FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Brown def. Columbia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Brown 85.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Brown beat visiting Columbia 3-0 (25-15, 25-15, 25-14) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Brown's Fisayo Afonja led with 15 kills, and Sophie Haskell added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
COLUMB1515140
BROWN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Fisayo Afonja hit .481 with 15 kills as Brown rolled past Columbia.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.7 points. Columbia peaked at 17% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Brown 85% before first serve.

ColumbiaBrown
  • Break %+31.0 pts
    24.455.4

    On serve: 41/74 against 11/45 (Columbia sideout 44.6%).

  • Hitting+.263
    .146.409

    43 K / 7 E against 28 K / 14 E.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Brown opened the set in the second set with 6 straight points for a 6–0 lead. The set finished 25–15.

Brown above 50Columbia belowMax swing 1.7%

ColumbiaBrown

Aces
Columbia 2·Brown 8
Serve err
Columbia 8·Brown 5
Blocks
Columbia 1·Brown 51 BS · 0 BA vs 4 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Columbia 32·Brown 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Brown above 50 · Columbia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% COLUMBrally 119 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Columbia — set 1, COLUMB 5-4 BROWN. Kill by Alexia Cornea (set by Claire Mo). BROWN win probability 85% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLUMB 14.9%85.1% BROWN

Columbia wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
7.9%

Brown wins

3-0
37.3%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.5%
COLUMB break %
38.2% vs this opp
BROWN break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alexia CorneaKill+1.7%

    Kill by Alexia Cornea (set by Claire Mo)

    Set 1 · COLUMB 5-4 BROWN · COLUMB 15% → 17%

  2. 02
    Sophie HaskellBad set+1.6%

    Bad set by Sophie Haskell

    Set 1 · COLUMB 3-2 BROWN · COLUMB 15% → 16%

  3. 03
    Fisayo AfonjaKill+1.6%

    Kill by Fisayo Afonja (set by Julia Kakkis)

    Set 1 · COLUMB 5-6 BROWN · BROWN 84% → 86%

  4. 04
    Charlotte GravleeAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Charlotte Gravlee

    Set 1 · COLUMB 3-4 BROWN · BROWN 85% → 86%

  5. 05

    Ace by Sophie Haskell on Madison Hsieh

    Set 1 · COLUMB 6-8 BROWN · BROWN 86% → 87%

  6. 06
    Fisayo AfonjaKill+1.4%

    Kill by Fisayo Afonja (set by Sophie Haskell)

    Set 1 · COLUMB 0-1 BROWN · BROWN 85% → 86%

  7. 07
    Delaney SeamanBad set+1.3%

    Bad set by Delaney Seaman

    Set 1 · COLUMB 6-9 BROWN · BROWN 87% → 89%

  8. 08
    Alexia CorneaAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Alexia Cornea

    Set 1 · COLUMB 6-6 BROWN · COLUMB 14% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37227.185000120007
35420.050110600006
36116.313000000006
3318.250000000003
3203.6672111700003
3146-.500000201012
3001.000203230000
3000–1011200000
2011-1.000000120000
2000–301100000
1408.500002010004
1016-.167000000000
Team totals281496.146282832810144
Brownhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315227.48121010100016
39018.50001210111.511.5
39320.3003116110111
3519.444000002027
3307.429321170010.54.5
3000–120800002
3000–3211400002
2116.000000000001
21011.000000000001
1000–000100000
Team totals43788.409418547242575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Columbia vs Brown

Season series · Brown leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 COLUMB · BROWN 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 COLUMBBROWN 4

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 4 COLUMBBROWN 6

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 COLUMBBROWN 5

Bars above the line = Brown leads, below = Columbia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
50%5/10
2
50%6/12
36%4/11
3
75%6/8
14%1/7
4
38%5/13
14%1/7
5
45%5/11
0%0/5
6
36%4/11
0%0/5
All
45%33/74
24%11/45

Brown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
40%4/10
2
60%6/10
67%12/18
3
86%6/7
40%4/10
4
100%6/6
45%5/11
5
100%5/5
58%7/12
6
67%4/6
69%9/13
All
76%34/45
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

119 rallies

#COLUMB-BROWNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Sophie Haskell+1.4
21-1BROWNCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Elena Maynulet+1.0
31-2COLUMBBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.0
42-2BROWNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Clara Yu+1.1
53-2COLUMBCOLUMBBad setSophie Haskell+1.6
63-3COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Elle Holley+1.1
73-4BROWNBROWNAttack errCharlotte Gravlee+1.5
84-4BROWNCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+1.1
95-4COLUMBCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+1.7
105-5COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.2
115-6BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.6
126-6BROWNCOLUMBAttack errAlexia Cornea+1.2
136-7COLUMBBROWN×4Serve errMadison Hsieh+1.1
146-8BROWNBROWN×4AceSophie Haskellaced Madison Hsieh+1.5
156-9BROWNBROWN×4Bad setDelaney Seaman+1.3
166-10BROWNBROWN×4AceSophie Haskellaced Madison Hsieh+1.1
177-10BROWNCOLUMBServe errSophie Haskell+0.7
187-11COLUMBBROWN×3KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.8
197-12BROWNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.9
207-13BROWNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Yuna Yang+0.6
218-13BROWNCOLUMB×3KillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+0.4
229-13COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceClara Yuaced Elle Holley+0.7
2310-13COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillDahlia Robertsset Clara Yu+1.0
2410-14COLUMBBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Delaney Seaman+0.8
2510-15BROWNBROWNAttack errElena Maynulet+0.9
2611-15BROWNCOLUMBAttack errElle Holley+0.5
2711-16COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.6
2812-16BROWNCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.5
2912-17COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Elle Holley+0.6
3012-18BROWNBROWNBad setClara Yu+0.6
3113-18BROWNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Clara Yu+0.3
3213-19COLUMBBROWNBlockedCharlotte Gravleeblk Kindell Welker+0.4
3313-20BROWNBROWNKillKindell Welkerset Julia Kakkis+0.3
3414-20BROWNCOLUMBAttack errFisayo Afonja+0.1
3514-21COLUMBBROWNServe errMadison Hsieh+0.2
3614-22BROWNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+0.1
3715-22BROWNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo·
3815-23COLUMBBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Fisayo Afonja+0.1
3915-24BROWNBROWN×3Attack errAvery Jones·
4015-25BROWNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis·
Set 2
10-1COLUMBBROWN×6KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.7
20-2BROWNBROWN×6AceYuna Yangaced Alexia Cornea+0.9
30-3BROWNBROWN×6KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.8
40-4BROWNBROWN×6BlockedElena Maynuletblk Elle Holley+0.7
50-5BROWNBROWN×6KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.6
60-6BROWNBROWN×6Attack errElena Maynulet+0.4
71-6BROWNCOLUMB×4KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+0.3
82-6COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errElle Holley+0.5
93-6COLUMBCOLUMB×4AceElena Maynuletaced Fisayo Afonja+0.7
104-6COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.8
114-7COLUMBBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Sophie Haskell+0.6
124-8BROWNBROWN×3BlockedAlexia Corneablk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+0.7
134-9BROWNBROWN×3Attack errDahlia Roberts+0.6
145-9BROWNCOLUMBAttack errElle Holley+0.4
155-10COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.4
166-10BROWNCOLUMBServe errSophia Wolfson+0.4
176-11COLUMBBROWNKillKindell Welkerset Julia Kakkis+0.4
186-12BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.5
197-12BROWNCOLUMBKillClara Yuset Madison Hsieh+0.3
207-13COLUMBBROWN×3KillKindell Welkerset Julia Kakkis+0.3
217-14BROWNBROWN×3Attack errElena Maynulet+0.3
227-15BROWNBROWN×3BlockedCharlotte Gravleeblk Kindell Welker+0.2
238-15BROWNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+0.1
248-16COLUMBBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.1
259-16BROWNCOLUMB×4KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+0.1
2610-16COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.2
2711-16COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+0.3
2812-16COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errAlly Panzloff+0.5
2912-17COLUMBBROWN×4KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.5
3012-18BROWNBROWN×4KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.4
3112-19BROWNBROWN×4KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.3
3212-20BROWNBROWN×4AceYuna Yangaced Evie Naumann+0.1
3313-20BROWNCOLUMBAttack errFisayo Afonja·
3413-21COLUMBBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.1
3514-21BROWNCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu·
3614-22COLUMBBROWNServe errDelaney Seaman+0.1
3715-22BROWNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Clara Yu·
3815-23COLUMBBROWN×3KillKindell Welkerset Julia Kakkis·
3915-24BROWNBROWN×3AceJulia Kakkisaced Madison Hsieh·
4015-25BROWNBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis·
Set 3
11-0BROWNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.4
22-0COLUMBCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.6
32-1COLUMBBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Elle Holley+0.4
43-1BROWNCOLUMBBlockedKindell Welkerblk Charlotte Gravlee+0.5
53-2COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.4
64-2BROWNCOLUMBServe errJulia Kakkis+0.5
74-3COLUMBBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.4
85-3BROWNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.5
95-4COLUMBBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.4
106-4BROWNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+0.5
116-5COLUMBBROWNServe errClara Yu+0.4
127-5BROWNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Clara Yu+0.5
137-6COLUMBBROWNServe errElise Hiemstra+0.4
148-6BROWNCOLUMBServe errElle Holley+0.5
158-7COLUMBBROWN×5KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.5
168-8BROWNBROWN×5Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+0.6
178-9BROWNBROWN×5AceSophia Wolfsonaced Alexia Cornea+0.6
188-10BROWNBROWN×5Attack errAlexia Cornea+0.6
198-11BROWNBROWN×5KillJulia Kakkisset Fisayo Afonja+0.5
209-11BROWNCOLUMBServe errSophia Wolfson+0.3
219-12COLUMBBROWNServe errMadison Hsieh+0.3
2210-12BROWNCOLUMBKillClara Yuset Madison Hsieh+0.3
2310-13COLUMBBROWN×4KillFisayo Afonjaset Sophie Haskell+0.4
2410-14BROWNBROWN×4AceFisayo Afonjaaced Evie Naumann+0.4
2510-15BROWNBROWN×4KillKindell Welker+0.3
2610-16BROWNBROWN×4KillElizabeth Sessaset Julia Kakkis+0.2
2711-16BROWNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.1
2811-17COLUMBBROWNServe errClaire Mo+0.1
2912-17BROWNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.1
3012-18COLUMBBROWN×4KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.1
3112-19BROWNBROWN×4BlockedDanica Nordlichtblk Sophia Wolfson+0.1
3212-20BROWNBROWN×4Attack errEvie Naumann+0.1
3312-21BROWNBROWN×4KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis·
3413-21BROWNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu·
3513-22COLUMBBROWN×3Serve errElise Hiemstra·
3613-23BROWNBROWN×3AceElle Holleyaced Elise Hiemstra·
3713-24BROWNBROWN×3KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis·
3814-24BROWNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Clara Yu·
3914-25COLUMBBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis·

Score shown after each rally, Columbia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).