Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UIW def. Nicholls 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UIW 97.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UIW beat visiting Nicholls 3-1 (27-29, 25-15, 25-12, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Calissa Allison led UIW with 19 kills; Nicholls' Madison Smith had a match-high 26.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
NICHST291512231
INCWRD272525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UIW won 56 of 101 points on its own serve.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.9 points, and Nicholls's high was 12% in Set 2. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UIW at 97%.

NichollsUIW
  • Break %+12.9 pts
    42.555.4

    Points won on own serve: 56 of 101 vs 34 of 80. Nicholls sided out 44.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.111
    .144.255

    Kills and errors: 62–15 vs 55–28.

  • Longest run+-1
    76

    Down 0–1 in the third set, UIW scored 6 straight to lead 6–1. That set ended 25–12.

UIW above 50Nicholls belowMax swing 3.9%

NichollsUIW

Aces
Nicholls 1·UIW 7
Serve err
Nicholls 5·UIW 7
Blocks
Nicholls 5·UIW 120 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 22 BA
Digs
Nicholls 96·UIW 94

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UIW above 50 · Nicholls below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.9% NICHSTrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.9% to Nicholls — set 1, NICHST 29-27 INCWRD. Attack error by Alex Beauchamp. INCWRD win probability 93% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NICHST 2.0%98.0% INCWRD

Nicholls wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.3%

UIW wins

3-0
67.1%
3-1
25.1%
3-2
5.8%
NICHST break %
37.1% vs this opp
INCWRD break %
52.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alex BeauchampAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Alex Beauchamp

    Set 1 · NICHST 29-27 INCWRD · NICHST 7% → 11%

  2. 02
    Sofia GrimmKill+2.9%

    Kill by Sofia Grimm (set by Victoria Hall)

    Set 1 · NICHST 24-24 INCWRD · INCWRD 92% → 95%

  3. 03

    Kill by Mckenzie Mitchell (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 1 · NICHST 26-25 INCWRD · NICHST 4% → 7%

  4. 04

    Kill by Isabella Padilla

    Set 1 · NICHST 28-27 INCWRD · NICHST 4% → 7%

  5. 05

    Kill by Calissa Allison (set by Victoria Hall)

    Set 4 · NICHST 23-25 INCWRD · INCWRD 98% → 100%

  6. 06

    Kill by Alex Beauchamp (set by Victoria Hall)

    Set 1 · NICHST 26-26 INCWRD · INCWRD 93% → 95%

  7. 07

    Kill by Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 1 · NICHST 24-22 INCWRD · NICHST 7% → 9%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alex Beauchamp

    Set 1 · NICHST 24-25 INCWRD · INCWRD 95% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4261574.14911013200027
45221.14300120031.56.5
43211.09144021400214
41111.000000200212
4001.0000001130000
4000–1001100000
410327.25900020031.511.5
410542.1190006000010
4000–7013520000
2000–001000000
Team totals5528187.1445315967010579
UIWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419249.3472122120010.521.5
47011.6362122006311
45325.0801022200005
4203.66724202000004
35019.26310010132.57.5
12418-.11100020010.52.5
411324.3330000006314
411326.30800021031.512.5
4001.0009102500001
4001.000111800001
1005.000100000211
1002.000100000000
Team totals6215184.255617794112212102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NICHST · INCWRD 6

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 7 NICHSTINCWRD 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 NICHSTINCWRD 4

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 NICHSTINCWRD 6

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 NICHSTINCWRD 6

Bars above the line = UIW leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
30%3/10
2
42%8/19
58%11/19
3
33%8/24
11%1/9
4
53%8/15
38%5/13
5
54%7/13
47%7/15
6
31%5/16
50%7/14
All
45%45/101
43%34/80

UIW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
46%6/13
2
80%8/10
58%11/19
3
73%8/11
62%13/21
4
73%8/11
53%9/17
5
50%7/14
59%10/17
6
47%7/15
50%7/14
All
57%46/80
55%56/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#NICHST-INCWRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0INCWRDNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.3
22-0NICHSTNICHST×7Attack errAlex Beauchamp+0.5
33-0NICHSTNICHST×7Attack errAlex Beauchamp+0.6
44-0NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+0.6
55-0NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.7
66-0NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+0.7
77-0NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.8
87-1NICHSTINCWRDKillVictoria Hallset Teddy-Raye Ewers+0.4
97-2INCWRDINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.6
108-2INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.7
119-2NICHSTNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.8
129-3NICHSTINCWRD×4KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.5
139-4INCWRDINCWRD×4KillLilly Roachset Ashton Rogers+0.6
149-5INCWRDINCWRD×4AceUIWaced Lizzie Kraft+0.6
159-6INCWRDINCWRD×4BlockedMadison Smithblk Lilly Roach, Vanessa Eregie+0.6
1610-6INCWRDNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.7
1710-7NICHSTINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.5
1811-7INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.7
1911-8NICHSTINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.5
2012-8INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.7
2113-8NICHSTNICHSTBlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Amelie Shalfoon, Maya Schirmer+0.9
2213-9NICHSTINCWRD×5KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.5
2313-10INCWRDINCWRD×5KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.7
2413-11INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedAmelie Shalfoonblk Alex Beauchamp, Sofia Grimm+0.7
2513-12INCWRDINCWRD×5KillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+0.7
2613-13INCWRDINCWRD×5KillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+0.7
2714-13INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+0.7
2815-13NICHSTNICHSTAttack errCalissa Allison+0.9
2915-14NICHSTINCWRDKillVictoria Hallset Ashton Rogers+0.6
3016-14INCWRDNICHST×3Attack errAlex Beauchamp+0.8
3117-14NICHSTNICHST×3KillIsabella Padillaset Natalia Navarro+1.1
3218-14NICHSTNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+1.2
3318-15NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.7
3419-15INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.0
3519-16NICHSTINCWRDServe errNicholls+0.7
3619-17INCWRDINCWRDKillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.0
3720-17INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.2
3821-17NICHSTNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+1.4
3921-18NICHSTINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.7
4022-18INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+1.2
4123-18NICHSTNICHSTAceMadison Smithaced Kitana Tuufuli+1.0
4223-19NICHSTINCWRD×4KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.3
4323-20INCWRDINCWRD×4AceUIWaced Madison Smith+0.7
4423-21INCWRDINCWRD×4KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+1.0
4523-22INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errAmelie Shalfoon+1.5
4624-22INCWRDNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.2
4724-23NICHSTINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Victoria Hall+1.2
4824-24INCWRDINCWRD×3KillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall+2.9
4924-25INCWRDINCWRD×3KillAlex Beauchamp+2.1
5025-25INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+1.6
5126-25NICHSTNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.8
5226-26NICHSTINCWRDKillAlex Beauchampset Victoria Hall+2.3
5326-27INCWRDINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+2.1
5427-27INCWRDNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.6
5528-27NICHSTNICHST×3KillIsabella Padilla+2.8
5629-27NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errAlex Beauchamp+3.9
Set 2
11-0NICHSTNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.4
21-1NICHSTINCWRD×3KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+1.0
31-2INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedMadison Smithblk Lilly Roach, Vanessa Eregie+1.1
41-3INCWRDINCWRD×3KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.9
52-3INCWRDNICHSTServe errUIW+0.8
63-3NICHSTNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.3
73-4NICHSTINCWRD×3Serve errNicholls+0.9
83-5INCWRDINCWRD×3KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+1.0
93-6INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieblk Sofia Grimm, Lilly Roach+0.8
104-6INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.7
114-7NICHSTINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.7
125-7INCWRDNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.7
135-8NICHSTINCWRD×4Serve errNicholls+0.7
145-9INCWRDINCWRD×4KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.7
155-10INCWRDINCWRD×4Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+0.5
165-11INCWRDINCWRD×4KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.4
176-11INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+0.3
186-12NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.3
197-12INCWRDNICHSTBlockedTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Isabella Padilla, Maya Schirmer+0.3
207-13NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.3
218-13INCWRDNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.3
228-14NICHSTINCWRD×3KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Calissa Allison+0.3
238-15INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errMadison Smith+0.3
248-16INCWRDINCWRD×3Attack errMadison Smith+0.2
259-16INCWRDNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.1
269-17NICHSTINCWRD×3KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.1
279-18INCWRDINCWRD×3AceAshton Rogersaced Natalia Navarro+0.1
289-19INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedMadison Smithblk Lilly Roach, Sofia Grimm·
2910-19INCWRDNICHSTAttack errLilly Roach·
3010-20NICHSTINCWRDAttack errMckenzie Mitchell·
3110-21INCWRDINCWRDBlockedZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieblk Sofia Grimm, Kitana Tuufuli·
3211-21INCWRDNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3311-22NICHSTINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall·
3411-23INCWRDINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall·
3512-23INCWRDNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3613-23NICHSTNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3714-23NICHSTNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
3814-24NICHSTINCWRDKillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall·
3915-24INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
4015-25NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Vanessa Eregie·
Set 3
11-0INCWRDNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Natalia Navarro+0.9
21-1NICHSTINCWRD×6Attack errMadison Smith+0.8
31-2INCWRDINCWRD×6Attack errMadison Smith+0.9
41-3INCWRDINCWRD×6AceCalissa Allisonaced Natalia Navarro+0.8
51-4INCWRDINCWRD×6Attack errMadison Smith+0.6
61-5INCWRDINCWRD×6KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.5
71-6INCWRDINCWRD×6AceCalissa Allisonaced Lizzie Kraft+0.4
82-6INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.3
92-7NICHSTINCWRD×5Attack errMadison Smith+0.3
102-8INCWRDINCWRD×5Attack errMadison Smith+0.3
112-9INCWRDINCWRD×5KillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+0.2
122-10INCWRDINCWRD×5BlockedMadison Smithblk Lilly Roach, Vanessa Eregie+0.1
132-11INCWRDINCWRD×5KillVanessa Eregieset Calissa Allison+0.1
143-11INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.1
154-11NICHSTNICHSTAttack errLilly Roach+0.1
164-12NICHSTINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.1
174-13INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Sofia Grimm+0.1
185-13INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.1
195-14NICHSTINCWRD×3KillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison+0.1
205-15INCWRDINCWRD×3BlockedAmelie Shalfoonblk Sofia Grimm, Kitana Tuufuli+0.1
215-16INCWRDINCWRD×3AceVictoria Hallaced Madison Smith·
226-16INCWRDNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
236-17NICHSTINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Victoria Hall·
247-17INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla·
257-18NICHSTINCWRDBlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Sofia Grimm, Calissa Allison·
268-18INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
278-19NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall·
288-20INCWRDINCWRDBlockedIsabella Padillablk Vanessa Eregie·
299-20INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
309-21NICHSTINCWRDAttack errIsabella Padilla·
319-22INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMadison Smith·
3210-22INCWRDNICHSTServe errUIW·
3311-22NICHSTNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Madison Smith·
3411-23NICHSTINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Calissa Allison·
3511-24INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison·
3612-24INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla·
3712-25NICHSTINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison·
Set 4
10-1NICHSTINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.5
21-1INCWRDNICHSTServe errUIW+0.6
31-2NICHSTINCWRDServe errNicholls+0.5
42-2INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.6
52-3NICHSTINCWRD×6Serve errNicholls+0.5
62-4INCWRDINCWRD×6Attack errMadison Smith+0.6
72-5INCWRDINCWRD×6BlockedMadison Smithblk Alana Kolb, Kitana Tuufuli+0.5
82-6INCWRDINCWRD×6KillKitana Tuufuliset Ashton Rogers+0.4
92-7INCWRDINCWRD×6Attack errMadison Smith+0.3
102-8INCWRDINCWRD×6AceSofia Grimmaced Lizzie Kraft+0.2
113-8INCWRDNICHSTServe errUIW+0.2
124-8NICHSTNICHSTAttack errLilly Roach+0.3
134-9NICHSTINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Calissa Allison+0.2
144-10INCWRDINCWRDKillKitana Tuufuliset Alana Kolb+0.2
155-10INCWRDNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+0.2
166-10NICHSTNICHSTBlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Amelie Shalfoon, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.3
176-11NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.3
187-11INCWRDNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.3
198-11NICHSTNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Ava-Claire Calais+0.4
209-11NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errTeddy-Raye Ewers+0.6
219-12NICHSTINCWRD×6KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.5
229-13INCWRDINCWRD×6KillCalissa Allisonset Isabella Ceja+0.5
239-14INCWRDINCWRD×6KillCalissa Allisonset Ashton Rogers+0.4
249-15INCWRDINCWRD×6KillCalissa Allisonset Sofia Grimm+0.2
259-16INCWRDINCWRD×6KillTeddy-Raye Ewersset Victoria Hall+0.2
269-17INCWRDINCWRD×6KillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
2710-17INCWRDNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.1
2810-18NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.1
2911-18INCWRDNICHSTServe errUIW·
3011-19NICHSTINCWRDKillSofia Grimmset Calissa Allison+0.1
3112-19INCWRDNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
3212-20NICHSTINCWRDKillLilly Roachset Victoria Sanchez+0.1
3312-21INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMaya Schirmer·
3413-21INCWRDNICHSTServe errUIW·
3514-21NICHSTNICHSTBad setLilly Roach·
3614-22NICHSTINCWRDBlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Lilly Roach, Alana Kolb·
3715-22INCWRDNICHST×4KillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla·
3816-22NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errCalissa Allison·
3917-22NICHSTNICHST×4BlockedKitana Tuufuliblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Amelie Shalfoon+0.1
4018-22NICHSTNICHST×4KillAmelie Shalfoonset Natalia Navarro+0.2
4118-23NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+0.3
4218-24INCWRDINCWRDAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+0.1
4319-24INCWRDNICHST×5Serve errUIW·
4420-24NICHSTNICHST×5KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.1
4521-24NICHSTNICHST×5KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.2
4622-24NICHSTNICHST×5KillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+0.5
4723-24NICHSTNICHST×5BlockedTeddy-Raye Ewersblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Isabella Padilla+1.5
4823-25NICHSTINCWRDKillCalissa Allisonset Victoria Hall+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).