FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

3:0

HomePAC-12

Long Beach St. def. Washington St. 3–0

(25-22, 25-19, 25-19)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
LBSU	25	25	25	3
WASHST	22	19	19	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WASHST above 50 · LBSU below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Long Beach St. — set 1, LBSU 18-17 WASHST. Long Beach St. ace on Kambree Rodriguez. WASHST win probability 32% → 28%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LBSU 70.6%29.4% WASHST

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

23.7%

3-1

27.1%

3-2

19.8%

Washington St. wins

3-0

5.5%

3-1

10.3%

3-2

13.6%

LBSU break %: 45.5% vs this opp
WASHST break %: 41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
LBSU serverAce+3.8%
Long Beach St. ace on Kambree Rodriguez
Set 1 · LBSU 18-17 WASHST · LBSU 68% → 72%
02
Sidney HamakerKill+3.6%
Kill by Sidney Hamaker (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 1 · LBSU 19-17 WASHST · LBSU 72% → 76%
03
Reagan HopeKill+3.2%
Kill by Reagan Hope (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 1 · LBSU 14-14 WASHST · LBSU 66% → 69%
04
LBSU serverAce+3.0%
Long Beach St. ace on Madyn Cervellera
Set 1 · LBSU 20-17 WASHST · LBSU 76% → 79%
05
Whitney DewickiKill+3.0%
Kill by Whitney Dewicki (set by Audrey Hollis)
Set 1 · LBSU 16-17 WASHST · WASHST 32% → 35%
06
Kendal MurphyKill+2.8%
Kill by Kendal Murphy (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 1 · LBSU 17-17 WASHST · LBSU 65% → 68%
07
Mary HealyKill+2.8%
Kill by Mary Healy (set by Livia Ward)
Set 1 · LBSU 15-16 WASHST · WASHST 31% → 34%
08
Kendal MurphyAttack error+2.8%
Kendal Murphy stuffed by Kryssa Moerman & Whitney Dewicki
Set 1 · LBSU 7-10 WASHST · WASHST 35% → 38%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Long Beach St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
77Kendal MurphyOH	3	6	2	24	.167	1	3	0	4	0	0	0	9
24Reagan HopeMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	2	0	5	2.5	8.5
13Sidney HamakerOH	3	6	4	28	.071	0	1	2	7	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Pola BujnarowskaMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Madi MaxwellS	3	3	1	8	.250	27	1	1	13	0	4	2	6
1Izzy MahaffeyL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	1
6Chloe JohnsonOH	3	10	3	21	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
4Laurel BarsocchiniL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
0Anna JelinekOH	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
63Madi CollinsS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Haumea MarumotoOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
10Kyler BirkelbachMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	14	109	.220	31	7	4	44	4	12	6	75

Washington St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Mary HealyOPP	3	11	4	30	.233	1	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	13
2Madyn CervelleraOH	3	8	6	25	.080	0	0	1	14	4	0	1	0.5	8.5
17Kryssa MoermanMB	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
1Naomi WhiteMB	3	2	1	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	4.5
11Audrey HollisS	3	4	2	9	.222	19	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	4
9Whitney DewickiOH	3	2	1	14	.071	0	1	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Kambree RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	3	6	1	0	0	0	0
4Livia WardS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
5Chloe HeimlicherL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	0	1
10Emerson MatthewsOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
21Elma BajraktarevicS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	15	103	.184	34	4	12	42	7	3	4	5	60

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 LBSU · WASHST 5

Set 1*

25-22

Longest run 6 LBSUWASHST 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 LBSUWASHST 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 LBSUWASHST 3

Bars above the line = Washington St. leads, below = Long Beach St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Long Beach St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	43%3/7
2	83%5/6	29%2/7
3	57%4/7	60%6/10
4	80%4/5	60%6/10
5	57%4/7	50%4/8
6	75%3/4	57%4/7
All	64%25/39	51%25/49

Washington St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	56%5/9
2	57%4/7	29%2/7
3	57%4/7	20%1/5
4	31%4/13	33%2/6
5	57%4/7	20%1/5
6	50%3/6	43%3/7
All	49%24/49	36%14/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	LBSU-WASHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+1.5
2	1-1	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+1.6
3	2-1	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.6
4	2-2	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kambree Rodriguez	+1.7
5	3-2	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.6
6	4-2	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Anna Jelinek	+2.0
7	4-3	LBSU	WASHST	Attack err	Mary Healy		+1.6
8	5-3	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.6
9	5-4	LBSU	WASHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.6
10	5-5	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Livia Ward	+2.3
11	6-5	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.8
12	7-5	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Audrey Hollis		+2.2
13	7-6	LBSU	WASHST×5	Bad set	Madi Maxwell		+1.7
14	7-7	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska	blk Kryssa Moerman	+2.4
15	7-8	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Kendal Murphy		+2.6
16	7-9	WASHST	WASHST×5	Bad set	Madi Maxwell		+2.8
17	7-10	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Kendal Murphy	blk Kryssa Moerman, Whitney Dewicki	+2.8
18	8-10	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Madi Collins	+1.9
19	9-10	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Madyn Cervellera	+2.6
20	9-11	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+2.3
21	10-11	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Anna Jelinek	+2.1
22	10-12	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+2.4
23	11-12	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell		+2.1
24	11-13	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+2.5
25	12-13	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+2.2
26	12-14	LBSU	WASHST	Serve err	LBSU server		+2.6
27	13-14	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+2.3
28	14-14	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+3.2
29	14-15	LBSU	WASHST	Serve err	LBSU server		+2.7
30	15-15	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+2.5
31	15-16	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+2.8
32	16-16	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+2.7
33	16-17	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+3.0
34	17-17	WASHST	LBSU×6	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+2.8
35	18-17	LBSU	LBSU×6	Ace	LBSU server	aced Kambree Rodriguez	+3.8
36	19-17	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+3.6
37	20-17	LBSU	LBSU×6	Ace	LBSU server	aced Madyn Cervellera	+3.0
38	21-17	LBSU	LBSU×6	Attack err	Whitney Dewicki	blk Chloe Johnson, Pola Bujnarowska	+2.2
39	22-17	LBSU	LBSU×6	Ace	LBSU server	aced Madyn Cervellera	+1.4
40	22-18	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+0.6
41	22-19	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+1.3
42	23-19	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.6
43	23-20	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.8
44	23-21	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+2.0
45	24-21	WASHST	LBSU	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera	blk Sidney Hamaker, Reagan Hope	+2.7
46	24-22	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+1.1
47	25-22	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+2.5
Set 2
1	0-1	LBSU	WASHST	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+1.4
2	0-2	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+1.9
3	1-2	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.4
4	1-3	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+1.5
5	2-3	WASHST	LBSU×3	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.4
6	3-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Bad set	Audrey Hollis		+1.8
7	4-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera	blk Reagan Hope, Madi Maxwell	+1.8
8	4-4	LBSU	WASHST×3	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+1.4
9	4-5	WASHST	WASHST×3	Bad set	Madi Maxwell		+2.0
10	4-6	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+2.1
11	5-6	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.5
12	6-6	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera	blk Reagan Hope, Madi Maxwell	+2.0
13	6-7	LBSU	WASHST	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+1.6
14	6-8	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+2.2
15	7-8	WASHST	LBSU	Attack err	Mary Healy		+1.6
16	8-8	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Mary Healy		+2.1
17	8-9	LBSU	WASHST×3	Attack err	Izzy Mahaffey	blk Naomi White	+1.7
18	8-10	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+2.3
19	8-11	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+2.3
20	9-11	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.6
21	10-11	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Collins	+2.2
22	10-12	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+1.9
23	10-13	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+2.5
24	11-13	WASHST	LBSU×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.7
25	12-13	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+2.4
26	13-13	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+2.5
27	13-14	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Mary Healy	+2.1
28	14-14	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+2.0
29	14-15	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+2.2
30	15-15	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+2.1
31	16-15	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+2.8
32	16-16	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+2.2
33	17-16	WASHST	LBSU×6	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+2.2
34	18-16	LBSU	LBSU×6	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+2.8
35	19-16	LBSU	LBSU×6	Ace	LBSU server	aced Team	+2.4
36	20-16	LBSU	LBSU×6	Bad set	Livia Ward		+1.8
37	21-16	LBSU	LBSU×6	Attack err	Audrey Hollis		+1.2
38	22-16	LBSU	LBSU×6	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
39	22-17	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Livia Ward	+0.2
40	23-17	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
41	23-18	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.2
42	23-19	WASHST	WASHST	Ace	WASHST server	aced Haumea Marumoto	+0.4
43	24-19	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.6
44	25-19	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Haumea Marumoto	set Madi Maxwell	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
2	2-0	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.9
3	2-1	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.7
4	3-1	WASHST	LBSU×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.7
5	4-1	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Naomi White		+0.8
6	5-1	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madyn Cervellera	+0.8
7	5-2	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+0.5
8	5-3	WASHST	WASHST	Ace	WASHST server	aced Team	+0.8
9	6-3	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Sidney Hamaker	+0.7
10	6-4	LBSU	WASHST	Attack err	Reagan Hope	blk Naomi White	+0.7
11	7-4	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Livia Ward	+0.7
12	7-5	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+0.7
13	8-5	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
14	9-5	LBSU	LBSU	Bad set	Livia Ward		+0.8
15	9-6	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.6
16	10-6	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+0.6
17	10-7	LBSU	WASHST×3	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.6
18	10-8	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+0.9
19	10-9	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Team	+1.1
20	11-9	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.9
21	12-9	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+1.0
22	12-10	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.7
23	12-11	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+1.2
24	13-11	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.9
25	14-11	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
26	14-12	LBSU	WASHST	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+0.8
27	15-12	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.9
28	15-13	LBSU	WASHST	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.8
29	16-13	WASHST	LBSU×4	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.9
30	17-13	LBSU	LBSU×4	Ace	LBSU server	aced Chloe Heimlicher	+1.0
31	18-13	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Mary Healy	blk Reagan Hope, Madi Maxwell	+0.7
32	19-13	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Reagan Hope		+0.5
33	19-14	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+0.3
34	20-14	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
35	21-14	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Madyn Cervellera	+0.3
36	21-15	LBSU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.1
37	22-15	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kendal Murphy	+0.2
38	23-15	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Kryssa Moerman		+0.1
39	23-16	LBSU	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
40	23-17	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
41	23-18	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Izzy Mahaffey	+0.1
42	24-18	WASHST	LBSU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.2
43	24-19	LBSU	WASHST	Bad set	Madi Maxwell		+0.0
44	25-19	WASHST	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Long Beach St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.