Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kent St. def. Western Mich. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Mich. 84.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kent St. beat visiting Western Mich. 3-2 (25-15, 23-25, 25-17, 20-25, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Vanessa Imoh and Macie Moreland led Kent St. with 14 kills each, and Catie Patterson added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set12345Sets
W MICH15251725132
KENT25232520153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Catie Patterson served 4 aces, and Kent St. needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Kent St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Western Mich. was RallyIQ's 85% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Western Mich. 5–8 Kent St.

    4 straight Western Mich. points turned a 5–8 deficit into a 9–8 lead. The match swung to Western Mich.

    Kent St. 68% → 27%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Western Mich. 10–9 Kent St.

    3 straight Kent St. points turned a 9–10 deficit into a 12–10 lead. The match swung to Kent St.

    Kent St. 27% → 71%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Western Mich. 12–12 Kent St.

    Kent St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–13 and win the match 3–2.

    Kent St. 43% → >99%

Kent St. above 50Western Mich. belowMax swing 34.0%

Western Mich.Kent St.

Sideout %
Western Mich. 57.0·Kent St. 64.6
Break %
Western Mich. 35.4·Kent St. 43.0
Hitting
Western Mich. .172·Kent St. .250
Longest run
Western Mich. 4·Kent St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kent St. above 50 · Western Mich. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+34.0% KENTrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 34.0% to Kent St. — set 5, W MICH 13-15 KENT. Attack error by Gabby Weihe. KENT win probability 66% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W MICH 82.5%17.5% KENT

Western Mich. wins

3-0
34.2%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.5%

Kent St. wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.0%
W MICH break %
45.6% vs this opp
KENT break %
38.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gabby WeiheAttack error+34.0%

    Attack error by Gabby Weihe

    Set 5 · W MICH 13-15 KENT · KENT 66% → 100%

  2. 02
    Macie MorelandKill+21.1%

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Kylee Baranski)

    Set 5 · W MICH 13-14 KENT · KENT 45% → 66%

  3. 03

    Annalise Patchett stuffed by Vanessa Imoh & Nadia Miller

    Set 5 · W MICH 10-12 KENT · KENT 53% → 71%

  4. 04
    Bri ZimmermanAce+17.7%

    Ace by Bri Zimmerman on Macie Moreland

    Set 5 · W MICH 12-12 KENT · W MICH 39% → 57%

  5. 05
    Nadia MillerKill+16.7%

    Kill by Nadia Miller (set by Kylee Baranski)

    Set 5 · W MICH 12-13 KENT · KENT 43% → 60%

  6. 06
    Vanessa ImohBlock+16.3%

    Annalise Patchett stuffed by Vanessa Imoh

    Set 5 · W MICH 10-11 KENT · KENT 37% → 53%

  7. 07
    Gabby WeiheKill+15.1%

    Kill by Gabby Weihe (set by Leah Richmond)

    Set 5 · W MICH 13-13 KENT · W MICH 40% → 55%

  8. 08
    Cassidy PratleyKill+11.8%

    Kill by Cassidy Pratley (set by Leah Richmond)

    Set 5 · W MICH 8-8 KENT · W MICH 49% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520657.24612113002123
5201050.200001151010.520.5
512730.1670001002113
55219.15803270010.58.5
52315-.0670312120005
50212-.1676221140010.52.5
56314.214000500006
5000–5001930000
2417.42900000010.54.5
2000–000000000
Team totals6934204.17268106951008495
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
511125.40002110275.518.5
514234.35300030153.517.5
514149.26520044111.515.5
511448.146100170052.513.5
55318.11100000052.57.5
5002.0004520160010.52.5
5000–5422330004
5000–220710002
5000–000000000
5000–0011620000
Team totals5511176.25055104871042416108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 W MICH · KENT 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 W MICHKENT 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 W MICHKENT 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 W MICHKENT 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 W MICHKENT 5

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 4 W MICHKENT 3

Bars above the line = Kent St. leads, below = Western Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%13/21
45%10/22
2
55%12/22
37%7/19
3
50%9/18
21%3/14
4
60%9/15
18%2/11
5
50%9/18
31%4/13
6
69%9/13
47%8/17
All
57%61/107
35%34/96

Kent St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%13/22
23%3/13
2
60%12/20
46%11/24
3
77%10/13
48%10/21
4
82%9/11
50%9/18
5
64%9/14
36%5/14
6
56%9/16
47%8/17
All
65%62/96
43%46/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#W MICH-KENTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.6
21-1KENTW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+1.1
31-2W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.2
41-3KENTKENTBlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Kylee Baranski, Nadia Miller+1.8
52-3KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.2
62-4W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+1.4
72-5KENTKENTBlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller+1.9
83-5KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.2
93-6W MICHKENTBad setLeah Richmond+1.5
103-7KENTKENTAttack errElana Erickson+2.1
114-7KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+1.3
124-8W MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+1.6
135-8KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+1.3
146-8W MICHW MICHAceWestern Mich.aced Hailey Brenner+1.9
156-9W MICHKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.6
166-10KENTKENT×3Attack errBri Zimmerman+2.2
176-11KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+2.1
187-11KENTW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+1.2
198-11W MICHW MICHAceWestern Mich.aced Macie Moreland+1.9
208-12W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Catie Patterson+1.7
219-12KENTW MICHServe errCatie Patterson+1.4
229-13W MICHKENTServe errBri Zimmerman+1.8
2310-13KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.4
2410-14W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Catie Patterson+1.8
2510-15KENTKENTBlockedGabby Weiheblk Nadia Miller+2.3
2611-15KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.2
2711-16W MICHKENT×3Attack errMia Jurkovic+1.7
2811-17KENTKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.9
2911-18KENTKENT×3AceKent St.+1.5
3012-18KENTW MICHAttack errMercedez Brown+0.6
3112-19W MICHKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Catie Patterson+1.0
3212-20KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+0.9
3312-21KENTKENT×3Attack errElana Erickson+0.5
3413-21KENTW MICHAttack errMercedez Brown+0.1
3514-21W MICHW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.3
3614-22W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+0.4
3714-23KENTKENTBlockedMia Jurkovicblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+0.2
3815-23KENTW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond·
3915-24W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+0.1
4015-25KENTKENTAceKent St.aced Elana Erickson·
Set 2
11-0W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.3
21-1W MICHKENTAttack errGabby Weihe+1.8
32-1KENTW MICH×4KillAnnalise Patchettset Carley Piercefield+1.7
43-1W MICHW MICH×4KillAnnalise Patchettset Carley Piercefield+2.2
54-1W MICHW MICH×4Attack errVanessa Imoh+1.9
65-1W MICHW MICH×4KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.6
75-2W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.2
86-2KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Carley Piercefield+1.2
96-3W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Macie Moreland+1.2
106-4KENTKENTBlockedIzzy Swierczblk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller+2.0
117-4KENTW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+1.5
127-5W MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.5
137-6KENTKENTKillMercedez Brownset Hailey Brenner+2.5
148-6KENTW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+1.8
158-7W MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.9
169-7KENTW MICH×4KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+1.9
1710-7W MICHW MICH×4AceElana Ericksonaced Catie Patterson+2.3
1811-7W MICHW MICH×4Attack errAdalynn Ginley+1.9
1912-7W MICHW MICH×4BlockedAdalynn Ginleyblk Annalise Patchett, Bri Zimmerman+1.5
2012-8W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+0.9
2112-9KENTKENTBlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Adalynn Ginley, Vanessa Imoh+1.7
2213-9KENTW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+1.4
2314-9W MICHW MICH×3AceBri Zimmermanaced Catie Patterson+1.5
2415-9W MICHW MICH×3KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.1
2515-10W MICHKENT×4BlockedGabby Weiheblk Adalynn Ginley, Macie Moreland+0.6
2615-11KENTKENT×4BlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Vanessa Imoh, Nadia Miller+1.2
2715-12KENTKENT×4AceCatie Patterson+1.8
2815-13KENTKENT×4Attack errIzzy Swiercz+2.5
2916-13KENTW MICHServe errCatie Patterson+2.0
3016-14W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+1.9
3116-15KENTKENTAttack errGabby Weihe+3.4
3217-15KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.7
3317-16W MICHKENTAttack errMia Jurkovic+2.6
3418-16KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+2.8
3518-17W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.8
3619-17KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+3.0
3719-18W MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+2.9
3819-19KENTKENTAceKylee Baranskiaced Annalise Patchett+5.2
3920-19KENTW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+4.0
4020-20W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+4.3
4121-20KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+4.5
4221-21W MICHKENTAttack errAnnalise Patchett+4.7
4322-21KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+5.1
4423-21W MICHW MICHAceLeah Richmondaced Catie Patterson+6.2
4523-22W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+3.3
4623-23KENTKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+8.2
4724-23KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+7.7
4825-23W MICHW MICHBlockedMacie Morelandblk Gabby Weihe, Izzy Swiercz+9.0
Set 3
11-0KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.6
21-1W MICHKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.8
31-2KENTKENT×3AceCatie Patterson+2.7
41-3KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+2.9
52-3KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.9
62-4W MICHKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Mercedez Brown+2.3
72-5KENTKENT×3BlockedLeah Richmondblk Macie Moreland+3.2
82-6KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+3.3
93-6KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.0
104-6W MICHW MICHAceLeah Richmondaced Maggie Kachmarik+2.9
114-7W MICHKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+2.5
124-8KENTKENT×3AceHailey Brenneraced Carley Piercefield+3.5
134-9KENTKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+3.4
145-9KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+2.0
155-10W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.6
166-10KENTW MICHBlockedMercedez Brownblk Gabby Weihe, Izzy Swiercz+2.0
176-11W MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+2.6
187-11KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+2.0
197-12W MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Catie Patterson+2.7
208-12KENTW MICHKillElana Ericksonset Leah Richmond+2.0
218-13W MICHKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+2.7
228-14KENTKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Macie Moreland+3.2
238-15KENTKENT×3Attack errAnnalise Patchett+2.7
249-15KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.3
259-16W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.0
269-17KENTKENTAttack errLeah Richmond+1.9
2710-17KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.8
2810-18W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.3
2911-18KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.7
3012-18W MICHW MICHBad setNadia Miller+1.4
3112-19W MICHKENT×3BlockedGabby Weiheblk Nadia Miller+1.7
3212-20KENTKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.4
3312-21KENTKENT×3AceNadia Miller+0.8
3413-21KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.2
3513-22W MICHKENTBad setLeah Richmond+0.4
3614-22KENTW MICHKillBri Zimmermanset Leah Richmond+0.1
3714-23W MICHKENTBlockedElana Ericksonblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+0.3
3815-23KENTW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+0.1
3915-24W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+0.1
4016-24KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond·
4117-24W MICHW MICHAceBri Zimmermanaced Macie Moreland+0.1
4217-25W MICHKENTServe errBri Zimmerman+0.1
Set 4
11-0W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+3.6
21-1W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+2.8
32-1KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.6
42-2W MICHKENT×3Serve errLeah Richmond+2.9
52-3KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+4.3
62-4KENTKENT×3Attack errAnnalise Patchett+4.8
73-4KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+3.2
84-4W MICHW MICHAttack errNadia Miller+4.3
94-5W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+3.4
105-5KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+3.1
116-5W MICHW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Carley Piercefield+4.1
126-6W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+3.2
137-6KENTW MICH×4KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+3.0
148-6W MICHW MICH×4Attack errAdalynn Ginley+3.9
159-6W MICHW MICH×4AceIzzy Swierczaced Maggie Kachmarik+3.4
1610-6W MICHW MICH×4KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+2.8
1710-7W MICHKENT×5KillMercedez Brownset Hailey Brenner+1.9
1810-8KENTKENT×5AceKylee Baranskiaced Carley Piercefield+3.3
1910-9KENTKENT×5Attack errBri Zimmerman+4.1
2010-10KENTKENT×5Attack errIzzy Swiercz+4.9
2110-11KENTKENT×5KillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+5.7
2211-11KENTW MICHKillElana Ericksonset Leah Richmond+3.9
2311-12W MICHKENTServe errElana Erickson+4.4
2412-12KENTW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+4.1
2513-12W MICHW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+5.4
2614-12W MICHW MICH×3Attack errVanessa Imoh+4.9
2714-13W MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+3.6
2814-14KENTKENTAceCatie Pattersonaced Elana Erickson+5.9
2915-14KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+4.3
3016-14W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+5.4
3116-15W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+3.9
3217-15KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+4.1
3317-16W MICHKENTServe errAnnalise Patchett+4.0
3418-16KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+4.3
3518-17W MICHKENTBlockedIzzy Swierczblk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller+4.2
3619-17KENTW MICHServe errNadia Miller+4.6
3719-18W MICHKENTServe errIzzy Swiercz+4.4
3820-18KENTW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+5.0
3920-19W MICHKENTAttack errCassidy Pratley+4.7
4021-19KENTW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Izzy Swiercz+5.4
4122-19W MICHW MICH×3KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+5.7
4223-19W MICHW MICH×3KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+3.4
4323-20W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.2
4424-20KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.1
4525-20W MICHW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Carley Piercefield+0.3
Set 5
11-0W MICHW MICHAceElana Ericksonaced Macie Moreland+7.4
21-1W MICHKENTBad setLeah Richmond+5.7
32-1KENTW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+5.5
42-2W MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Catie Patterson+6.0
52-3KENTKENTAttack errIzzy Swiercz+9.2
63-3KENTW MICHServe errMaggie Kachmarik+6.3
73-4W MICHKENT×3Attack errGabby Weihe+7.2
83-5KENTKENT×3BlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller+10.6
93-6KENTKENT×3AceHailey Brenneraced Carley Piercefield+10.9
104-6KENTW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+6.4
114-7W MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+8.5
125-7KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+6.6
135-8W MICHKENTBlockedIzzy Swierczblk Adalynn Ginley, Mercedez Brown+9.0
146-8KENTW MICH×4KillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+6.8
157-8W MICHW MICH×4KillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+11.0
168-8W MICHW MICH×4KillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+11.8
179-8W MICHW MICH×4BlockedMercedez Brownblk Leah Richmond, Cassidy Pratley+11.6
189-9W MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+8.9
1910-9KENTW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+9.1
2010-10W MICHKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+9.7
2110-11KENTKENT×3BlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Vanessa Imoh+16.3
2210-12KENTKENT×3BlockedAnnalise Patchettblk Vanessa Imoh, Nadia Miller+17.8
2311-12KENTW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+9.8
2412-12W MICHW MICHAceBri Zimmermanaced Macie Moreland+17.7
2512-13W MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+16.7
2613-13KENTW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+15.1
2713-14W MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+21.1
2813-15KENTKENTAttack errGabby Weihe+34.0

Score shown after each rally, Western Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).