Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UIW def. McNeese 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: UIW 89.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UIW beat visiting McNeese 3-2 (25-19, 23-25, 25-16, 22-25, 15-6) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. UIW's Calissa Allison led with 19 kills, and Ashton Rogers added 25 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set12345Sets
MCNEES1925162562
INCWRD25232522153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sofia Grimm served 4 aces, and UIW needed every one.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are UIW's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave UIW 89% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · McNeese 18–21 UIW

    McNeese scored 6 straight to turn an 18–21 deficit into a 24–21 lead.

    UIW 98% → 73%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · McNeese 2–1 UIW

    4 straight UIW points turned a 1–2 deficit into a 5–2 lead.

    UIW 63% → 88%

UIW above 50McNeese belowMax swing 7.4%

McNeeseUIW

Sideout %
McNeese 56.4·UIW 68.1
Break %
McNeese 31.9·UIW 43.6
Hitting
McNeese .174·UIW .263
Longest run
McNeese 6·UIW 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UIW above 50 · McNeese below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+7.4% INCWRDrally 201 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.4% to UIW — set 5, MCNEES 2-3 INCWRD. Attack error by Harmony Jackson. INCWRD win probability 69% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MCNEES 8.8%91.2% INCWRD

McNeese wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
5.0%

UIW wins

3-0
46.7%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.1%
MCNEES break %
37.8% vs this opp
INCWRD break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Harmony JacksonAttack error+7.4%

    Attack error by Harmony Jackson

    Set 5 · MCNEES 2-3 INCWRD · INCWRD 69% → 76%

  2. 02
    Ava HenryKill+6.6%

    Kill by Ava Henry (set by Megan Grose)

    Set 5 · MCNEES 2-1 INCWRD · MCNEES 31% → 37%

  3. 03

    Kayla Wilson stuffed by Lilly Roach & Sofia Grimm

    Set 5 · MCNEES 2-4 INCWRD · INCWRD 76% → 83%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gabbie Maldonado (set by Megan Grose)

    Set 5 · MCNEES 1-0 INCWRD · MCNEES 30% → 36%

  5. 05

    Kill by Harmony Jackson (set by Gaby Santiago)

    Set 4 · MCNEES 23-21 INCWRD · MCNEES 16% → 22%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kitana Tuufuli (set by Calissa Allison)

    Set 5 · MCNEES 2-2 INCWRD · INCWRD 63% → 69%

  7. 07
    Harmony JacksonAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Harmony Jackson

    Set 5 · MCNEES 1-1 INCWRD · INCWRD 64% → 69%

  8. 08

    Harmony Jackson stuffed by Sofia Grimm & Lilly Roach

    Set 5 · MCNEES 2-5 INCWRD · INCWRD 83% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516337.35110010010.516.5
57128.2141111004210
56933-.09110040010.56.5
5204.50019101300003
45117.2350011210005
4417.429200000004
56423.08700010010.56.5
5001.0006012810000
5001.0001011080000
5000–1700600000
44210.20010030010.54.5
3013-.333000100000
1102.500000000001
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5122167.1744924801108491
UIWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519337.4323222120010.521.5
513323.4352436006320
510330.2330001002111
59231.2260002002110
5001.0003221200002
5000–2131610001
513535.2290003002114
5001.0003232500002
5001.0001001210000
47620.05000030031.58.5
1227.000000100002
Team totals7324186.2637211128320168110

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MCNEES · INCWRD 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 MCNEESINCWRD 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 MCNEESINCWRD 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 MCNEESINCWRD 4

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 MCNEESINCWRD 6

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 1 MCNEESINCWRD 5

Bars above the line = UIW leads, below = McNeese leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

McNeese

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
15%2/13
2
86%12/14
50%12/24
3
44%11/25
27%4/15
4
45%9/20
29%4/14
5
56%9/16
31%4/13
6
53%9/17
25%3/12
All
56%62/110
32%29/91

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
41%7/17
2
50%12/24
14%2/14
3
73%11/15
43%9/21
4
60%9/15
58%14/24
5
82%9/11
44%7/16
6
75%9/12
50%9/18
All
68%62/91
44%48/110

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#MCNEES-INCWRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+1.0
20-2INCWRDINCWRDAceCalissa Allisonaced Sophia Tocmo+0.9
31-2INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.7
41-3MCNEESINCWRDServe errCarli Banks+0.7
51-4INCWRDINCWRDAttack errHarmony Jackson+0.8
62-4INCWRDMCNEESAttack errLilly Roach+0.6
72-5MCNEESINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.6
83-5INCWRDMCNEESAttack errLilly Roach+0.6
93-6MCNEESINCWRD×4KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.6
103-7INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.7
113-8INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.6
123-9INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errHarmony Jackson+0.4
134-9INCWRDMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.3
144-10MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.3
154-11INCWRDINCWRDBlockedAva Henryblk Alex Beauchamp, Sofia Grimm+0.3
165-11INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+0.2
175-12MCNEESINCWRD×4KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.2
185-13INCWRDINCWRD×4AceSofia Grimmaced Sophia Tocmo+0.2
195-14INCWRDINCWRD×4AceSofia Grimmaced Sophia Tocmo+0.1
205-15INCWRDINCWRD×4AceSofia Grimmaced Sophia Tocmo+0.1
216-15INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW·
226-16MCNEESINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall+0.1
237-16INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW·
248-16MCNEESMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+0.1
258-17MCNEESINCWRDAttack errGabbie Maldonado+0.1
269-17INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.1
279-18MCNEESINCWRDServe errSophia Tocmo+0.1
289-19INCWRDINCWRDAceAshton Rogersaced Sophia Tocmo+0.1
2910-19INCWRDMCNEESBlockedLilly Roachblk Ava Henry, Harmony Jackson·
3011-19MCNEESMCNEESAttack errKitana Tuufuli·
3111-20MCNEESINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.1
3212-20INCWRDMCNEES×4KillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler·
3313-20MCNEESMCNEES×4KillCarli Banks+0.1
3414-20MCNEESMCNEES×4Bad setVictoria Hall+0.1
3515-20MCNEESMCNEES×4KillCarli Banksset Corynne Hausler+0.3
3615-21MCNEESINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+0.3
3716-21INCWRDMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.2
3817-21MCNEESMCNEESAttack errAlex Beauchamp+0.4
3917-22MCNEESINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.4
4017-23INCWRDINCWRD×3KillAlex Beauchampset Sofia Grimm+0.3
4117-24INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errKayla Wilson+0.1
4218-24INCWRDMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Corynne Hausler·
4319-24MCNEESMCNEESAceMegan Groseaced Isabella Ceja·
4419-25MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
Set 2
10-1MCNEESINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+0.5
20-2INCWRDINCWRDAceCalissa Allisonaced Carli Banks+0.6
31-2INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.5
41-3MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.5
51-4INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregie+0.6
62-4INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.4
72-5MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.4
83-5INCWRDMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.4
93-6MCNEESINCWRDKillGabby Fishset Calissa Allison+0.4
104-6INCWRDMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.5
114-7MCNEESINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.5
124-8INCWRDINCWRDAceIsabella Cejaaced Sophia Tocmo+0.5
135-8INCWRDMCNEESAttack errSofia Grimm+0.4
145-9MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.4
155-10INCWRDINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Isabella Ceja+0.4
166-10INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+0.3
177-10MCNEESMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Harmony Soles+0.5
187-11MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+0.4
198-11INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+0.4
209-11MCNEESMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Gaby Santiago+0.7
219-12MCNEESINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+0.5
2210-12INCWRDMCNEESBad setAshton Rogers+0.5
2310-13MCNEESINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.6
2411-13INCWRDMCNEES×3KillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.6
2512-13MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errGabby Fish+0.9
2613-13MCNEESMCNEES×3BlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Kayla Wilson, Ava Henry+1.2
2713-14MCNEESINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.9
2813-15INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedKayla Wilsonblk Kitana Tuufuli, Sofia Grimm+1.0
2913-16INCWRDINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.9
3014-16INCWRDMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.6
3115-16MCNEESMCNEESAceAva Henryaced Teddy-Raye Ewers+1.1
3215-17MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.9
3316-17INCWRDMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.9
3416-18MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.9
3516-19INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.0
3617-19INCWRDMCNEESKillMegan Groseset Sophia Tocmo+0.7
3717-20MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.8
3818-20INCWRDMCNEES×4KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.7
3919-20MCNEESMCNEES×4KillGabbie Maldonadoset Gaby Santiago+1.3
4020-20MCNEESMCNEES×4BlockedAlex Beauchampblk Gabbie Maldonado, Ava Henry+1.8
4121-20MCNEESMCNEES×4KillHarmony Jacksonset Mary-Alice Dohmann+2.4
4221-21MCNEESINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+1.7
4322-21INCWRDMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+2.1
4423-21MCNEESMCNEESAttack errGabby Fish+3.0
4523-22MCNEESINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.6
4623-23INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+3.1
4724-23INCWRDMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+3.3
4825-23MCNEESMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Harmony Jackson+5.2
Set 3
10-1INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+1.8
20-2INCWRDINCWRDBlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Alex Beauchamp, Vanessa Eregie+1.6
31-2INCWRDMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Gabbie Maldonado+1.3
41-3MCNEESINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Ashton Rogers+1.3
52-3INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.4
63-3MCNEESMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Gaby Santiago+2.1
73-4MCNEESINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+1.5
84-4INCWRDMCNEESAttack errKitana Tuufuli+1.7
94-5MCNEESINCWRDAttack errHarmony Jackson+1.6
105-5INCWRDMCNEESAttack errCalissa Allison+1.7
115-6MCNEESINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+1.6
126-6INCWRDMCNEESBlockedCalissa Allisonblk Mary-Alice Dohmann, Ava Henry+1.8
136-7MCNEESINCWRDServe errAva Henry+1.7
147-7INCWRDMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Harmony Soles+1.9
157-8MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+1.7
167-9INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Isabella Ceja+2.1
178-9INCWRDMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Gaby Santiago+1.7
188-10MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.6
199-10INCWRDMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+1.7
209-11MCNEESINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.7
219-12INCWRDINCWRD×4AceAshton Rogersaced Gaby Santiago+1.9
229-13INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errGabbie Maldonado+1.5
239-14INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errHarmony Jackson+1.2
2410-14INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+0.8
2510-15MCNEESINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.9
2611-15INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+0.8
2711-16MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.9
2811-17INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMary-Alice Dohmann+0.8
2912-17INCWRDMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.5
3012-18MCNEESINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.6
3112-19INCWRDINCWRDAceSofia Grimm+0.5
3213-19INCWRDMCNEESAttack errVanessa Eregie+0.2
3313-20MCNEESINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall+0.3
3414-20INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.2
3514-21MCNEESINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.3
3615-21INCWRDMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+0.2
3715-22MCNEESINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.2
3815-23INCWRDINCWRDAttack errHarmony Jackson+0.1
3916-23INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW·
4016-24MCNEESINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.1
4116-25INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMary-Alice Dohmann·
Set 4
10-1MCNEESINCWRDBlockedHarmony Jacksonblk Lilly Roach, Vanessa Eregie+1.0
21-1INCWRDMCNEESKillMegan Groseset Gaby Santiago+1.1
31-2MCNEESINCWRDServe errGaby Santiago+1.1
42-2INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+1.2
53-2MCNEESMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Ava Henry+1.7
63-3MCNEESINCWRDAttack errKayla Wilson+1.2
74-3INCWRDMCNEESAttack errKitana Tuufuli+1.4
84-4MCNEESINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+1.3
94-5INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.6
105-5INCWRDMCNEESAttack errSofia Grimm+1.3
115-6MCNEESINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.2
125-7INCWRDINCWRD×3KillAlex Beauchampset Teddy-Raye Ewers+1.4
135-8INCWRDINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.2
146-8INCWRDMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.0
156-9MCNEESINCWRDAttack errCarli Banks+1.0
167-9INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+1.0
177-10MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Victoria Hall+1.0
188-10INCWRDMCNEES×3KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.0
199-10MCNEESMCNEES×3KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.6
2010-10MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errVanessa Eregie+2.0
2110-11MCNEESINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.5
2211-11INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+1.6
2312-11MCNEESMCNEESAttack errLilly Roach+2.4
2412-12MCNEESINCWRD×6KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+1.7
2512-13INCWRDINCWRD×6KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+2.2
2612-14INCWRDINCWRD×6KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+1.9
2712-15INCWRDINCWRD×6KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+1.6
2812-16INCWRDINCWRD×6KillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+1.3
2912-17INCWRDINCWRD×6KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.9
3013-17INCWRDMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.6
3113-18MCNEESINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.7
3214-18INCWRDMCNEESAttack errKitana Tuufuli+0.5
3314-19MCNEESINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.7
3415-19INCWRDMCNEES×3KillCarli Banksset Corynne Hausler+0.5
3516-19MCNEESMCNEES×3KillCarli Banksset Megan Grose+1.1
3617-19MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errSofia Grimm+1.6
3717-20MCNEESINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Calissa Allison+1.5
3818-20INCWRDMCNEESAttack errCalissa Allison+1.3
3918-21MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+1.6
4019-21INCWRDMCNEES×6KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.3
4120-21MCNEESMCNEES×6Attack errLilly Roach+2.7
4221-21MCNEESMCNEES×6KillAva Henryset Megan Grose+4.0
4322-21MCNEESMCNEES×6KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+5.3
4423-21MCNEESMCNEES×6KillHarmony Jacksonset Gaby Santiago+6.0
4524-21MCNEESMCNEES×6Attack errLilly Roach+5.0
4624-22MCNEESINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+1.5
4725-22INCWRDMCNEESAttack errVanessa Eregie+4.7
Set 5
11-0INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+6.3
21-1MCNEESINCWRDAttack errHarmony Jackson+5.7
32-1INCWRDMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+6.6
42-2MCNEESINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+5.9
52-3INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errHarmony Jackson+7.4
62-4INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedKayla Wilsonblk Lilly Roach, Sofia Grimm+6.6
72-5INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedHarmony Jacksonblk Sofia Grimm, Lilly Roach+5.5
83-5INCWRDMCNEESServe errUIW+4.0
93-6MCNEESINCWRD×5KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+4.3
103-7INCWRDINCWRD×5KillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+4.4
113-8INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedNeal Grace Berryblk Kitana Tuufuli, Sofia Grimm+3.1
123-9INCWRDINCWRD×5AceVictoria Hallaced Sophia Tocmo+2.0
133-10INCWRDINCWRD×5AceVictoria Hallaced Sophia Tocmo+1.1
144-10INCWRDMCNEESKillCarli Banksset Corynne Hausler+0.5
154-11MCNEESINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.7
164-12INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedHarmony Solesblk Sofia Grimm, Calissa Allison+0.4
174-13INCWRDINCWRD×3KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
185-13INCWRDMCNEESKillAaniyah Kitchenset Corynne Hausler·
195-14MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Sofia Grimm+0.1
206-14INCWRDMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose·
216-15MCNEESINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall·

Score shown after each rally, McNeese first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).