Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026 · Neutral site

Missouri St. def. UIW 3–1

Missouri St. beat UIW 3-1 (25-16, 21-25, 25-21, 25-22) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026 at a neutral site. Missouri St.'s Chloe Judd led with 12 kills, and Brooke Eslinger added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 10

Set1234Sets
INCWRD162521221
MO ST252125253

Win probability

Missouri St. above 50 · UIW below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.6% INCWRDrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.6% to UIW — set 2, INCWRD 21-19 MO ST. UIW ace on Kya Johnson. MO ST win probability 75% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

INCWRD 34.7%65.3% MO ST

UIW wins

3-0
7.1%
3-1
12.4%
3-2
15.2%

Missouri St. wins

3-0
20.2%
3-1
25.0%
3-2
20.1%
INCWRD break %
40.4% vs this opp
MO ST break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    UIWAce+4.6%

    UIW ace on Kya Johnson

    Set 2 · INCWRD 21-19 MO ST · INCWRD 25% → 30%

  2. 02

    Kill by Teddy-Raye Ewers (set by Ashton Rogers)

    Set 2 · INCWRD 19-18 MO ST · INCWRD 21% → 25%

  3. 03

    Kill by Vanessa Eregie (set by Victoria Hall)

    Set 2 · INCWRD 22-19 MO ST · INCWRD 30% → 34%

  4. 04
    Hannah GardnerAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Hannah Gardner

    Set 2 · INCWRD 17-17 MO ST · INCWRD 17% → 21%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kitana Tuufuli (set by Calissa Allison)

    Set 3 · INCWRD 2-1 MO ST · INCWRD 37% → 41%

  6. 06
    Rilynn FinleyKill+3.3%

    Kill by Rilynn Finley (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 3 · INCWRD 2-3 MO ST · MO ST 62% → 65%

  7. 07
    Sofia GrimmKill+3.3%

    Kill by Sofia Grimm (set by Teddy-Raye Ewers)

    Set 2 · INCWRD 20-19 MO ST · INCWRD 22% → 25%

  8. 08
    Jenna WaltersKill+3.2%

    Kill by Jenna Walters (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 3 · INCWRD 3-5 MO ST · MO ST 65% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UIWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412223.4350001004214
410329.2410004102111
47526.077233015002111
43416-.06302020031.56.5
31925-.320000100001
1004.00000010010.50.5
47520.100101521018
41011.0001310900002
4000–5202010002
4000–002810000
33117.118000000214
Team totals4429161.0934283665114884
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412121.5240114004215
411529.2070001004213
411535.17100021010.511.5
49427.1852201130031.510.5
45217.17600000153.58.5
4000–2011120000
48628.071000410219
4203.667181190010.53.5
4000–4221820002
2000–210520001
2000–100500000
Team totals5823160.21949567281201196

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 INCWRD · MO ST 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 INCWRDMO ST 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 INCWRDMO ST 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 INCWRDMO ST 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 INCWRDMO ST 5

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = UIW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
50%9/18
2
60%9/15
36%5/14
3
53%8/15
44%7/16
4
73%8/11
20%2/10
5
44%8/18
38%5/13
6
47%7/15
43%6/14
All
53%50/95
40%34/85

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
44%7/16
2
60%9/15
50%10/20
3
80%8/10
47%7/15
4
73%8/11
33%4/12
5
57%8/14
56%10/18
6
64%7/11
50%7/14
All
60%51/85
47%45/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#INCWRD-MO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MO STINCWRD×3Attack errRilynn Finley+1.7
22-0INCWRDINCWRD×3AceUIWaced Brooke Eslinger+2.5
33-0INCWRDINCWRD×3AceUIWaced Brooke Eslinger+2.5
43-1INCWRDMO STAttack errAlex Beauchamp+1.6
54-1MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.8
65-1INCWRDINCWRDBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Vanessa Eregie, Lilly Roach+2.4
75-2INCWRDMO ST×4KillRilynn Finleyset Calissa Allison+1.5
85-3MO STMO ST×4KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.4
95-4MO STMO ST×4Attack errTeddy-Raye Ewers+2.5
105-5MO STMO ST×4Attack errVanessa Eregie+2.6
116-5MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+2.0
126-6INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.9
136-7MO STMO STAceMissouri St.aced Teddy-Raye Ewers+2.6
147-7MO STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+1.9
157-8INCWRDMO ST×4KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+1.9
167-9MO STMO ST×4KillHannah Gardnerset Victoria Hall+2.6
177-10MO STMO ST×4AceMissouri St.aced Ashton Rogers+2.4
187-11MO STMO ST×4Attack errCalissa Allison+2.1
198-11MO STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.3
208-12INCWRDMO ST×6KillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+1.5
218-13MO STMO ST×6KillJenna Waltersset Kya Johnson+1.7
228-14MO STMO ST×6KillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+1.3
238-15MO STMO ST×6BlockedAlex Beauchampblk Hannah Redrow, Lexi Weinberg+1.0
248-16MO STMO ST×6BlockedCalissa Allisonblk Jenna Walters, Hannah Redrow+0.6
258-17MO STMO ST×6Attack errAlex Beauchamp+0.4
269-17MO STINCWRDServe errMissouri St.+0.2
279-18INCWRDMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+0.2
2810-18MO STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
2911-18INCWRDINCWRDAceUIWaced Rilynn Finley+0.3
3011-19INCWRDMO ST×3BlockedAlex Beauchampblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+0.4
3111-20MO STMO ST×3Bad setCalissa Allison+0.3
3211-21MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+0.1
3312-21MO STINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison·
3412-22INCWRDMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+0.1
3513-22MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison·
3613-23INCWRDMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie·
3714-23MO STINCWRDAttack errJenna Walters·
3815-23INCWRDINCWRDAttack errHannah Gardner·
3915-24INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie·
4016-24MO STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall·
4116-25INCWRDMO STBlockedSofia Grimmblk Hannah Redrow·
Set 2
10-1INCWRDMO STAttack errCalissa Allison+1.4
20-2MO STMO STBlockedTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Hannah Redrow, Lexi Weinberg+1.9
31-2MO STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.3
41-3INCWRDMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.4
52-3MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.4
62-4INCWRDMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.4
72-5MO STMO STBlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner+1.8
83-5MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.3
94-5INCWRDINCWRDBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Sofia Grimm, Kitana Tuufuli+2.0
104-6INCWRDMO STKillHalle Rillie+1.5
114-7MO STMO STAttack errGabby Fish+1.9
125-7MO STINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Brooke Eslinger+1.3
136-7INCWRDINCWRD×3AceUIWaced Kya Johnson+2.1
147-7INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errHannah Gardner+2.3
157-8INCWRDMO ST×3KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+1.7
167-9MO STMO ST×3Attack errSofia Grimm+2.2
177-10MO STMO ST×3Attack errCalissa Allison+2.1
188-10MO STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+1.4
198-11INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+1.5
209-11MO STINCWRD×4KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+1.4
2110-11INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errHannah Redrow+2.3
2211-11INCWRDINCWRD×4KillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+2.6
2312-11INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedJenna Waltersblk Vanessa Eregie, Calissa Allison+2.8
2412-12INCWRDMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.0
2513-12MO STINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+2.1
2613-13INCWRDMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+2.0
2714-13MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+2.2
2814-14INCWRDMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.1
2914-15MO STMO STAceMissouri St.aced Kitana Tuufuli+3.1
3015-15MO STINCWRDAttack errChloe Judd+2.2
3115-16INCWRDMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Chloe Judd+2.3
3215-17MO STMO STAttack errSofia Grimm+3.1
3316-17MO STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+2.0
3417-17INCWRDINCWRDAttack errHannah Gardner+3.4
3517-18INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.6
3618-18MO STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+2.6
3719-18INCWRDINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Ashton Rogers+4.1
3819-19INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.8
3920-19MO STINCWRD×4KillSofia Grimmset Teddy-Raye Ewers+3.3
4021-19INCWRDINCWRD×4AceUIWaced Kya Johnson+4.6
4122-19INCWRDINCWRD×4KillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+4.0
4223-19INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedLexi Weinbergblk Teddy-Raye Ewers+2.7
4323-20INCWRDMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+0.9
4423-21MO STMO STAttack errTeddy-Raye Ewers+2.3
4524-21MO STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+3.1
4625-21INCWRDINCWRDBad setHannah Gardner+1.7
Set 3
10-1MO STMO STAttack errTeddy-Raye Ewers+3.1
21-1MO STINCWRDAttack errLexi Weinberg+2.3
32-1INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+3.4
42-2INCWRDMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.4
52-3MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.3
63-3MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+2.4
73-4INCWRDMO STBlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd+2.4
83-5MO STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+3.2
94-5MO STINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+2.3
104-6INCWRDMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.3
115-6MO STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.3
125-7INCWRDMO ST×5KillJenna Waltersset Brooke Eslinger+2.4
135-8MO STMO ST×5Attack errTeddy-Raye Ewers+3.1
145-9MO STMO ST×5KillLexi Weinbergset Brooke Eslinger+2.8
155-10MO STMO ST×5KillJenna Waltersset Brooke Eslinger+2.3
165-11MO STMO ST×5KillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+1.9
176-11MO STINCWRD×3Attack errLexi Weinberg+1.1
187-11INCWRDINCWRD×3AceUIWaced Jenna Walters+2.0
198-11INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errLexi Weinberg+2.5
208-12INCWRDMO STAttack errAlex Beauchamp+2.1
219-12MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+1.8
229-13INCWRDMO ST×4BlockedAlex Beauchampblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+2.1
239-14MO STMO ST×4KillChloe Juddset Ashton Rogers+2.4
249-15MO STMO ST×4KillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+1.8
259-16MO STMO ST×4KillChloe Judd+1.3
2610-16MO STINCWRDServe errMissouri St.+0.6
2710-17INCWRDMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+0.9
2811-17MO STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.6
2911-18INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.8
3012-18MO STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.5
3112-19INCWRDMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.8
3213-19MO STINCWRDServe errMissouri St.+0.4
3313-20INCWRDMO STAttack errAlex Beauchamp+0.7
3413-21MO STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+0.5
3514-21MO STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.2
3614-22INCWRDMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+0.3
3715-22MO STINCWRDBad setHannah Gardner+0.1
3815-23INCWRDMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+0.2
3916-23MO STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison·
4016-24INCWRDMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+0.1
4117-24MO STINCWRD×5KillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison·
4218-24INCWRDINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.1
4319-24INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedRilynn Finleyblk Kitana Tuufuli, Sofia Grimm+0.1
4420-24INCWRDINCWRD×5AceUIWaced Riley Ourth+0.3
4521-24INCWRDINCWRD×5AceUIWaced Riley Ourth+0.8
4621-25INCWRDMO STKillHalle Rillieset Avery Sands+1.4
Set 4
11-0INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+2.9
22-0INCWRDINCWRDBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Gabby Fish, Vanessa Eregie+3.0
32-1INCWRDMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+2.0
42-2MO STMO STAttack errAlex Beauchamp+2.9
53-2MO STINCWRDServe errMissouri St.+2.2
63-3INCWRDMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.1
73-4MO STMO ST×4KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+3.0
83-5MO STMO ST×4KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.8
93-6MO STMO ST×4BlockedVanessa Eregieblk Rilynn Finley, Chloe Judd+2.6
104-6MO STINCWRDAttack errHannah Gardner+1.8
114-7INCWRDMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+1.9
125-7MO STINCWRDBlockedJenna Waltersblk Sofia Grimm, Gabby Fish+1.8
135-8INCWRDMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.0
146-8MO STINCWRDKillVictoria Hallset Hannah Redrow+1.9
157-8INCWRDINCWRDServe errUIW+3.0
167-9INCWRDMO STServe errUIW+2.3
178-9MO STINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+2.2
188-10INCWRDMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Brooke Eslinger+2.3
198-11MO STMO ST×4Attack errAlex Beauchamp+3.0
208-12MO STMO ST×4KillRilynn Finley+2.6
218-13MO STMO ST×4Attack errCalissa Allison+2.1
229-13MO STINCWRDServe errMissouri St.+1.3
239-14INCWRDMO ST×5KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.5
249-15MO STMO ST×5AceMissouri St.aced Isabella Ceja+1.6
259-16MO STMO ST×5AceMissouri St.aced Teddy-Raye Ewers+1.1
269-17MO STMO ST×5KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+0.7
279-18MO STMO ST×5KillChloe Juddset Ashton Rogers+0.4
2810-18MO STINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+0.2
2910-19INCWRDMO STServe errUIW+0.3
3011-19MO STINCWRD×3Serve errMissouri St.+0.1
3112-19INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.3
3213-19INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.5
3313-20INCWRDMO STAttack errKitana Tuufuli+0.6
3413-21MO STMO STBlockedSofia Grimmblk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters+0.4
3514-21MO STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.1
3615-21INCWRDINCWRDAttack errJenna Walters+0.3
3715-22INCWRDMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+0.4
3816-22MO STINCWRDAttack errJenna Walters+0.2
3916-23INCWRDMO STServe errUIW+0.3
4017-23MO STINCWRD×4KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.1
4118-23INCWRDINCWRD×4KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.3
4219-23INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errJenna Walters+0.6
4320-23INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedLexi Weinbergblk Vanessa Eregie, Calissa Allison+1.3
4420-24INCWRDMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.8
4521-24MO STINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.5
4622-24INCWRDINCWRDAttack errHannah Redrow+1.8
4722-25INCWRDMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.0

Score shown after each rally, UIW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).