FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Northwestern def. IU Indy 3–0

Northwestern beat IU Indy 3-0 (25-20, 25-20, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Mara Stiglic led Northwestern with 15 kills; IU Indy's Bailey Sinish had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
NW2525253
IUINDY2020230

Win probability

IU Indy above 50 · Northwestern below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.9% IUINDYrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.9% to IU Indy — set 1, NW 20-19 IUINDY. Kill by Bailey Sinish (set by Lexi Grissett). IUINDY win probability 16% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW 79.6%20.4% IUINDY

Northwestern wins

3-0
31.1%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

IU Indy wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%
NW break %
44.6% vs this opp
IUINDY break %
38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bailey SinishKill+2.9%

    Kill by Bailey Sinish (set by Lexi Grissett)

    Set 1 · NW 20-19 IUINDY · IUINDY 16% → 19%

  2. 02
    Mara StiglicKill+2.8%

    Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 1 · NW 18-16 IUINDY · NW 80% → 83%

  3. 03
    IU IndyAce+2.8%

    IU Indy ace on Isabella Bullington

    Set 1 · NW 15-15 IUINDY · IUINDY 19% → 22%

  4. 04
    Mara StiglicKill+2.7%

    Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 1 · NW 22-19 IUINDY · NW 84% → 87%

  5. 05
    Mara StiglicKill+2.5%

    Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 1 · NW 21-19 IUINDY · NW 81% → 84%

  6. 06
    Mara StiglicKill+2.3%

    Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 1 · NW 19-16 IUINDY · NW 83% → 85%

  7. 07
    Isabella BullingtonAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Isabella Bullington

    Set 1 · NW 14-13 IUINDY · IUINDY 17% → 19%

  8. 08
    Mara StiglicKill+2.2%

    Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 1 · NW 17-16 IUINDY · NW 78% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315331.38710020031.516.5
314123.5650017210115
313429.3100001000013
3307.429000100214
3105.2003800500001
3000–1001020000
3129-.11100001010.51.5
3000–000400000
3000–402800000
3000–2001810000
1015-.200000000000
Team totals4711109.330460356616475
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316636.2782027000016
311729.13812290010.513.5
37116.37500010031.58.5
32110.1003121700004
3002.000000700000
2028-.250000200000
35421.04801010010.56.5
31011.0003101300002
3003.00000000010.50.5
3000–200000000
2114.000000000001
Team totals4322130.162396547006363

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NW · IUINDY 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 NWIUINDY 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 NWIUINDY 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 7 NWIUINDY 5

Bars above the line = IU Indy leads, below = Northwestern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
70%7/10
2
57%4/7
67%8/12
3
80%4/5
43%3/7
4
50%4/8
43%3/7
5
80%4/5
0%0/4
6
33%4/12
50%4/8
All
56%25/45
52%25/48

IU Indy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%4/12
38%3/8
2
57%4/7
43%3/7
3
57%4/7
20%1/5
4
100%4/4
50%4/8
5
50%4/8
20%1/5
6
30%3/10
67%8/12
All
48%23/48
44%20/45

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#NW-IUINDYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0IUINDYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.2
21-1NWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.3
32-1IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Lauren Dignan+1.2
43-1NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Gigi Navarrete+1.6
53-2NWIUINDYServe errNorthwestern+1.2
64-2IUINDYNW×4KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.2
75-2NWNW×4Attack errElle Patterson+1.5
86-2NWNW×4Attack errElle Patterson+1.3
97-2NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.1
107-3NWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Laura Roeder+0.7
117-4IUINDYIUINDYAttack errHayley Schaaf+1.2
128-4IUINDYNWAttack errElle Patterson+0.9
138-5NWIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Bailey Sinish+0.9
149-5IUINDYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
1510-5NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.1
1610-6NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.7
1710-7IUINDYIUINDYBlockedMara Stiglicblk Kate White, Chloe Macias+1.2
1811-7IUINDYNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.0
1911-8NWIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.9
2011-9IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Lauren Dignan+1.6
2112-9IUINDYNWKillCampbell Parisset Lauren Dignan+1.2
2213-9NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Mara Stiglic+1.5
2313-10NWIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.9
2413-11IUINDYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Laura Roeder+1.7
2514-11IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.3
2614-12NWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+1.3
2714-13IUINDYIUINDYAttack errIsabella Bullington+2.2
2815-13IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Gigi Navarrete+1.7
2915-14NWIUINDYKillLaura Roederset Grace Purichia+1.7
3015-15IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Isabella Bullington+2.8
3116-15IUINDYNWKillEllie Stiernagleset Ellie Stiernagle+2.0
3216-16NWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.2
3317-16IUINDYNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.2
3418-16NWNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.8
3519-16NWNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.3
3620-16NWNW×4Attack errAmanda Stephens+1.7
3720-17NWIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.9
3820-18IUINDYIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Lexi Grissett+1.9
3920-19IUINDYIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Lexi Grissett+2.9
4021-19IUINDYNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.5
4122-19NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.7
4223-19NWNW×3Attack errJillian Tippmann+1.6
4323-20NWIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Bailey Sinish+0.5
4424-20IUINDYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle*+1.0
4525-20NWNWBlockedJillian Tippmannblk Isabella Bullington+0.4
Set 2
11-0NWNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.3
22-0NWNWKillCampbell Parisset Gigi Navarrete+1.2
32-1NWIUINDY×3Attack errCampbell Paris+0.9
42-2IUINDYIUINDY×3KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.4
52-3IUINDYIUINDY×3KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.5
63-3IUINDYNWServe errIU Indy+1.0
73-4NWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.1
84-4IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.0
94-5NWIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.2
105-5IUINDYNWServe errIU Indy+1.1
116-5NWNWAttack errJillian Tippmann+1.5
126-6NWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+1.1
137-6IUINDYNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.1
147-7NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.1
158-7IUINDYNWBlockedBailey Sinishblk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell+1.1
168-8NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+1.2
179-8IUINDYNW×3Attack errLila Britt+1.1
1810-8NWNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.5
1911-8NWNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.3
2011-9NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.9
2112-9IUINDYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
2212-10NWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.9
2313-10IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.0
2413-11NWIUINDYServe errNorthwestern+0.9
2514-11IUINDYNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Gigi Navarrete+1.0
2615-11NWNW×3BlockedElle Pattersonblk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell+1.2
2716-11NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
2816-12NWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+0.5
2917-12IUINDYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
3017-13NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.5
3118-13IUINDYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
3218-14NWIUINDYAttack errCampbell Paris+0.5
3319-14IUINDYNWServe errIU Indy+0.6
3419-15NWIUINDYServe errNorthwestern+0.4
3520-15IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
3620-16NWIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+0.4
3720-17IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Isabella Bullington+0.9
3821-17IUINDYNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
3922-17NWNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
4023-17NWNW×4BlockedBailey Sinishblk Hayley Schaaf, Mara Stiglic+0.3
4124-17NWNW×4KillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.1
4224-18NWIUINDY×3KillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia·
4324-19IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errMara Stiglic·
4424-20IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedHayley Schaafblk Elle Patterson, Chloe Macias+0.1
Set 3
10-1IUINDYIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.8
21-1IUINDYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
31-2NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.6
41-3IUINDYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.8
52-3IUINDYNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
63-3NWNW×3Attack errJillian Tippmann+0.8
74-3NWNW×3Attack errBailey Sinish+0.7
84-4NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Jillian Tippmann+0.6
95-4IUINDYNWServe errIU Indy+0.5
105-5NWIUINDY×3KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.6
115-6IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedMara Stiglicblk Jillian Tippmann, Chloe Macias+0.9
125-7IUINDYIUINDY×3KillChloe Maciasset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
136-7IUINDYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
146-8NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.7
156-9IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Drew Wright+1.0
167-9IUINDYNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
177-10NWIUINDY×5KillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+0.7
187-11IUINDYIUINDY×5AceIU Indyaced Drew Wright+1.0
197-12IUINDYIUINDY×5KillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.0
207-13IUINDYIUINDY×5KillBailey Sinish+0.8
217-14IUINDYIUINDY×5KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.7
228-14IUINDYNW×6KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
239-14NWNW×6KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
2410-14NWNW×6Attack errChloe Macias+0.7
2511-14NWNW×6Attack errBailey Sinish+0.9
2612-14NWNW×6Attack errGrace Purichia+1.0
2713-14NWNW×6KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.1
2813-15NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.9
2913-16IUINDYIUINDYAttack errCampbell Paris+1.3
3014-16IUINDYNW×7KillIsabella Bullingtonset Drew Wright+0.7
3115-16NWNW×7Attack errJillian Tippmann+1.2
3216-16NWNW×7Attack errBailey Sinish+1.3
3317-16NWNW×7Attack errJillian Tippmann+1.3
3418-16NWNW×7Attack errBailey Sinish+1.1
3519-16NWNW×7Attack errAmanda Stephens+0.9
3620-16NWNW×7Attack errBailey Sinish+0.7
3720-17NWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.3
3820-18IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Hayley Schaaf+0.8
3921-18IUINDYNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
4021-19NWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.5
4122-19IUINDYNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
4222-20NWIUINDYAttack errCampbell Paris+0.5
4323-20IUINDYNWAttack errJillian Tippmann+0.8
4423-21NWIUINDYAttack errLily Wagner+0.4
4524-21IUINDYNWServe errIU Indy+0.8
4624-22NWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+0.3
4724-23IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.1
4825-23IUINDYNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).