CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 8, 2026

Northwestern St. def. Jackson St. 31

(25-22, 25-17, 19-25, 25-23)
Set1234Sets
JACKST221725231
NW ST252519253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NW ST above 50 · JACKST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100NW STJACKSTBiggest swing +13.6% NW ST · S4 23-25rally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.6% to Northwestern St. — set 4, JACKST 23-25 NW ST. Jackson St. service error. NW ST win probability 86%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JACKST 69.8%30.2% NW ST

Jackson St. wins

3-0
23.1%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%
JACKST break %
45.1% vs this opp
NW ST break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    JACKST serverService error+13.6%

    Jackson St. service error

    Set 4 · JACKST 23-25 NW ST · NW ST 86%100%

  2. 02
    Kenadii WinfreyKill+10.0%

    Kill by Kenadii Winfrey (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 4 · JACKST 22-24 NW ST · NW ST 82%92%

  3. 03
    Amber CraigAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Amber Craig

    Set 4 · JACKST 22-23 NW ST · JACKST 10%18%

  4. 04
    Sophia McKenzieAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Sophia McKenzie

    Set 1 · JACKST 22-24 NW ST · NW ST 39%47%

  5. 05
    NW ST serverAce+6.7%

    Northwestern St. ace on Giannelle Asomani

    Set 4 · JACKST 16-19 NW ST · NW ST 79%86%

  6. 06

    Kill by Parker Featherstone (set by Ryleigh Davis)

    Set 4 · JACKST 16-17 NW ST · JACKST 20%26%

  7. 07
    Elsie SanchezKill+5.7%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Anna Claire Hebert)

    Set 4 · JACKST 17-21 NW ST · NW ST 87%93%

  8. 08
    Olivia NziokiKill+5.7%

    Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 1 · JACKST 22-23 NW ST · NW ST 34%39%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412629.2071001004214
411430.2330218200013
4419.33301130052.57.5
4407.571000000426
45122.182001530005
3000600300000
45219.158140160052.57.5
4002.0001812900001
4002.0002022130000
33120.100000200003
2000000510000
1000000000000
1000000010000
Team totals4415140.20741486310018987
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414425.40000000031.515.5
412936.08311240010.513.5
412127.40700020010.512.5
47733.00024213200011
410223.3480011010111
4418.37545231000006
40003202000002
4000412600001
40000001100000
2137-.286000100001
2000000100000
100000000010.50.5
Team totals6027159.20855101069416494

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 JACKST · NW ST 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 2 JACKSTNW ST 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 5 JACKSTNW ST 8

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 JACKSTNW ST 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 JACKSTNW ST 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Jackson St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Jackson St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
18%2/11
2
43%10/23
47%9/19
3
50%9/18
17%2/12
4
67%8/12
63%15/24
5
67%8/12
27%3/11
6
54%7/13
27%3/11
All
57%53/93
39%34/88

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
44%7/16
2
71%10/14
41%7/17
3
59%10/17
50%10/20
4
45%9/20
40%6/15
5
80%8/10
38%5/13
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
61%54/88
43%40/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

181 rallies

Rally log

#JACKST-NW STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Naija Gadis+1.6
21-1JACKSTNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.6
31-2NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfrey+2.3
41-3NW STNW ST×3AceNW ST serveraced Giannelle Asomani+2.4
52-3NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+1.7
62-4JACKSTNW ST×4Attack errShelby Zanders+1.9
72-5NW STNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+2.5
82-6NW STNW ST×4Attack errHope Briggs+2.4
92-7NW STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.3
103-7NW STJACKSTAttack errElizabeth Muguruzablk Hope Briggs, Shelby Zanders+1.5
113-8JACKSTNW STAttack errRyleigh Davis+1.8
124-8NW STJACKSTKillRyleigh Davisset Kayla Troutman+1.5
134-9JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.8
145-9NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+1.5
155-10JACKSTNW STKillJade Longladset Emmarie McFarland+1.8
166-10NW STJACKSTKillJayla Davidset Kayla Troutman+1.5
176-11JACKSTNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.9
187-11NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+1.5
198-11JACKSTJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Naija Gadis+2.3
208-12JACKSTNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.1
219-12NW STJACKSTAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+1.7
229-13JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.2
2310-13NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+1.8
2410-14JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.2
2511-14NW STJACKSTKillShelby Zandersset Kayla Troutman+1.8
2611-15JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+2.3
2712-15NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+1.8
2813-15JACKSTJACKSTAceJACKST serveraced Team+2.8
2913-16JACKSTNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.6
3014-16NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Giannelle Asomani+2.2
3114-17JACKSTNW STAttack errParker Featherstone+2.7
3215-17NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Naija Gadis+2.2
3316-17JACKSTJACKSTAceJACKST serveraced Elizabeth Muguruza+3.4
3416-18JACKSTNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.1
3516-19NW STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.9
3617-19NW STJACKSTKillParker Featherstoneset Hope Briggs+2.3
3717-20JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.1
3818-20NW STJACKSTKillParker Featherstoneset Naija Gadis+2.3
3919-20JACKSTJACKSTAttack errOlivia Nzioki+4.0
4019-21JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.9
4120-21NW STJACKSTKillParker Featherstoneset Kayla Troutman+3.2
4221-21JACKSTJACKSTAttack errOlivia Nzioki+5.3
4321-22JACKSTNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+4.8
4422-22NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Kayla Troutman+4.5
4522-23JACKSTNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+5.7
4622-24NW STNW ST×3Attack errSophia McKenzie+7.6
4722-25NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+4.6
Set 2
10-1JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.2
20-2NW STNW STAttack errHope Briggs+3.0
31-2NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Naija Gadis+2.1
41-3JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.3
52-3NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Naija Gadis+2.2
62-4JACKSTNW ST×3Attack errHope Briggs+2.4
72-5NW STNW ST×3AceNW ST serveraced Parker Featherstone+3.1
82-6NW STNW ST×3Attack errHope Briggs+3.1
93-6NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+2.0
104-6JACKSTJACKSTKillRyleigh Davisset Kayla Troutman+2.9
114-7JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.5
125-7NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+2.2
136-7JACKSTJACKSTAttack errElsie Sanchez+3.1
146-8JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.6
157-8NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+2.4
167-9JACKSTNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+2.7
177-10NW STNW STAttack errSophia McKenzieblk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig+3.6
188-10NW STJACKSTKillJayla Davidset Kayla Troutman+2.4
199-10JACKSTJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Jade Longlad+3.4
209-11JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.9
2110-11NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Ryleigh Davis+2.6
2211-11JACKSTJACKSTKillJayla David+3.7
2311-12JACKSTNW ST×8KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.0
2411-13NW STNW ST×8KillElsie Sanchezset Elizabeth Muguruza+4.1
2511-14NW STNW ST×8KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+4.0
2611-15NW STNW ST×8KillJade Longladset Elsie Sanchez+3.7
2711-16NW STNW ST×8AceNW ST serveraced Giannelle Asomani+3.2
2811-17NW STNW ST×8KillJade Longladset Elizabeth Muguruza+2.6
2911-18NW STNW ST×8Attack errHope Briggsblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+1.9
3011-19NW STNW ST×8AceNW ST serveraced Maya Reeves+1.2
3112-19NW STJACKSTAttack errElsie Sanchez+0.5
3212-20JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+0.8
3312-21NW STNW STAceNW ST serveraced Sophia McKenzie+0.6
3413-21NW STJACKST×5KillShelby Zandersset Ryleigh Davis+0.2
3514-21JACKSTJACKST×5Attack errElsie Sanchez+0.4
3615-21JACKSTJACKST×5Attack errKenadii Winfrey+0.7
3716-21JACKSTJACKST×5Attack errElsie Sanchezblk Ryleigh Davis, Shelby Zanders+1.1
3817-21JACKSTJACKST×5KillKatejion Robinsonset Kayla Troutman+1.8
3917-22JACKSTNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.2
4017-23NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.5
4117-24NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchez+0.6
4217-25NW STNW ST×4AceNW ST serveraced Sophia McKenzie+0.1
Set 3
11-0NW STJACKSTAttack errOlivia Nzioki+1.6
22-0JACKSTJACKSTAttack errJade Longladblk Jayla David, Hope Briggs+2.1
32-1JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+1.6
43-1NW STJACKSTAttack errElsie Sanchezblk Hope Briggs, Jayla David+1.6
54-1JACKSTJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+2.0
64-2JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.4
75-2NW STJACKST×6KillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+1.5
86-2JACKSTJACKST×6Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.8
97-2JACKSTJACKST×6Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.5
108-2JACKSTJACKST×6KillShelby Zandersset Kayla Troutman+1.3
119-2JACKSTJACKST×6KillRyleigh Davisset Kayla Troutman+1.0
1210-2JACKSTJACKST×6Attack errKenadii Winfrey+0.8
1310-3JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+0.5
1411-3NW STJACKSTKillKatejion Robinsonset Kayla Troutman+0.6
1511-4JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.4
1612-4NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Kayla Troutman+0.5
1712-5JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.4
1813-5NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Kayla Troutman+0.5
1913-6JACKSTNW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+0.4
2013-7NW STNW ST×3AceNW ST serveraced Parker Featherstone+0.7
2113-8NW STNW ST×3Attack errSophia McKenzie+1.0
2214-8NW STJACKST×3Serve errNW ST server+1.0
2315-8JACKSTJACKST×3Attack errElizabeth Muguruzablk Hope Briggs, Jayla David+0.9
2416-8JACKSTJACKST×3Bad setAnna Claire Hebert+0.6
2516-9JACKSTNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Emmarie McFarland+0.3
2616-10NW STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Anna Claire Hebert+0.6
2716-11NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+0.9
2816-12NW STNW ST×4AceNW ST serveraced Brooklynn Moffitt+1.3
2917-12NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+1.3
3017-13JACKSTNW STAttack errKatejion Robinsonblk Olivia Nzioki, Julia Whitfield+1.0
3118-13NW STJACKSTAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+1.3
3218-14JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Anna Claire Hebert+0.9
3319-14NW STJACKSTAttack errElsie Sanchezblk Shelby Zanders, Ryleigh Davis+1.3
3420-14JACKSTJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Kayla Troutman+1.1
3520-15JACKSTNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Jade Longlad+0.5
3620-16NW STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.1
3721-16NW STJACKSTAttack errAna Gjorgjievska+1.2
3821-17JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+0.7
3922-17NW STJACKSTKillRyleigh Davisset Kayla Troutman+1.1
4023-17JACKSTJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+0.7
4123-18JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+0.2
4223-19NW STNW STAttack errSophia McKenzie+0.5
4324-19NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+0.8
4425-19JACKSTJACKSTAceJACKST serveraced Elizabeth Muguruza+0.2
Set 4
10-1JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.0
21-1NW STJACKSTKillSophia McKenzieset Ryleigh Davis+2.8
31-2JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.0
42-2NW STJACKSTKillJayla Davidset Ryleigh Davis+2.9
53-2JACKSTJACKSTAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+3.8
63-3JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.9
74-3NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+2.9
84-4JACKSTNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.0
95-4NW STJACKSTAttack errAna Gjorgjievska+3.0
105-5JACKSTNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.1
115-6NW STNW ST×3Attack errRyleigh Davis+4.4
125-7NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+4.5
136-7NW STJACKST×3Attack errKenadii Winfreyblk Shelby Zanders, Ryleigh Davis+3.2
147-7JACKSTJACKST×3KillSophia McKenzieset Kayla Troutman+4.4
158-7JACKSTJACKST×3Attack errAna Gjorgjievskablk Jayla David, Ryleigh Davis+4.3
168-8JACKSTNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+3.4
178-9NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+4.8
188-10NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+5.0
198-11NW STNW ST×4AceNW ST serveraced Parker Featherstone+5.0
209-11NW STJACKSTKillRyleigh Davisset Kayla Troutman+3.3
219-12JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.9
2210-12NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Ryleigh Davis+3.4
2310-13JACKSTNW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+4.1
2411-13NW STJACKSTKillKatejion Robinsonset Ryleigh Davis+3.5
2511-14JACKSTNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+4.2
2611-15NW STNW ST×4KillJade Longlad+5.1
2711-16NW STNW ST×4Bad setRyleigh Davis+4.4
2811-17NW STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.5
2912-17NW STJACKST×5Attack errElizabeth Muguruza+1.8
3013-17JACKSTJACKST×5Attack errOlivia Nzioki+3.2
3114-17JACKSTJACKST×5Attack errElizabeth Muguruza+4.1
3215-17JACKSTJACKST×5AceJACKST serveraced Team+5.1
3316-17JACKSTJACKST×5KillParker Featherstoneset Ryleigh Davis+5.9
3416-18JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+5.4
3516-19NW STNW STAceNW ST serveraced Giannelle Asomani+6.7
3617-19NW STJACKSTKillShelby Zandersset Kayla Troutman+4.0
3717-20JACKSTNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+5.4
3817-21NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+5.7
3918-21NW STJACKSTAttack errElsie Sanchezblk Ryleigh Davis, Shelby Zanders+2.7
4018-22JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+4.4
4119-22NW STJACKSTServe errNW ST server+2.4
4219-23JACKSTNW STAttack errHope Briggsblk Kenadii Winfrey+4.2
4320-23NW STJACKST×3KillSophia McKenzieset Ryleigh Davis+1.9
4421-23JACKSTJACKST×3KillParker Featherstoneset Ryleigh Davis+4.7
4522-23JACKSTJACKST×3Attack errAmber Craig+7.9
4622-24JACKSTNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+10.0
4723-24NW STJACKSTKillHope Briggsset Giannelle Asomani+5.6
4823-25JACKSTNW STServe errJACKST server+13.6

Score shown after each rally, Jackson St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.