Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Long Beach St. def. Brown 3–1

Long Beach St. beat visiting Brown 3-1 (24-26, 25-23, 25-17, 25-12) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Sidney Hamaker led Long Beach St. with 12 kills; Brown's Fisayo Afonja had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
BROWN262317121
LBSU242525253

Win probability

Long Beach St. above 50 · Brown below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.3% BROWNrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.3% to Brown — set 2, BROWN 23-23 LBSU. Attack error by Madi Maxwell. LBSU win probability 86% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BROWN 4.1%95.9% LBSU

Brown wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%

Long Beach St. wins

3-0
58.2%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
8.9%
BROWN break %
35.7% vs this opp
LBSU break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Madi MaxwellAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Madi Maxwell

    Set 2 · BROWN 23-23 LBSU · BROWN 14% → 21%

  2. 02
    Fisayo AfonjaAttack error+6.1%

    Attack error by Fisayo Afonja

    Set 2 · BROWN 23-25 LBSU · LBSU 85% → 91%

  3. 03
    Fisayo AfonjaAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Fisayo Afonja

    Set 2 · BROWN 23-24 LBSU · LBSU 79% → 85%

  4. 04
    Chloe JohnsonAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Chloe Johnson

    Set 1 · BROWN 26-24 LBSU · BROWN 10% → 15%

  5. 05

    Madi Maxwell stuffed by Sarah Shaw & Fisayo Afonja

    Set 2 · BROWN 22-23 LBSU · BROWN 11% → 14%

  6. 06
    Ally PanzloffKill+2.8%

    Kill by Ally Panzloff (set by Julia Kakkis)

    Set 1 · BROWN 24-23 LBSU · BROWN 7% → 10%

  7. 07
    Chloe JohnsonKill+2.8%

    Kill by Chloe Johnson (set by Madi Maxwell)

    Set 1 · BROWN 24-24 LBSU · LBSU 90% → 93%

  8. 08
    Elle HolleyKill+2.8%

    Kill by Elle Holley (set by Julia Kakkis)

    Set 1 · BROWN 25-24 LBSU · BROWN 7% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Brownaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4181044.1824055002119
48626.07721211110110
47318.222100200007
44218.111202100215
43111.18210020111.54.5
43211.091250020010.53.5
4014-.2502221320002
4000–113630001
2103.333200000001
1000–001000000
Team totals4425135.1414041542726578
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412526.2692238000014
48314.35701000132.511.5
48426.15431218000010
47013.53800000111.58.5
47118.33330370010.57.5
4000–112600001
47622.045000330218
4000–010000001
4001.00020180010.50.5
4000–000700000
3001.000600100000
1103.333000000001
Team totals5019124.2504571048428699

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BROWN · LBSU 7

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 5 BROWNLBSU 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 BROWNLBSU 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 BROWNLBSU 7

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 2 BROWNLBSU 4

Bars above the line = Long Beach St. leads, below = Brown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Brown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
29%2/7
2
67%6/9
45%5/11
3
45%5/11
44%4/9
4
63%5/8
44%4/9
5
83%5/6
0%0/5
6
67%4/6
38%3/8
All
63%31/49
37%18/49

Long Beach St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
29%2/7
2
55%6/11
40%4/10
3
50%5/10
25%2/8
4
71%5/7
58%7/12
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
80%4/5
20%1/5
All
63%31/49
37%18/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#BROWN-LBSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+0.3
20-2LBSULBSUAttack errJulia Kakkis+0.4
31-2LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonja+0.3
41-3BROWNLBSUKillPola Bujnarowskaset Madi Maxwell+0.3
52-3LBSUBROWN×3Attack errKyler Birkelbach+0.3
63-3BROWNBROWN×3Attack errChloe Johnson+0.6
74-3BROWNBROWN×3Attack errKyler Birkelbach+0.7
84-4BROWNLBSU×5KillKendal Murphy+0.5
94-5LBSULBSU×5AceLong Beach St.aced Eve McLaury+0.6
104-6LBSULBSU×5KillChloe Johnsonset Sidney Hamaker+0.5
114-7LBSULBSU×5Attack errElle Holley+0.4
124-8LBSULBSU×5BlockedSophia Wolfsonblk Kyler Birkelbach, Chloe Johnson+0.3
135-8LBSUBROWNKillElle Holleyset Fisayo Afonja+0.2
146-8BROWNBROWNAttack errMadi Maxwell+0.4
156-9BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+0.3
167-9LBSUBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Elle Holley+0.3
177-10BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+0.3
188-10LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.3
198-11BROWNLBSUKillKendal Murphyset Madi Maxwell+0.3
208-12LBSULBSUAceLong Beach St.aced Elle Holley+0.4
219-12LBSUBROWN×3Attack errSidney Hamaker+0.3
2210-12BROWNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Fisayo Afonja+0.5
2311-12BROWNBROWN×3BlockedSidney Hamakerblk Sarah Shaw+0.7
2411-13BROWNLBSUKillKendal Murphyset Madi Maxwell+0.5
2511-14LBSULBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Kendal Murphy+0.5
2612-14LBSUBROWN×5Serve errLong Beach St.+0.4
2713-14BROWNBROWN×5KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.7
2814-14BROWNBROWN×5AceBrownaced Chloe Johnson+1.0
2915-14BROWNBROWN×5KillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+1.2
3016-14BROWNBROWN×5KillElle Holleyset Sophia Wolfson+1.4
3116-15BROWNLBSUKillPola Bujnarowskaset Madi Maxwell+0.9
3216-16LBSULBSUBlockedAlly Panzloffblk Chloe Johnson, Kyler Birkelbach+1.2
3317-16LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.1
3417-17BROWNLBSUKillChloe Johnsonset Madi Maxwell+0.9
3517-18LBSULBSUAttack errEve McLaury+1.2
3618-18LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+1.0
3719-18BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Chloe Johnson+1.7
3819-19BROWNLBSUBlockedFisayo Afonjablk Anna Jelinek, Kyler Birkelbach+1.1
3919-20LBSULBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Izzy Mahaffey+1.5
4020-20LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+1.2
4120-21BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.2
4221-21LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.3
4322-21BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.4
4422-22BROWNLBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Madi Collins+1.6
4523-22LBSUBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+2.2
4623-23BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+2.0
4724-23LBSUBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+2.8
4824-24BROWNLBSUKillChloe Johnsonset Madi Maxwell+2.8
4925-24LBSUBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+2.8
5026-24BROWNBROWNAttack errChloe Johnson+5.1
Set 2
11-0LBSUBROWNKillElle Holleyset Fisayo Afonja+1.3
21-1BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.1
31-2LBSULBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Anna Jelinek+1.4
42-2LBSUBROWNAttack errChloe Johnson+1.2
52-3BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.0
62-4LBSULBSUAttack errElle Holley+1.3
73-4LBSUBROWNAttack errSidney Hamaker+1.0
84-4BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.7
94-5BROWNLBSU×3Serve errBrown+1.1
104-6LBSULBSU×3Attack errJulia Kakkis+1.4
114-7LBSULBSU×3KillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+1.1
125-7LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.9
135-8BROWNLBSUAttack errFisayo Afonja+0.8
146-8LBSUBROWNAttack errKendal Murphy+0.9
156-9BROWNLBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+0.9
167-9LBSUBROWNKillSarah Shawset Fisayo Afonja+0.9
177-10BROWNLBSUAttack errFisayo Afonja+0.9
187-11LBSULBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Kendal Murphy+1.0
198-11LBSUBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+0.7
208-12BROWNLBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+0.7
219-12LBSUBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.7
229-13BROWNLBSUKillChloe Johnsonset Madi Maxwell+0.8
2310-13LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+0.7
2410-14BROWNLBSUKillChloe Johnsonset Madi Maxwell+0.8
2511-14LBSUBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Eve McLaury+0.8
2611-15BROWNLBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Julia Kakkis+0.8
2712-15LBSUBROWNKillJulia Kakkis+0.8
2812-16BROWNLBSUBlockedAlly Panzloffblk Kendal Murphy, Pola Bujnarowska+0.8
2913-16LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.8
3013-17BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+0.9
3114-17LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Sarah Shaw+0.8
3215-17BROWNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Anna Jelinek+1.6
3315-18BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.3
3415-19LBSULBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Anna Jelinek+1.3
3516-19LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+0.8
3617-19BROWNBROWNAceBrown+1.7
3717-20BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.5
3818-20LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.3
3919-20BROWNBROWNBlockedChloe Johnsonblk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+2.8
4019-21BROWNLBSUKillKyler Birkelbachset Madi Collins+2.4
4120-21LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.3
4220-22BROWNLBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Madi Collins+2.7
4320-23LBSULBSUAttack errFisayo Afonja+2.5
4421-23LBSUBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Elle Holley+1.1
4522-23BROWNBROWN×3BlockedMadi Maxwellblk Sarah Shaw, Fisayo Afonja+3.1
4623-23BROWNBROWN×3Attack errMadi Maxwell+6.3
4723-24BROWNLBSUAttack errFisayo Afonja+5.8
4823-25LBSULBSUAttack errFisayo Afonja+6.1
Set 3
11-0BROWNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Eve McLaury+1.5
21-1BROWNLBSU×3KillPola Bujnarowskaset Madi Maxwell+1.0
31-2LBSULBSU×3KillPola Bujnarowska+1.2
41-3LBSULBSU×3Bad setJulia Kakkis+1.1
52-3LBSUBROWNBad setJulia Kakkis+0.8
63-3BROWNBROWNAttack errSidney Hamaker+1.4
73-4BROWNLBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+0.9
84-4LBSUBROWNAttack errChloe Johnson+1.1
95-4BROWNBROWNBlockedSidney Hamakerblk Elle Holley+1.8
105-5BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.1
116-5LBSUBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.4
127-5BROWNBROWNServe errBrown+2.2
137-6LBSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
147-7LBSULBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+1.8
158-7LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+1.5
168-8BROWNLBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Julia Kakkis+1.3
179-8BROWN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
1810-8BROWNBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+2.5
1910-9BROWNLBSU×3KillKendal Murphyset Madi Maxwell+1.6
20–2110-11LBSU 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.9
2211-11LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.5
2311-12BROWNLBSUServe errBrown+1.4
2411-13LBSULBSUAttack errElle Holley+1.7
2512-13LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.3
2612-14BROWNLBSUKillSidney Hamaker+1.2
2713-14LBSUBROWNAttack errKyler Birkelbach+1.3
2813-15BROWNLBSUKillKyler Birkelbachset Madi Maxwell+1.3
2913-16LBSULBSUAceLong Beach St.aced Sophie Haskell+1.5
3014-16LBSUBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Sophia Wolfson+1.0
3115-16BROWN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
3215-17BROWNLBSU×7KillKyler Birkelbachset Madi Collins+1.5
3315-18LBSULBSU×7Serve errLong Beach St.+1.6
3415-19LBSULBSU×7Serve errLong Beach St.+1.1
3515-20LBSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
3615-21LBSULBSU×7AceLong Beach St.+0.4
3715-22LBSULBSU×7Attack errFisayo Afonja+0.2
3815-23LBSULBSU×7KillKyler Birkelbach+0.1
3916-23BROWN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
4016-24BROWNLBSUKillMadi Maxwellset Madi Collins·
4117-24LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Sophie Haskell·
4217-25BROWNLBSUAttack errFisayo Afonja·
Set 4
11-0LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+0.8
21-1LBSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
32-1LBSUBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.8
42-2BROWNLBSUKillPola Bujnarowskaset Madi Maxwell+0.7
53-2LBSUBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Megan Phan+0.9
63-3BROWNLBSU×4Serve errBrown+0.7
73-4LBSULBSU×4KillKyler Birkelbach+0.9
83-5LBSULBSU×4Serve errLong Beach St.+0.8
93-6LBSULBSU×4KillChloe Johnsonset Madi Maxwell+0.7
104-6LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+0.5
114-7BROWNLBSUKillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+0.5
125-7LBSUBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Megan Phan+0.5
135-8BROWNLBSUKillKendal Murphyset Madi Maxwell+0.5
145-9LBSULBSUAceLong Beach St.aced Eve McLaury+0.6
156-9LBSUBROWNKillSophia Wolfson+0.4
166-10BROWNLBSU×3KillKendal Murphyset Madi Maxwell+0.4
176-11LBSULBSU×3AceLong Beach St.aced Sophie Haskell+0.4
186-12LBSULBSU×3KillSidney Hamakerset Madi Maxwell+0.3
197-12LBSUBROWNServe errLong Beach St.+0.2
207-13BROWNLBSUKillPola Bujnarowskaset Madi Maxwell+0.2
21–228-14BROWN · LBSU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
238-15BROWNLBSUKillPola Bujnarowskaset Madi Maxwell+0.1
249-15LBSUBROWNKillMegan Phanset Ally Panzloff+0.1
259-16BROWNLBSU×3Serve errBrown+0.1
269-17LBSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
279-18LBSULBSU×3KillKyler Birkelbachset Sidney Hamaker+0.1
2810-18LBSUBROWNKillSarah Shawset Madi Maxwell·
2911-18BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Chloe Johnson+0.1
3011-19BROWNLBSU×4Attack errElle Holley+0.1
3111-20LBSULBSU×4Serve errLong Beach St.·
3211-21LBSULBSU×4KillKyler Birkelbachset Madi Maxwell·
3311-22LBSULBSU×4Attack errElle Holley·
3412-22LBSUBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis·
3512-23BROWNLBSU×3KillHaumea Marumotoset Madi Maxwell·
3612-24LBSULBSU×3AceLong Beach St.aced Sophie Haskell·
3712-25LBSULBSU×3Attack errFisayo Afonja·

Score shown after each rally, Brown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).