FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

3:0

HomeCUSA

UTEP def. New Mexico St. 3–0

(27-25, 25-17, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UTEP	27	25	26	3
NM ST	25	17	24	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NM ST above 50 · UTEP below

Biggest swing: 9.2% to New Mexico St. — set 1, UTEP 24-24 NM ST. Attack error by Lauren Perry. NM ST win probability 27% → 36%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UTEP 65.0%35.0% NM ST

UTEP wins

3-0

20.0%

3-1

24.9%

3-2

20.1%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0

7.1%

3-1

12.5%

3-2

15.3%

UTEP break %: 43.2% vs this opp
NM ST break %: 40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren PerryAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Lauren Perry
Set 1 · UTEP 24-24 NM ST · NM ST 27% → 36%
02
Mackenzi DavisKill+8.7%
Kill by Mackenzi Davis (set by Lily-Rose Pichon)
Set 1 · UTEP 27-25 NM ST · UTEP 71% → 79%
03
UTEP serverAce+7.4%
UTEP ace on Maggie Lightheart
Set 1 · UTEP 23-22 NM ST · UTEP 62% → 69%
04
Mia FoxAttack error+6.7%
Mia Fox stuffed by Landry Braziel & Hannah Crowe
Set 1 · UTEP 24-22 NM ST · UTEP 69% → 76%
05
Lilli SaldivarAttack error+6.6%
Lilli Saldivar stuffed by Lauren Perry & Hannah Crowe
Set 1 · UTEP 25-24 NM ST · UTEP 64% → 71%
06
UTEP serverService error+6.6%
UTEP service error
Set 1 · UTEP 25-25 NM ST · NM ST 29% → 36%
07
Maggie LightheartAttack error+6.6%
Attack error by Maggie Lightheart
Set 1 · UTEP 26-25 NM ST · UTEP 64% → 71%
08
Tess FuquaAttack error+6.3%
Tess Fuqua stuffed by Lauren Perry & Hannah Crowe
Set 1 · UTEP 22-22 NM ST · UTEP 55% → 62%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UTEPaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ema UskokovicOH	3	11	1	33	.303	1	2	1	19	1	0	2	1	14
13Lauren PerryOH	3	8	7	31	.032	0	1	2	5	0	0	2	1	10
19Luvina OguntimehinOH	3	8	4	20	.200	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	10
10Hannah CroweMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	0	8	4	9
16Mackenzi DavisOH	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
1Kalia KohlerS	3	1	0	1	1.000	19	0	1	14	0	0	0	0	1
18Caryme MolinaS	3	0	0	0	–	13	2	0	8	0	0	0	0	2
12Lily-Rose PichonL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	0	12	1	0	0	0	0
11Bella WidmerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Shea BruntmyerS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Daisy VoskuhlOH	2	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
15Landry BrazielOH	1	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
6Laila AmosOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		43	15	126	.222	38	5	6	61	2	1	24	13	78

New Mexico St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Tess FuquaOH	3	12	7	45	.111	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	13
2Maggie LightheartOH	3	5	6	20	-.050	0	0	2	10	3	2	2	3	8
11Jaelynn KohliOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
8Ashley HermanOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Katrina CatalanS	3	0	0	0	–	20	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
21Lilli SaldivarOH	2	2	2	15	.000	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
7Mia FoxMB	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
12Paige NelsonS	3	0	0	2	.000	11	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
5Makayla MartinezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	0	18	0	0	0	0	0
3Bella CastroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
4Izzy MenesesDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30Jacqueline CorcoranOH	2	5	2	10	.300	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5
16Kate SinclairMB	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
Team totals		40	25	136	.110	35	2	4	62	5	2	10	7	66

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UTEP · NM ST 4

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 UTEPNM ST 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 3 UTEPNM ST 2

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 UTEPNM ST 4

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = UTEP leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UTEP

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	46%6/13
2	67%8/12	43%6/14
3	73%8/11	33%4/12
4	78%7/9	56%9/16
5	58%7/12	46%6/13
6	78%7/9	13%1/8
All	68%46/68	42%32/76

New Mexico St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	43%6/14
2	53%8/15	31%4/13
3	47%7/15	27%3/11
4	54%7/13	30%3/10
5	70%7/10	42%5/12
6	67%6/9	13%1/8
All	58%44/76	32%22/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

144 rallies

Rally log

#	UTEP-NM ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NM ST	UTEP	Serve err	NM ST server		+1.6
2	2-0	UTEP	UTEP	Bad set	Katrina Catalan		+2.2
3	2-1	UTEP	NM ST	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.6
4	3-1	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.6
5	3-2	UTEP	NM ST×3	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+1.6
6	3-3	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+2.4
7	3-4	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman		+2.6
8	4-4	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+1.8
9	4-5	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+1.9
10	5-5	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Lilli Saldivar	blk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel	+1.8
11	5-6	UTEP	NM ST	Serve err	UTEP server		+2.0
12	5-7	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Landry Braziel		+2.8
13	6-7	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+1.9
14	6-8	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+2.1
15	7-8	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+1.9
16	8-8	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+2.8
17	8-9	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson	+2.1
18	8-10	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Lauren Perry	blk Maggie Lightheart	+3.1
19	9-10	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+2.0
20	10-10	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Ashley Herman		+3.0
21	10-11	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
22	11-11	NM ST	UTEP	Serve err	NM ST server		+2.2
23	11-12	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+2.4
24	12-12	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Kalia Kohler	+2.3
25	12-13	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+2.5
26	12-14	NM ST	NM ST	Bad set	Caryme Molina		+3.5
27	13-14	NM ST	UTEP	Serve err	NM ST server		+2.3
28	13-15	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+2.7
29	14-15	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Caryme Molina	+2.4
30	14-16	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Lauren Perry	blk Mia Fox, Maggie Lightheart	+2.8
31	14-17	NM ST	NM ST	Ace	NM ST server	aced Ema Uskokovic	+3.7
32	15-17	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+2.2
33	15-18	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+2.8
34	15-19	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Katrina Catalan	+3.3
35	16-19	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.6
36	16-20	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin	blk Ashley Herman, Maggie Lightheart	+2.4
37	17-20	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+1.6
38	17-21	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+2.4
39	18-21	NM ST	UTEP×3	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Kalia Kohler	+1.5
40	19-21	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Caryme Molina	+3.1
41	20-21	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Makayla Martinez	+4.4
42	20-22	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+4.3
43	21-22	NM ST	UTEP×4	Kill	Landry Braziel	set Caryme Molina	+3.2
44	22-22	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Tess Fuqua	blk Lauren Perry, Hannah Crowe	+6.3
45	23-22	UTEP	UTEP×4	Ace	UTEP server	aced Maggie Lightheart	+7.4
46	24-22	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Mia Fox	blk Landry Braziel, Hannah Crowe	+6.7
47	24-23	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Paige Nelson	+2.7
48	24-24	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+9.2
49	25-24	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Lilli Saldivar	blk Lauren Perry, Hannah Crowe	+6.6
50	25-25	UTEP	NM ST	Serve err	UTEP server		+6.6
51	26-25	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+6.6
52	27-25	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+8.7
Set 2
1	1-0	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+2.0
2	1-1	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Katrina Catalan	+1.4
3	1-2	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis	blk Kate Sinclair, Jaelynn Kohli	+2.1
4	2-2	NM ST	UTEP×3	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+1.5
5	3-2	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+2.1
6	4-2	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+2.0
7	4-3	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin	blk Jaelynn Kohli, Kate Sinclair	+1.4
8	5-3	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+1.4
9	5-4	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+1.4
10	6-4	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+1.5
11	7-4	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+1.9
12	7-5	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+1.3
13	8-5	NM ST	UTEP×3	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+1.4
14	9-5	UTEP	UTEP×3	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart	blk Hannah Crowe, Daisy Voskuhl	+1.8
15	10-5	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Hannah Crowe		+1.5
16	10-6	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Paige Nelson	+0.9
17	11-6	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Caryme Molina	+1.1
18	11-7	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+0.9
19	11-8	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin	blk Maggie Lightheart	+1.6
20	12-8	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Caryme Molina	+1.3
21	13-8	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+1.5
22	13-9	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Kate Sinclair	set Katrina Catalan	+0.9
23	14-9	NM ST	UTEP	Serve err	NM ST server		+1.1
24	14-10	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin		+0.9
25	14-11	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+1.6
26	15-11	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+1.4
27	16-11	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Tess Fuqua		+1.6
28	16-12	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Ema Uskokovic	blk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli	+0.9
29	16-13	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Makayla Martinez	+1.6
30	17-13	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+1.5
31	18-13	UTEP	UTEP	Ace	UTEP server	aced Maggie Lightheart	+1.5
32	18-14	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+0.8
33	19-14	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart	blk Ema Uskokovic, Hannah Crowe	+1.1
34	19-15	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jacqueline Corcoran	set Makayla Martinez	+0.7
35	20-15	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Mia Fox	+1.0
36	20-16	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jacqueline Corcoran	set Paige Nelson	+0.7
37	21-16	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+1.0
38	22-16	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Kalia Kohler	set Katrina Catalan	+0.8
39	22-17	UTEP	NM ST	Bad set	Luvina Oguntimehin		+0.2
40	23-17	NM ST	UTEP×3	Attack err	Kate Sinclair		+0.4
41	24-17	UTEP	UTEP×3	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli	blk Luvina Oguntimehin, Ema Uskokovic	+0.2
42	25-17	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Team	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+0.8
2	1-1	UTEP	NM ST×4	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+0.9
3	1-2	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Makayla Martinez	+1.3
4	1-3	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+1.3
5	1-4	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+1.3
6	2-4	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Tess Fuqua	blk Luvina Oguntimehin, Mackenzi Davis	+0.9
7	2-5	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+1.0
8	3-5	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.9
9	3-6	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+1.0
10	4-6	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Caryme Molina	+0.9
11	5-6	UTEP	UTEP	Ace	UTEP server	aced Maggie Lightheart	+1.3
12	5-7	UTEP	NM ST	Attack err	Daisy Voskuhl		+1.0
13	6-7	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+1.0
14	6-8	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Paige Nelson	+1.1
15	7-8	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+1.0
16	7-9	UTEP	NM ST	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.1
17	8-9	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.0
18	8-10	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua		+1.1
19	9-10	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Tess Fuqua	blk Mackenzi Davis, Luvina Oguntimehin	+1.0
20	9-11	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+1.2
21	10-11	NM ST	UTEP×4	Attack err	Tess Fuqua		+1.1
22	11-11	UTEP	UTEP×4	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Ema Uskokovic	+1.6
23	12-11	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Ashley Herman		+1.6
24	13-11	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Ashley Herman		+1.5
25	13-12	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Jacqueline Corcoran	set Katrina Catalan	+1.1
26	13-13	NM ST	NM ST	Bad set	Lauren Perry		+1.7
27	14-13	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Jacqueline Corcoran		+1.2
28	14-14	UTEP	NM ST×4	Kill	Jacqueline Corcoran	set Paige Nelson	+1.3
29	14-15	NM ST	NM ST×4	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+1.9
30	14-16	NM ST	NM ST×4	Ace	NM ST server	aced Lily-Rose Pichon	+2.0
31	14-17	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Jacqueline Corcoran		+1.9
32	15-17	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Jacqueline Corcoran	blk Daisy Voskuhl, Hannah Crowe	+1.1
33	16-17	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+1.9
34	16-18	UTEP	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+1.6
35	17-18	NM ST	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Luvina Oguntimehin	+1.4
36	18-18	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli	blk Mackenzi Davis	+2.2
37	18-19	UTEP	NM ST×4	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Paige Nelson	+1.8
38	18-20	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Makayla Martinez	+2.5
39	18-21	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Maggie Lightheart		+2.3
40	18-22	NM ST	NM ST×4	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+1.7
41	19-22	NM ST	UTEP	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart	blk Laila Amos, Luvina Oguntimehin	+0.7
42	19-23	UTEP	NM ST	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.2
43	20-23	NM ST	UTEP×4	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.5
44	21-23	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Tess Fuqua		+1.4
45	22-23	UTEP	UTEP×4	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Bella Widmer	+2.4
46	23-23	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Tess Fuqua	blk Hannah Crowe, Mackenzi Davis	+3.8
47	23-24	UTEP	NM ST	Serve err	UTEP server		+3.7
48	24-24	NM ST	UTEP×3	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+3.7
49	25-24	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Team	+4.8
50	26-24	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+4.5

Score shown after each rally, UTEP first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.