FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayPAC-12

0:3

HomeSEC

Kentucky def. Utah St. 3–0

(25-13, 25-14, 25-17)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
UT ST	13	14	17	0
UK	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UK above 50 · UT ST below

Biggest swing: 0.0% to Kentucky — set 1, UT ST 1-3 UK. Kill by Lizzie Carr (set by Kassie O'Brien). UK win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UT ST 0.1%99.9% UK

Utah St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.1%

Kentucky wins

3-0

87.8%

3-1

11.2%

3-2

0.9%

UT ST break %: 28.7% vs this opp
UK break %: 51.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lizzie CarrKill+0.0%
Kill by Lizzie Carr (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 1 · UT ST 1-3 UK · UK 100% → 100%
02
Sami BlackettKill+0.0%
Kill by Sami Blackett (set by Olivia Tukuafu)
Set 1 · UT ST 1-1 UK · UT ST 0% → 0%
03
Ava NapierskiKill+0.0%
Kill by Ava Napierski
Set 3 · UT ST 16-17 UK · UT ST 0% → 0%
04
Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+0.0%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 1 · UT ST 1-2 UK · UK 100% → 100%
05
Ava NakaiAttack error+0.0%
Ava Nakai stuffed by Lizzie Carr
Set 1 · UT ST 2-5 UK · UK 100% → 100%
06
UK serverService error+0.0%
Kentucky service error
Set 1 · UT ST 2-3 UK · UT ST 0% → 0%
07
Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+0.0%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 1 · UT ST 0-1 UK · UK 100% → 100%
08
Morgan GaerteKill+0.0%
Kill by Morgan Gaerte (set by Molly Tuozzo)
Set 2 · UT ST 0-1 UK · UK 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Utah St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Sami BlackettOH	3	5	3	18	.111	1	0	2	2	1	1	0	1	6
17Lauren BodilyOH	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
3Ava NapierskiMB	3	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
42Sophie ScottMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Olivia TukuafuS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
15Sadie WarrenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0
9Olivia RuyOH	3	6	6	22	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
6Ava NakaiOH	3	6	4	18	.111	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
1Lily LaFleschL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
5Silina DamuniS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
28Justyna NovakovaOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	14	77	.117	22	1	11	20	5	1	4	3	44

Kentuckyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Brooklyn DeLeyeOH	3	16	1	25	.600	1	3	4	4	0	0	0	0	19
15Lizzie CarrMB	3	9	2	12	.583	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	11
10Kennedy WashingtonMB	3	3	2	10	.100	2	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	5
6Kassie O'BrienS	3	3	0	3	1.000	33	0	1	3	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
1Trinity WardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
20Asia ThigpenOH	2	3	2	8	.125	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	3
18Morgan GaerteOH	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
12Molly TuozzoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
27Brynn CovellS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
24Sidney BurleyDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0
9Georgia WatsonOH	1	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
11Molly BerezowitzDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	10	78	.436	41	5	9	33	1	2	8	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UT ST · UK 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 1 UT STUK 4

Set 2*

14-25

Longest run 2 UT STUK 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 UT STUK 7

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = Utah St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Utah St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	17%1/6
2	80%4/5	17%1/6
3	40%4/10	0%0/4
4	50%4/8	0%0/4
5	33%4/12	50%4/8
6	60%3/5	0%0/4
All	50%24/48	19%6/32

Kentucky

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	40%2/5
2	83%5/6	38%3/8
3	100%4/4	20%1/5
4	100%4/4	60%6/10
5	50%4/8	50%4/8
6	100%4/4	67%8/12
All	81%26/32	50%24/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

119 rallies

Rally log

#	UT ST-UK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UT ST	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
2	1-1	UK	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
3	1-2	UT ST	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
4	1-3	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
5	2-3	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
6	2-4	UT ST	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
7	2-5	UK	UK	Attack err	Ava Nakai	blk Lizzie Carr	+0.0
8	3-5	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
9	3-6	UT ST	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
10	3-7	UK	UK	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Kennedy Washington, Morgan Gaerte	+0.0
11	4-7	UK	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
12	4-8	UT ST	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
13	4-9	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
14	5-9	UK	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
15	5-10	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
16	6-10	UK	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
17	6-11	UT ST	UK×4	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
18	6-12	UK	UK×4	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
19	6-13	UK	UK×4	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.0
20	6-14	UK	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
21	7-14	UK	UT ST	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
22	7-15	UT ST	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
23	8-15	UK	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
24	8-16	UT ST	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
25	8-17	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Sami Blackett	+0.0
26	9-17	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
27	9-18	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
28	9-19	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
29	10-19	UK	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
30	10-20	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
31	10-21	UK	UK	Attack err	Olivia Ruy		+0.0
32	11-21	UK	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Sami Blackett	+0.0
33	11-22	UT ST	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
34	11-23	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
35	12-23	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
36	12-24	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
37	13-24	UK	UT ST	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
38	13-25	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UK	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
2	1-1	UK	UT ST	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.0
3	1-2	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
4	2-2	UK	UT ST	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+0.0
5	2-3	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
6	3-3	UK	UT ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
7	3-4	UT ST	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
8	3-5	UK	UK	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+0.0
9	4-5	UK	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
10	4-6	UT ST	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
11	4-7	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
12	4-8	UK	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
13	5-8	UK	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
14	5-9	UT ST	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
15	6-9	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
16	6-10	UT ST	UK×5	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
17	6-11	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+0.0
18	6-12	UK	UK×5	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
19	6-13	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+0.0
20	6-14	UK	UK×5	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
21	7-14	UK	UT ST	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
22	7-15	UT ST	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
23	7-16	UK	UK×4	Ace	UK server	aced Sadie Warren	+0.0
24	7-17	UK	UK×4	Ace	UK server	aced Sadie Warren	+0.0
25	7-18	UK	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr		+0.0
26	8-18	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
27	9-18	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Lizzie Carr	blk Sami Blackett	+0.0
28	9-19	UT ST	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
29	9-20	UK	UK×3	Ace	UK server	aced Sadie Warren	+0.0
30	9-21	UK	UK×3	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
31	10-21	UK	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Lily LaFlesch	+0.0
32	10-22	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
33	11-22	UK	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
34	12-22	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
35	12-23	UT ST	UK	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Asia Thigpen	+0.0
36	12-24	UK	UK	Bad set	Silina Damuni		+0.0
37	13-24	UK	UT ST	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+0.0
38	14-24	UT ST	UT ST	Ace	UT ST server	aced Sidney Burley	+0.0
39	14-25	UT ST	UK	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Ava Napierski, Lauren Bodily	+0.0
2	1-1	UT ST	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
3	2-1	UK	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Lily LaFlesch	+0.0
4	2-2	UT ST	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
5	3-2	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
6	3-3	UT ST	UK×3	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
7	3-4	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+0.0
8	3-5	UK	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
9	4-5	UK	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
10	4-6	UT ST	UK	Kill	Georgia Watson	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
11	4-7	UK	UK	Attack err	Sophie Scott		+0.0
12	5-7	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
13	5-8	UT ST	UK	Kill	Georgia Watson	set Kennedy Washington	+0.0
14	6-8	UK	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Ava Nakai	+0.0
15	6-9	UT ST	UK	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Kennedy Washington	+0.0
16	6-10	UK	UK	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Lizzie Carr	+0.0
17	7-10	UK	UT ST	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
18	7-11	UT ST	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
19	8-11	UK	UT ST	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.0
20	9-11	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Lizzie Carr		+0.0
21	9-12	UT ST	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
22	10-12	UK	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Lily LaFlesch	+0.0
23	10-13	UT ST	UK×3	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
24	10-14	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+0.0
25	10-15	UK	UK×3	Kill	Georgia Watson	set Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.0
26	11-15	UK	UT ST	Bad set	Kassie O'Brien		+0.0
27	11-16	UT ST	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
28	11-17	UK	UK	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+0.0
29	12-17	UK	UT ST×5	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.0
30	13-17	UT ST	UT ST×5	Attack err	Georgia Watson		+0.0
31	14-17	UT ST	UT ST×5	Attack err	Kennedy Washington	blk Ava Napierski, Olivia Ruy	+0.0
32	15-17	UT ST	UT ST×5	Attack err	Georgia Watson		+0.0
33	16-17	UT ST	UT ST×5	Kill	Ava Napierski		+0.0
34	16-18	UT ST	UK×7	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.0
35	16-19	UK	UK×7	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
36	16-20	UK	UK×7	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
37	16-21	UK	UK×7	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
38	16-22	UK	UK×7	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
39	16-23	UK	UK×7	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
40	16-24	UK	UK×7	Ace	UK server	aced Olivia Ruy	+0.0
41	17-24	UK	UT ST	Attack err	Kennedy Washington		+0.0
42	17-25	UT ST	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Utah St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.