Boston College def. Air Force 3–0
Boston College beat visiting Air Force 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 25-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Boston College's Audrey Ross led with 24 kills, and Brooklyn Yelland added 12 digs.
Data through · final Aug 28
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRFOR | 18 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| BC | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.9% to Boston College — set 2, AIRFOR 21-22 BC. Kill by Sam Hoppes (set by Brooklyn Yelland). BC win probability 81% → 85%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Air Force wins
Boston College wins
- AIRFOR break %
- 40.0% vs this opp
- BC break %
- 44.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Sam HoppesKill+4.9%
Kill by Sam Hoppes (set by Brooklyn Yelland)
Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-22 BC · BC 81% → 85%
- 02
- 03Sofija MarjanovicKill+3.4%
Kill by Sofija Marjanovic (set by Ava McBride)
Set 2 · AIRFOR 18-18 BC · BC 78% → 81%
- 04Grace FiaseuKill+3.4%
Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Mia Loyd)
Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-20 BC · AIRFOR 19% → 23%
- 05Naomi Watson&Laney BlevinsBlock+3.2%
Alysa Walker stuffed by Naomi Watson & Laney Blevins
Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-21 BC · BC 77% → 81%
- 06Grace FiaseuKill+3.1%
Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Mia Loyd)
Set 2 · AIRFOR 18-15 BC · AIRFOR 24% → 27%
- 07Kennedy SimonKill+3.0%
Kill by Kennedy Simon (set by Mia Loyd)
Set 2 · AIRFOR 20-19 BC · AIRFOR 19% → 22%
- 08Reese DunkleKill+3.0%
Kill by Reese Dunkle (set by Ava McBride)
Set 2 · AIRFOR 18-17 BC · BC 75% → 78%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .545 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | |
| 3 | 5 | 10 | 34 | -.147 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .056 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 21 | .190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 27 | 19 | 107 | .075 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 53 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 24 | 3 | 45 | .467 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .286 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 15 | 106 | .264 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
18-25
Set 2
22-25
Set 3
13-25
Bars above the line = Boston College leads, below = Air Force leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Air Force
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31%4/13 | 40%2/5 |
| 2 | 44%4/9 | 20%1/5 |
| 3 | 50%4/8 | 20%1/5 |
| 4 | 33%4/12 | 33%2/6 |
| 5 | 60%3/5 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 100%3/3 | 40%2/5 |
| All | 44%22/50 | 29%9/31 |
Boston College
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%4/5 | 69%9/13 |
| 2 | 80%4/5 | 56%5/9 |
| 3 | 67%4/6 | 50%4/8 |
| 4 | 80%4/5 | 67%8/12 |
| 5 | 60%3/5 | 40%2/5 |
| 6 | 60%3/5 | 0%0/3 |
| All | 71%22/31 | 56%28/50 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
128 rallies
| # | AIRFOR-BC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Mia Loyd | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | BC | BC | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Laney Blevins, Audrey Ross | +2.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | AIRFOR | BC×4 | Serve err | Air Force | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +2.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +1.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | BC | BC×4 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Audrey Ross, Naomi Watson | +1.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Annamaria Ramos | +1.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | AIRFOR | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Savannah Curtis | +1.2 |
| 11 | 3-8 | BC | BC×4 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Naomi Watson | +1.5 |
| 12 | 3-9 | BC | BC×4 | Blocked | Kennedy Simon | blk Naomi Watson, Sam Hoppes | +1.2 |
| 13 | 3-10 | BC | BC×4 | Blocked | Sonia Okpara | blk Sofija Marjanovic | +0.9 |
| 14 | 4-10 | BC | AIRFOR | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +0.5 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Ace | Air Force | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | AIRFOR | BC | Blocked | Kennedy Simon | blk Naomi Watson, Sam Hoppes | +0.9 |
| 17 | 6-11 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 18 | 6-12 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +0.9 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 20 | 8-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Reese Dunkle | +1.3 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Laney Blevins | set Ava McBride | +1.1 |
| 22 | 8-14 | BC | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Brooklyn Yelland | +1.2 |
| 23 | 9-14 | BC | AIRFOR | Attack err | Audrey Ross | +0.7 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Laney Blevins | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.1 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Mia Loyd | +0.9 |
| 27 | 11-16 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | BC | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +0.9 |
| 29 | 13-16 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +1.7 |
| 30 | 14-16 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +2.3 |
| 31 | 14-17 | AIRFOR | BC×3 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +1.9 |
| 32 | 14-18 | BC | BC×3 | Blocked | Sonia Okpara | blk Sofija Marjanovic, Naomi Watson | +2.2 |
| 33 | 14-19 | BC | BC×3 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +1.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | BC | AIRFOR | Attack err | Naomi Watson | +0.8 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Sofija Marjanovic | set Lucy Mott | +1.1 |
| 36 | 16-20 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 37 | 16-21 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.0 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +0.6 |
| 39 | 18-21 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Blocked | Laney Blevins | blk Grace Fiaseu | +1.4 |
| 40 | 18-22 | AIRFOR | BC×4 | Kill | Sofija Marjanovic | set Ava McBride | +1.6 |
| 41 | 18-23 | BC | BC×4 | Blocked | Grace Fiaseu | blk Audrey Ross | +1.2 |
| 42 | 18-24 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Laney Blevins | set Ava McBride | +0.4 |
| 43 | 18-25 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Ava McBride | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.3 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | BC | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.7 | |||
| 3 | 1-2 | BC | AIRFOR | Attack err | Laney Blevins | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Ava McBride | +1.2 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BC | BC | Ace | Boston College | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +1.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | BC | BC | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +1.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | BC | AIRFOR | Ace | Boston College | aced Sofija Marjanovic | +1.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +1.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Sofija Marjanovic | set Brooklyn Yelland | +1.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | BC | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Sam Hoppes | +1.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | BC | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Alysa Walker | +1.0 |
| 14 | 6-8 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Ace | Air Force | aced Sofija Marjanovic | +1.6 |
| 15 | 7-8 | AIRFOR | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.9 | |||
| 16 | 7-9 | AIRFOR | BC | Ace | Air Force | aced Kennedy Simon | +1.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | BC | BC | Ace | Boston College | aced Kennedy Simon | +1.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | BC | AIRFOR×4 | Bad set | Ava McBride | +1.2 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Ace | Air Force | aced Sofija Marjanovic | +2.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Attack err | Audrey Ross | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Attack err | Audrey Ross | +2.5 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Ava McBride | +1.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | BC | BC | Kill | Laney Blevins | +2.4 | |
| 24–25 | 13-12 | AIRFOR 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.5 | |||
| 26 | 13-13 | AIRFOR | BC | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +2.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +2.9 |
| 29 | 15-14 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +1.9 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Alysa Walker | set Mia Loyd | +2.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | AIRFOR | BC | Blocked | Kennedy Simon | blk Naomi Watson, Sam Hoppes | +2.0 |
| 32 | 17-15 | BC | AIRFOR | Attack err | Sam Hoppes | +2.4 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +3.1 |
| 34 | 18-16 | AIRFOR | BC×3 | Kill | Sam Hoppes | set Lucy Mott | +1.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | BC | BC×3 | Kill | Reese Dunkle | set Ava McBride | +3.0 |
| 36 | 18-18 | BC | BC×3 | Kill | Sofija Marjanovic | set Ava McBride | +3.4 |
| 37 | 19-18 | BC | AIRFOR | Serve err | Boston College | +2.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Laney Blevins | set Ava McBride | +2.6 |
| 39 | 20-19 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +3.0 |
| 40 | 20-20 | AIRFOR | BC | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +3.4 |
| 42 | 21-21 | AIRFOR | BC×4 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Naomi Watson, Laney Blevins | +3.2 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Sam Hoppes | set Brooklyn Yelland | +4.9 |
| 44 | 21-23 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +4.4 |
| 45 | 21-24 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +2.9 |
| 46 | 22-24 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +0.8 |
| 47 | 22-25 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +1.9 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BC | BC | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | AIRFOR | BC×3 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Brooklyn Yelland | +0.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | BC | BC×3 | Blocked | Alysa Walker | blk Laney Blevins, Naomi Watson | +0.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BC | BC×3 | Kill | Laney Blevins | set Ava McBride | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +0.6 |
| 7 | 2-5 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Savannah Curtis | +0.6 |
| 8 | 2-6 | BC | BC | Blocked | Jenness Orcutt | blk Naomi Watson | +0.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | BC | AIRFOR | Blocked | Sam Hoppes | blk Alysa Walker | +0.5 |
| 10 | 3-7 | AIRFOR | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +0.6 |
| 11 | 3-8 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Sofija Marjanovic | set Lucy Mott | +0.7 |
| 12 | 3-9 | BC | BC×4 | Blocked | Jenness Orcutt | blk Naomi Watson | +0.5 |
| 13 | 3-10 | BC | BC×4 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | +0.4 |
| 14 | 4-10 | BC | AIRFOR | Attack err | Sofija Marjanovic | +0.2 | |
| 15 | 4-11 | AIRFOR | BC | Serve err | Air Force | +0.3 | |
| 16 | 4-12 | BC | BC | Kill | Reese Dunkle | set Lucy Mott | +0.3 |
| 17 | 5-12 | BC | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +0.2 |
| 18 | 6-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Reese Dunkle | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Sofija Marjanovic | +0.4 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Reese Dunkle | set Lucy Mott | +0.4 |
| 21 | 8-13 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Neely Leathers | +0.3 |
| 22 | 8-14 | AIRFOR | BC×5 | Kill | Laney Blevins | set Ava McBride | +0.4 |
| 23 | 8-15 | BC | BC×5 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Ava McBride | +0.4 |
| 24 | 8-16 | BC | BC×5 | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | BC | BC×5 | Attack err | Alysa Walker | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 8-18 | BC | BC×5 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Brooklyn Yelland | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | BC | AIRFOR | Serve err | Boston College | · | |
| 28 | 9-19 | AIRFOR | BC×3 | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Reese Dunkle | +0.1 |
| 29 | 9-20 | BC | BC×3 | Kill | Naomi Watson | set Ava McBride | · |
| 30 | 9-21 | BC | BC×3 | Kill | Naomi Watson | set Ava McBride | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | BC | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Neely Leathers | · |
| 32 | 11-21 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Blocked | Naomi Watson | blk Grace Fiaseu | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Ava McBride | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | BC | AIRFOR | Blocked | Naomi Watson | blk Grace Fiaseu | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Audrey Ross | set Lucy Mott | · |
| 36 | 13-23 | BC | AIRFOR | Serve err | Boston College | · | |
| 37 | 13-24 | AIRFOR | BC | Kill | Sofija Marjanovic | set Lucy Mott | · |
| 38 | 13-25 | BC | BC | Ace | Boston College | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Air Force first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).