia Neumann+7.2
147-7NWNW×4Attack errOlivia Neumann+11.1
157-8NWNW×4Attack errKayla Birmingham+10.7
167-9NWNW×4AceNW serveraced Kelsey Justman+9.4
178-9NWGRNBAYServe errNW server+6.1
188-10GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+6.9
199-10NWGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+6.4
2010-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Kendall Schara+12.9
2111-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errCate Schnellblk Kirsten Fish, Kelsey Justman+16.6
2211-11GRNBAYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+10.7
2312-11NWGRNBAYAttack errIsabella Bullington+13.7
2412-12GRNBAYNWServe errGRNBAY server+12.2
2513-12NWGRNBAY×3Attack errIsabella Bullington+16.3
2614-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+25.1
2715-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Team+16.1

Score shown after each rally, Green Bay first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.