Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 16, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

1:3

HomeBIG-12

TCU def. UTEP 3–1

(25-13, 22-25, 25-18, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UTEP	13	25	18	12	1
TCU	25	22	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TCU above 50 · UTEP below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to UTEP — set 3, UTEP 5-2 TCU. UTEP ace on Jaylen Clark. TCU win probability 85% → 83%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UTEP 5.3%94.7% TCU

UTEP wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.5%

3-2

3.2%

TCU wins

3-0

54.4%

3-1

30.0%

3-2

10.2%

UTEP break %: 34.5% vs this opp
TCU break %: 46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UTEP serverAce+2.5%
UTEP ace on Jaylen Clark
Set 3 · UTEP 5-2 TCU · UTEP 15% → 17%
02
UTEP serverAce+2.2%
UTEP ace on Molly McCarthy
Set 3 · UTEP 4-2 TCU · UTEP 13% → 15%
03
Becca KelleyAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Becca Kelley
Set 3 · UTEP 15-16 TCU · UTEP 9% → 11%
04
De'Andrea McMillianKill+2.2%
Kill by De'Andrea McMillian (set by Reese Wilburn)
Set 3 · UTEP 6-5 TCU · TCU 84% → 86%
05
TCU serverAce+2.1%
TCU ace on Team
Set 3 · UTEP 7-7 TCU · TCU 86% → 88%
06
Daisy VoskuhlKill+2.1%
Kill by Daisy Voskuhl (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 3 · UTEP 9-9 TCU · UTEP 10% → 12%
07
Lauren PerryKill+1.9%
Kill by Lauren Perry (set by Kalia Kohler)
Set 3 · UTEP 12-13 TCU · UTEP 9% → 10%
08
Evan HendrixKill+1.9%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Reese Wilburn)
Set 3 · UTEP 15-18 TCU · TCU 91% → 93%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UTEPaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Luvina OguntimehinOH	4	6	2	16	.250	0	3	1	1	0	3	1.5	10.5
16Mackenzi DavisOH	4	9	4	25	.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
14Ema UskokovicOH	4	7	3	31	.129	1	2	4	12	2	1	0.5	9.5
13Lauren PerryOH	4	6	5	22	.045	2	1	3	6	3	1	0.5	7.5
10Hannah CroweMB	4	0	3	11	-.273	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	1
1Kalia KohlerS	4	0	0	1	.000	20	1	2	7	0	0	0	1
18Caryme MolinaS	4	2	0	2	1.000	6	0	2	5	0	0	0	2
11Bella WidmerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
12Lily-Rose PichonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
17Daisy VoskuhlOH	3	4	3	14	.071	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
3Sydney FrazierMB	3	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Shea BruntmyerS	2	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
15Landry BrazielOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Laila AmosOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	22	128	.109	32	7	16	44	7	10	5	68

TCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Evan HendrixOH	4	17	5	36	.333	0	0	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	17.5
11Becca KelleyOH	4	13	7	32	.188	0	1	2	6	1	1	2	2	16
10Kinsley YoungMB	4	8	0	15	.533	0	1	2	4	0	0	4	2	11
5Jalyn GibsonOH	4	4	1	11	.273	1	2	0	10	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	4	4	3	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	4.5	8.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	4	0	0	2	.000	31	2	1	14	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Reese RobinsMB	4	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Reese WilburnS	4	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	9	3	0	0	0	1
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
21Morgan HollomanMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Lauren MurphyOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19McKenzie BergOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	17	117	.291	47	7	8	61	7	3	20	13	97

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UTEP · TCU 6

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 UTEPTCU 6

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 UTEPTCU 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 UTEPTCU 4

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 2 UTEPTCU 5

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = UTEP leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UTEP

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%9/21	33%4/12
2	75%9/12	40%6/15
3	53%9/17	25%3/12
4	39%7/18	33%4/12
5	43%6/14	30%3/10
6	43%6/14	25%2/8
All	48%46/96	32%22/69

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%10/15	60%12/20
2	75%9/12	36%5/14
3	67%8/12	50%9/18
4	64%7/11	42%5/12
5	78%7/9	50%7/14
6	60%6/10	67%12/18
All	68%47/69	52%50/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

165 rallies

Rally log

#	UTEP-TCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UTEP	TCU×5	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Evan Hendrix	+0.4
2	0-2	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU server	aced Lily-Rose Pichon	+0.5
3	0-3	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.5
4	0-4	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Molly McCarthy	+0.4
5	0-5	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis		+0.3
6	1-5	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+0.2
7	1-6	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
8	2-6	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Ema Uskokovic	+0.2
9	2-7	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
10	3-7	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.2
11	4-7	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+0.4
12	4-8	UTEP	TCU×6	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.3
13	4-9	TCU	TCU×6	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.3
14	4-10	TCU	TCU×6	Attack err	Daisy Voskuhl		+0.2
15	4-11	TCU	TCU×6	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
16	4-12	TCU	TCU×6	Attack err	Ema Uskokovic	blk De'Andrea McMillian	+0.1
17	4-13	TCU	TCU×6	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.1
18	5-13	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.0
19	5-14	UTEP	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
20	6-14	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.0
21	6-15	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.0
22	6-16	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+0.0
23	7-16	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Caryme Molina	set Caryme Molina	+0.0
24	8-16	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+0.0
25	8-17	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
26	9-17	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.0
27	9-18	UTEP	TCU×3	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.0
28	9-19	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix		+0.0
29	9-20	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
30	10-20	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Rosemary Archer	blk Luvina Oguntimehin, Mackenzi Davis	+0.0
31	10-21	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
32	11-21	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Reese Robins	blk Hannah Crowe, Ema Uskokovic	+0.0
33	11-22	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.0
34	12-22	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
35	13-22	UTEP	UTEP	Ace	UTEP server	aced Team	+0.0
36	13-23	UTEP	TCU×3	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.0
37	13-24	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
38	13-25	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Landry Braziel	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	De'Andrea McMillian		+0.4
2	1-1	UTEP	TCU	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+0.3
3	2-1	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.4
4	2-2	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.3
5	3-2	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+0.4
6	3-3	UTEP	TCU	Attack err	Lauren Perry	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.3
7	4-3	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+0.4
8	4-4	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.3
9	5-4	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+0.4
10	5-5	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.4
11	6-5	TCU	UTEP×3	Kill	Caryme Molina	set Lauren Perry	+0.4
12	7-5	UTEP	UTEP×3	Attack err	De'Andrea McMillian		+0.7
13	8-5	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Mackenzi Davis		+0.8
14	8-6	UTEP	TCU×4	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.5
15	8-7	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
16	8-8	TCU	TCU×4	Bad set	Mackenzi Davis		+0.6
17	8-9	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Jalyn Gibson	+0.6
18	9-9	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.4
19	10-9	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Becca Kelley	blk Luvina Oguntimehin, Lauren Perry	+0.7
20	10-10	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.4
21	11-10	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+0.5
22	11-11	UTEP	TCU	Attack err	Lauren Perry	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson	+0.5
23	11-12	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
24	12-12	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+0.5
25	13-12	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl		+0.8
26	13-13	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.5
27	14-13	TCU	UTEP×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.6
28	15-13	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Molly McCarthy	+1.0
29	16-13	UTEP	UTEP×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+1.1
30	16-14	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
31	17-14	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+0.9
32	17-15	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+0.6
33	17-16	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Lauren Perry	+1.0
34	18-16	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Caryme Molina	+0.9
35	19-16	UTEP	UTEP	Ace	UTEP server	aced Molly McCarthy	+1.4
36	19-17	UTEP	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.7
37	19-18	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.2
38	19-19	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson	+1.2
39	20-19	TCU	UTEP×4	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.0
40	21-19	UTEP	UTEP×4	Ace	UTEP server	aced Team	+1.7
41	22-19	UTEP	UTEP×4	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+1.6
42	23-19	UTEP	UTEP×4	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.3
43	23-20	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.4
44	24-20	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+0.8
45	24-21	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
46	24-22	TCU	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
47	25-22	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+1.3
Set 3
1	0-1	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.9
2	1-1	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+1.1
3	2-1	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Evan Hendrix	blk Mackenzi Davis, Luvina Oguntimehin	+1.8
4	2-2	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.1
5	3-2	TCU	UTEP×3	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+1.3
6	4-2	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Molly McCarthy	+2.2
7	5-2	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Jaylen Clark	+2.5
8	5-3	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
9	6-3	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.8
10	6-4	UTEP	TCU	Attack err	Daisy Voskuhl	blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley	+1.5
11	6-5	TCU	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Reese Wilburn	+2.2
12	7-5	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Sydney Frazier	set Caryme Molina	+1.8
13	7-6	UTEP	TCU×4	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.5
14	7-7	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	TCU server	aced Team	+2.1
15	7-8	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.9
16	7-9	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Ema Uskokovic		+1.6
17	8-9	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+1.1
18	9-9	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Rosemary Archer	+2.1
19	9-10	UTEP	TCU×3	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.3
20	9-11	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Daisy Voskuhl		+1.7
21	9-12	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Lauren Perry	+1.4
22	10-12	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+0.9
23	10-13	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.0
24	11-13	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.0
25	12-13	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+1.9
26	12-14	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.3
27	13-14	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+1.4
28	13-15	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
29	13-16	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Ema Uskokovic	blk Becca Kelley	+1.7
30	14-16	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.1
31	15-16	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+2.2
32	15-17	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+1.6
33	15-18	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+1.9
34	16-18	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+1.1
35	16-19	UTEP	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.3
36	16-20	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.3
37	16-21	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Hannah Crowe	blk De'Andrea McMillian	+0.7
38	16-22	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson		+0.3
39	17-22	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Caryme Molina	+0.1
40	17-23	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
41	17-24	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin		+0.1
42	18-24	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Shea Bruntmyer	+0.0
43	18-25	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Kalia Kohler	+1.0
2	0-2	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Jaylen Clark	+0.9
3	0-3	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Jaylen Clark	+0.7
4	1-3	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+0.5
5	1-4	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
6	1-5	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
7	2-5	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+0.4
8	2-6	UTEP	TCU×5	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
9	2-7	TCU	TCU×5	Serve err	TCU server		+0.5
10	2-8	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Kinsley Young		+0.3
11	2-9	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Sydney Frazier	blk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer	+0.2
12	2-10	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU server	aced Ema Uskokovic	+0.2
13	3-10	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+0.1
14	4-10	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Shea Bruntmyer	set Lauren Perry	+0.2
15	4-11	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
16	4-12	TCU	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
17	5-12	TCU	UTEP	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.1
18	5-13	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
19	6-13	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+0.1
20	7-13	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	De'Andrea McMillian		+0.2
21	7-14	UTEP	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
22	7-15	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Lauren Perry	blk Reese Robins, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.1
23	7-16	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	TCU server	aced Ema Uskokovic	+0.1
24	7-17	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Reese Robins	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
25	8-17	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+0.0
26	8-18	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
27	9-18	TCU	UTEP	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
28	9-19	UTEP	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Jaylen Clark	+0.0
29	10-19	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.0
30	11-19	UTEP	UTEP	Ace	UTEP server	aced Becca Kelley	+0.0
31	11-20	UTEP	TCU	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.0
32	11-21	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Lauren Perry	+0.0
33	12-21	TCU	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+0.0
34	12-22	UTEP	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
35	12-23	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Lauren Perry	blk Morgan Holloman, Becca Kelley	+0.0
36	12-24	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Morgan Holloman	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
37	12-25	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UTEP first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.