FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayATLANTIC-10

0:3

HomeACC

California def. Loyola Chicago 3–0

(25-21, 25-16, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LOYCHI	21	16	14	0
CAL	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CAL above 50 · LOYCHI below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Loyola Chicago — set 1, LOYCHI 12-10 CAL. Ashley Li stuffed by Avary DeBlieck & Leyna Nguyen. CAL win probability 87% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LOYCHI 10.3%89.7% CAL

Loyola Chicago wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.1%

3-2

5.7%

California wins

3-0

44.0%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.2%

LOYCHI break %: 35.7% vs this opp
CAL break %: 45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ashley LiAttack error+2.0%
Ashley Li stuffed by Avary DeBlieck & Leyna Nguyen
Set 1 · LOYCHI 12-10 CAL · LOYCHI 13% → 15%
02
Portia ShermanAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Portia Sherman
Set 1 · LOYCHI 20-21 CAL · LOYCHI 8% → 10%
03
Sawyer ThomsenKill+1.9%
Kill by Sawyer Thomsen (set by Anna Flores)
Set 1 · LOYCHI 21-23 CAL · CAL 91% → 92%
04
CAL serverAce+1.8%
California ace on Team
Set 1 · LOYCHI 12-12 CAL · CAL 86% → 88%
05
Portia ShermanAttack error+1.8%
Portia Sherman stuffed by Mallory Bohl & Mya Ball
Set 1 · LOYCHI 7-3 CAL · LOYCHI 15% → 17%
06
Katie SchererAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Katie Scherer
Set 1 · LOYCHI 13-14 CAL · CAL 88% → 90%
07
Tenley DavisAttack error+1.7%
Tenley Davis stuffed by Sawyer Thomsen & Abby Zimmerman
Set 1 · LOYCHI 10-9 CAL · CAL 85% → 87%
08
Katie SchererAttack error+1.7%
Katie Scherer stuffed by Portia Sherman & Sawyer Thomsen
Set 1 · LOYCHI 21-24 CAL · CAL 92% → 94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Loyola Chicagoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Leyna NguyenDS	3	10	5	29	.172	0	0	1	7	2	1	0.5	10.5
12Katie SchererOH	3	7	5	24	.083	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
15Avary DeBlieckMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
14Mallory BohlMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
6Mya BallS	3	0	0	3	.000	26	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
10Tenley DavisOH	1	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
16Jordan BrucknerL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	1
1Jae FittingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	1
4Sam FalkL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	0
8Claire Van Den HerikOH	1	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Chloe Morgan	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Kate MaleyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	17	93	.118	26	1	7	25	8	16	8	51

Californiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Ashley LiOH	3	14	5	24	.375	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	16
15Sawyer ThomsenMB	3	11	1	17	.588	0	0	2	1	0	5	2.5	13.5
13Abby ZimmermanOH	3	7	2	17	.294	0	4	2	8	0	3	1.5	12.5
5Cari BohmMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
24Anna FloresS	3	1	1	3	.000	37	2	0	6	0	2	1	4
21Portia ShermanOH	3	2	2	9	.000	0	0	3	6	1	3	1.5	3.5
14Elise LauL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
7Siena MacCuddenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
2Sophia JohnsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	13	82	.341	39	8	8	36	1	16	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LOYCHI · CAL 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 LOYCHICAL 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 LOYCHICAL 6

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 LOYCHICAL 4

Bars above the line = California leads, below = Loyola Chicago leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Loyola Chicago

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	30%3/10
2	46%6/13	42%5/12
3	86%6/7	14%1/7
4	38%6/16	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	56%5/9	14%1/7
All	49%36/73	28%15/53

California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	33%3/9
2	54%7/13	59%10/17
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	67%6/9	54%7/13
5	100%6/6	45%5/11
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	72%38/53	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	LOYCHI-CAL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.7
2	1-1	CAL	LOYCHI×4	Attack err	Ashley Li		+0.8
3	2-1	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×4	Bad set	Anna Flores		+1.3
4	3-1	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×4	Kill	Avary DeBlieck		+1.5
5	4-1	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×4	Kill	Avary DeBlieck	set Mya Ball	+1.6
6	4-2	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.9
7	5-2	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+1.2
8	5-3	LOYCHI	CAL	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+1.0
9	6-3	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+1.2
10	7-3	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Attack err	Portia Sherman	blk Mallory Bohl, Mya Ball	+1.8
11	7-4	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.0
12	7-5	CAL	CAL	Ace	CAL server	aced Team	+1.6
13	8-5	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+1.3
14	8-6	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+1.1
15	9-6	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Tenley Davis	set Mya Ball	+1.3
16	9-7	LOYCHI	CAL	Attack err	Leyna Nguyen		+1.1
17	10-7	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Tenley Davis	set Mya Ball	+1.4
18	10-8	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.1
19	10-9	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Tenley Davis	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman	+1.7
20	10-10	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Tenley Davis	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman	+1.7
21	11-10	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+1.3
22	12-10	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Attack err	Ashley Li	blk Avary DeBlieck, Leyna Nguyen	+2.0
23	12-11	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.2
24	12-12	CAL	CAL	Ace	CAL server	aced Team	+1.8
25	13-12	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+1.4
26	13-13	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.2
27	13-14	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Katie Scherer		+1.8
28	14-14	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+1.3
29	14-15	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.2
30	14-16	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Leyna Nguyen		+1.6
31	14-17	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Leyna Nguyen		+1.3
32	15-17	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+0.8
33	15-18	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.9
34	15-19	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.0
35	15-20	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman		+0.6
36	16-20	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+0.3
37	17-20	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Attack err	Ashley Li		+0.7
38	17-21	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.7
39	18-21	CAL	LOYCHI×3	Kill	Tenley Davis	set Mya Ball	+0.4
40	19-21	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×3	Attack err	Ashley Li	blk Avary DeBlieck, Mya Ball	+1.2
41	20-21	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×3	Attack err	Portia Sherman		+2.0
42	20-22	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.7
43	21-22	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+1.4
44	21-23	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.9
45	21-24	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Katie Scherer	blk Portia Sherman, Sawyer Thomsen	+1.7
46	21-25	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Katie Scherer		+0.5
Set 2
1	0-1	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+0.7
2	0-2	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Claire Van Den Herik		+0.6
3	1-2	CAL	LOYCHI	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	blk Claire Van Den Herik, Avary DeBlieck	+0.5
4	1-3	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+0.4
5	1-4	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.6
6	1-5	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	CAL server	aced Team	+0.5
7	2-5	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+0.3
8	2-6	LOYCHI	CAL	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+0.3
9	3-6	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Avary DeBlieck	set Mya Ball	+0.3
10	3-7	LOYCHI	CAL×6	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.3
11	3-8	CAL	CAL×6	Attack err	Katie Scherer	blk Portia Sherman, Cari Bohm	+0.4
12	3-9	CAL	CAL×6	Ace	CAL server	aced Sam Falk	+0.3
13	3-10	CAL	CAL×6	Ace	CAL server	aced Jae Fitting	+0.2
14	3-11	CAL	CAL×6	Ace	CAL server	aced Jae Fitting	+0.1
15	3-12	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.1
16	4-12	CAL	LOYCHI	Attack err	Anna Flores		+0.0
17	4-13	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.1
18	4-14	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Leyna Nguyen	blk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores	+0.0
19	5-14	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
20	5-15	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Attack err	Mallory Bohl		+0.0
21	5-16	CAL	CAL×3	Bad set	Mya Ball		+0.0
22	5-17	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Claire Van Den Herik		+0.0
23	6-17	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Mallory Bohl	set Mya Ball	+0.0
24	7-17	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Kill	Jordan Bruckner		+0.0
25	7-18	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.0
26	8-18	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Claire Van Den Herik	set Mya Ball	+0.0
27	8-19	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.0
28	9-19	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+0.0
29	10-19	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Ace	LOYCHI server	aced Portia Sherman	+0.0
30	10-20	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.0
31	11-20	CAL	LOYCHI×3	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
32	12-20	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×3	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.0
33	13-20	LOYCHI	LOYCHI×3	Kill	Mallory Bohl	set Mya Ball	+0.0
34	13-21	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
35	13-22	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Leyna Nguyen	blk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm	+0.0
36	14-22	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.0
37	15-22	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.0
38	15-23	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.0
39	16-23	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
40	16-24	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.0
41	16-25	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LOYCHI	CAL×4	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+0.2
2	0-2	CAL	CAL×4	Attack err	Katie Scherer	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen	+0.3
3	0-3	CAL	CAL×4	Ace	CAL server	aced Leyna Nguyen	+0.3
4	0-4	CAL	CAL×4	Ace	CAL server	aced Leyna Nguyen	+0.2
5	1-4	CAL	LOYCHI	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	blk Katie Scherer, Avary DeBlieck	+0.1
6	1-5	LOYCHI	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.2
7	1-6	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.2
8	1-7	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Chloe Morgan		+0.1
9	2-7	CAL	LOYCHI	Serve err	CAL server		+0.1
10	2-8	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.1
11	3-8	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.1
12	3-9	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.1
13	4-9	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.1
14	4-10	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.1
15	4-11	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
16	5-11	CAL	LOYCHI	Attack err	Cari Bohm	blk Katie Scherer, Mallory Bohl	+0.1
17	5-12	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
18	6-12	CAL	LOYCHI	Attack err	Ashley Li		+0.1
19	6-13	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores		+0.1
20	7-13	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Katie Scherer	set Mya Ball	+0.1
21	8-13	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen	blk Avary DeBlieck, Chloe Morgan	+0.1
22	8-14	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
23	9-14	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.1
24	9-15	LOYCHI	CAL	Attack err	Mallory Bohl	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Portia Sherman	+0.1
25	10-15	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.1
26	11-15	LOYCHI	LOYCHI	Attack err	Cari Bohm	blk Mallory Bohl, Mya Ball	+0.2
27	11-16	LOYCHI	CAL	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+0.1
28	11-17	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.1
29	12-17	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.1
30	12-18	LOYCHI	CAL	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+0.1
31	12-19	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
32	13-19	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Mallory Bohl	set Mya Ball	+0.0
33	13-20	LOYCHI	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
34	13-21	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Avary DeBlieck		+0.0
35	14-21	CAL	LOYCHI	Kill	Leyna Nguyen	set Mya Ball	+0.0
36	14-22	LOYCHI	CAL×4	Serve err	LOYCHI server		+0.0
37	14-23	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
38	14-24	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.0
39	14-25	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Chicago first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.