Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UIW def. Northwestern St. 3–1

UIW beat visiting Northwestern St. 3-1 (25-15, 25-17, 23-25, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. UIW's Kitana Tuufuli led with 18 kills, and Ashton Rogers added 20 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set1234Sets
NW ST151725201
INCWRD252523253

Win probability

UIW above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.6% NW STrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Northwestern St. — set 4, NW ST 17-17 INCWRD. Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad). INCWRD win probability 97% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 2.3%97.7% INCWRD

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.5%

UIW wins

3-0
65.4%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
6.4%
NW ST break %
36.0% vs this opp
INCWRD break %
51.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Olivia NziokiKill+1.6%

    Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 4 · NW ST 17-17 INCWRD · NW ST 3% → 5%

  2. 02
    Alana KolbBlock+1.3%

    Olivia Nzioki stuffed by Alana Kolb

    Set 4 · NW ST 17-19 INCWRD · INCWRD 97% → 98%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kitana Tuufuli (set by Victoria Hall)

    Set 4 · NW ST 19-21 INCWRD · INCWRD 97% → 98%

  4. 04

    Kill by Teddy-Raye Ewers (set by Victoria Sanchez)

    Set 4 · NW ST 17-18 INCWRD · INCWRD 95% → 97%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kitana Tuufuli (set by Victoria Hall)

    Set 4 · NW ST 19-22 INCWRD · INCWRD 98% → 99%

  6. 06

    Kill by Gillian Grace Wolf (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 4 · NW ST 19-20 INCWRD · NW ST 2% → 3%

  7. 07

    Kill by Calissa Allison (set by Ashton Rogers)

    Set 4 · NW ST 18-20 INCWRD · INCWRD 97% → 98%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gillian Grace Wolf (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 4 · NW ST 15-16 INCWRD · NW ST 2% → 3%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4131035.0860000032417
414339.2820015102115
410228.2860014000010
44319.05310000010.54.5
4018-.1253700901011
2117.000000100001
41011.000211900002
4001.000021800002
4001.0001001910000
4001.000001710000
3116.00010130010.51.5
3002.000000200000
Team totals4421148.155423667446777
UIWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418547.2770003000018
410221.3810012012212
44313.077103810004
4208.25037111200003
35115.267101204049
36416.125611400007
4000–2202000002
4000–100800000
36015.40000040212.58.5
37413.23110020010.57.5
3002.0001300700000
2407.571000001015
2239-.111000100002
Team totals6422166.2536247733841098

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northwestern St. vs UIW

Season series · UIW leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NW ST · INCWRD 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 NW STINCWRD 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 NW STINCWRD 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 NW STINCWRD 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 3 NW STINCWRD 4

Bars above the line = UIW leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
10%1/10
2
39%9/23
55%11/20
3
73%8/11
31%4/13
4
57%8/14
0%0/8
5
50%8/16
47%7/15
6
50%7/14
33%4/12
All
52%50/97
35%27/78

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
40%6/15
2
56%9/16
47%8/17
3
90%9/10
55%11/20
4
67%8/12
38%5/13
5
67%8/12
53%9/17
6
64%7/11
53%8/15
All
65%51/78
48%47/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#NW ST-INCWRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0INCWRDNW STAttack errKitana Tuufuli+0.3
21-1NW STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.3
32-1INCWRDNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.3
42-2NW STINCWRDServe errNorthwestern St.+0.3
53-2INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.3
63-3NW STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Lilly Roach+0.3
74-3INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.3
84-4NW STINCWRD×5KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.3
94-5INCWRDINCWRD×5KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.3
104-6INCWRDINCWRD×5KillAlex Beauchampset Ashton Rogers+0.3
114-7INCWRDINCWRD×5KillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+0.2
124-8INCWRDINCWRD×5Attack errElsie Sanchez+0.2
135-8INCWRDNW STAttack errAlex Beauchamp+0.1
145-9NW STINCWRD×5Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.1
155-10INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedKenadii Winfreyblk Vanessa Eregie+0.1
165-11INCWRDINCWRD×5KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
175-12INCWRDINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
185-13INCWRDINCWRD×5Attack errAmber Craig·
196-13INCWRDNW STAttack errCalissa Allison·
206-14NW STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall·
217-14INCWRDNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad·
228-14NW STNW ST×3BlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Jade Longlad+0.1
239-14NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.+0.1
249-15NW STINCWRD×3BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Sofia Grimm+0.1
259-16INCWRDINCWRD×3Bad setEmmarie McFarland+0.1
269-17INCWRDINCWRD×3AceUIW·
2710-17INCWRDNW STServe errUIW·
2811-17NW STNW STAttack errSofia Grimm·
2911-18NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison·
3012-18INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad·
3112-19NW STINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison·
3212-20INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison·
3313-20INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad·
3414-20NW STNW STAttack errAlex Beauchamp·
3514-21NW STINCWRD×3KillVictoria Hallset Emmarie McFarland·
3614-22INCWRDINCWRD×3KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison·
3714-23INCWRDINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall·
3815-23INCWRDNW STServe errUIW·
3915-24NW STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall·
4015-25INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall·
Set 2
10-1NW STINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
20-2INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+0.1
30-3INCWRDINCWRD×3Bad setJade Longlad+0.1
41-3INCWRDNW ST×3Serve errUIW+0.1
52-3NW STNW ST×3Attack errVanessa Eregie+0.2
63-3NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.2
73-4NW STINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
83-5INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Sofia Grimm+0.2
93-6INCWRDINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
103-7INCWRDINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
113-8INCWRDINCWRD×5AceUIWaced Emmarie McFarland+0.1
124-8INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
134-9NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
144-10INCWRDINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.1
155-10INCWRDNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad·
165-11NW STINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Victoria Sanchez·
176-11INCWRDNW STAttack errLilly Roach·
186-12NW STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Sanchez·
197-12INCWRDNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Emmarie McFarland·
208-12NW STNW ST×3Attack errAlex Beauchamp+0.1
219-12NW STNW ST×3BlockedLilly Roachblk Olivia Nzioki+0.1
229-13NW STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Sanchez+0.1
2310-13INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
2410-14NW STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+0.1
2510-15INCWRDINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Victoria Hall+0.1
2611-15INCWRDNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Amber Craig+0.1
2711-16NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
2811-17INCWRDINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Victoria Hall+0.1
2912-17INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad·
3012-18NW STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall·
3113-18INCWRDNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad·
3213-19NW STINCWRDBlockedAmber Craigblk Sofia Grimm·
3314-19INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad·
3415-19NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Teddy-Raye Ewers+0.1
3515-20NW STINCWRD×3KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Sanchez+0.1
3615-21INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Vanessa Eregie, Lilly Roach+0.1
3715-22INCWRDINCWRD×3KillLilly Roachset Isabella Ceja·
3816-22INCWRDNW STServe errUIW·
3916-23NW STINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Victoria Sanchez·
4017-23INCWRDNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad·
4117-24NW STINCWRDServe errNorthwestern St.·
4217-25INCWRDINCWRDAttack errOlivia Nzioki·
Set 3
10-1INCWRDINCWRD×5KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.1
20-2INCWRDINCWRD×5AceUIWaced Elsie Sanchez+0.1
30-3INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Gabby Fish+0.1
40-4INCWRDINCWRD×5KillGabby Fishset Victoria Hall·
50-5INCWRDINCWRD×5Attack errOlivia Nzioki·
61-5INCWRDNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad·
72-5NW STNW ST×3Attack errKitana Tuufuli·
83-5NW STNW ST×3BlockedTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Olivia Nzioki+0.1
93-6NW STINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall·
103-7INCWRDINCWRDKillVictoria Hallset Teddy-Raye Ewers·
114-7INCWRDNW ST×3Serve errUIW·
125-7NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+0.1
136-7NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+0.1
146-8NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
157-8INCWRDNW STAttack errVanessa Eregie+0.1
167-9NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1
178-9INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Julia Whitfield+0.1
189-9NW STNW STAttack errKitana Tuufuli+0.1
199-10NW STINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Sanchez+0.1
2010-10INCWRDNW STAttack errLilly Roach+0.1
2111-10NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.2
2211-11NW STINCWRDServe errNorthwestern St.+0.1
2312-11INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
2412-12NW STINCWRDAttack errOlivia Nzioki+0.1
2513-12INCWRDNW ST×4KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.1
2614-12NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.2
2715-12NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.3
2816-12NW STNW ST×4BlockedTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+0.3
2916-13NW STINCWRDServe errNorthwestern St.+0.2
3016-14INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.2
3117-14INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.2
3217-15NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.2
3317-16INCWRDINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Sofia Grimm+0.2
3418-16INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.2
3518-17NW STINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.2
3618-18INCWRDINCWRD×3KillAlana Kolbset Victoria Sanchez+0.2
3718-19INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errJulia Whitfield+0.2
3819-19INCWRDNW ST×3Bad setVictoria Sanchez+0.2
3920-19NW STNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.3
4021-19NW STNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.4
4121-20NW STINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Victoria Sanchez+0.2
4222-20INCWRDNW STAttack errLilly Roach+0.4
4322-21NW STINCWRDKillAlana Kolbset Victoria Sanchez+0.3
4422-22INCWRDINCWRDBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Sofia Grimm+0.4
4523-22INCWRDNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.4
4624-22NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.7
4724-23NW STINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Victoria Sanchez+0.3
4825-23INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.8
Set 4
10-1NW STINCWRDAttack errOlivia Nzioki+0.4
21-1INCWRDNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.5
32-1NW STNW ST×3Attack errCalissa Allison+0.8
43-1NW STNW ST×3BlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Olivia Nzioki+1.0
53-2NW STINCWRDKillAlana Kolbset Victoria Hall+0.6
64-2INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.8
74-3NW STINCWRDAttack errElsie Sanchez+0.7
85-3INCWRDNW STKillAnna Claire Hebertset Jade Longlad+0.9
95-4NW STINCWRD×4KillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Sanchez+0.7
105-5INCWRDINCWRD×4Bad setJade Longlad+0.8
115-6INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Vanessa Eregie, Gabby Fish+0.7
125-7INCWRDINCWRD×4KillGabby Fishset Victoria Hall+0.6
136-7INCWRDNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.5
147-7NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.+0.9
157-8NW STINCWRDAttack errJade Longlad+0.6
168-8INCWRDNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.7
178-9NW STINCWRDBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Gabby Fish+0.6
189-9INCWRDNW STBlockedTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig+0.8
199-10NW STINCWRDKillAlana Kolbset Victoria Hall+0.7
2010-10INCWRDNW STServe errUIW+0.8
2110-11NW STINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.7
2210-12INCWRDINCWRD×3AceUIWaced Harper Cauley+0.8
2310-13INCWRDINCWRD×3KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.6
2411-13INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.5
2512-13NW STNW STBlockedCalissa Allisonblk Elsie Sanchez, Julia Whitfield+0.9
2612-14NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.7
2712-15INCWRDINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Victoria Sanchez+0.7
2813-15INCWRDNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.6
2913-16NW STINCWRDAttack errAmber Craig+0.6
3014-16INCWRDNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.6
3115-16NW STNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.1
3215-17NW STINCWRDServe errNorthwestern St.+0.8
3316-17INCWRDNW STServe errUIW+0.9
3417-17NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.6
3517-18NW STINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Sanchez+1.2
3617-19INCWRDINCWRDBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Alana Kolb+1.3
3718-19INCWRDNW STAttack errCalissa Allison+1.0
3818-20NW STINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+1.1
3919-20INCWRDNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.1
4019-21NW STINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+1.2
4119-22INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+1.1
4219-23INCWRDINCWRD×4KillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+0.6
4319-24INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.2
4420-24INCWRDNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
4520-25NW STINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).