Brown vs Central Conn. State Volleyball: Brown Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

3:0

Brown beat Central Conn. St. 3-0 (25-16, 25-20, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Brown's Fisayo Afonja led with 14 kills, and Eve Mclaury added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BROWN	25	25	25	3
C CONN	16	20	21	0

Win probability

Central Conn. St. above 50 · Brown below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Central Conn. St. — set 1, BROWN 7-9 C CONN. Sarah Shaw stuffed by Cullen Winter & Madison Fulgencio. C CONN win probability 9% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BROWN 92.9%7.1% C CONN

Brown wins

3-0

50.0%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

11.9%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.1%

3-2

4.2%

BROWN break %: 48.2% vs this opp
C CONN break %: 37.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Cullen Winter&Madison FulgencioBlock+1.4%
Sarah Shaw stuffed by Cullen Winter & Madison Fulgencio
Set 1 · BROWN 7-9 C CONN · C CONN 9% → 10%
02
BrownAce+1.3%
Brown ace on Olivia Keckler
Set 2 · BROWN 18-18 C CONN · BROWN 94% → 95%
03
Cullen WinterKill+1.3%
Kill by Cullen Winter (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 2 · BROWN 13-16 C CONN · C CONN 7% → 8%
04
Central Conn. St.Ace+1.3%
Central Conn. St. ace on Elle Holley
Set 2 · BROWN 13-17 C CONN · C CONN 8% → 9%
05
Anja MilosevicKill+1.3%
Kill by Anja Milosevic (set by Annabelle Denomme)
Set 1 · BROWN 2-5 C CONN · C CONN 9% → 11%
06
BrownAce+1.2%
Brown ace on Annabelle Denomme
Set 2 · BROWN 19-18 C CONN · BROWN 95% → 96%
07
Central Conn. St.Ace+1.2%
Central Conn. St. ace on Sophie Haskell
Set 1 · BROWN 11-11 C CONN · C CONN 7% → 8%
08
Sarah Shaw&Julia KakkisBlock+1.2%
Hanley Schmidt stuffed by Sarah Shaw & Julia Kakkis
Set 2 · BROWN 16-17 C CONN · BROWN 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Brownaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Elle HolleyOH	3	11	2	21	.429	1	4	3	6	2	0	0	0	15
10Fisayo AfonjaMB	3	14	1	20	.650	2	0	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
4Sophia WolfsonMB	3	10	2	16	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	12
15Sarah ShawMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	1	2	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
13Julia KakkisS	3	4	0	5	.800	37	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
16Sophie HaskellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	3	4	0	0	0	0
9Ally PanzloffOH	3	6	3	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
12Elizabeth SessaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Elle WeaverOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Eve MclauryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	11	0	0	0	0	0
1Frankie JonesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Gracie GriffinOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Kindell WelkerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Lawson MonroeOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Maddy SmithOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Madeline Van brederodeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Megan PhanS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Morgan SandersOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Yuna YangS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	9	83	.470	46	5	11	29	6	1	8	5	75

Central Conn. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Breanna GinleyMB	3	8	3	18	.278	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
11Cullen WinterMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
5Olivia KecklerOPP	3	5	3	17	.118	0	0	3	3	2	0	0	5
10Anja MilosevicS	3	2	0	6	.333	25	1	0	4	0	0	0	3
9Hanley SchmidtOH	3	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Meg BerklandL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	2
15Madison FulgencioOH	3	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	8
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	4	8	1	0	0	3
18Adele MacerMB	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Aubrey StitcherOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Danielle CaligiuriS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Gabriella BurdierDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
21Isabella Aviles—	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Valeria TorresMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Victoria SanabriaOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	12	80	.237	29	6	9	22	5	6	3	57

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BROWN · C CONN 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 BROWNC CONN 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 BROWNC CONN 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 BROWNC CONN 4

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Brown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Brown

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	67%8/12
2	71%5/7	38%3/8
3	50%4/8	60%6/10
4	100%4/4	20%1/5
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	67%4/6	50%4/8
All	70%26/37	49%24/49

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%5/11	33%2/6
2	50%5/10	0%0/5
3	67%4/6	50%5/10
4	67%4/6	20%1/5
5	57%4/7	0%0/4
6	33%3/9	43%3/7
All	51%25/49	30%11/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#	BROWN-C CONN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.6
2	1-1	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.6
3	2-1	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.6
4	2-2	BROWN	C CONN×4	Kill	Meg Berkland		+0.6
5	2-3	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.0
6	2-4	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.1
7	2-5	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.3
8	3-5	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.8
9	3-6	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+1.0
10	4-6	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.8
11	5-6	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+1.1
12	5-7	BROWN	C CONN	Attack err	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+1.0
13	6-7	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.8
14	7-7	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
15	7-8	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.9
16	7-9	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Sarah Shaw	blk Cullen Winter, Madison Fulgencio	+1.4
17	8-9	C CONN	BROWN×4	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.9
18	9-9	BROWN	BROWN×4	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Eve Mclaury	+1.2
19	10-9	BROWN	BROWN×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+1.1
20	11-9	BROWN	BROWN×4	Ace	Brown	aced Madison Fulgencio	+0.9
21	11-10	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.7
22	11-11	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Sophie Haskell	+1.2
23	12-11	C CONN	BROWN×3	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.9
24	13-11	BROWN	BROWN×3	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+1.0
25	14-11	BROWN	BROWN×3	Ace	Brown	aced Olivia Keckler	+0.9
26	14-12	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
27	15-12	C CONN	BROWN×5	Kill	Julia Kakkis		+0.6
28	16-12	BROWN	BROWN×5	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+0.7
29	17-12	BROWN	BROWN×5	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.5
30	18-12	BROWN	BROWN×5	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Sophia Wolfson	+0.3
31	19-12	BROWN	BROWN×5	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
32	19-13	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
33	20-13	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
34	20-14	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley		+0.1
35	21-14	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
36	21-15	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.1
37	22-15	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Eve Mclaury	+0.1
38	23-15	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	·
39	23-16	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	·
40	24-16	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	·
41	25-16	BROWN	BROWN	Ace	Brown	aced Madison Fulgencio	·
Set 2
1	0-1	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
2	1-1	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.4
3	1-2	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
4	2-2	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.4
5	2-3	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
6	3-3	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Fisayo Afonja	+0.4
7	4-3	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.6
8	4-4	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.5
9	5-4	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.4
10	5-5	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
11	6-5	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.4
12	6-6	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.5
13	6-7	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Elle Holley	blk Cullen Winter, Hanley Schmidt	+0.8
14	7-7	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.5
15	8-7	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+0.7
16	8-8	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
17	9-8	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Sophie Haskell	+0.5
18	9-9	BROWN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
19	9-10	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Elle Holley		+0.9
20	9-11	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Sophia Wolfson		+1.0
21	10-11	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.6
22	10-12	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Gabriella Burdier	+0.8
23	10-13	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+1.1
24	11-13	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.7
25	11-14	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.9
26	12-14	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.7
27	13-14	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+1.0
28	13-15	BROWN	C CONN×3	Serve err	Brown		+0.9
29	13-16	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+1.3
30	13-17	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Elle Holley	+1.3
31	14-17	C CONN	BROWN×3	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.7
32	15-17	BROWN	BROWN×3	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
33	16-17	BROWN	BROWN×3	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Sarah Shaw, Julia Kakkis	+1.2
34	16-18	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+1.1
35	17-18	C CONN	BROWN×4	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.9
36	18-18	BROWN	BROWN×4	Ace	Brown	aced Olivia Keckler	+1.3
37	19-18	BROWN	BROWN×4	Ace	Brown	aced Annabelle Denomme	+1.2
38	20-18	BROWN	BROWN×4	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
39	20-19	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.7
40	21-19	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.8
41	22-19	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.8
42	22-20	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.4
43	23-20	C CONN	BROWN×3	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.6
44	24-20	BROWN	BROWN×3	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.4
45	25-20	BROWN	BROWN×3	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Ally Panzloff, Sophia Wolfson	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Elle Holley	+0.2
2	1-1	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
3	2-1	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.2
4	2-2	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.2
5	3-2	C CONN	BROWN	Bad set	Anja Milosevic		+0.2
6	4-2	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
7	4-3	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
8	4-4	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Ally Panzloff		+0.3
9	5-4	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
10	6-4	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Fisayo Afonja	+0.2
11	6-5	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
12	6-6	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
13	7-6	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.2
14	8-6	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Adele Macer		+0.3
15	8-7	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
16	8-8	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Fisayo Afonja		+0.3
17	9-8	C CONN	BROWN×7	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
18	10-8	BROWN	BROWN×7	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Eve Mclaury	+0.3
19	11-8	BROWN	BROWN×7	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
20	12-8	BROWN	BROWN×7	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Fisayo Afonja, Sarah Shaw	+0.2
21	13-8		BROWN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
22	14-8	BROWN	BROWN×7	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Sophie Haskell	+0.1
23	15-8	BROWN	BROWN×7	Blocked	Madison Fulgencio	blk Sophia Wolfson, Sarah Shaw	+0.1
24	15-9	BROWN	C CONN×4	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	·
25	15-10		C CONN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
26	15-11	C CONN	C CONN×4	Blocked	Sophia Wolfson	blk Cullen Winter, Madison Fulgencio	+0.1
27	15-12	C CONN	C CONN×4	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Sophie Haskell	+0.2
28	16-12	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
29	16-13	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.1
30	17-13	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
31	17-14	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Adele Macer	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
32	18-14	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
33	18-15	BROWN	C CONN	Attack err	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
34	18-16	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Elle Holley	+0.3
35	19-16	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff		+0.2
36	20-16	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+0.2
37	20-17	BROWN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
38	21-17	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Sophie Haskell	+0.2
39	22-17	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+0.1
40	22-18	BROWN	C CONN	Serve err	Brown		+0.1
41	23-18	C CONN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
42	24-18	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	·
43	24-19	BROWN	C CONN×3	Serve err	Brown		·
44	24-20	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Sophie Haskell	·
45	24-21	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Sophie Haskell	+0.1
46	25-21	C CONN	BROWN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Brown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Brown def. Central Conn. St. 3–0