New Mexico vs Air Force Volleyball: Air Force Wins 3-0

FinalThu, Nov 5, 2026MW+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico 53.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Air Force beat visiting New Mexico 3-0 (25-22, 25-16, 25-18) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Air Force's Alysa Walker led with 15 kills.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
N MEX	22	16	18	0
AIRFOR	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

13 blocks, led by Sonia Okpara: Air Force won it at the net.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Air Force's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had New Mexico at 53% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · New Mexico 15–13 Air Force
Air Force scored 7 straight to turn a 13–15 deficit into a 20–15 lead. The match swung to Air Force.
Air Force 40% → 63%
Turning point 2: Set 2 · New Mexico 14–14 Air Force
Air Force scored 8 straight to go from 14–14 to a 22–14 lead.
Air Force 67% → 86%

Air Force above 50New Mexico belowMax swing 4.2%

New MexicoAir Force

Sideout %: New Mexico 47.9·Air Force 63.8
Break %: New Mexico 36.2·Air Force 52.1
Hitting: New Mexico .087·Air Force .277
Longest run: New Mexico 4·Air Force 8
Blocks: New Mexico 4·Air Force 132 BS · 4 BA vs 8 BS · 10 BA

Sonia Okpara
5 kills inside the turning points, 7 K and .583 for the match (14.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Air Force above 50 · New Mexico below

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Air Force — set 1, N MEX 15-16 AIRFOR. Kill by Sonia Okpara (set by Samantha Pope). AIRFOR win probability 46% → 50%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N MEX 46.3%53.7% AIRFOR

New Mexico wins

3-0

11.0%

3-1

17.2%

3-2

18.1%

Air Force wins

3-0

14.1%

3-1

20.3%

3-2

19.3%

N MEX break %: 40.9% vs this opp
AIRFOR break %: 41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sonia OkparaKill+4.2%
Kill by Sonia Okpara (set by Samantha Pope)
Set 1 · N MEX 15-16 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 46% → 50%
02
Annamaria RamosKill+4.1%
Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Ella Vogel)
Set 1 · N MEX 15-17 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 50% → 54%
03
Sonia OkparaKill+4.1%
Kill by Sonia Okpara (set by Mia Loyd)
Set 2 · N MEX 14-16 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 70% → 74%
04
Grace FiaseuBlock+3.9%
Seenane Brewer stuffed by Grace Fiaseu
Set 2 · N MEX 13-14 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 66% → 70%
05
Annamaria RamosKill+3.9%
Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Samantha Pope)
Set 1 · N MEX 15-15 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 42% → 46%
06
Sonia OkparaBlock+3.8%
Addison France stuffed by Sonia Okpara
Set 1 · N MEX 15-18 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 54% → 58%
07
Sonia Okpara&Alysa WalkerBlock+3.8%
Reagan Miller stuffed by Sonia Okpara & Alysa Walker
Set 2 · N MEX 14-17 AIRFOR · AIRFOR 74% → 78%
08
Seenane BrewerKill+3.6%
Kill by Seenane Brewer (set by Madeleine Miller)
Set 2 · N MEX 12-11 AIRFOR · N MEX 33% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

New Mexicoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Mina StanojevicOH	3	10	5	33	.152	2	0	1	10	0	1	0.5	10.5
1Reagan MillerMB	3	7	5	22	.091	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
12Seenane BrewerOH	3	8	3	24	.208	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	8
15Addison FranceOPP	3	4	5	27	-.037	0	0	0	14	1	1	1.5	5.5
16Madeleine MillerS	3	3	1	7	.286	29	0	0	11	0	0	0	3
4Campbell HollisterMB	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Zoe LeonardMB	3	3	4	17	-.059	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
14Camila CanedoL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	2	3	2	19	0	0	0	3
2Ella JoestingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
5Amanda TremeroliOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	25	138	.087	34	3	3	71	2	4	4	56

Air Forcehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Alysa WalkerOH	3	15	3	35	.343	1	0	15	1	0	2	1	16
5Sonia OkparaMB	3	7	0	12	.583	0	0	1	1	5	5	7.5	14.5
14Annamaria RamosOH	3	10	1	37	.243	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	10
44Grace FiaseuMB	3	5	0	12	.417	1	4	5	0	3	0	3	8
13Jenness OrcuttOH	3	5	2	17	.176	2	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Mia LoydS	3	1	0	1	1.000	14	1	14	0	0	0	0	1
6Karina MendivilOH	3	1	2	15	-.067	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
23Samantha PopeS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
1Aylani CorreaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
40Ella VogelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	8	130	.277	39	8	68	3	8	10	13	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Mexico vs Air Force

Season series · Air Force leads 2-0

Thu, Nov 5, 2026New Mexico at Air Force · Air Force won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026New Mexico at Air Force · Air Force won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 N MEX · AIRFOR 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 N MEXAIRFOR 7

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 N MEXAIRFOR 8

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 N MEXAIRFOR 4

Bars above the line = Air Force leads, below = New Mexico leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	42%5/12
2	50%7/14	36%4/11
3	38%6/16	0%0/7
4	38%5/13	40%4/10
5	45%5/11	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	38%3/8
All	48%35/73	36%21/58

Air Force

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	25%2/8
2	70%7/10	56%9/16
3	64%7/11	59%10/17
4	83%5/6	50%5/10
5	56%5/9	64%9/14
6	56%5/9	38%3/8
All	64%37/58	52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	N MEX-AIRFOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Seenane Brewer		+2.6
2	2-0	N MEX	N MEX×3	Blocked	Annamaria Ramos	blk Reagan Miller, Addison France	+2.5
3	3-0	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+2.4
4	3-1	N MEX	AIRFOR	Serve err	Mina Stanojevic		+1.6
5	3-2	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Attack err	Reagan Miller		+2.5
6	4-2	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+1.8
7	4-3	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+1.8
8	5-3	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Grace Fiaseu		+1.9
9	5-4	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+1.8
10	6-4	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Campbell Hollister	set Sonia Okpara	+1.9
11	6-5	N MEX	AIRFOR	Blocked	Mina Stanojevic	blk Sonia Okpara, Karina Mendivil	+1.8
12	7-5	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Mina Stanojevic	+1.9
13	7-6	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+1.9
14	7-7	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Annamaria Ramos	+2.9
15	8-7	AIRFOR	N MEX	Attack err	Karina Mendivil		+2.1
16	9-7	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+3.0
17	9-8	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Samantha Pope	+2.0
18	9-9	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Mia Loyd	+3.1
19	10-9	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.2
20	10-10	N MEX	AIRFOR	Attack err	Mina Stanojevic		+2.2
21	11-10	AIRFOR	N MEX×3	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+2.3
22	12-10	N MEX	N MEX×3	Ace	Camila Canedo	aced Alysa Walker	+3.3
23	13-10	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+3.0
24	13-11	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Mia Loyd	+1.9
25	14-11	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Campbell Hollister	set Madeleine Miller	+2.2
26	14-12	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
27	14-13	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Blocked	Campbell Hollister	blk Sonia Okpara, Alysa Walker	+3.3
28	15-13	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+2.5
29	15-14	N MEX	AIRFOR×7	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Samantha Pope	+2.4
30	15-15	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×7	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+3.9
31	15-16	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×7	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Samantha Pope	+4.2
32	15-17	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×7	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Ella Vogel	+4.1
33	15-18	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×7	Blocked	Addison France	blk Sonia Okpara	+3.8
34	15-19	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×7	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+3.1
35	15-20	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×7	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Samantha Pope	+2.2
36	16-20	AIRFOR	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.9
37	17-20	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.1
38	18-20	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+3.1
39	18-21	N MEX	AIRFOR	Attack err	Addison France		+3.0
40	19-21	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Ella Joesting	+2.1
41	19-22	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+3.1
42	20-22	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
43	20-23	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Annamaria Ramos	+3.2
44	21-23	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+1.7
45	21-24	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+3.3
46	22-24	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Grace Fiaseu		+1.2
47	22-25	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Mia Loyd	+3.0
Set 2
1	1-0	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Mia Loyd		+1.8
2	2-0	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.6
3	2-1	N MEX	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Ella Vogel	+1.8
4	2-2	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Blocked	Addison France	blk Grace Fiaseu	+2.7
5	2-3	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+2.8
6	2-4	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Madeleine Miller		+2.8
7	3-4	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
8	3-5	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Ella Vogel	+2.0
9	4-5	AIRFOR	N MEX×4	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
10	5-5	N MEX	N MEX×4	Ace	Camila Canedo	aced Sonia Okpara	+2.9
11	6-5	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+3.0
12	7-5	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.9
13	7-6	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Alysa Walker	+1.9
14	8-6	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.1
15	9-6	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Alysa Walker		+2.8
16	9-7	N MEX	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+1.8
17	9-8	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Blocked	Addison France	blk Sonia Okpara, Karina Mendivil	+2.9
18	9-9	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+3.2
19	9-10	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Amanda Tremeroli		+3.4
20	10-10	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Camila Canedo	+2.3
21	10-11	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+2.4
22	11-11	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.4
23	12-11	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+3.6
24	12-12	N MEX	AIRFOR	Bad set	Zoe Leonard		+2.5
25	13-12	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.6
26	13-13	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Mia Loyd	+2.6
27	13-14	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Blocked	Seenane Brewer	blk Grace Fiaseu	+3.9
28	14-14	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+2.7
29	14-15	N MEX	AIRFOR×8	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+2.8
30	14-16	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Mia Loyd	+4.1
31	14-17	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Blocked	Reagan Miller	blk Sonia Okpara, Alysa Walker	+3.8
32	14-18	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Blocked	Reagan Miller	blk Sonia Okpara	+3.2
33	14-19	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Madeleine Miller	+2.4
34	14-20	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Blocked	Mina Stanojevic	blk Sonia Okpara, Jenness Orcutt	+1.6
35	14-21	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Blocked	Mina Stanojevic	blk Sonia Okpara	+0.9
36	14-22	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×8	Blocked	Reagan Miller	blk Sonia Okpara	+0.4
37	15-22	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Grace Fiaseu		+0.1
38	16-22	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Jenness Orcutt		+0.3
39	16-23	N MEX	AIRFOR×3	Serve err	Camila Canedo		+0.4
40	16-24	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.2
41	16-25	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Attack err	Zoe Leonard		·
Set 3
1	0-1	N MEX	AIRFOR	Attack err	Zoe Leonard		+1.3
2	1-1	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+1.3
3	2-1	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
4	2-2	N MEX	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+1.3
5	2-3	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Jenness Orcutt	+2.0
6	2-4	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Jenness Orcutt	set Grace Fiaseu	+2.0
7	3-4	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Grace Fiaseu		+1.3
8	3-5	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Mia Loyd	set Jenness Orcutt	+1.4
9	4-5	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Mina Stanojevic	+1.3
10	4-6	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Sonia Okpara	set Samantha Pope	+1.4
11	5-6	AIRFOR	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.4
12	6-6	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Camila Canedo	+2.1
13	7-6	N MEX	N MEX×3	Ace	Camila Canedo	aced Annamaria Ramos	+2.1
14	7-7	N MEX	AIRFOR	Blocked	Mina Stanojevic	blk Sonia Okpara	+1.5
15	7-8	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Bad set	Madeleine Miller		+2.2
16	8-8	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Aylani Correa		+1.5
17	8-9	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Karina Mendivil	set Samantha Pope	+1.6
18	8-10	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Attack err	Zoe Leonard		+2.3
19	9-10	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+1.5
20	9-11	N MEX	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Grace Fiaseu	set Mia Loyd	+1.6
21	9-12	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Bad set	Camila Canedo		+2.3
22	9-13	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Attack err	Seenane Brewer		+2.0
23	9-14	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×4	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+1.7
24	10-14	AIRFOR	N MEX	Serve err	Annamaria Ramos		+0.9
25	10-15	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Mia Loyd	+1.2
26	10-16	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Attack err	Reagan Miller		+1.3
27	11-16	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Seenane Brewer	set Madeleine Miller	+0.6
28	11-17	N MEX	AIRFOR×3	Attack err	Seenane Brewer		+0.9
29	11-18	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Ella Vogel	+0.9
30	11-19	AIRFOR	AIRFOR×3	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Ella Vogel	+0.5
31	12-19	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+0.2
32	12-20	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Alysa Walker	set Samantha Pope	+0.3
33	13-20	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.1
34	13-21	N MEX	AIRFOR	Serve err	Camila Canedo		+0.3
35	13-22	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Samantha Pope	+0.2
36	14-22	AIRFOR	N MEX×3	Serve err	Aylani Correa		·
37	15-22	N MEX	N MEX×3	Blocked	Karina Mendivil	blk Mina Stanojevic, Zoe Leonard	+0.1
38	16-22	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.2
39	16-23	N MEX	AIRFOR	Kill	Annamaria Ramos	set Ella Vogel	+0.3
40	17-23	AIRFOR	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+0.1
41	18-23	N MEX	N MEX	Blocked	Jenness Orcutt	blk Addison France	+0.2
42	18-24	N MEX	AIRFOR	Attack err	Addison France		+0.3
43	18-25	AIRFOR	AIRFOR	Blocked	Zoe Leonard	blk Grace Fiaseu	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Air Force def. New Mexico 3–0

13 blocks, led by Sonia Okpara: Air Force won it at the net.