FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

UIW def. Southern Ill. 3–0

UIW beat Southern Ill. 3-0 (25-18, 25-14, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. UIW's Kitana Tuufuli led with 12 kills, and Calissa Allison added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
INCWRD2525253
SIU1814190

Win probability

Southern Ill. above 50 · UIW below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% INCWRDrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to UIW — set 1, INCWRD 3-1 SIU. Kill by Gabby Fish (set by Ashton Rogers). SIU win probability 16% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

INCWRD 83.3%16.7% SIU

UIW wins

3-0
35.0%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%
INCWRD break %
48.1% vs this opp
SIU break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gabby FishKill+1.3%

    Kill by Gabby Fish (set by Ashton Rogers)

    Set 1 · INCWRD 3-1 SIU · INCWRD 84% → 86%

  2. 02

    Kill by Chloe Anderson (set by McKenzie Moeller)

    Set 2 · INCWRD 7-7 SIU · SIU 8% → 9%

  3. 03
    Beatriz PiaiaAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Beatriz Piaia

    Set 1 · INCWRD 6-3 SIU · INCWRD 86% → 87%

  4. 04
    Gabby FishAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Gabby Fish

    Set 2 · INCWRD 5-5 SIU · SIU 8% → 9%

  5. 05
    Natalie VanceKill+1.2%

    Kill by Natalie Vance (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 1 · INCWRD 1-1 SIU · SIU 16% → 17%

  6. 06
    Ella McFarlandBad set+1.2%

    Bad set by Ella McFarland

    Set 1 · INCWRD 22-18 SIU · INCWRD 89% → 90%

  7. 07

    Kill by Alex Beauchamp (set by Calissa Allison)

    Set 1 · INCWRD 20-16 SIU · INCWRD 88% → 89%

  8. 08
    Gabby FishAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Gabby Fish

    Set 1 · INCWRD 17-14 SIU · SIU 11% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UIWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312428.28600021111.513.5
311018.6111002002112
35110.400110300217
3116.0003303150111.52.5
3203.667000600002
3002.000000820000
38122.31810040111.59.5
36215.26700030010.56.5
3003.000621810002
3002.000102800000
11011.000000000001
Team totals469110.336433659438775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310539.12820212200010
35315.133001101227
33321.000500500214
3026-.3331131600003
3207.286000000002
3012-.500000200000
34214.143000000004
3001.000010300001
3003.0000001210000
3000–201700000
2309.333000000003
2001.000802000000
1306.500000000003
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3016124.113284748314351

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 INCWRD · SIU 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 INCWRDSIU 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 4 INCWRDSIU 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 INCWRDSIU 4

Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = UIW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%6/14
33%2/6
2
83%5/6
62%8/13
3
80%4/5
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
60%6/10
5
100%4/4
43%3/7
6
100%4/4
33%2/6
All
69%27/39
48%23/48

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%5/13
57%8/14
2
67%4/6
17%1/6
3
40%4/10
20%1/5
4
57%4/7
33%2/6
5
67%4/6
0%0/4
6
67%4/6
0%0/4
All
52%25/48
31%12/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#INCWRD-SIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIUINCWRDBlockedChloe Andersonblk Kitana Tuufuli+1.1
21-1INCWRDSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.2
32-1SIUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.1
43-1INCWRDINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Ashton Rogers+1.3
53-2INCWRDSIUServe errUIW+1.1
64-2SIUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.1
74-3INCWRDSIUAttack errAlex Beauchamp+1.1
85-3SIUINCWRD×4Serve errSouthern Ill.+1.1
96-3INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errBeatriz Piaia+1.2
107-3INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.1
118-3INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Sofia Grimm+0.9
128-4INCWRDSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.7
139-4SIUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.7
149-5INCWRDSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.7
1510-5SIUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Alex Beauchamp+0.7
1611-5INCWRDINCWRDBad setLillian Dempkey+0.7
1711-6INCWRDSIU×3KillChloe Andersonset Alexandria Arrington+0.5
1811-7SIUSIU×3KillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+0.8
1911-8SIUSIU×3Attack errKitana Tuufuli+1.1
2012-8SIUINCWRD×3KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.0
2113-8INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.0
2214-8INCWRDINCWRD×3Bad setLillian Dempkey+0.7
2314-9INCWRDSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.5
2414-10SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.8
2515-10SIUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.8
2615-11INCWRDSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+0.7
2715-12SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Kitana Tuufuli+1.2
2816-12SIUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.1
2917-12INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.0
3017-13INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Isabella Del Real+0.6
3117-14SIUSIUAttack errGabby Fish+1.2
3218-14SIUINCWRDServe errSouthern Ill.+1.1
3318-15INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+0.9
3419-15SIUINCWRDBlockedElla Swansigerblk Vanessa Eregie, Alex Beauchamp+1.1
3519-16INCWRDSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+0.9
3620-16SIUINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+1.2
3721-16INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.0
3821-17INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+0.5
3921-18SIUSIUBad setKitana Tuufuli+1.0
4022-18SIUINCWRD×4Bad setElla McFarland+1.2
4123-18INCWRDINCWRD×4AceUIWaced McKenzie Moeller+0.8
4224-18INCWRDINCWRD×4KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.3
4325-18INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.1
Set 2
11-0INCWRDINCWRDBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Calissa Allison, Vanessa Eregie+1.0
22-0INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.9
32-1INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+0.8
42-2SIUSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+1.1
53-2SIUINCWRDServe errSouthern Ill.+0.9
64-2INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.0
74-3INCWRDSIUAttack errKitana Tuufuli+0.8
85-3SIUINCWRDAttack errAlexandria Arrington+0.8
95-4INCWRDSIUBlockedSofia Grimmblk Chloe Anderson, Alexandria Arrington+0.8
105-5SIUSIUAttack errGabby Fish+1.2
116-5SIUINCWRDServe errSouthern Ill.+0.9
127-5INCWRDINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+1.1
137-6INCWRDSIUKillIda Almkvistset Ella McFarland+0.9
147-7SIUSIUKillChloe Andersonset McKenzie Moeller+1.3
158-7SIUINCWRD×3Serve errSouthern Ill.+1.0
169-7INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errElla McFarland+1.2
1710-7INCWRD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
1810-8INCWRDSIUKillChloe Andersonset Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.8
1911-8SIUINCWRD×4KillGabby Fishset Chloe Anderson+0.8
2012-8INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.9
2113-8INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Calissa Allison+0.7
2214-8INCWRDINCWRD×4KillVanessa Eregieset Ella McFarland+0.5
2314-9INCWRDSIUKillIda Almkvistset Ella McFarland+0.3
2415-9SIUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.4
2515-10INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+0.3
2616-10SIUINCWRD×3KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+0.4
2717-10INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedElla Swansigerblk Kitana Tuufuli, Sofia Grimm+0.4
2818-10INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.2
2918-11INCWRDSIUServe errUIW+0.1
3019-11SIUINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+0.2
3119-12INCWRDSIUServe errUIW+0.1
3220-12SIUINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.1
3321-12INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.1
3422-12INCWRDINCWRD×4KillGabby Fishset Ashton Rogers·
3523-12INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison·
3623-13INCWRDSIUServe errUIW·
3724-13SIUINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison·
3824-14INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland·
3925-14SIUINCWRDServe errSouthern Ill.·
Set 3
10-1SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Victoria Hall+0.6
20-2SIUSIU×4BlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Chloe Anderson, Alexandria Arrington+0.7
30-3SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Ashton Rogers+0.7
40-4SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Victoria Hall+0.7
51-4SIUINCWRD×4KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.5
62-4INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.6
73-4INCWRDINCWRD×4AceUIWaced McKenzie Moeller+0.6
84-4INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errChloe Anderson+0.6
94-5INCWRDSIUKillUna Stepicset Ella McFarland+0.5
105-5SIUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.5
116-5INCWRDINCWRDBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Gabby Fish, Sofia Grimm+0.6
126-6INCWRDSIUAttack errCalissa Allison+0.5
137-6SIUINCWRD×3Attack errElla McFarland+0.5
148-6INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedAlexandria Arringtonblk Alex Beauchamp+0.6
159-6INCWRDINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.5
169-7INCWRDSIUServe errUIW+0.4
1710-7SIUINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+0.4
1810-8INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+0.4
1911-8SIUINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.4
2012-8INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.5
2112-9INCWRDSIUKillIda Almkvistset Isabella Del Real+0.3
2213-9SIUINCWRDAttack errChloe Anderson+0.4
2313-10INCWRDSIUBlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Chloe Anderson+0.3
2414-10SIUINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Vanessa Eregie+0.4
2514-11INCWRDSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+0.3
2615-11SIUINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Isabella Del Real+0.4
2715-12INCWRDSIUServe errUIW+0.3
2816-12SIUINCWRD×4KillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+0.4
2917-12INCWRDINCWRD×4KillSofia Grimmset Ashton Rogers+0.4
3018-12INCWRDINCWRD×4KillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.3
3119-12INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errAlexandria Arrington+0.2
3219-13INCWRDSIUBad setIsabella Ceja+0.1
3319-14SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+0.2
3420-14SIUINCWRDKillAlana Kolbset Calissa Allison+0.2
3520-15INCWRDSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Alexandria Arrington+0.1
3621-15SIUINCWRDServe errSouthern Ill.+0.2
3722-15INCWRDINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Isabella Ceja+0.1
3822-16INCWRDSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington·
3923-16SIUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.1
4023-17INCWRDSIUKillElla Swansigerset Alexandria Arrington·
4123-18SIUSIUKillUna Stepicset McKenzie Moeller+0.1
4224-18SIUINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.1
4324-19INCWRDSIUKillUna Stepicset Ella McFarland·
4425-19SIUINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison·

Score shown after each rally, UIW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).