FinalThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on MW+

UTEP def. Air Force 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UTEP 78.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UTEP beat visiting Air Force 3-0 (25-21, 25-20, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. UTEP's Ema Uskokovic led with 10 kills.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set123Sets
AIRFOR2120200
UTEP2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Air Force hit .107. UTEP held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 1.9 points on one rally; Air Force topped out at 21% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UTEP at 78%.

Air ForceUTEP
  • Break %+12.6 pts
    30.643.2

    On serve: 32/74 against 19/62 (Air Force sideout 56.8%).

  • Hitting+.160
    .107.267

    Kills and errors: 47–16 vs 35–23.

  • Longest run+-1
    76

    UTEP scored 6 straight in the first set to go from 3–3 to a 9–3 lead. The set finished 25–21.

UTEP above 50Air Force belowMax swing 1.9%

Air ForceUTEP

Aces
Air Force 3·UTEP 3
Serve err
Air Force 2·UTEP 7
Blocks
Air Force 4·UTEP 121 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Air Force 48·UTEP 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UTEP above 50 · Air Force below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% AIRFORrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Air Force — set 1, AIRFOR 2-2 UTEP. Kill by Jenness Orcutt (set by Grace Fiaseu). UTEP win probability 81% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AIRFOR 25.5%74.5% UTEP

Air Force wins

3-0
4.5%
3-1
8.8%
3-2
12.2%

UTEP wins

3-0
26.6%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
19.4%
AIRFOR break %
37.4% vs this opp
UTEP break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jenness Orcutt (set by Grace Fiaseu)

    Set 1 · AIRFOR 2-2 UTEP · AIRFOR 19% → 21%

  2. 02
    Ema UskokovicKill+1.9%

    Kill by Ema Uskokovic

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 9-10 UTEP · UTEP 87% → 89%

  3. 03

    Alysa Walker stuffed by Luvina Oguntimehin & Landry Braziel

    Set 1 · AIRFOR 0-1 UTEP · UTEP 78% → 80%

  4. 04

    Alysa Walker stuffed by Hannah Crowe & Landry Braziel

    Set 1 · AIRFOR 3-5 UTEP · UTEP 80% → 82%

  5. 05
    Hannah CroweAce+1.8%

    Ace by Hannah Crowe on Ella Vogel

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 6-6 UTEP · UTEP 86% → 87%

  6. 06

    Alysa Walker stuffed by Hannah Crowe & Landry Braziel

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 9-11 UTEP · UTEP 89% → 91%

  7. 07

    Kill by Landry Braziel (set by Lily-Rose Pichon)

    Set 1 · AIRFOR 0-2 UTEP · UTEP 80% → 82%

  8. 08
    Luvina OguntimehinAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Luvina Oguntimehin

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 2-0 UTEP · AIRFOR 13% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39933.000000100010.59.5
37316.250000400007
35228.10701061010.56.5
36210.40010210010.56.5
34413.000000101226
3001.0001700400000
34310.10000000010.54.5
3001.00014101100001
3000–110300001
3000–100820000
Team totals3523112.107343248316461
UTEPhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37316.2500110018513
310228.28600290132.512.5
38315.3330000006311
39113.6150001002110
39225.280102900009
3002.0002100800000
33414-.07110010010.53.5
3000–022100002
31011.000600720001
3012-.5001500900000
2000–000310000
1000–000000000
Team totals4716116.26744374832201275

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Air Force vs UTEP

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 AIRFOR · UTEP 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 7 AIRFORUTEP 6

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 AIRFORUTEP 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 AIRFORUTEP 3

Bars above the line = UTEP leads, below = Air Force leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Air Force

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
43%3/7
2
42%5/12
17%1/6
3
42%5/12
17%1/6
4
63%5/8
17%1/6
5
80%4/5
62%8/13
6
75%3/4
0%0/4
All
55%27/49
33%14/42

UTEP

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
33%2/6
2
83%5/6
44%4/9
3
83%5/6
69%11/16
4
42%5/12
29%2/7
5
80%4/5
20%1/5
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
67%28/42
45%22/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#AIRFOR-UTEPSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UTEPUTEPBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Luvina Oguntimehin, Landry Braziel+1.9
20-2UTEPUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Lily-Rose Pichon+1.7
31-2UTEPAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+1.1
42-2AIRFORAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Grace Fiaseu+1.9
52-3AIRFORUTEPServe errGrace Fiaseu+1.2
63-3UTEPAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+1.3
73-4AIRFORUTEP×6KillLuvina Oguntimehinset Kalia Kohler+1.3
83-5UTEPUTEP×6BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel+1.8
93-6UTEPUTEP×6BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel+1.6
103-7UTEPUTEP×6AceLauren Perryaced Annamaria Ramos+1.4
113-8UTEPUTEP×6BlockedSonia Okparablk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel+1.1
123-9UTEPUTEP×6AceLauren Perryaced Ella Vogel+0.9
134-9UTEPAIRFORAttack errEma Uskokovic+0.5
144-10AIRFORUTEPBlockedLainie Stapletonblk Ema Uskokovic+0.6
154-11UTEPUTEPAttack errAnnamaria Ramos+0.6
165-11UTEPAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.3
176-11AIRFORAIRFORAttack errMackenzi Davis+0.7
186-12AIRFORUTEPBlockedAnnamaria Ramosblk Hannah Crowe, Ema Uskokovic+0.6
197-12UTEPAIRFORServe errEma Uskokovic+0.5
207-13AIRFORUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Shea Bruntmyer+0.6
217-14UTEPUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Shea Bruntmyer+0.6
228-14UTEPAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.3
239-14AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.6
249-15AIRFORUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Lily-Rose Pichon+0.5
2510-15UTEPAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.4
2610-16AIRFORUTEP×4Serve errGrace Fiaseu+0.5
2710-17UTEPUTEP×4Attack errJenness Orcutt+0.5
2810-18UTEPUTEP×4BlockedJenness Orcuttblk Ema Uskokovic, Luvina Oguntimehin+0.3
2910-19UTEPUTEP×4KillEma Uskokovicset Kalia Kohler+0.1
3011-19UTEPAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd·
3112-19AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Ella Vogel+0.1
3212-20AIRFORUTEP×3KillEma Uskokovicset Kalia Kohler+0.1
3312-21UTEPUTEP×3KillEma Uskokovicset Kalia Kohler+0.1
3412-22UTEPUTEP×3KillHannah Croweset Kalia Kohler·
3513-22UTEPAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope·
3614-22AIRFORAIRFORAttack errLandry Braziel·
3714-23AIRFORUTEPKillHannah Croweset Kalia Kohler·
3814-24UTEPUTEPKillHannah Croweset Samantha Pope·
3915-24UTEPAIRFOR×7BlockedEma Uskokovicblk Annamaria Ramos, Sonia Okpara·
4016-24AIRFORAIRFOR×7AceAylani Correaaced Bella Widmer·
4117-24AIRFORAIRFOR×7BlockedLaila Amosblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton·
4218-24AIRFORAIRFOR×7Attack errHannah Crowe·
4319-24AIRFORAIRFOR×7KillGrace Fiaseuset Aylani Correa·
4420-24AIRFORAIRFOR×7Attack errShea Bruntmyer+0.1
4521-24AIRFORAIRFOR×7Attack errHannah Crowe+0.4
4621-25AIRFORUTEPAttack errLainie Stapleton+0.6
Set 2
11-0AIRFORAIRFORAceAnnamaria Ramosaced Lily-Rose Pichon+1.6
22-0AIRFORAIRFORAttack errLuvina Oguntimehin+1.7
32-1AIRFORUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Kalia Kohler+1.0
43-1UTEPAIRFORServe errMackenzi Davis+1.2
53-2AIRFORUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Kalia Kohler+1.0
64-2UTEPAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+1.2
74-3AIRFORUTEPKillHannah Croweset Kalia Kohler+1.1
85-3UTEPAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+1.2
95-4AIRFORUTEPKillEma Uskokovicset Shea Bruntmyer+1.1
106-4UTEPAIRFORServe errEma Uskokovic+1.3
116-5AIRFORUTEPKillHannah Croweset Shea Bruntmyer+1.1
126-6UTEPUTEPAceHannah Croweaced Ella Vogel+1.8
137-6UTEPAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.2
147-7AIRFORUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Shea Bruntmyer+1.1
158-7UTEPAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+1.3
168-8AIRFORUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Kalia Kohler+1.2
179-8UTEPAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.3
189-9AIRFORUTEP×5KillLuvina Oguntimehinset Kalia Kohler+1.2
199-10UTEPUTEP×5KillEma Uskokovic+1.9
209-11UTEPUTEP×5BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel+1.7
219-12UTEPUTEP×5KillMackenzi Davisset Kalia Kohler+1.5
229-13UTEPUTEP×5Attack errAlysa Walker+1.2
2310-13UTEPAIRFORAttack errMackenzi Davis+0.7
2410-14AIRFORUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Lily-Rose Pichon+0.8
2511-14UTEPAIRFORAttack errLaila Amos+0.7
2611-15AIRFORUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Lily-Rose Pichon+0.8
2712-15UTEPAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.7
2813-15AIRFORAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Aylani Correa+1.4
2913-16AIRFORUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Shea Bruntmyer+1.1
3014-16UTEPAIRFORAttack errLaila Amos+1.0
3114-17AIRFORUTEPAttack errGrace Fiaseu+1.1
3215-17UTEPAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+1.0
3315-18AIRFORUTEPAttack errGrace Fiaseu+1.2
3415-19UTEPUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Kalia Kohler+1.4
3516-19UTEPAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.6
3616-20AIRFORUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Kalia Kohler+0.9
3717-20UTEPAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.6
3817-21AIRFORUTEPAttack errAlysa Walker+0.9
3918-21UTEPAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+0.5
4018-22AIRFORUTEPKillEma Uskokovicset Laila Amos+0.8
4118-23UTEPUTEPKillHannah Croweset Shea Bruntmyer+0.6
4219-23UTEPAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Samantha Pope+0.2
4319-24AIRFORUTEPKillLaila Amosset Shea Bruntmyer+0.3
4420-24UTEPAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Samantha Pope+0.1
4520-25AIRFORUTEPKillLily-Rose Pichon+0.2
Set 3
11-0UTEPAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Mia Loyd+0.5
21-1AIRFORUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Kalia Kohler+0.5
32-1UTEPAIRFORServe errMackenzi Davis+0.5
42-2AIRFORUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Lily-Rose Pichon+0.5
53-2UTEPAIRFOR×4Serve errLauren Perry+0.6
64-2AIRFORAIRFOR×4BlockedHannah Croweblk Alysa Walker, Sonia Okpara+0.9
75-2AIRFOR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
86-2AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+0.9
96-3AIRFORUTEP×3KillEma Uskokovicset Kalia Kohler+0.5
106-4UTEPUTEP×3BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Ema Uskokovic, Hannah Crowe+0.9
116-5UTEPUTEP×3BlockedLainie Stapletonblk Hannah Crowe, Laila Amos+0.9
127-5UTEPAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Samantha Pope+0.7
137-6AIRFORUTEP×3Attack errSonia Okpara+0.6
147-7UTEPUTEP×3Attack errSonia Okpara+0.9
157-8UTEPUTEP×3KillMackenzi Davisset Shea Bruntmyer+0.9
168-8UTEPAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Samantha Pope+0.6
178-9AIRFORUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Shea Bruntmyer+0.6
189-9UTEPAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Samantha Pope+0.6
199-10AIRFORUTEPKillEma Uskokovicset Shea Bruntmyer+0.6
2010-10UTEPAIRFORAttack errLandry Braziel+0.6
2110-11AIRFORUTEPAttack errAlysa Walker+0.6
2211-11UTEPAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.7
2311-12AIRFORUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Mackenzi Davis+0.6
2412-12UTEPAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd+0.7
2513-12AIRFORAIRFORAceSamantha Popeaced Lily-Rose Pichon+1.2
2613-13AIRFORUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Kalia Kohler+0.7
2714-13UTEPAIRFORKillSonia Okparaset Samantha Pope+0.8
2814-14AIRFORUTEPKillLaila Amosset Shea Bruntmyer+0.8
2915-14UTEPAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Samantha Pope+0.9
3016-14AIRFORAIRFORAttack errLaila Amos+1.4
3116-15AIRFORUTEPKillEma Uskokovicset Lily-Rose Pichon+0.8
3216-16UTEPUTEPKillLuvina Oguntimehinset Shea Bruntmyer+1.3
3317-16UTEPAIRFORServe errHannah Crowe+1.0
3417-17AIRFORUTEPKillLaila Amosset Shea Bruntmyer+0.9
3517-18UTEPUTEPKillMackenzi Davisset Kalia Kohler+1.4
3618-18UTEPAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.9
3718-19AIRFORUTEPKillLandry Brazielset Kalia Kohler+1.0
3819-19UTEPAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.0
3919-20AIRFORUTEP×3KillLandry Brazielset Kalia Kohler+1.0
4019-21UTEPUTEP×3KillEma Uskokovicset Kalia Kohler+1.5
4119-22UTEPUTEP×3BlockedJenness Orcuttblk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel+1.1
4220-22UTEPAIRFORServe errLauren Perry+0.5
4320-23AIRFORUTEP×3Attack errAlysa Walker+0.7
4420-24UTEPUTEP×3BlockedSonia Okparablk Hannah Crowe+0.5
4520-25UTEPUTEP×3KillHannah Croweset Shea Bruntmyer+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Air Force first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).