FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Mich. def. Eastern Mich. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Mich. 81.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Mich. beat visiting Eastern Mich. 3-0 (25-12, 25-11, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Western Mich.'s Annalise Patchett led with 8 kills, and Carley Piercefield added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
E MICH1211170
W MICH2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Eastern Mich. never reached 20 in a set against Western Mich.

Win probability never moved more than 1.7 points on one rally; Eastern Mich. topped out at 19% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Western Mich. 81% before first serve.

Eastern Mich.Western Mich.
  • Break %+34.0 pts
    26.860.8

    Points won on own serve: 45 of 74 vs 11 of 41. Eastern Mich. sided out 39.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.275
    .018.293

    36 K / 7 E against 25 K / 23 E.

  • Longest run+1
    56

    Up 13–10 in the first set, Western Mich. scored 6 straight to make it 19–10. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Western Mich. above 50Eastern Mich. belowMax swing 1.7%

Eastern Mich.Western Mich.

Aces
Eastern Mich. 2·Western Mich. 7
Serve err
Eastern Mich. 7·Western Mich. 6
Blocks
Eastern Mich. 4·Western Mich. 131 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 22 BA
Digs
Eastern Mich. 45·Western Mich. 56

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Mich. above 50 · Eastern Mich. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% E MICHrally 115 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Eastern Mich. — set 1, E MICH 8-9 W MICH. Ace by Lina Govoni on Izzy Swiercz. W MICH win probability 84% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E MICH 12.3%87.7% W MICH

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.7%

Western Mich. wins

3-0
40.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.3%
E MICH break %
38.0% vs this opp
W MICH break %
46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lina GovoniAce+1.7%

    Ace by Lina Govoni on Izzy Swiercz

    Set 1 · E MICH 8-9 W MICH · E MICH 16% → 17%

  2. 02
    Western Mich.Ace+1.6%

    Western Mich. ace on Natalie Slusher

    Set 1 · E MICH 8-11 W MICH · W MICH 84% → 86%

  3. 03

    Kill by Annalise Patchett (set by Carley Piercefield)

    Set 1 · E MICH 0-1 W MICH · W MICH 81% → 83%

  4. 04

    Taeley Mahler stuffed by Annalise Patchett & Gabby Weihe

    Set 1 · E MICH 1-3 W MICH · W MICH 83% → 84%

  5. 05
    Lina GovoniAce+1.4%

    Ace by Lina Govoni on Izzy Swiercz

    Set 1 · E MICH 7-9 W MICH · E MICH 14% → 16%

  6. 06
    Mia JurkovicKill+1.4%

    Kill by Mia Jurkovic (set by Gabby Weihe)

    Set 1 · E MICH 3-6 W MICH · W MICH 84% → 85%

  7. 07
    Lina GovoniService error+1.4%

    Service error by Lina Govoni

    Set 1 · E MICH 8-10 W MICH · W MICH 83% → 84%

  8. 08
    Leah RichmondKill+1.4%

    Kill by Leah Richmond (set by Elana Erickson)

    Set 1 · E MICH 9-13 W MICH · W MICH 86% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35624-.042001310005
34215.13300110010.54.5
34618-.111000210004
33211.091000100214
3105.200142260010.53.5
31413-.23100020111.52.5
31011.0005011410001
3003.000101500000
2013-.333000410000
2000–001110000
16111.455000300006
1014-.25010010010.50.5
1001.000200200000
Team totals2523109.018232745716440
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38226.2311205006313
37116.37520000275.512.5
37116.3751113004210
3609.667232210004210
32220.000212122010.53.5
3000–3111200001
36112.417000100006
3000–3001300000
Team totals36799.29335765622221375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Mich. vs Western Mich.

Season series · Western Mich. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E MICH · W MICH 6

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 4 E MICHW MICH 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 3 E MICHW MICH 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 E MICHW MICH 6

Bars above the line = Western Mich. leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%6/20
0%0/5
2
33%6/18
14%1/7
3
50%5/10
0%0/6
4
36%4/11
29%2/7
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
44%4/9
50%4/8
All
39%29/74
27%11/41

Western Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%6/6
72%13/18
2
86%6/7
67%12/18
3
100%6/6
57%8/14
4
40%4/10
69%9/13
5
50%4/8
33%2/6
6
100%4/4
20%1/5
All
73%30/41
61%45/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

115 rallies

#E MICH-W MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Carley Piercefield+1.5
21-1W MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.3
31-2E MICHW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+1.2
41-3W MICHW MICHBlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe+1.5
52-3W MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+1.2
62-4E MICHW MICHAttack errNatalie Slusher+1.1
73-4W MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.2
83-5E MICHW MICH×4BlockedHaley Troskyblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe+1.2
93-6W MICHW MICH×4KillMia Jurkovicset Gabby Weihe+1.4
103-7W MICHW MICH×4KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.2
113-8W MICHW MICH×4AceWestern Mich.+1.0
124-8W MICHE MICHKillLina Govoniset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.7
134-9E MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.8
145-9W MICHE MICH×4KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.7
156-9E MICHE MICH×4BlockedBri Zimmermanblk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç+1.1
167-9E MICHE MICH×4AceLina Govoniaced Izzy Swiercz+1.4
178-9E MICHE MICH×4AceLina Govoniaced Izzy Swiercz+1.7
188-10E MICHW MICHServe errLina Govoni+1.4
198-11W MICHW MICHAceWestern Mich.aced Natalie Slusher+1.6
209-11W MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Surabhi Srinivasan+1.2
219-12E MICHW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+1.2
229-13W MICHW MICHKillLeah Richmondset Elana Erickson+1.4
2310-13W MICHE MICHServe errWestern Mich.+1.0
2410-14E MICHW MICH×6KillLeah Richmondset Carley Piercefield+1.1
2510-15W MICHW MICH×6Attack errMaddie Herman+1.1
2610-16W MICHW MICH×6KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.8
2710-17W MICHW MICH×6AceWestern Mich.aced Haley Trosky+0.5
2810-18W MICHW MICH×6BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Leah Richmond, Gabby Weihe+0.3
2910-19W MICHW MICH×6KillLeah Richmondset Izzy Swiercz+0.2
3011-19W MICHE MICHAttack errAnnalise Patchett+0.1
3111-20E MICHW MICH×3Serve errEastern Mich.+0.1
3211-21W MICHW MICH×3AceWestern Mich.aced Olivia Beaudrie+0.1
3311-22W MICHW MICH×3Attack errOlivia Beaudrie·
3412-22W MICHE MICHServe errWestern Mich.·
3512-23E MICHW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond·
3612-24W MICHW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond·
3712-25W MICHW MICH×3AceWestern Mich.aced Madelyn Sipe·
Set 2
10-1E MICHW MICH×5BlockedHaley Troskyblk Leah Richmond, Bri Zimmerman+0.9
20-2W MICHW MICH×5KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.1
30-3W MICHW MICH×5KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.0
40-4W MICHW MICH×5BlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Gabby Weihe+0.8
50-5W MICHW MICH×5BlockedHaley Troskyblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe+0.7
61-5W MICHE MICHServe errWestern Mich.+0.5
72-5E MICHE MICHKillSurabhi Srinivasanset Leah Richmond+0.8
82-6E MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.7
92-7W MICHW MICHBlockedAzra Eriçblk Gabby Weihe+0.7
103-7W MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.5
113-8E MICHW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.6
123-9W MICHW MICH×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+0.6
133-10W MICHW MICH×3KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.4
144-10W MICHE MICH×3Attack errAnnalise Patchett+0.3
155-10E MICHE MICH×3BlockedGabby Weiheblk Lina Govoni, Maddie Herman+0.5
166-10E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.7
176-11E MICHW MICHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe+0.6
187-11W MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.5
197-12E MICHW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.6
208-12W MICHE MICHServe errWestern Mich.+0.5
218-13E MICHW MICH×5Serve errEastern Mich.+0.6
228-14W MICHW MICH×5KillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.6
238-15W MICHW MICH×5KillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.4
248-16W MICHW MICH×5KillAnnalise Patchettset Izzy Swiercz+0.3
258-17W MICHW MICH×5AceWestern Mich.+0.2
269-17W MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.1
279-18E MICHW MICHKillLeah Richmondset Bri Zimmerman+0.1
289-19W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Elana Erickson+0.1
2910-19W MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni·
3010-20E MICHW MICH×5KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond·
3110-21W MICHW MICH×5AceWestern Mich.aced Surabhi Srinivasan·
3210-22W MICHW MICH×5BlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe·
3310-23W MICHW MICH×5KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond·
3410-24W MICHW MICH×5Attack errNatalie Slusher·
3511-24W MICHE MICHServe errWestern Mich.·
3611-25E MICHW MICHServe errEastern Mich.·
Set 3
10-1W MICHW MICH×6Attack errNatalie Slusher+0.6
20-2W MICHW MICH×6KillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.5
30-3W MICHW MICH×6KillLeah Richmondset Annalise Patchett+0.5
40-4W MICHW MICH×6Attack errHaley Trosky+0.4
50-5W MICHW MICH×6BlockedAzra Eriçblk Annalise Patchett, Bri Zimmerman+0.4
60-6W MICHW MICH×6BlockedHaley Troskyblk Leah Richmond, Bri Zimmerman+0.3
71-6W MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+0.2
81-7E MICHW MICHServe errEastern Mich.+0.2
92-7W MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.2
102-8E MICHW MICHKillLeah Richmondset Elana Erickson+0.2
113-8W MICHE MICHBlockedIzzy Swierczblk Lily Spark, Maddie Herman+0.2
123-9E MICHW MICHBad setSurabhi Srinivasan+0.2
134-9W MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lily Spark+0.2
144-10E MICHW MICH×3KillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.2
154-11W MICHW MICH×3KillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.2
164-12W MICHW MICH×3Attack errTaeley Mahler+0.2
175-12W MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Julia Johnson+0.1
185-13E MICHW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.1
196-13W MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Julia Johnson+0.1
206-14E MICHW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.1
217-14W MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+0.1
227-15E MICHW MICHAttack errHaley Trosky+0.1
237-16W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Elana Erickson+0.1
248-16W MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni·
258-17E MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.1
268-18W MICHW MICHAttack errLily Spark·
279-18W MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni·
289-19E MICHW MICH×3BlockedMaddie Hermanblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe·
299-20W MICHW MICH×3Bad setJulia Johnson·
309-21W MICHW MICH×3KillMia Jurkovicset Carley Piercefield·
3110-21W MICHE MICH×5Attack errIzzy Swiercz·
3211-21E MICHE MICH×5KillAshleeKay Christensenset Mia Schaefer·
3312-21E MICHE MICH×5KillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan·
3413-21E MICHE MICH×5KillAshleeKay Christensenset Julia Johnson·
3514-21E MICHE MICH×5BlockedMia Jurkovicblk Taeley Mahler·
3614-22E MICHW MICHServe errEastern Mich.·
3715-22W MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan·
3816-22E MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Surabhi Srinivasan·
3916-23E MICHW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.1
4017-23W MICHE MICHServe errWestern Mich.·
4117-24E MICHW MICHServe errEastern Mich.·
4217-25W MICHW MICHBlockedAshleeKay Christensenblk Leah Richmond, Bri Zimmerman·

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).