FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

Boston College def. Air Force 3–0

Boston College beat visiting Air Force 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 25-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Boston College's Audrey Ross led with 24 kills, and Brooklyn Yelland added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
AIRFOR1822130
BC2525253

Win probability

Boston College above 50 · Air Force below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.9% BCrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.9% to Boston College — set 2, AIRFOR 21-22 BC. Kill by Sam Hoppes (set by Brooklyn Yelland). BC win probability 81% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AIRFOR 30.1%69.9% BC

Air Force wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%

Boston College wins

3-0
23.2%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%
AIRFOR break %
40.0% vs this opp
BC break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sam HoppesKill+4.9%

    Kill by Sam Hoppes (set by Brooklyn Yelland)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-22 BC · BC 81% → 85%

  2. 02
    Audrey RossKill+4.4%

    Kill by Audrey Ross (set by Lucy Mott)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-23 BC · BC 85% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sofija Marjanovic (set by Ava McBride)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 18-18 BC · BC 78% → 81%

  4. 04
    Grace FiaseuKill+3.4%

    Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-20 BC · AIRFOR 19% → 23%

  5. 05

    Alysa Walker stuffed by Naomi Watson & Laney Blevins

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 21-21 BC · BC 77% → 81%

  6. 06
    Grace FiaseuKill+3.1%

    Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 18-15 BC · AIRFOR 24% → 27%

  7. 07
    Kennedy SimonKill+3.0%

    Kill by Kennedy Simon (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 20-19 BC · AIRFOR 19% → 22%

  8. 08
    Reese DunkleKill+3.0%

    Kill by Reese Dunkle (set by Ava McBride)

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 18-17 BC · BC 75% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37111.5450132030311
351034-.147110601017
35310.200000000005
33218.056001000003
3007.0002321600002
3002.0000101100001
37321.190000120007
3000–0101000001
3000–003300000
1004.000000000000
1000–200100000
Team totals2719107.075266840440453
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
324345.4670008012226
36214.28602154111.59.5
3237-.14300010376.58.5
36314.21400030031.57.5
3327.143100100003
3000–1601500000
32217.00000000031.53.5
3002.0001710800001
3000–5101210001
3000–200700000
1000–001000000
Team totals4315106.26441435065161375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 AIRFOR · BC 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 AIRFORBC 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 AIRFORBC 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 AIRFORBC 5

Bars above the line = Boston College leads, below = Air Force leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Air Force

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%4/13
40%2/5
2
44%4/9
20%1/5
3
50%4/8
20%1/5
4
33%4/12
33%2/6
5
60%3/5
20%1/5
6
100%3/3
40%2/5
All
44%22/50
29%9/31

Boston College

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%4/5
69%9/13
2
80%4/5
56%5/9
3
67%4/6
50%4/8
4
80%4/5
67%8/12
5
60%3/5
40%2/5
6
60%3/5
0%0/3
All
71%22/31
56%28/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#AIRFOR-BCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BCAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+1.7
21-1AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.6
31-2BCBCBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Laney Blevins, Audrey Ross+2.2
42-2BCAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+1.6
52-3AIRFORBC×4Serve errAir Force+1.6
62-4BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+2.1
72-5BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+1.9
82-6BCBC×4BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Audrey Ross, Naomi Watson+1.7
93-6BCAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Annamaria Ramos+1.1
103-7AIRFORBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Savannah Curtis+1.2
113-8BCBC×4BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Naomi Watson+1.5
123-9BCBC×4BlockedKennedy Simonblk Naomi Watson, Sam Hoppes+1.2
133-10BCBC×4BlockedSonia Okparablk Sofija Marjanovic+0.9
144-10BCAIRFORAttack errAlysa Walker+0.5
155-10AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Force+1.0
165-11AIRFORBCBlockedKennedy Simonblk Naomi Watson, Sam Hoppes+0.9
176-11BCAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.7
186-12AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.9
197-12BCAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+0.7
208-12AIRFORAIRFORAttack errReese Dunkle+1.3
218-13AIRFORBCKillLaney Blevinsset Ava McBride+1.1
228-14BCBCKillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+1.2
239-14BCAIRFORAttack errAudrey Ross+0.7
2410-14AIRFORAIRFORAttack errLaney Blevins+1.3
2510-15AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.1
2611-15BCAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.9
2711-16AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.1
2812-16BCAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.9
2913-16AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+1.7
3014-16AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+2.3
3114-17AIRFORBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+1.9
3214-18BCBC×3BlockedSonia Okparablk Sofija Marjanovic, Naomi Watson+2.2
3314-19BCBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+1.6
3415-19BCAIRFORAttack errNaomi Watson+0.8
3515-20AIRFORBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Lucy Mott+1.1
3616-20BCAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+0.7
3716-21AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.0
3817-21BCAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.6
3918-21AIRFORAIRFORBlockedLaney Blevinsblk Grace Fiaseu+1.4
4018-22AIRFORBC×4KillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+1.6
4118-23BCBC×4BlockedGrace Fiaseublk Audrey Ross+1.2
4218-24BCBC×4KillLaney Blevinsset Ava McBride+0.4
4318-25BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.1
Set 2
10-1AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.3
20-2BC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
31-2BCAIRFORAttack errLaney Blevins+1.2
41-3AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+1.2
51-4BCBCAceBoston College+1.6
62-4BCAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.1
72-5AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.1
82-6BCBCAttack errAlysa Walker+1.4
93-6BCAIRFORAceBoston Collegeaced Sofija Marjanovic+1.0
104-6AIRFORAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+1.5
114-7AIRFORBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Brooklyn Yelland+1.2
124-8BCBCKillAudrey Rossset Sam Hoppes+1.5
135-8BCAIRFOR×3KillGrace Fiaseuset Alysa Walker+1.0
146-8AIRFORAIRFOR×3AceAir Forceaced Sofija Marjanovic+1.6
157-8AIRFOR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
167-9AIRFORBCAceAir Forceaced Kennedy Simon+1.4
177-10BCBCAceBoston Collegeaced Kennedy Simon+1.8
188-10BCAIRFOR×4Bad setAva McBride+1.2
199-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4AceAir Forceaced Sofija Marjanovic+2.0
2010-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errAudrey Ross+2.3
2111-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errAudrey Ross+2.5
2211-11AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+1.7
2311-12BCBCKillLaney Blevins+2.4
24–2513-12AIRFOR 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.5
2613-13AIRFORBCAttack errAlysa Walker+1.9
2714-13BCAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+2.1
2815-13AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+2.9
2915-14AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+1.9
3016-14BCAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+2.3
3116-15AIRFORBCBlockedKennedy Simonblk Naomi Watson, Sam Hoppes+2.0
3217-15BCAIRFORAttack errSam Hoppes+2.4
3318-15AIRFORAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.1
3418-16AIRFORBC×3KillSam Hoppesset Lucy Mott+1.8
3518-17BCBC×3KillReese Dunkleset Ava McBride+3.0
3618-18BCBC×3KillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+3.4
3719-18BCAIRFORServe errBoston College+2.8
3819-19AIRFORBCKillLaney Blevinsset Ava McBride+2.6
3920-19BCAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+3.0
4020-20AIRFORBCAttack errAlysa Walker+2.9
4121-20BCAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.4
4221-21AIRFORBC×4BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Naomi Watson, Laney Blevins+3.2
4321-22BCBC×4KillSam Hoppesset Brooklyn Yelland+4.9
4421-23BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+4.4
4521-24BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+2.9
4622-24BCAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+0.8
4722-25AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+1.9
Set 3
10-1BCBCAttack errAlysa Walker+1.0
21-1BCAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+0.7
31-2AIRFORBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+0.7
41-3BCBC×3BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Laney Blevins, Naomi Watson+0.9
51-4BCBC×3KillLaney Blevinsset Ava McBride+0.9
62-4BCAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.6
72-5AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Savannah Curtis+0.6
82-6BCBCBlockedJenness Orcuttblk Naomi Watson+0.8
93-6BCAIRFORBlockedSam Hoppesblk Alysa Walker+0.5
103-7AIRFORBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.6
113-8BCBC×4KillSofija Marjanovicset Lucy Mott+0.7
123-9BCBC×4BlockedJenness Orcuttblk Naomi Watson+0.5
133-10BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.4
144-10BCAIRFORAttack errSofija Marjanovic+0.2
154-11AIRFORBCServe errAir Force+0.3
164-12BCBCKillReese Dunkleset Lucy Mott+0.3
175-12BCAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+0.2
186-12AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errReese Dunkle+0.3
197-12AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errSofija Marjanovic+0.4
207-13AIRFORBCKillReese Dunkleset Lucy Mott+0.4
218-13BCAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Neely Leathers+0.3
228-14AIRFORBC×5KillLaney Blevinsset Ava McBride+0.4
238-15BCBC×5KillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.4
248-16BCBC×5Attack errAlysa Walker+0.3
258-17BCBC×5Attack errAlysa Walker+0.2
268-18BCBC×5KillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+0.1
279-18BCAIRFORServe errBoston College·
289-19AIRFORBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Reese Dunkle+0.1
299-20BCBC×3KillNaomi Watsonset Ava McBride·
309-21BCBC×3KillNaomi Watsonset Ava McBride·
3110-21BCAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Neely Leathers·
3211-21AIRFORAIRFORBlockedNaomi Watsonblk Grace Fiaseu·
3311-22AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride·
3412-22BCAIRFORBlockedNaomi Watsonblk Grace Fiaseu·
3512-23AIRFORBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott·
3613-23BCAIRFORServe errBoston College·
3713-24AIRFORBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Lucy Mott·
3813-25BCBCAceBoston College·

Score shown after each rally, Air Force first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).