Long Beach State def. Sacramento State 3-0 (Oct 17)

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Long Beach St. 71.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Long Beach St. won at Sacramento St. 3-0 (25-18, 25-20, 27-25) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Kyler Birkelbach led Long Beach St. with 12 kills; Sacramento St.'s Victoria Marthaler had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LBSU	25	25	27	3
SAC ST	18	20	25	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Long Beach St. outhit Sacramento St. .316 to .144.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.0 points, and Sacramento St.'s high was 27% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Long Beach St. went in as RallyIQ's 71% pick.

Long Beach St.Sacramento St.

Break %+11.1 pts
48.036.9
36 of 75 on serve vs 24 of 65, so Sacramento St.'s sideout was 52.0%.
Hitting+.172
.316.144
40 kills, 10 errors vs 41 kills, 24 errors.
Longest run+1
54
5 straight Long Beach St. points in the first set stretched an 8–6 lead to 13–6. That set ended 25–18.

Sacramento St. above 50Long Beach St. belowMax swing 4.0%

Long Beach St.Sacramento St.

Aces: Long Beach St. 7·Sacramento St. 6
Serve err: Long Beach St. 5·Sacramento St. 5
Blocks: Long Beach St. 14·Sacramento St. 50 BS · 28 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Long Beach St. 39·Sacramento St. 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Sacramento St. above 50 · Long Beach St. below

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Long Beach St. — set 3, LBSU 26-25 SAC ST. Bad set by Victoria Marthaler. SAC ST win probability 8% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LBSU 76.5%23.5% SAC ST

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

28.3%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

19.0%

Sacramento St. wins

3-0

4.1%

3-1

8.0%

3-2

11.5%

LBSU break %: 45.5% vs this opp
SAC ST break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Victoria MarthalerBad set+4.0%
Bad set by Victoria Marthaler
Set 3 · LBSU 26-25 SAC ST · LBSU 92% → 96%
02
Kyler BirkelbachKill+3.6%
Kill by Kyler Birkelbach (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 3 · LBSU 27-25 SAC ST · LBSU 96% → 100%
03
Victoria MarthalerKill+3.2%
Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Keonahi'ilani Solaita)
Set 3 · LBSU 23-24 SAC ST · SAC ST 8% → 11%
04
Madi MaxwellKill+3.2%
Kill by Madi Maxwell (set by Kinga Ziolkowska)
Set 3 · LBSU 24-24 SAC ST · LBSU 89% → 92%
05
Victoria MarthalerKill+3.2%
Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Keonahi'ilani Solaita)
Set 3 · LBSU 24-25 SAC ST · SAC ST 8% → 11%
06
Kyler Birkelbach&Kendal MurphyBlock+3.2%
Kelsey Heffner stuffed by Kyler Birkelbach & Kendal Murphy
Set 3 · LBSU 25-25 SAC ST · LBSU 89% → 92%
07
Charlee Lepp&Skyler GartinBlock+2.8%
Reagan Hope stuffed by Charlee Lepp & Skyler Gartin
Set 3 · LBSU 21-22 SAC ST · SAC ST 7% → 9%
08
Charlee LeppAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Charlee Lepp
Set 2 · LBSU 16-15 SAC ST · LBSU 82% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Long Beach St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Kyler BirkelbachMB	3	12	0	16	.750	0	2	0	1	0	7	3.5	17.5
77Kendal MurphyOH	3	6	1	18	.278	0	2	1	3	1	5	2.5	10.5
11Madi MaxwellS	3	8	2	18	.333	16	0	2	7	1	5	2.5	10.5
3Pola BujnarowskaMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	9.5
0Anna JelinekOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	1
13Sidney HamakerOH	2	1	4	8	-.375	0	0	2	0	1	1	0.5	1.5
6Chloe JohnsonOH	3	4	1	16	.188	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Izzy MahaffeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	0	19	2	0	0	2
12Kinga ZiolkowskaS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
24Reagan HopeMB	2	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
4Laurel BarsocchiniL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	10	95	.316	38	7	5	39	6	28	14	77

Sacramento St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Victoria MarthalerOH	3	16	12	49	.082	0	1	1	3	0	1	0.5	17.5
7Skyler GartinMB	3	8	0	12	.667	0	1	1	4	0	4	2	11
3Nikola GamlinMB	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
14Keonahi'ilani SolaitaOH	3	4	2	11	.182	2	0	0	6	2	0	0	4
6Mia MolnarOH	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	3.5
18Makenna WiepertS	3	1	0	6	.167	31	1	1	8	0	0	0	2
17Charlee LeppOH	3	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	3.5
4Amy ItoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	2	0	0	0	3
2Reese AmpiDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	10	2	0	0	0
16Kaylee PiephoS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
9Kelsey HeffnerMB	1	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
10Addy ScheitlinOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	24	118	.144	38	6	5	39	7	10	5	63

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LBSU · SAC ST 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 LBSUSAC ST 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 LBSUSAC ST 3

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 5 LBSUSAC ST 4

Bars above the line = Sacramento St. leads, below = Long Beach St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Long Beach St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	45%5/11
2	70%7/10	30%3/10
3	64%7/11	36%4/11
4	54%7/13	56%9/16
5	60%6/10	63%10/16
6	86%6/7	45%5/11
All	63%41/65	48%36/75

Sacramento St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	36%4/11
2	70%7/10	27%3/11
3	47%7/15	36%4/11
4	38%6/16	50%7/14
5	46%6/13	45%5/11
6	56%5/9	14%1/7
All	52%39/75	37%24/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#	LBSU-SAC ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SAC ST	LBSU	Serve err	Makenna Wiepert		+1.5
2	2-0	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	Long Beach St.		+1.9
3	2-1	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.4
4	3-1	SAC ST	LBSU×3	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.5
5	4-1	LBSU	LBSU×3	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Sidney Hamaker	+1.8
6	5-1	LBSU	LBSU×3	Ace	Long Beach St.		+1.6
7	5-2	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
8	5-3	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Skyler Gartin	aced Izzy Mahaffey	+1.8
9	6-3	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+1.4
10	6-4	LBSU	SAC ST	Serve err	Sidney Hamaker		+1.4
11	7-4	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.4
12	8-4	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+1.7
13	8-5	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.2
14	8-6	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.9
15	9-6	SAC ST	LBSU×5	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.5
16	10-6	LBSU	LBSU×5	Blocked	Nikola Gamlin	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Kendal Murphy	+1.8
17	11-6	LBSU	LBSU×5	Blocked	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Madi Maxwell	+1.5
18	12-6	LBSU	LBSU×5	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Reese Ampi	+1.2
19	13-6	LBSU	LBSU×5	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+0.9
20	13-7	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
21	13-8	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
22	14-8	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.9
23	14-9	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.7
24	14-10	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Kendal Murphy	+1.2
25	15-10	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
26	15-11	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
27	16-11	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
28	16-12	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
29	17-12	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
30	18-12	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+1.1
31	18-13	LBSU	SAC ST×4	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
32	18-14	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
33	18-15	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Madi Maxwell	+1.7
34	18-16	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Izzy Mahaffey	+2.3
35	19-16	SAC ST	LBSU×4	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+2.1
36	20-16	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+2.2
37	21-16	LBSU	LBSU×4	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Madi Maxwell, Pola Bujnarowska	+1.4
38	22-16	LBSU	LBSU×4	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Madi Maxwell	+0.8
39	22-17	LBSU	SAC ST	Attack err	Madi Maxwell		+0.3
40	23-17	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.5
41	23-18	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Charlee Lepp	set Reese Ampi	+0.2
42	24-18	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.3
43	25-18	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Keonahi'ilani Solaita		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	LBSU	SAC ST	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.4
2	0-2	SAC ST	SAC ST	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar	+1.9
3	1-2	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+1.3
4	2-2	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Reese Ampi	+1.8
5	2-3	LBSU	SAC ST	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.4
6	3-3	SAC ST	LBSU×3	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+1.3
7	4-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Ace	Long Beach St.	aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+1.8
8	5-3	LBSU	LBSU×3	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Chloe Johnson, Pola Bujnarowska	+1.7
9	5-4	LBSU	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.3
10	5-5	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin	+1.9
11	5-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Sidney Hamaker	+2.0
12	6-6	SAC ST	LBSU	Attack err	Nikola Gamlin		+1.5
13	6-7	LBSU	SAC ST	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.6
14	6-8	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+2.2
15	7-8	SAC ST	LBSU	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.5
16	8-8	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+2.1
17	8-9	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.7
18	9-9	SAC ST	LBSU	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.6
19	9-10	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.7
20	10-10	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.6
21	10-11	LBSU	SAC ST	Serve err	Long Beach St.		+1.8
22	11-11	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+1.7
23	11-12	LBSU	SAC ST×3	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.9
24	11-13	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+2.6
25	11-14	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.6
26	12-14	SAC ST	LBSU	Serve err	Skyler Gartin		+1.6
27	12-15	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.0
28	13-15	SAC ST	LBSU×4	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.7
29	14-15	LBSU	LBSU×4	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Madi Maxwell, Pola Bujnarowska	+2.6
30	15-15	LBSU	LBSU×4	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Madi Maxwell	+2.7
31	16-15	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Charlee Lepp		+2.8
32	16-16	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Kaylee Piepho	+2.1
33	17-16	SAC ST	LBSU×3	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+2.2
34	18-16	LBSU	LBSU×3	Ace	Anna Jelinek	aced Charlee Lepp	+2.7
35	19-16	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+2.3
36	19-17	LBSU	SAC ST	Attack err	Kendal Murphy		+1.4
37	20-17	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.8
38	21-17	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	Izzy Mahaffey	aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+1.8
39	21-18	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Kaylee Piepho	+0.9
40	22-18	SAC ST	LBSU×3	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.3
41	23-18	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach		+1.0
42	24-18	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
43	24-19	LBSU	SAC ST	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar	+0.1
44	24-20	SAC ST	SAC ST	Blocked	Sidney Hamaker	blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin	+0.2
45	25-20	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	SAC ST	SAC ST	Bad set	Madi Maxwell		+1.0
2	1-1	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.7
3	1-2	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.8
4	2-2	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.7
5	2-3	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.8
6	2-4	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
7	3-4	SAC ST	LBSU	Attack err	Nikola Gamlin		+0.8
8	4-4	LBSU	LBSU	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Kendal Murphy	+1.1
9	4-5	LBSU	SAC ST×3	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.8
10	4-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Madi Maxwell		+1.2
11	4-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.2
12	5-7	SAC ST	LBSU	Serve err	Amy Ito		+0.8
13	6-7	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Izzy Mahaffey	+1.1
14	6-8	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
15	7-8	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+0.9
16	7-9	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Charlee Lepp	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.0
17	8-9	SAC ST	LBSU×3	Blocked	Charlee Lepp	blk Reagan Hope, Kyler Birkelbach	+0.9
18	9-9	LBSU	LBSU×3	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+1.2
19	10-9	LBSU	LBSU×3	Blocked	Charlee Lepp	blk Reagan Hope, Pola Bujnarowska	+1.2
20	10-10	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
21	11-10	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.9
22	12-10	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	+1.2
23	12-11	LBSU	SAC ST	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+0.9
24	12-12	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+1.3
25	13-12	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.0
26	13-13	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.0
27	14-13	SAC ST	LBSU×5	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.0
28	15-13	LBSU	LBSU×5	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+1.3
29	16-13	LBSU	LBSU×5	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Kendal Murphy	+1.2
30	17-13	LBSU	LBSU×5	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Kendal Murphy	+1.0
31	18-13	LBSU	LBSU×5	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+0.7
32	18-14	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.4
33	19-14	SAC ST	LBSU	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+0.5
34	19-15	LBSU	SAC ST×4	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.4
35	19-16	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Kill	Kelsey Heffner	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.7
36	19-17	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Ace	Victoria Marthaler	aced Anna Jelinek	+1.1
37	19-18	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Kill	Kelsey Heffner	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
38	20-18	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+1.3
39	20-19	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Makenna Wiepert		+1.2
40	21-19	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+1.4
41	21-20	LBSU	SAC ST×3	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.2
42	21-21	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Skyler Gartin		+2.3
43	21-22	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Reagan Hope	blk Charlee Lepp, Skyler Gartin	+2.8
44	22-22	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+2.0
45	22-23	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Charlee Lepp	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.5
46	23-23	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+2.4
47	23-24	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+3.2
48	24-24	SAC ST	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kinga Ziolkowska	+3.2
49	24-25	LBSU	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+3.2
50	25-25	SAC ST	LBSU×3	Blocked	Kelsey Heffner	blk Kyler Birkelbach, Kendal Murphy	+3.2
51	26-25	LBSU	LBSU×3	Bad set	Victoria Marthaler		+4.0
52	27-25	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Kyler Birkelbach	set Madi Maxwell	+3.6

Score shown after each rally, Long Beach St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Long Beach St. def. Sacramento St. 3–0

Long Beach St. outhit Sacramento St. .316 to .144.