Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Air Force def. Tennessee Tech 3–1

Air Force beat visiting Tennessee Tech 3-1 (25-13, 25-18, 23-25, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Air Force's Annamaria Ramos led with 15 kills, and Ella Vogel added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
TNTECH131825221
AIRFOR252523253

Win probability

Air Force above 50 · Tennessee Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.6% TNTECHrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Tennessee Tech — set 3, TNTECH 25-23 AIRFOR. Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin). AIRFOR win probability 93% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TNTECH 20.1%79.9% AIRFOR

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.7%
3-2
10.1%

Air Force wins

3-0
31.4%
3-1
30.2%
3-2
18.3%
TNTECH break %
38.6% vs this opp
AIRFOR break %
45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alayna PierceKill+3.6%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 3 · TNTECH 25-23 AIRFOR · TNTECH 7% → 11%

  2. 02
    Annamaria RamosAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Annamaria Ramos

    Set 4 · TNTECH 16-16 AIRFOR · TNTECH 10% → 13%

  3. 03
    Kennedy SimonKill+3.4%

    Kill by Kennedy Simon (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 16-18 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 89% → 93%

  4. 04
    Air ForceAce+3.3%

    Air Force ace on Kamya Mahorn

    Set 4 · TNTECH 20-23 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 95% → 98%

  5. 05

    Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Kennedy Simon)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 20-22 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 91% → 95%

  6. 06
    Grace FiaseuKill+3.0%

    Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Samantha Pope)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 19-21 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 91% → 94%

  7. 07
    Karina MendivilAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Karina Mendivil

    Set 4 · TNTECH 15-16 AIRFOR · TNTECH 7% → 10%

  8. 08
    Grace FiaseuKill+2.7%

    Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Samantha Pope)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 18-20 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 91% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4131055.0551126100014
48724.042000310219
45415.067200400216
44117.176000200215
4209.2223410110010.53.5
3038-.375000300000
4102.5002011900001
4000–1001700000
38525.120111151010.59.5
3001.000100210000
24618-.111010210005
21011.000200000001
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals4736176.063444484508478
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415442.26222013210118
411224.37500130153.514.5
410545.11120013100010
45419.053200501438
43415-.067000300847
4000–1410800001
45219.15810010010.55.5
4002.00015101300001
4000–312200001
4000–3001800000
2213.333000000002
Team totals5122169.17242537943181298

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 TNTECH · AIRFOR 9

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 TNTECHAIRFOR 9

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 TNTECHAIRFOR 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 7 TNTECHAIRFOR 6

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 TNTECHAIRFOR 8

Bars above the line = Air Force leads, below = Tennessee Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
26%9/34
53%10/19
2
47%8/17
33%4/12
3
73%8/11
27%3/11
4
54%7/13
43%6/14
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
64%7/11
36%4/11
All
47%46/97
41%32/79

Air Force

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
61%14/23
2
73%8/11
62%13/21
3
57%8/14
50%8/16
4
78%7/9
42%5/12
5
50%7/14
46%6/13
6
44%7/16
42%5/12
All
59%47/79
53%51/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#TNTECH-AIRFORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1AIRFORAIRFORAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.7
21-1AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.3
31-2TNTECHAIRFORAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.2
42-2AIRFORTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.3
53-2TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.0
63-3TNTECHAIRFORBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton+1.3
74-3AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.5
85-3TNTECHTNTECHAttack errAnnamaria Ramos+2.2
95-4TNTECHAIRFOR×3KillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.4
105-5AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.0
115-6AIRFORAIRFOR×3AceAir Forceaced Alayna Pierce+1.9
126-6AIRFORTNTECHAttack errKennedy Simon+1.4
136-7TNTECHAIRFOR×4KillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+1.4
146-8AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillJenness Orcutt+1.8
156-9AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillGrace Fiaseuset Kennedy Simon+1.6
166-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errBella Potempa+1.4
177-10AIRFORTNTECHServe errAir Force+0.9
187-11TNTECHAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Samantha Pope+1.0
198-11AIRFORTNTECHAttack errLainie Stapleton+0.9
208-12TNTECHAIRFOR×9BlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Lainie Stapleton, Zoe Kirby+1.0
218-13AIRFORAIRFOR×9Attack errAudrey Berkebile+1.1
228-14AIRFORAIRFOR×9Attack errAshlyn Gamble+0.8
238-15AIRFORAIRFOR×9KillAnnamaria Ramosset Ella Vogel+0.6
248-16AIRFORAIRFOR×9Attack errAshlyn Gamble+0.4
258-17AIRFORAIRFOR×9KillAnnamaria Ramosset Zoe Kirby+0.2
268-18AIRFORAIRFOR×9Attack errTuva Falk+0.1
278-19AIRFORAIRFOR×9Attack errTuva Falk+0.1
288-20AIRFORAIRFOR×9KillAnnamaria Ramos·
299-20AIRFORTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin·
309-21TNTECHAIRFORKillZoe Kirbyset Mia Loyd·
319-22AIRFORAIRFORBlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton·
3210-22AIRFORTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Bella Lineberger·
3310-23TNTECHAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd·
3411-23AIRFORTNTECH×3KillBella Linebergerset Shelby Hannah·
3512-23TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errGrace Fiaseu·
3613-23TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTennessee Techaced Kennedy Simon·
3713-24TNTECHAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Samantha Pope·
3813-25AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Forceaced Audrey Berkebile·
Set 2
10-1TNTECHAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+0.9
20-2AIRFORAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Aylani Correa+1.2
31-2AIRFORTNTECHServe errAir Force+0.9
41-3TNTECHAIRFOR×4KillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+0.8
51-4AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+1.1
61-5AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errAudrey Berkebile+0.9
71-6AIRFORAIRFOR×4AceAir Forceaced Shelby Hannah+0.8
82-6AIRFORTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+0.5
92-7TNTECHAIRFOR×3KillJenness Orcuttset Tuva Falk+0.5
102-8AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+0.6
112-9AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Samantha Pope+0.5
123-9AIRFORTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.3
133-10TNTECHAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Samantha Pope+0.3
143-11AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillKennedy Simonset Jenness Orcutt+0.3
153-12AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errJordyn Milhouse+0.2
164-12AIRFORTNTECH×3BlockedJenness Orcuttblk Kamya Mahorn, Jordyn Milhouse+0.1
175-12TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.2
186-12TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errZoe Kirby+0.4
196-13TNTECHAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Annamaria Ramos+0.3
207-13AIRFORTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.3
217-14TNTECHAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Annamaria Ramos+0.3
228-14AIRFORTNTECHAttack errKennedy Simon+0.2
238-15TNTECHAIRFORBlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Zoe Kirby, Lainie Stapleton+0.3
248-16AIRFORAIRFORBlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton+0.3
259-16AIRFORTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Bella Lineberger+0.1
269-17TNTECHAIRFORBlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Grace Fiaseu+0.2
279-18AIRFORAIRFORBad setBella Lineberger+0.1
2810-18AIRFORTNTECH×3KillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+0.1
2911-18TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.1
3012-18TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedAnnamaria Ramosblk Ashlyn Gamble, Jordyn Milhouse+0.2
3112-19TNTECHAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+0.2
3213-19AIRFORTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.1
3314-19TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Brooklyn Rapp+0.4
3414-20TNTECHAIRFORAttack errKamya Mahorn+0.4
3514-21AIRFORAIRFORAttack errKamya Mahorn+0.3
3615-21AIRFORTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+0.1
3715-22TNTECHAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Ella Vogel+0.2
3816-22AIRFORTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Ella Watford+0.1
3916-23TNTECHAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+0.1
4017-23AIRFORTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin·
4118-23TNTECHTNTECHAttack errLainie Stapleton+0.1
4218-24TNTECHAIRFORKillZoe Kirbyset Mia Loyd+0.2
4318-25AIRFORAIRFORBlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Annamaria Ramos·
Set 3
11-0AIRFORTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+0.5
21-1TNTECHAIRFORAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.5
31-2AIRFORAIRFORBlockedKamya Mahornblk Lainie Stapleton+0.7
42-2AIRFORTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Tuva Falk+0.5
52-3TNTECHAIRFORAttack errKamya Mahorn+0.5
63-3AIRFORTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.5
74-3TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Alayna Pierce+0.8
84-4TNTECHAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+0.5
95-4AIRFORTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.6
105-5TNTECHAIRFORBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Grace Fiaseu, Jenness Orcutt+0.5
116-5AIRFORTNTECH×3KillMorgan Petelinset Morgan Petelin+0.6
127-5TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errJenness Orcutt+0.9
138-5TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedKennedy Simonblk Morgan Petelin, Tuva Falk+0.9
148-6TNTECHAIRFOR×4Attack errKamya Mahorn+0.6
158-7AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errTuva Falk+0.8
168-8AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillZoe Kirby+0.8
178-9AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillZoe Kirby+0.8
189-9AIRFORTNTECH×7KillKamya Mahornset Tuva Falk+0.6
1910-9TNTECHTNTECH×7Attack errKennedy Simon+0.9
2011-9TNTECHTNTECH×7KillAshlyn Gambleset Lainie Stapleton+1.0
2112-9TNTECHTNTECH×7Bad setLainie Stapleton+1.0
2213-9TNTECHTNTECH×7Attack errKennedy Simon+1.0
2314-9TNTECHTNTECH×7AceTennessee Techaced Annamaria Ramos+0.9
2415-9TNTECHTNTECH×7BlockedZoe Kirbyblk Tuva Falk, Ashlyn Gamble+0.8
2515-10TNTECHAIRFORKillKarina Mendivilset Zoe Kirby+0.4
2616-10AIRFORTNTECHAttack errLainie Stapleton+0.6
2717-10TNTECHTNTECHAttack errZoe Kirby+0.6
2817-11TNTECHAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+0.3
2918-11AIRFORTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+0.4
3018-12TNTECHAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.2
3118-13AIRFORAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+0.5
3219-13AIRFORTNTECHAttack errAnnamaria Ramos+0.5
3319-14TNTECHAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Samantha Pope+0.3
3420-14AIRFORTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.5
3520-15TNTECHAIRFORServe errTennessee Tech+0.3
3621-15AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.5
3721-16TNTECHAIRFORAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.2
3821-17AIRFORAIRFORAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.5
3922-17AIRFORTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Ella Vogel+0.6
4023-17TNTECHTNTECHAttack errLainie Stapleton+0.4
4123-18TNTECHAIRFOR×6KillZoe Kirbyset Mia Loyd+0.1
4223-19AIRFORAIRFOR×6BlockedBella Potempablk Zoe Kirby, Lainie Stapleton+0.3
4323-20AIRFORAIRFOR×6BlockedBella Potempablk Zoe Kirby, Lainie Stapleton+0.5
4423-21AIRFORAIRFOR×6Attack errAshlyn Gamble+0.9
4523-22AIRFORAIRFOR×6KillAnnamaria Ramos+1.6
4623-23AIRFORAIRFOR×6Attack errAshlyn Gamble+2.4
4724-23AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.3
4825-23TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.6
Set 4
10-1TNTECHAIRFOR×8BlockedTuva Falkblk Zoe Kirby+1.4
20-2AIRFORAIRFOR×8AceAir Forceaced Ashlyn Gamble+1.9
30-3AIRFORAIRFOR×8KillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+1.7
40-4AIRFORAIRFOR×8Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.5
50-5AIRFORAIRFOR×8KillAnnamaria Ramos+1.2
60-6AIRFORAIRFOR×8KillAnnamaria Ramosset Aylani Correa+1.0
70-7AIRFORAIRFOR×8KillAnnamaria Ramosset Aylani Correa+0.8
80-8AIRFORAIRFOR×8KillGrace Fiaseu+0.6
91-8AIRFORTNTECH×3KillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+0.3
102-8TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.6
113-8TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTennessee Techaced Annamaria Ramos+0.9
123-9TNTECHAIRFOR×4Serve errTennessee Tech+0.7
133-10AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAnnamaria Ramosset Ella Vogel+0.8
143-11AIRFORAIRFOR×4Bad setMorgan Petelin+0.5
153-12AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errAshlyn Gamble+0.4
164-12AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Ella Watford+0.2
174-13TNTECHAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+0.2
185-13AIRFORTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+0.2
196-13TNTECHTNTECHAttack errGrace Fiaseu+0.4
206-14TNTECHAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Samantha Pope+0.3
217-14AIRFORTNTECH×4KillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+0.3
228-14TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTennessee Tech+0.5
239-14TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.8
2410-14TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.1
2510-15TNTECHAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Samantha Pope+1.0
2611-15AIRFORTNTECH×3KillElla Watfordset Kamya Mahorn+0.8
2712-15TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.6
2813-15TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errZoe Kirby+2.1
2913-16TNTECHAIRFORKillKarina Mendivilset Mia Loyd+1.7
3014-16AIRFORTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.6
3115-16TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errKarina Mendivil+2.9
3216-16TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errAnnamaria Ramos+3.6
3316-17TNTECHAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+2.6
3416-18AIRFORAIRFORKillKennedy Simonset Mia Loyd+3.4
3517-18AIRFORTNTECHServe errAir Force+2.3
3617-19TNTECHAIRFORServe errTennessee Tech+2.5
3718-19AIRFORTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+2.4
3818-20TNTECHAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+2.7
3919-20AIRFORTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+2.5
4019-21TNTECHAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+3.0
4120-21AIRFORTNTECHBad setGrace Fiaseu+2.6
4220-22TNTECHAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Kennedy Simon+3.3
4320-23AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Forceaced Kamya Mahorn+3.3
4421-23AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.4
4521-24TNTECHAIRFORServe errTennessee Tech+2.3
4622-24AIRFORTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.9
4722-25TNTECHAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+2.1

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).