Kentucky def. North Carolina 3–0
Kentucky beat visiting North Carolina 3-0 (25-11, 25-19, 25-18) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. Kentucky's Morgan Gaerte led with 17 kills, and Molly Tuozzo added 13 digs.
Data through · final Sep 9
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 11 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| UK | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.7% to North Carolina — set 2, UNC 16-16 UK. Asia Thigpen stuffed by Jackie Taylor & Laynie Smith. UK win probability 94% → 92%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
North Carolina wins
Kentucky wins
- UNC break %
- 35.7% vs this opp
- UK break %
- 43.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Jackie Taylor&Laynie SmithBlock+1.7%
Asia Thigpen stuffed by Jackie Taylor & Laynie Smith
Set 2 · UNC 16-16 UK · UNC 6% → 8%
- 02Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+1.7%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · UNC 17-19 UK · UK 93% → 95%
- 03Bridget MaloneKill+1.7%
Kill by Bridget Malone (set by Sienna Cozza)
Set 2 · UNC 13-12 UK · UNC 8% → 10%
- 04Kennedy WashingtonKill+1.5%
Kill by Kennedy Washington (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · UNC 13-14 UK · UK 92% → 93%
- 05Asia ThigpenKill+1.4%
Kill by Asia Thigpen (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · UNC 14-16 UK · UK 93% → 94%
- 06
- 07
- 08KentuckyService error+1.3%
Kentucky service error
Set 2 · UNC 17-17 UK · UNC 7% → 8%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 23 | .130 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 26 | .077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 27 | 13 | 92 | .152 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 48 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 17 | 4 | 34 | .382 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 3 | 15 | 5 | 32 | .313 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 15 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 16 | 116 | .284 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
11-25
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
18-25
Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
North Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64%7/11 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 60%6/10 | 13%1/8 |
| 3 | 50%6/12 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 43%6/14 | 14%1/7 |
| 5 | 36%5/14 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 33%4/12 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 28%14/50 |
Kentucky
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 50%5/10 |
| 2 | 60%6/10 | 50%6/12 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 33%3/9 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 50%6/12 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 50%6/12 |
| 6 | 83%5/6 | 72%13/18 |
| All | 72%36/50 | 53%39/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
123 rallies
| # | UNC-UK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNC | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 2 | 0-2 | UK | UK | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +1.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UK | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UNC | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UK | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UK | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UK | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | UNC | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UK | UNC | Kill | Sienna Cozza | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UNC | UK×3 | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.9 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.2 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.0 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UK | UNC | Blocked | Brooklyn DeLeye | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +0.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | UNC | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.7 |
| 17 | 6-11 | UK | UK | Ace | Kentucky | aced Carly Markham | +0.8 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UK | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.5 |
| 19 | 7-12 | UNC | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 20 | 7-13 | UK | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 21 | 8-13 | UK | UNC | Serve err | Kentucky | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Lizzie Carr | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | UNC | UK×4 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UK | UK×4 | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +0.6 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UK | UK×4 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.4 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UK | UK×4 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.2 |
| 27 | 10-17 | UK | UNC | Attack err | Asia Thigpen | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.1 |
| 29 | 10-19 | UK | UK | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | UK | UNC | Attack err | Morgan Gaerte | · | |
| 31 | 11-20 | UNC | UK×6 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | · |
| 32 | 11-21 | UK | UK×6 | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Kassie O'Brien, Kennedy Washington | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | · |
| 34 | 11-23 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | · | |
| 35 | 11-24 | UK | UK×6 | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Kassie O'Brien, Kennedy Washington | · |
| 36 | 11-25 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UK | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC | UK×4 | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.7 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UK | UK×4 | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +1.0 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | UK | UK×4 | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | UK | UK×4 | Ace | Kentucky | aced Julia Bohlinger | +0.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UK | UNC×3 | Attack err | Lizzie Carr | +0.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UNC | UK | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.7 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | UK | UK | Attack err | Lauren Schutter | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UK | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UK | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | UK | UNC | Serve err | Kentucky | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | UNC | UK | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.6 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | UK | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Sienna Cozza | +0.6 |
| 17 | 7-10 | UNC | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | UK | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 19 | 8-11 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UK | UNC | Attack err | Lizzie Carr | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Brooklyn DeLeye | blk Bridget Malone, Lauren Schutter | +1.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.8 |
| 23 | 11-12 | UK | UNC×3 | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 24 | 12-12 | UNC | UNC×3 | Ace | Sienna Cozza | aced Brooklyn DeLeye | +1.4 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +1.7 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.0 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UK | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.5 |
| 28 | 14-14 | UK | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.1 |
| 29 | 14-15 | UNC | UK | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Kennedy Washington | +1.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | UK | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | UK | UNC | Serve err | Kentucky | +0.9 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Asia Thigpen | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +1.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | UNC | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.2 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UK | UNC | Serve err | Kentucky | +1.3 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | UNC | UK×5 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.3 |
| 36 | 17-19 | UK | UK×5 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.7 |
| 37 | 17-20 | UK | UK×5 | Kill | Lizzie Carr | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | UK | UK×5 | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +0.9 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | UK | UK×5 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 40 | 18-22 | UK | UNC | Blocked | Brooklyn DeLeye | blk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton | +0.2 |
| 41 | 18-23 | UNC | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Jackie Taylor | +0.3 |
| 42 | 18-24 | UK | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Trinity Ward | +0.1 |
| 43 | 19-24 | UK | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | · |
| 44 | 19-25 | UNC | UK | Serve err | North Carolina | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | +0.6 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Molly Tuozzo | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNC | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UK | UK | Blocked | Jackie Taylor | blk Lizzie Carr, Brooklyn DeLeye | +0.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UK | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UNC | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UK | UNC | Attack err | Morgan Gaerte | +0.4 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Asia Thigpen | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter | +0.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UNC | UK | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | UK | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UNC | UK×4 | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | UK | UK×4 | Attack err | Laynie Smith | +0.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | UK | UK×4 | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +0.6 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | UK | UK×4 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UK | UNC×3 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Morgan Gaerte | +0.6 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +0.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UNC | UK | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | UK | UNC | Attack err | Kennedy Washington | +0.5 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | UNC | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | UK | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | UK | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | UNC | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UK | UNC | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +0.6 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | UNC | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UK | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 28 | 14-14 | UNC | UK | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | UK | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UK | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Morgan Gaerte | blk Bridget Malone, Lauren Schutter | +1.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UNC | UK×3 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 33 | 16-17 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 34 | 16-18 | UK | UK×3 | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +0.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | UK | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.5 |
| 36 | 17-19 | UNC | UK×5 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 37 | 17-20 | UK | UK×5 | Ace | Kentucky | aced Bridget Malone | +0.7 |
| 38 | 17-21 | UK | UK×5 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.4 |
| 39 | 17-22 | UK | UK×5 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.2 |
| 40 | 17-23 | UK | UK×5 | Ace | Kentucky | aced Bridget Malone | +0.1 |
| 41 | 18-23 | UK | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | UNC | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | · |
| 43 | 18-25 | UK | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | · | |
Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).