Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on FloSports

Hofstra def. William & Mary 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Hofstra 83.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Hofstra won at William & Mary 3-1 (13-25, 25-23, 25-20, 28-26) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Hofstra's Beatriz Braga led with 18 kills, and Lauren Konzen added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set1234Sets
HOFSTR132525283
WM&MRY252320261

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Hofstra trailed 6–10 in the fourth and still took the set, then the match.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Hofstra's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Hofstra at 83%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Hofstra 19–19 William & Mary

    From 19–19, Hofstra scored 4 straight to lead 23–19.

    Hofstra 73% → 89%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Hofstra 25–25 William & Mary

    Hofstra won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 28–26 and win the match 3–1.

    Hofstra 85% → >99%

William & Mary above 50Hofstra belowMax swing 9.4%

HofstraWilliam & Mary

Sideout %
Hofstra 54.7·William & Mary 56.7
Break %
Hofstra 43.3·William & Mary 45.3
Hitting
Hofstra .151·William & Mary .213
Longest run
Hofstra 5·William & Mary 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

William & Mary above 50 · Hofstra below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.4% WM&MRYrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.4% to William & Mary — set 4, HOFSTR 24-25 WM&MRY. Ace by Cate Hatfield on Melis Başaran. WM&MRY win probability 13% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOFSTR 78.2%21.8% WM&MRY

Hofstra wins

3-0
29.9%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
18.7%

William & Mary wins

3-0
3.6%
3-1
7.3%
3-2
10.8%
HOFSTR break %
47.2% vs this opp
WM&MRY break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Cate Hatfield on Melis Başaran

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 24-25 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 13% → 23%

  2. 02
    Devereaux HoxsieAttack error+8.2%

    Attack error by Devereaux Hoxsie

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 27-26 WM&MRY · HOFSTR 85% → 93%

  3. 03
    Cate HatfieldService error+7.5%

    Service error by Cate Hatfield

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 25-25 WM&MRY · HOFSTR 77% → 85%

  4. 04
    Teagan PociusKill+7.5%

    Kill by Teagan Pocius (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 25-26 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 15% → 23%

  5. 05
    Devereaux HoxsieAttack error+7.5%

    Attack error by Devereaux Hoxsie

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 26-26 WM&MRY · HOFSTR 77% → 85%

  6. 06

    Kill by Constanza Perez Sain (set by Ellie Pamatat)

    Set 2 · HOFSTR 25-23 WM&MRY · HOFSTR 70% → 77%

  7. 07
    Beatriz BragaKill+7.0%

    Kill by Beatriz Braga (set by Sonja Rundcrantz)

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 28-26 WM&MRY · HOFSTR 93% → 100%

  8. 08
    Ava CrabtreeBad set+6.3%

    Bad set by Ava Crabtree

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 24-23 WM&MRY · HOFSTR 87% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418442.33320290031.519.5
48623.0870003014311
410833.0611016200010
42311-.091012200636
4000–2320700002
2012-.500100000211
47522.09100020010.57.5
4000–3121610001
4000–2110500001
37110.600000000007
2000–000110000
1023-.667000000000
Team totals5230146.1515157514116991
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411433.21201260010.512.5
47322.1820000042512
410423.26100031010.510.5
49724.0832013202110
4000–210800001
4000–23121400001
48424.16700020010.58.5
46014.42900010132.58.5
41011.0001511600002
4000–5001100000
4000–001200000
2000–000010000
Team totals5222141.21347475655101094

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Hofstra vs William & Mary

Season series · Hofstra leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 HOFSTR · WM&MRY 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 4 HOFSTRWM&MRY 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 HOFSTRWM&MRY 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 HOFSTRWM&MRY 4

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 5 HOFSTRWM&MRY 4

Bars above the line = William & Mary leads, below = Hofstra leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Hofstra

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
53%10/19
2
53%10/19
38%6/16
3
82%9/11
31%4/13
4
50%8/16
40%6/15
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
37%7/19
53%8/15
All
55%52/95
43%39/90

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
55%11/20
2
71%10/14
41%7/17
3
69%9/13
29%4/14
4
53%8/15
38%5/13
5
58%7/12
50%8/16
6
35%7/20
53%8/15
All
57%51/90
45%43/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#HOFSTR-WM&MRYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+1.6
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+1.8
30-3WM&MRYWM&MRY×4AceAva Crabtreeaced Lauren Konzen+1.9
40-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errBeatriz Braga+1.9
51-4WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.3
61-5HOFSTRWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.6
71-6WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillOlivia Westfortset Ellie Pamatat+2.0
81-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×4BlockedMelis Başaranblk Olivia Westfort, Katherine Arnason+1.9
91-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillKatherine Arnasonset Ava Crabtree+1.7
102-8WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
112-9HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+1.4
123-9WM&MRYHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
133-10HOFSTRWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.4
143-11WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errGeovanna Gonçalves Rocha+1.5
154-11WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errKatherine Arnason+0.8
164-12HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.2
174-13WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errBeatriz Braga+1.2
185-13WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Melis Başaran+0.6
195-14HOFSTRWM&MRY×5KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.9
205-15WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Bad setSonja Rundcrantz+0.8
215-16WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+0.6
225-17WM&MRYWM&MRY×5BlockedMelis Başaranblk Olivia Westfort+0.4
235-18WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillSophia Van Nameset Avery Horejsi+0.2
246-18WM&MRYHOFSTR×4Attack errAudrey Brcka+0.1
257-18HOFSTRHOFSTR×4AceHofstraaced Katherine Arnason+0.1
268-18HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Attack errSophia Van Name+0.2
279-18HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Bad setSophia Van Name+0.3
289-19HOFSTRWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+0.4
2910-19WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+0.2
3010-20HOFSTRWM&MRYServe errHofstra+0.3
3110-21WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+0.2
3211-21WM&MRYHOFSTRBlockedOlivia Westfortblk Constanza Perez Sain, Julia Amorim+0.1
3312-21HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errKatherine Arnason+0.1
3412-22HOFSTRWM&MRYBlockedConstanza Perez Sainblk Devereaux Hoxsie, Olivia Westfort+0.2
3513-22WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+0.1
3613-23HOFSTRWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.1
3713-24WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errDawn Pena·
3813-25WM&MRYWM&MRY×3BlockedDawn Penablk Sophia Van Name, Teagan Pocius·
Set 2
11-0HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errKatherine Arnason+2.3
22-0HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errOlivia Westfort+2.1
32-1HOFSTRWM&MRYBlockedJulia Amorimblk Olivia Westfort+1.7
42-2WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Ava Crabtree+2.5
53-2WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.9
63-3HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+2.0
74-3WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.9
85-3HOFSTRHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha+2.3
95-4HOFSTRWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.9
106-4WM&MRYHOFSTR×4KillConstanza Perez Sainset Lauren Konzen+1.8
117-4HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedDevereaux Hoxsieblk Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha, Maria Afonso+2.1
128-4HOFSTRHOFSTR×4AceHofstraaced Devereaux Hoxsie+1.8
139-4HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Bad setCate Hatfield+1.5
149-5HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Katherine Arnason+1.1
1510-5WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errTulasi Nalluri+1.2
1610-6HOFSTRWM&MRYBlockedMaria Afonsoblk Audrey Brcka, Teagan Pocius+1.1
1711-6WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errShylah Swope+1.2
1811-7HOFSTRWM&MRYAttack errBeatriz Braga+1.1
1912-7WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.2
2012-8HOFSTRWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.1
2113-8WM&MRYHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.2
2214-8HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.2
2315-8HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillMelis Başaranset Lauren Konzen+0.8
2415-9HOFSTRWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+0.5
2516-9WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+0.6
2616-10HOFSTRWM&MRYServe errHofstra+0.5
2717-10WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+0.6
2817-11HOFSTRWM&MRY×4Attack errMaria Afonso+0.4
2917-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errMelis Başaran+0.9
3017-13WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errMaria Afonso+1.3
3117-14WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.9
3218-14WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.8
3319-14HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedSophia Van Nameblk Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha, Beatriz Braga+1.7
3419-15HOFSTRWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.9
3519-16WM&MRYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.9
3620-16WM&MRYHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Lauren Konzen+1.9
3721-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errSophia Van Name+1.6
3822-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.8
3922-17HOFSTRWM&MRY×4KillSophia Van Nameset Avery Horejsi+0.3
4022-18WM&MRYWM&MRY×4BlockedJulia Amorimblk Olivia Westfort+0.8
4122-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brcka+1.5
4222-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+2.7
4323-20WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.1
4423-21HOFSTRWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.9
4524-21WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+3.1
4624-22HOFSTRWM&MRYServe errHofstra+1.3
4724-23WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+4.2
4825-23WM&MRYHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+7.0
Set 3
10-1WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errJulia Amorim+2.6
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+2.8
31-2WM&MRYHOFSTRAttack errOlivia Westfort+2.0
42-2HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errKatherine Arnason+2.6
52-3HOFSTRWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.2
63-3WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errAudrey Brcka+2.0
73-4HOFSTRWM&MRYServe errHofstra+2.3
84-4WM&MRYHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Ellie Pamatat+2.1
94-5HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.3
105-5WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Beatriz Braga+2.1
116-5HOFSTRHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.6
126-6HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.2
136-7WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedValentina Lopez Moyablk Teagan Pocius+3.1
147-7WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.3
158-7HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.8
168-8HOFSTRWM&MRY×4Serve errHofstra+2.3
178-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.3
188-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4BlockedMelis Başaranblk Olivia Westfort+3.6
198-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+3.8
209-11WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errShylah Swope+2.5
2110-11HOFSTRHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+3.4
2210-12HOFSTRWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+3.1
2311-12WM&MRYHOFSTRBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Constanza Perez Sain, Julia Amorim+2.7
2412-12HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedAudrey Brckablk Julia Amorim, Constanza Perez Sain+3.6
2512-13HOFSTRWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+3.1
2612-14WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+4.3
2713-14WM&MRYHOFSTRAttack errDevereaux Hoxsie+3.0
2813-15HOFSTRWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+3.6
2914-15WM&MRYHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Ellie Pamatat+3.1
3015-15HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errMelis Başaran+4.1
3115-16HOFSTRWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+3.6
3216-16WM&MRYHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.4
3317-16HOFSTRHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+4.3
3417-17HOFSTRWM&MRYKillCate Hatfield+3.5
3517-18WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errMaria Afonso+5.2
3618-18WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.8
3719-18HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errAudrey Brcka+5.0
3819-19HOFSTRWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+4.1
3920-19WM&MRYHOFSTR×4KillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+4.2
4021-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×4AceHofstraaced Regan Hill+4.9
4122-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedSophia Van Nameblk Julia Amorim, Beatriz Braga+3.7
4223-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Attack errAudrey Brcka+2.3
4323-20HOFSTRWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+0.9
4424-20WM&MRYHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.6
4525-20HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Constanza Perez Sain, Julia Amorim+0.6
Set 4
10-1HOFSTRWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.6
21-1WM&MRYHOFSTRBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Constanza Perez Sain+1.5
31-2HOFSTRWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.7
42-2WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errAudrey Brcka+1.5
52-3HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+1.7
62-4WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedMelis Başaranblk Katherine Arnason, Teagan Pocius+2.3
73-4WM&MRYHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Ellie Pamatat+1.7
84-4HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.1
94-5HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.8
104-6WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errMelis Başaran+2.5
115-6WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.7
125-7HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Katherine Arnason+2.0
136-7WM&MRYHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.8
146-8HOFSTRWM&MRY×3Serve errHofstra+2.1
156-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errMaria Afonso+2.8
166-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceShylah Swopeaced Nil Kayaalp+2.8
177-10WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.8
188-10HOFSTRHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+2.5
198-11HOFSTRWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+2.3
209-11WM&MRYHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+2.0
219-12HOFSTRWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+2.4
2210-12WM&MRYHOFSTR×3KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+2.0
2311-12HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+2.8
2412-12HOFSTRHOFSTR×3AceHofstra+2.8
2512-13HOFSTRWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+2.4
2613-13WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+2.2
2714-13HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.8
2814-14HOFSTRWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.3
2914-15WM&MRYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+3.4
3015-15WM&MRYHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.5
3115-16HOFSTRWM&MRYServe errHofstra+2.8
3216-16WM&MRYHOFSTR×5KillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.6
3317-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×5KillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.3
3418-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×5KillJulia Amorimset Beatriz Braga+3.0
3519-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×5AceHofstraaced Katherine Arnason+2.5
3620-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×5Bad setCate Hatfield+1.8
3720-17HOFSTRWM&MRYAttack errBeatriz Braga+1.1
3821-17WM&MRYHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.4
3921-18HOFSTRWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.0
4021-19WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+2.1
4122-19WM&MRYHOFSTRBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Julia Amorim, Beatriz Braga+2.2
4223-19HOFSTRHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sain+1.8
4323-20HOFSTRWM&MRY×4Attack errMelis Başaran+0.7
4423-21WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errConstanza Perez Sain+1.8
4523-22WM&MRYWM&MRY×4AceAudrey Brckaaced Melis Başaran+3.5
4623-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errMelis Başaran+6.3
4724-23WM&MRYHOFSTRBad setAva Crabtree+6.3
4824-24HOFSTRWM&MRYServe errHofstra+6.3
4924-25WM&MRYWM&MRYAceCate Hatfieldaced Melis Başaran+9.4
5025-25WM&MRYHOFSTRServe errCate Hatfield+7.5
5125-26HOFSTRWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+7.5
5226-26WM&MRYHOFSTR×3Attack errDevereaux Hoxsie+7.5
5327-26HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errDevereaux Hoxsie+8.2
5428-26HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+7.0

Score shown after each rally, Hofstra first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).