FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

Air Force def. Quinnipiac 3–0

Air Force beat visiting Quinnipiac 3-0 (26-24, 25-18, 25-16) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Air Force's Alysa Walker led with 19 kills, and Aylani Correa added 13 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
QUINN2418160
AIRFOR2625253

Win probability

Air Force above 50 · Quinnipiac below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.9% AIRFORrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.9% to Air Force — set 1, QUINN 24-25 AIRFOR. Kill by Alysa Walker (set by Mia Loyd). AIRFOR win probability 87% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

QUINN 9.1%90.9% AIRFOR

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
5.2%

Air Force wins

3-0
46.0%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.4%
QUINN break %
36.5% vs this opp
AIRFOR break %
46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alysa WalkerKill+4.9%

    Kill by Alysa Walker (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 1 · QUINN 24-25 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 87% → 92%

  2. 02

    Kill by Vittoria Tonelli (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 1 · QUINN 24-23 AIRFOR · QUINN 13% → 18%

  3. 03
    Kennedy SimonKill+4.2%

    Kill by Kennedy Simon (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 1 · QUINN 24-24 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 82% → 87%

  4. 04
    Alysa WalkerKill+3.8%

    Kill by Alysa Walker (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 1 · QUINN 24-26 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 92% → 95%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sahra Ozbiltekin (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 1 · QUINN 23-22 AIRFOR · QUINN 13% → 16%

  6. 06
    QuinnipiacService error+3.0%

    Quinnipiac service error

    Set 1 · QUINN 23-23 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 84% → 87%

  7. 07
    Sophia GisslenBad set+2.8%

    Bad set by Sophia Gisslen

    Set 1 · QUINN 20-20 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 85% → 88%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sahra Ozbiltekin (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 1 · QUINN 22-21 AIRFOR · QUINN 13% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312428.2860037110113
3427.28600120010.54.5
3108.12500000031.52.5
26518.05600250132.58.5
26524.042002700006
2011-1.000241170010.51.5
3000–2001600000
3000–000000000
25211.273000200005
13311.000000100003
1002.0001001200000
1012-.500000110000
Team totals3723112.1253611050328658
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
319343.372021100111.522.5
37314.28601100031.59.5
3238-.125000200213
3106.1673200600212
3009.00000130010.50.5
3000–000800000
35110.400000200216
33221.04800010111.54.5
3000–2031300000
1000–001100000
Team totals3712111.2253437461212876

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 QUINN · AIRFOR 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 5 QUINNAIRFOR 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 QUINNAIRFOR 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 QUINNAIRFOR 4

Bars above the line = Air Force leads, below = Quinnipiac leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
0%0/6
2
47%8/17
50%8/16
3
64%7/11
33%4/12
4
50%7/14
22%2/9
5
64%7/11
0%0/7
6
45%5/11
22%2/9
All
56%42/75
27%16/59

Air Force

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
46%6/13
2
47%8/17
33%4/12
3
100%7/7
56%9/16
4
78%7/9
50%7/14
5
78%7/9
36%4/11
6
100%6/6
33%3/9
All
73%43/59
44%33/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#QUINN-AIRFORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+0.7
21-1AIRFORQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.7
32-1QUINNQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.2
42-2QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.8
53-2AIRFORQUINNKillAzra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
63-3QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+0.8
74-3AIRFORQUINN×3KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
85-3QUINNQUINN×3Attack errJenness Orcutt+1.4
96-3QUINNQUINN×3KillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+1.6
106-4QUINNAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.9
117-4AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Carola Negron Diaz+1.2
127-5QUINNAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+1.0
138-5AIRFORQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+1.2
148-6QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+1.0
158-7AIRFORAIRFORBad setSophia Gisslen+1.5
169-7AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force+1.2
179-8QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.0
1810-8AIRFORQUINN×5Serve errAir Force+1.3
1911-8QUINNQUINN×5Attack errGrace Fiaseu+1.9
2012-8QUINNQUINN×5BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Sila Yildiz, Azra Ozbiltekin+1.9
2113-8QUINNQUINN×5AceSophia Gisslen+1.9
2214-8QUINNQUINN×5KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.7
2314-9QUINNAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.8
2414-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errAzra Ozbiltekin+1.4
2514-11AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errVittoria Tonelli+1.6
2614-12AIRFORAIRFOR×4BlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Alysa Walker+1.8
2715-12AIRFORQUINNKillAzra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.6
2815-13QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.3
2916-13AIRFORQUINNKillAzra Ozbiltekinset Alysa Walker+1.7
3016-14QUINNAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.3
3117-14AIRFORQUINNBlockedKennedy Simonblk Azra Ozbiltekin+1.8
3217-15QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.3
3318-15AIRFORQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+1.9
3418-16QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+1.4
3519-16AIRFORQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+2.0
3619-17QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.4
3720-17AIRFORQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+2.1
3820-18QUINNAIRFOR×3KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.4
3920-19AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Aylani Correa+2.5
4020-20AIRFORAIRFOR×3Bad setSophia Gisslen+2.8
4121-20AIRFORQUINNKillAzra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.4
4221-21QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+2.2
4322-21AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.8
4422-22QUINNAIRFORAttack errAzra Ozbiltekin+2.5
4523-22AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+3.4
4623-23QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+3.0
4724-23AIRFORQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+4.2
4824-24QUINNAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+4.2
4924-25AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+4.9
5024-26AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+3.8
Set 2
10-1AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Aylani Correa+0.6
21-1AIRFORQUINNKillAzra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
32-1QUINNQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
42-2QUINNAIRFORAttack errVittoria Tonelli+0.5
53-2AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force+0.6
64-2QUINNQUINNAttack errGrace Fiaseu+0.9
74-3QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.6
84-4AIRFORAIRFORBlockedAzra Ozbiltekinblk Alysa Walker, Grace Fiaseu+0.8
95-4AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
105-5QUINNAIRFOR×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+0.6
115-6AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errVittoria Tonelli+0.8
125-7AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedAsia Belliblk Jenness Orcutt, Grace Fiaseu+0.7
136-7AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force+0.5
146-8QUINNAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.5
156-9AIRFORAIRFORAttack errVittoria Tonelli+0.6
167-9AIRFORQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
177-10QUINNAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.4
188-10AIRFORQUINNBlockedSonia Okparablk Azra Ozbiltekin, Sila Yildiz+0.4
198-11QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+0.4
209-11AIRFORQUINNKillAzra Ozbiltekinset Carola Negron Diaz+0.4
219-12QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+0.4
2210-12AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force+0.4
2310-13QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.5
2411-13AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
2511-14QUINNAIRFOR×3Serve errQuinnipiac+0.5
2611-15AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Jenness Orcutt, Grace Fiaseu+0.5
2711-16AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.4
2812-16AIRFORQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
2912-17QUINNAIRFORBlockedSophia Gisslenblk Kennedy Simon+0.3
3013-17AIRFORQUINNAttack errSonia Okpara+0.2
3114-17QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
3214-18QUINNAIRFOR×3KillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.4
3314-19AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+0.4
3414-20AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errAzra Ozbiltekin+0.2
3515-20AIRFORQUINNBlockedKennedy Simonblk Sila Yildiz, Sophia Gisslen+0.1
3615-21QUINNAIRFORBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Sonia Okpara, Mia Loyd+0.1
3716-21AIRFORQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
3816-22QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.1
3917-22AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
4018-22QUINNQUINNBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Asia Belli, Azra Ozbiltekin+0.2
4118-23QUINNAIRFOR×3KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.2
4218-24AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errAzra Ozbiltekin+0.1
4318-25AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+0.1
Set 3
11-0AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force+0.3
22-0QUINNQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.4
32-1QUINNAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+0.3
42-2AIRFORAIRFORAttack errFarah Sherif+0.4
53-2AIRFORQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.3
64-2QUINNQUINN×3BlockedGrace Fiaseublk Sahra Ozbiltekin+0.4
75-2QUINNQUINN×3KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.5
85-3QUINNAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.3
96-3AIRFORQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.4
106-4QUINNAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.3
116-5AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Force+0.4
127-5AIRFORQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.4
137-6QUINNAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.3
147-7AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Forceaced Sahra Ozbiltekin+0.4
158-7AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force+0.3
169-7QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.5
179-8QUINNAIRFORServe errQuinnipiac+0.3
189-9AIRFORAIRFORAttack errGiulia Ragusa+0.5
1910-9AIRFORQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.4
2010-10QUINNAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+0.3
2110-11AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.5
2210-12AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.4
2311-12AIRFORQUINNAttack errAlysa Walker+0.3
2412-12QUINNQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.5
2512-13QUINNAIRFOR×4Serve errQuinnipiac+0.3
2612-14AIRFORAIRFOR×4BlockedFarah Sherifblk Mia Loyd, Annamaria Ramos+0.4
2712-15AIRFORAIRFOR×4Serve errAir Force+0.4
2812-16AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Aylani Correa+0.3
2913-16AIRFORQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska+0.2
3013-17QUINNAIRFORKillMia Loyd+0.2
3113-18AIRFORAIRFORAttack errFarah Sherif+0.2
3214-18AIRFORQUINNAttack errGrace Fiaseu+0.1
3314-19QUINNAIRFOR×3KillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.1
3414-20AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+0.1
3514-21AIRFORAIRFOR×3AceAir Forceaced Sophia Minlend+0.1
3615-21AIRFORQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Jadwiga Olszewska·
3715-22QUINNAIRFOR×3KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd·
3815-23AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errSophia Minlend·
3915-24AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd·
4016-24AIRFORQUINNServe errAir Force·
4116-25QUINNAIRFORBlockedAsia Belliblk Kennedy Simon, Sonia Okpara·

Score shown after each rally, Quinnipiac first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).