UIW def. Northwestern St. 3–1
UIW beat visiting Northwestern St. 3-1 (25-15, 25-17, 23-25, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. UIW's Kitana Tuufuli led with 18 kills, and Ashton Rogers added 20 digs.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW ST | 15 | 17 | 25 | 20 | 1 |
| INCWRD | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.6% to Northwestern St. — set 4, NW ST 17-17 INCWRD. Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad). INCWRD win probability 97% → 95%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Northwestern St. wins
UIW wins
- NW ST break %
- 36.0% vs this opp
- INCWRD break %
- 51.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Olivia NziokiKill+1.6%
Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · NW ST 17-17 INCWRD · NW ST 3% → 5%
- 02Alana KolbBlock+1.3%
Olivia Nzioki stuffed by Alana Kolb
Set 4 · NW ST 17-19 INCWRD · INCWRD 97% → 98%
- 03Kitana TuufuliKill+1.2%
Kill by Kitana Tuufuli (set by Victoria Hall)
Set 4 · NW ST 19-21 INCWRD · INCWRD 97% → 98%
- 04Teddy-Raye EwersKill+1.2%
Kill by Teddy-Raye Ewers (set by Victoria Sanchez)
Set 4 · NW ST 17-18 INCWRD · INCWRD 95% → 97%
- 05Kitana TuufuliKill+1.1%
Kill by Kitana Tuufuli (set by Victoria Hall)
Set 4 · NW ST 19-22 INCWRD · INCWRD 98% → 99%
- 06Gillian Grace WolfKill+1.1%
Kill by Gillian Grace Wolf (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · NW ST 19-20 INCWRD · NW ST 2% → 3%
- 07Calissa AllisonKill+1.1%
Kill by Calissa Allison (set by Ashton Rogers)
Set 4 · NW ST 18-20 INCWRD · INCWRD 97% → 98%
- 08Gillian Grace WolfKill+1.1%
Kill by Gillian Grace Wolf (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · NW ST 15-16 INCWRD · NW ST 2% → 3%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 10 | 35 | .086 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| 4 | 14 | 3 | 39 | .282 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 28 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | .053 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -.125 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 21 | 148 | .155 | 42 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 77 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 5 | 47 | .277 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 21 | .381 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | .077 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | .250 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .267 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | .125 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 13 | .231 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | .571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -.111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 22 | 166 | .253 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Northwestern St. vs UIW
Season series · UIW leads 2-0
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Northwestern St. at UIW · UIW won 3-1This match
- Sat, Oct 31, 2026UIW at Northwestern St. · UIW won 3-0Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
15-25
Set 2
17-25
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
20-25
Bars above the line = UIW leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Northwestern St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%10/19 | 10%1/10 |
| 2 | 39%9/23 | 55%11/20 |
| 3 | 73%8/11 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 0%0/8 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 50%7/14 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 52%50/97 | 35%27/78 |
UIW
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59%10/17 | 40%6/15 |
| 2 | 56%9/16 | 47%8/17 |
| 3 | 90%9/10 | 55%11/20 |
| 4 | 67%8/12 | 38%5/13 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 53%8/15 |
| All | 65%51/78 | 48%47/97 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
175 rallies
| # | NW ST-INCWRD | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Kitana Tuufuli | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Victoria Hall | +0.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW ST | INCWRD | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Lilly Roach | +0.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NW ST | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Calissa Allison | +0.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Victoria Hall | +0.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Ashton Rogers | +0.3 |
| 11 | 4-7 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Hall | +0.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Alex Beauchamp | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | NW ST | INCWRD×5 | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.1 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Blocked | Kenadii Winfrey | blk Vanessa Eregie | +0.1 |
| 16 | 5-11 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 17 | 5-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 18 | 5-13 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Attack err | Amber Craig | · | |
| 19 | 6-13 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Calissa Allison | · | |
| 20 | 6-14 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Hall | · |
| 21 | 7-14 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 22 | 8-14 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Kitana Tuufuli | blk Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Ace | Northwestern St. | +0.1 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | NW ST | INCWRD×3 | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Sofia Grimm | +0.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Bad set | Emmarie McFarland | +0.1 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Ace | UIW | · | |
| 27 | 10-17 | INCWRD | NW ST | Serve err | UIW | · | |
| 28 | 11-17 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Sofia Grimm | · | |
| 29 | 11-18 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Calissa Allison | · |
| 30 | 12-18 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 31 | 12-19 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Alex Beauchamp | set Calissa Allison | · |
| 32 | 12-20 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | · |
| 33 | 13-20 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 34 | 14-20 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Alex Beauchamp | · | |
| 35 | 14-21 | NW ST | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Victoria Hall | set Emmarie McFarland | · |
| 36 | 14-22 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Calissa Allison | · |
| 37 | 14-23 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Victoria Hall | · |
| 38 | 15-23 | INCWRD | NW ST | Serve err | UIW | · | |
| 39 | 15-24 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Victoria Hall | · |
| 40 | 15-25 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Hall | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +0.1 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +0.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Serve err | UIW | +0.1 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Vanessa Eregie | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NW ST | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Sofia Grimm | +0.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 11 | 3-8 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Ace | UIW | aced Emmarie McFarland | +0.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 14 | 4-10 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Calissa Allison | +0.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 16 | 5-11 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Victoria Sanchez | · |
| 17 | 6-11 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Lilly Roach | · | |
| 18 | 6-12 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Victoria Sanchez | · |
| 19 | 7-12 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Emmarie McFarland | · |
| 20 | 8-12 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Alex Beauchamp | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Lilly Roach | blk Olivia Nzioki | +0.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.1 |
| 23 | 10-13 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 25 | 10-15 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 26 | 11-15 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Amber Craig | +0.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 28 | 11-17 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 29 | 12-17 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 30 | 12-18 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Victoria Hall | · |
| 31 | 13-18 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Julia Whitfield | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 32 | 13-19 | NW ST | INCWRD | Blocked | Amber Craig | blk Sofia Grimm | · |
| 33 | 14-19 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 34 | 15-19 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Teddy-Raye Ewers | +0.1 |
| 35 | 15-20 | NW ST | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Teddy-Raye Ewers | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Blocked | Gillian Grace Wolf | blk Vanessa Eregie, Lilly Roach | +0.1 |
| 37 | 15-22 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Isabella Ceja | · |
| 38 | 16-22 | INCWRD | NW ST | Serve err | UIW | · | |
| 39 | 16-23 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Victoria Sanchez | · |
| 40 | 17-23 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | NW ST | INCWRD | Serve err | Northwestern St. | · | |
| 42 | 17-25 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Teddy-Raye Ewers | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Ace | UIW | aced Elsie Sanchez | +0.1 |
| 3 | 0-3 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Blocked | Gillian Grace Wolf | blk Gabby Fish | +0.1 |
| 4 | 0-4 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Victoria Hall | · |
| 5 | 0-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD×5 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | · | |
| 6 | 1-5 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | · |
| 7 | 2-5 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Kitana Tuufuli | · | |
| 8 | 3-5 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Teddy-Raye Ewers | blk Olivia Nzioki | +0.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Sofia Grimm | set Victoria Hall | · |
| 10 | 3-7 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Victoria Hall | set Teddy-Raye Ewers | · |
| 11 | 4-7 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Serve err | UIW | · | |
| 12 | 5-7 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +0.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +0.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Vanessa Eregie | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Julia Whitfield | +0.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Kitana Tuufuli | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.1 |
| 20 | 10-10 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Lilly Roach | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW ST | INCWRD | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW ST | INCWRD | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | INCWRD | NW ST×4 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 28 | 16-12 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Teddy-Raye Ewers | blk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez | +0.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NW ST | INCWRD | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.2 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.2 |
| 31 | 17-14 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.2 |
| 33 | 17-16 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Sofia Grimm | +0.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| 35 | 18-17 | NW ST | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Alana Kolb | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Attack err | Julia Whitfield | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Bad set | Victoria Sanchez | +0.2 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 40 | 21-19 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +0.4 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Lilly Roach | +0.4 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Alana Kolb | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.3 |
| 44 | 22-22 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Sofia Grimm | +0.4 |
| 45 | 23-22 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +0.4 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.7 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Lilly Roach | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.3 |
| 48 | 25-23 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | INCWRD | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | INCWRD | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Calissa Allison | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Kitana Tuufuli | blk Olivia Nzioki | +1.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Alana Kolb | set Victoria Hall | +0.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | INCWRD | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Anna Claire Hebert | set Jade Longlad | +0.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NW ST | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +0.8 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Blocked | Elsie Sanchez | blk Vanessa Eregie, Gabby Fish | +0.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Victoria Hall | +0.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | Northwestern St. | +0.9 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NW ST | INCWRD | Attack err | Jade Longlad | +0.6 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.7 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NW ST | INCWRD | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Gabby Fish | +0.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | INCWRD | NW ST | Blocked | Teddy-Raye Ewers | blk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig | +0.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Alana Kolb | set Victoria Hall | +0.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | INCWRD | NW ST | Serve err | UIW | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | NW ST | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.7 |
| 22 | 10-12 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Ace | UIW | aced Harper Cauley | +0.8 |
| 23 | 10-13 | INCWRD | INCWRD×3 | Kill | Teddy-Raye Ewers | set Victoria Hall | +0.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.5 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Calissa Allison | blk Elsie Sanchez, Julia Whitfield | +0.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.7 |
| 27 | 12-15 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Kill | Gabby Fish | set Victoria Sanchez | +0.7 |
| 28 | 13-15 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.6 |
| 29 | 13-16 | NW ST | INCWRD | Attack err | Amber Craig | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.1 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NW ST | INCWRD | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | INCWRD | NW ST | Serve err | UIW | +0.9 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Teddy-Raye Ewers | set Victoria Sanchez | +1.2 |
| 36 | 17-19 | INCWRD | INCWRD | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Alana Kolb | +1.3 |
| 37 | 18-19 | INCWRD | NW ST | Attack err | Calissa Allison | +1.0 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Calissa Allison | set Ashton Rogers | +1.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | NW ST | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +1.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +1.1 |
| 42 | 19-23 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Vanessa Eregie | set Victoria Hall | +0.6 |
| 43 | 19-24 | INCWRD | INCWRD×4 | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.2 |
| 44 | 20-24 | INCWRD | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 45 | 20-25 | NW ST | INCWRD | Kill | Kitana Tuufuli | set Victoria Hall | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).