FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026

Kentucky def. North Carolina 3–0

Kentucky beat visiting North Carolina 3-0 (25-11, 25-19, 25-18) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. Kentucky's Morgan Gaerte led with 17 kills, and Molly Tuozzo added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set123Sets
UNC1119180
UK2525253

Win probability

Kentucky above 50 · North Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% UNCrally 123 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to North Carolina — set 2, UNC 16-16 UK. Asia Thigpen stuffed by Jackie Taylor & Laynie Smith. UK win probability 94% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC 13.8%86.2% UK

North Carolina wins

3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-2
7.4%

Kentucky wins

3-0
38.6%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
16.1%
UNC break %
35.7% vs this opp
UK break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Asia Thigpen stuffed by Jackie Taylor & Laynie Smith

    Set 2 · UNC 16-16 UK · UNC 6% → 8%

  2. 02

    Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · UNC 17-19 UK · UK 93% → 95%

  3. 03

    Kill by Bridget Malone (set by Sienna Cozza)

    Set 2 · UNC 13-12 UK · UNC 8% → 10%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kennedy Washington (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · UNC 13-14 UK · UK 92% → 93%

  5. 05
    Asia ThigpenKill+1.4%

    Kill by Asia Thigpen (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · UNC 14-16 UK · UK 93% → 94%

  6. 06
    Sienna CozzaAce+1.4%

    Ace by Sienna Cozza on Brooklyn DeLeye

    Set 2 · UNC 12-12 UK · UNC 6% → 8%

  7. 07
    Lizzie CarrKill+1.3%

    Kill by Lizzie Carr

    Set 2 · UNC 17-20 UK · UK 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    KentuckyService error+1.3%

    Kentucky service error

    Set 2 · UNC 17-17 UK · UNC 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37423.130001620218
37526.07700070010.57.5
34117.17600000010.54.5
3318.25000400031.54.5
3113.00000000031.52.5
3000–1000300000
34113.231000400215
31011.0001012400002
3001.000000010000
3000–3021210000
Team totals271392.1522319364012648
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317434.38200211000017
315532.31301181010.516.5
38315.33300000010.58.5
35112.333000201227
3006.0004410500212
3000–121300002
34317.059000300004
3000–000200000
3000–0001300000
Team totals4916116.284454447116475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 UNC · UK 6

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 UNCUK 6

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 UNCUK 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 UNCUK 5

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
25%2/8
2
60%6/10
13%1/8
3
50%6/12
50%6/12
4
43%6/14
14%1/7
5
36%5/14
33%3/9
6
33%4/12
17%1/6
All
47%34/73
28%14/50

Kentucky

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
50%5/10
2
60%6/10
50%6/12
3
75%6/8
33%3/9
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
83%5/6
72%13/18
All
72%36/50
53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#UNC-UKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNCUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
20-2UKUKAttack errSafi Hampton+1.2
31-2UKUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
41-3UNCUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
52-3UKUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
62-4UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
73-4UKUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
83-5UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
94-5UKUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.9
104-6UNCUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
115-6UKUNCKillSienna Cozzaset Julia Bohlinger+0.9
125-7UNCUK×3Serve errNorth Carolina+0.9
135-8UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.2
145-9UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.0
156-9UKUNCBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith+0.6
166-10UNCUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
176-11UKUKAceKentuckyaced Carly Markham+0.8
187-11UKUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
197-12UNCUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
207-13UKUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
218-13UKUNCServe errKentucky+0.3
229-13UNCUNCAttack errLizzie Carr+0.7
239-14UNCUK×4KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
249-15UKUK×4Attack errChelsea Thorpe+0.6
259-16UKUK×4KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
269-17UKUK×4KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
2710-17UKUNCAttack errAsia Thigpen+0.1
2810-18UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2910-19UKUKAttack errBridget Malone+0.1
3011-19UKUNCAttack errMorgan Gaerte·
3111-20UNCUK×6KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien·
3211-21UKUK×6BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Kassie O'Brien, Kennedy Washington·
3311-22UKUK×6KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien·
3411-23UKUK×6KillKennedy Washington·
3511-24UKUK×6BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Kassie O'Brien, Kennedy Washington·
3611-25UKUK×6KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien·
Set 2
11-0UKUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
21-1UNCUK×4Serve errNorth Carolina+0.7
31-2UKUK×4Attack errSafi Hampton+1.0
41-3UKUK×4KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
51-4UKUK×4AceKentuckyaced Julia Bohlinger+0.8
62-4UKUNC×3Attack errLizzie Carr+0.5
73-4UNCUNC×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.9
84-4UNCUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+1.1
94-5UNCUKServe errNorth Carolina+0.7
104-6UKUKAttack errLauren Schutter+1.0
115-6UKUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.7
125-7UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
135-8UKUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
146-8UKUNCServe errKentucky+0.6
156-9UNCUKServe errNorth Carolina+0.6
167-9UKUNCKillJackie Taylorset Sienna Cozza+0.6
177-10UNCUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
188-10UKUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
198-11UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
209-11UKUNCAttack errLizzie Carr+0.6
2110-11UNCUNCBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Bridget Malone, Lauren Schutter+1.1
2210-12UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
2311-12UKUNC×3KillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
2412-12UNCUNC×3AceSienna Cozzaaced Brooklyn DeLeye+1.4
2513-12UNCUNC×3KillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+1.7
2613-13UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.0
2713-14UKUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
2814-14UKUNCKillBridget Maloneset Julia Bohlinger+1.1
2914-15UNCUKBlockedBridget Maloneblk Kennedy Washington+1.0
3014-16UKUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+1.4
3115-16UKUNCServe errKentucky+0.9
3216-16UNCUNCBlockedAsia Thigpenblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith+1.7
3316-17UNCUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.2
3417-17UKUNCServe errKentucky+1.3
3517-18UNCUK×5KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.3
3617-19UKUK×5KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.7
3717-20UKUK×5KillLizzie Carr+1.3
3817-21UKUK×5Attack errSafi Hampton+0.9
3917-22UKUK×5KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
4018-22UKUNCBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton+0.2
4118-23UNCUKKillLizzie Carrset Jackie Taylor+0.3
4218-24UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Trinity Ward+0.1
4319-24UKUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt·
4419-25UNCUKServe errNorth Carolina·
Set 3
11-0UNCUNCKillSafi Hampton+0.6
22-0UNCUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Molly Tuozzo+0.6
32-1UNCUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
42-2UKUKBlockedJackie Taylorblk Lizzie Carr, Brooklyn DeLeye+0.6
53-2UKUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
63-3UNCUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
74-3UKUNCAttack errMorgan Gaerte+0.4
85-3UNCUNCBlockedAsia Thigpenblk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter+0.7
95-4UNCUKServe errNorth Carolina+0.4
106-4UKUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
116-5UNCUK×4Serve errNorth Carolina+0.4
126-6UKUK×4Attack errLaynie Smith+0.6
136-7UKUK×4Attack errBridget Malone+0.6
146-8UKUK×4KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
157-8UKUNC×3KillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.4
168-8UNCUNC×3Attack errMorgan Gaerte+0.6
179-8UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.7
189-9UNCUKServe errNorth Carolina+0.4
1910-9UKUNCAttack errKennedy Washington+0.5
2011-9UNCUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Julia Bohlinger+0.8
2111-10UNCUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
2211-11UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
2312-11UKUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.6
2412-12UNCUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
2513-12UKUNCAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.6
2613-13UNCUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
2714-13UKUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
2814-14UNCUKServe errNorth Carolina+0.6
2914-15UKUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
3015-15UKUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
3116-15UNCUNCBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Bridget Malone, Lauren Schutter+1.0
3216-16UNCUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
3316-17UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
3416-18UKUK×3Attack errBridget Malone+0.8
3517-18UKUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.5
3617-19UNCUK×5KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
3717-20UKUK×5AceKentuckyaced Bridget Malone+0.7
3817-21UKUK×5KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
3917-22UKUK×5KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
4017-23UKUK×5AceKentuckyaced Bridget Malone+0.1
4118-23UKUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza·
4218-24UNCUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien·
4318-25UKUKKillLizzie Carr·

Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).