UIW def. Southern Ill. 3–0
UIW beat Southern Ill. 3-0 (25-18, 25-14, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. UIW's Kitana Tuufuli led with 12 kills, and Calissa Allison added 15 digs.
Data through · final Sep 11
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INCWRD | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| SIU | 18 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.3% to UIW — set 1, INCWRD 3-1 SIU. Kill by Gabby Fish (set by Ashton Rogers). SIU win probability 16% → 14%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UIW wins
Southern Ill. wins
- INCWRD break %
- 48.1% vs this opp
- SIU break %
- 40.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Gabby FishKill+1.3%
Kill by Gabby Fish (set by Ashton Rogers)
Set 1 · INCWRD 3-1 SIU · INCWRD 84% → 86%
- 02Chloe AndersonKill+1.3%
Kill by Chloe Anderson (set by McKenzie Moeller)
Set 2 · INCWRD 7-7 SIU · SIU 8% → 9%
- 03Beatriz PiaiaAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Beatriz Piaia
Set 1 · INCWRD 6-3 SIU · INCWRD 86% → 87%
- 04
- 05Natalie VanceKill+1.2%
Kill by Natalie Vance (set by Ella McFarland)
Set 1 · INCWRD 1-1 SIU · SIU 16% → 17%
- 06
- 07Alex BeauchampKill+1.2%
Kill by Alex Beauchamp (set by Calissa Allison)
Set 1 · INCWRD 20-16 SIU · INCWRD 88% → 89%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 4 | 28 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 11 | 0 | 18 | .611 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | .400 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 22 | .318 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 15 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 9 | 110 | .336 | 43 | 3 | 6 | 59 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 39 | .128 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | .133 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -.333 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 30 | 16 | 124 | .113 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 51 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-18
Set 2
25-14
Set 3
25-19
Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = UIW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UIW
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43%6/14 | 33%2/6 |
| 2 | 83%5/6 | 62%8/13 |
| 3 | 80%4/5 | 33%2/6 |
| 4 | 67%4/6 | 60%6/10 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 43%3/7 |
| 6 | 100%4/4 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 69%27/39 | 48%23/48 |
Southern Ill.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38%5/13 | 57%8/14 |
| 2 | 67%4/6 | 17%1/6 |
| 3 | 40%4/10 | 20%1/5 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 33%2/6 |
| 5 | 67%4/6 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 0%0/4 |
| All | 52%25/48 | 31%12/39 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
126 rallies
| # | INCWRD-SIU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SIU | INCWRD | Blocked | Chloe Anderson | blk Kitana Tuufuli | +1.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Natalie Vance | set Ella McFarland | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +1.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Ashton Rogers | +1.3 |
| 5 | 3-2 | INCWRD | SIU | Serve err | UIW | +1.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +1.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | INCWRD | SIU | Attack err | Alex Beauchamp | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | SIU | INCWRD×4 | Serve err | Southern Ill. | +1.1 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Attack err | Beatriz Piaia | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Attack err | McKenzie Moeller | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Sofia Grimm | +0.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ella Swansiger | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.7 |
| 13 | 9-4 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ella Swansiger | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.7 |
| 15 | 10-5 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Alex Beauchamp | +0.7 |
| 16 | 11-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Bad set | Lillian Dempkey | +0.7 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | INCWRD | SIU×3 | Kill | Chloe Anderson | set Alexandria Arrington | +0.5 |
| 18 | 11-7 | SIU | SIU×3 | Kill | Alexandria Arrington | set Ella McFarland | +0.8 |
| 19 | 11-8 | SIU | SIU×3 | Attack err | Kitana Tuufuli | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | SIU | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +1.0 |
| 21 | 13-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +1.0 |
| 22 | 14-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Bad set | Lillian Dempkey | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Natalie Vance | set Ella McFarland | +0.5 |
| 24 | 14-10 | SIU | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Ella McFarland | +0.8 |
| 25 | 15-10 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Ashton Rogers | +0.8 |
| 26 | 15-11 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Chloe Anderson | set Ella McFarland | +0.7 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SIU | SIU | Ace | Southern Ill. | aced Kitana Tuufuli | +1.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +1.1 |
| 29 | 17-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Attack err | McKenzie Moeller | +1.0 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Isabella Del Real | +0.6 |
| 31 | 17-14 | SIU | SIU | Attack err | Gabby Fish | +1.2 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | SIU | INCWRD | Serve err | Southern Ill. | +1.1 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | SIU | INCWRD | Blocked | Ella Swansiger | blk Vanessa Eregie, Alex Beauchamp | +1.1 |
| 35 | 19-16 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Alexandria Arrington | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.9 |
| 36 | 20-16 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | +1.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +1.0 |
| 38 | 21-17 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | SIU | SIU | Bad set | Kitana Tuufuli | +1.0 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | SIU | INCWRD×4 | Bad set | Ella McFarland | +1.2 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Ace | UIW | aced McKenzie Moeller | +0.8 |
| 42 | 24-18 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Calissa Allison | +0.3 |
| 43 | 25-18 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Ashton Rogers | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Blocked | McKenzie Moeller | blk Calissa Allison, Vanessa Eregie | +1.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SIU | SIU | Kill | Alexandria Arrington | set Lillian Dempkey | +1.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SIU | INCWRD | Serve err | Southern Ill. | +0.9 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +1.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | INCWRD | SIU | Attack err | Kitana Tuufuli | +0.8 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | SIU | INCWRD | Attack err | Alexandria Arrington | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | INCWRD | SIU | Blocked | Sofia Grimm | blk Chloe Anderson, Alexandria Arrington | +0.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SIU | SIU | Attack err | Gabby Fish | +1.2 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | SIU | INCWRD | Serve err | Southern Ill. | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Calissa Allison | +1.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ida Almkvist | set Ella McFarland | +0.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SIU | SIU | Kill | Chloe Anderson | set McKenzie Moeller | +1.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SIU | INCWRD×3 | Serve err | Southern Ill. | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Attack err | Ella McFarland | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | INCWRD | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.0 | |||
| 18 | 10-8 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Chloe Anderson | set Jillian Shaneyfelt | +0.8 |
| 19 | 11-8 | SIU | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Chloe Anderson | +0.8 |
| 20 | 12-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | +0.9 |
| 21 | 13-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Blocked | McKenzie Moeller | blk Calissa Allison | +0.7 |
| 22 | 14-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Ella McFarland | +0.5 |
| 23 | 14-9 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ida Almkvist | set Ella McFarland | +0.3 |
| 24 | 15-9 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Lillian Dempkey | +0.3 |
| 26 | 16-10 | SIU | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Teddy-Raye Ewers | set Calissa Allison | +0.4 |
| 27 | 17-10 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Blocked | Ella Swansiger | blk Kitana Tuufuli, Sofia Grimm | +0.4 |
| 28 | 18-10 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +0.2 |
| 29 | 18-11 | INCWRD | SIU | Serve err | UIW | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Teddy-Raye Ewers | set Calissa Allison | +0.2 |
| 31 | 19-12 | INCWRD | SIU | Serve err | UIW | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | SIU | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | +0.1 |
| 34 | 22-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Ashton Rogers | · |
| 35 | 23-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | · |
| 36 | 23-13 | INCWRD | SIU | Serve err | UIW | · | |
| 37 | 24-13 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Calissa Allison | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Ella McFarland | · |
| 39 | 25-14 | SIU | INCWRD | Serve err | Southern Ill. | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SIU | SIU×4 | Ace | Southern Ill. | aced Victoria Hall | +0.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | SIU | SIU×4 | Blocked | Kitana Tuufuli | blk Chloe Anderson, Alexandria Arrington | +0.7 |
| 3 | 0-3 | SIU | SIU×4 | Ace | Southern Ill. | aced Ashton Rogers | +0.7 |
| 4 | 0-4 | SIU | SIU×4 | Ace | Southern Ill. | aced Victoria Hall | +0.7 |
| 5 | 1-4 | SIU | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | +0.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Ace | UIW | aced McKenzie Moeller | +0.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Attack err | Chloe Anderson | +0.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Una Stepic | set Ella McFarland | +0.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Ashton Rogers | +0.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Blocked | McKenzie Moeller | blk Gabby Fish, Sofia Grimm | +0.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | INCWRD | SIU | Attack err | Calissa Allison | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | SIU | INCWRD×3 | Attack err | Ella McFarland | +0.5 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Blocked | Alexandria Arrington | blk Alex Beauchamp | +0.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Calissa Allison | +0.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | INCWRD | SIU | Serve err | UIW | +0.4 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Calissa Allison | +0.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Alexandria Arrington | +0.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | +0.4 |
| 20 | 12-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.5 |
| 21 | 12-9 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ida Almkvist | set Isabella Del Real | +0.3 |
| 22 | 13-9 | SIU | INCWRD | Attack err | Chloe Anderson | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | INCWRD | SIU | Blocked | Kitana Tuufuli | blk Chloe Anderson | +0.3 |
| 24 | 14-10 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Vanessa Eregie | +0.4 |
| 25 | 14-11 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Chloe Anderson | set Ella McFarland | +0.3 |
| 26 | 15-11 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Isabella Del Real | +0.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | INCWRD | SIU | Serve err | UIW | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | SIU | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Calissa Allison | +0.4 |
| 29 | 17-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Ashton Rogers | +0.4 |
| 30 | 18-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | +0.3 |
| 31 | 19-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Attack err | Alexandria Arrington | +0.2 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | INCWRD | SIU | Bad set | Isabella Ceja | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | SIU | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Alexandria Arrington | +0.2 |
| 34 | 20-14 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Alana Kolb | set Calissa Allison | +0.2 |
| 35 | 20-15 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | McKenzie Moeller | set Alexandria Arrington | +0.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | SIU | INCWRD | Serve err | Southern Ill. | +0.2 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Isabella Ceja | +0.1 |
| 38 | 22-16 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ella Swansiger | set Alexandria Arrington | · |
| 39 | 23-16 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.1 |
| 40 | 23-17 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Ella Swansiger | set Alexandria Arrington | · |
| 41 | 23-18 | SIU | SIU | Kill | Una Stepic | set McKenzie Moeller | +0.1 |
| 42 | 24-18 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | +0.1 |
| 43 | 24-19 | INCWRD | SIU | Kill | Una Stepic | set Ella McFarland | · |
| 44 | 25-19 | SIU | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | · |
Score shown after each rally, UIW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).