FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

Houston def. UIW 3–0

Houston beat UIW 3-0 (25-16, 25-20, 25-17) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Houston's Sydney Jones led with 15 kills, and Mattie Casale added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
INCWRD1620170
HOU2525253

Win probability

Houston above 50 · UIW below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.9% HOUrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Houston — set 2, INCWRD 19-20 HOU. Kill by Tara Greenberry (set by Ashton Rogers). HOU win probability 87% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

INCWRD 20.3%79.7% HOU

UIW wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%

Houston wins

3-0
31.2%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.3%
INCWRD break %
40.0% vs this opp
HOU break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Tara Greenberry (set by Ashton Rogers)

    Set 2 · INCWRD 19-20 HOU · HOU 87% → 90%

  2. 02
    Calissa AllisonAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Calissa Allison

    Set 2 · INCWRD 19-19 HOU · HOU 84% → 87%

  3. 03
    UIWAce+2.7%

    UIW ace on Sydney Jones

    Set 1 · INCWRD 13-12 HOU · INCWRD 22% → 24%

  4. 04
    Sydney JonesKill+2.6%

    Kill by Sydney Jones (set by Noemi Despaigne)

    Set 2 · INCWRD 19-21 HOU · HOU 90% → 92%

  5. 05
    UIWAce+2.6%

    UIW ace on Noemi Despaigne

    Set 2 · INCWRD 17-15 HOU · INCWRD 14% → 17%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kamille Gibson (set by Kalei Edson)

    Set 1 · INCWRD 13-14 HOU · HOU 78% → 80%

  7. 07
    Sydney JonesAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Sydney Jones

    Set 2 · INCWRD 18-15 HOU · INCWRD 17% → 19%

  8. 08
    Mya CheatumAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Mya Cheatum

    Set 2 · INCWRD 19-18 HOU · HOU 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UIWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39421.23811122002111
39421.238201320009
35212.25001100010.56.5
3519.44400030010.55.5
35319.105001420005
32314-.071000201013
3000–4111100001
3000–000000000
3000–1401200000
1001.000000000000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals351898.173313727714353
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315329.4140001100015
312519.36802240010.514.5
310222.3642005210111
3407.57100010313.57.5
3001.0003231500003
3218.125000000002
3000–011000001
3000–2101000001
3000–6001200000
1002.00000000010.50.5
1000–00000010.50.5
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals431188.364427438344675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 INCWRD · HOU 9

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 INCWRDHOU 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 6 INCWRDHOU 9

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 INCWRDHOU 6

Bars above the line = Houston leads, below = UIW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%5/17
67%8/12
2
40%4/10
17%1/6
3
57%4/7
20%1/5
4
33%3/9
43%3/7
5
100%3/3
0%0/3
6
100%3/3
25%1/4
All
45%22/49
38%14/37

Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
71%10/14
2
67%4/6
33%2/6
3
100%4/4
60%6/10
4
57%4/7
56%5/9
5
75%3/4
57%4/7
6
38%3/8
0%0/3
All
62%23/37
55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#INCWRD-HOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0INCWRDINCWRDAttack errKamille Gibson+1.8
22-0INCWRDINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.0
32-1INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Noemi Despaigne+1.4
42-2HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Alex Beauchamp+1.8
53-2HOUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Mya Cheatum+1.5
64-2INCWRDINCWRDAttack errKamille Gibson+2.1
74-3INCWRDHOU×4KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.5
84-4HOUHOU×4KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.9
94-5HOUHOU×4KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.8
104-6HOUHOU×4KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.7
115-6HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Calissa Allison+1.3
125-7INCWRDHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.3
135-8HOUHOU×3AceHouston+1.6
145-9HOUHOU×3Attack errVanessa Eregie+1.3
156-9HOUINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.9
167-9INCWRDINCWRD×4KillCalissa Allisonset Mya Cheatum+1.5
178-9INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errKamille Gibson+1.8
189-9INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Ashton Rogers+2.1
199-10INCWRDHOUAttack errAlex Beauchamp+1.6
2010-10HOUINCWRDServe errHouston+1.7
2110-11INCWRDHOUServe errUIW+1.7
2211-11HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Victoria Hall+1.8
2311-12INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.7
2412-12HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Ashton Rogers+1.9
2513-12INCWRDINCWRDAceUIWaced Sydney Jones+2.7
2613-13INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+2.0
2713-14HOUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+2.5
2814-14HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Calissa Allison+2.0
2914-15INCWRDHOU×4Serve errUIW+2.0
3014-16HOUHOU×4KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+2.5
3114-17HOUHOU×4AceHouston+2.1
3214-18HOUHOU×4BlockedAlex Beauchampblk Kamille Gibson, Tara Greenberry+1.7
3315-18HOUINCWRDAttack errNoemi Despaigne+1.0
3415-19INCWRDHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.3
3515-20HOUHOUBlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Noemi Despaigne+1.1
3616-20HOUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.6
3716-21INCWRDHOU×5Attack errCalissa Allison+0.8
3816-22HOUHOU×5KillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+0.6
3916-23HOUHOU×5AceHoustonaced Mya Cheatum+0.2
4016-24HOUHOU×5KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.1
4116-25HOUHOU×5AceHoustonaced Mya Cheatum·
Set 2
10-1HOUHOUAceHouston+1.2
20-2HOUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+1.1
31-2HOUINCWRDServe errHouston+0.9
41-3INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.9
52-3HOUINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.9
63-3INCWRDINCWRDAttack errKamille Gibson+1.4
73-4INCWRDHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.0
84-4HOUINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+1.1
94-5INCWRDHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.0
104-6HOUHOUAttack errKitana Tuufuli+1.3
115-6HOUINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Ashton Rogers+1.0
125-7INCWRDHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.0
136-7HOUINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.0
146-8INCWRDHOUAttack errMya Cheatum+1.0
157-8HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Victoria Hall+1.0
167-9INCWRDHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.0
178-9HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Victoria Hall+1.1
188-10INCWRDHOUServe errUIW+1.1
199-10HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Calissa Allison+1.1
209-11INCWRDHOUAttack errAlex Beauchamp+1.1
2110-11HOUINCWRDAttack errNoemi Despaigne+1.1
2210-12INCWRDHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Mattie Casale+1.2
2310-13HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.4
2411-13HOUINCWRDServe errHouston+1.0
2511-14INCWRDHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.1
2612-14HOUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+1.0
2713-14INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+1.6
2813-15INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.3
2914-15HOUINCWRD×6KillMya Cheatumset Victoria Hall+1.3
3015-15INCWRDINCWRD×6KillCalissa Allison+2.1
3116-15INCWRDINCWRD×6BlockedSydney Jonesblk Calissa Allison, Sofia Grimm+2.4
3217-15INCWRDINCWRD×6AceUIWaced Noemi Despaigne+2.6
3318-15INCWRDINCWRD×6Attack errSydney Jones+2.5
3419-15INCWRDINCWRD×6KillSofia Grimm+2.3
3519-16INCWRDHOU×9Serve errUIW+1.2
3619-17HOUHOU×9BlockedSofia Grimmblk Tara Greenberry+2.1
3719-18HOUHOU×9Attack errMya Cheatum+2.5
3819-19HOUHOU×9Attack errCalissa Allison+2.8
3919-20HOUHOU×9KillTara Greenberryset Ashton Rogers+2.9
4019-21HOUHOU×9KillSydney Jonesset Noemi Despaigne+2.6
4119-22HOUHOU×9AceHoustonaced Alex Beauchamp+2.0
4219-23HOUHOU×9KillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.2
4319-24HOUHOU×9Attack errSofia Grimm+0.5
4420-24HOUINCWRDKillMya Cheatumset Victoria Hall+0.1
4520-25INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.2
Set 3
10-1INCWRDHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+0.5
20-2HOUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Mattie Casale+0.6
31-2HOUINCWRDAttack errSydney Jones+0.5
41-3INCWRDHOUBlockedMya Cheatumblk Tara Greenberry+0.5
52-3HOUINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.5
62-4INCWRDHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Mattie Casale+0.5
72-5HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Lily Barron+0.6
82-6HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Lily Barron+0.5
93-6HOUINCWRDServe errHouston+0.4
104-6INCWRDINCWRDBlockedAlexis Robersonblk Vanessa Eregie, Calissa Allison+0.6
114-7INCWRDHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.5
124-8HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.5
135-8HOUINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.4
146-8INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregie+0.6
156-9INCWRDHOU×4KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.5
166-10HOUHOU×4Attack errMya Cheatum+0.5
176-11HOUHOU×4Attack errTeddy-Raye Ewers+0.4
186-12HOUHOU×4KillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+0.3
197-12HOUINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.2
208-12INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allison+0.4
218-13INCWRDHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+0.3
228-14HOUHOUAttack errCalissa Allison+0.3
239-14HOUINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.2
249-15INCWRDHOU×6Serve errUIW+0.3
259-16HOUHOU×6KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.2
269-17HOUHOU×6KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.1
279-18HOUHOU×6KillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+0.1
289-19HOUHOU×6KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson·
299-20HOUHOU×6BlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Tara Greenberry·
3010-20HOUINCWRDBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Kitana Tuufuli·
3110-21INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson·
3211-21INCWRD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3312-21INCWRDINCWRDAceUIWaced Noemi Despaigne·
3412-22INCWRDHOUServe errUIW·
3513-22HOUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison·
3613-23INCWRDHOUServe errUIW·
3714-23HOUINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall·
3814-24INCWRDHOUBlockedCalissa Allisonblk Alyssa Gonzales, Aidan Conner·
3915-24HOUINCWRD×3KillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall·
4016-24INCWRDINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall·
4117-24INCWRDINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall·
4217-25INCWRDHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson·

Score shown after each rally, UIW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).