Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 20, 2026

Kentucky def. Louisville 3–1

Kentucky beat visiting Louisville 3-1 (19-25, 29-27, 25-21, 25-19) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Kentucky's Brooklyn DeLeye led with 22 kills, and Molly Tuozzo added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 20

Set1234Sets
LOUIS252721191
UK192925253

Win probability

Kentucky above 50 · Louisville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.1% UKrally 190 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Kentucky — set 2, LOUIS 27-29 UK. Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien). UK win probability 37% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOUIS 53.9%46.1% UK

Louisville wins

3-0
14.2%
3-1
20.4%
3-2
19.3%

Kentucky wins

3-0
11.0%
3-1
17.1%
3-2
18.0%
LOUIS break %
39.9% vs this opp
UK break %
39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+10.1%

    Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 27-29 UK · UK 37% → 47%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kennedy Washington (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 25-26 UK · UK 27% → 37%

  3. 03
    LouisvilleAce+9.8%

    Louisville ace on Trinity Ward

    Set 2 · LOUIS 24-23 UK · LOUIS 70% → 79%

  4. 04

    Kill by Brooke Bultema (set by Payton Petersen)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 26-26 UK · LOUIS 63% → 70%

  5. 05
    Morgan GaerteKill+6.5%

    Kill by Morgan Gaerte (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 26-27 UK · UK 30% → 37%

  6. 06

    Kill by Nayelis Cabello (set by Chloe Meester)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 27-27 UK · LOUIS 63% → 70%

  7. 07
    Asia ThigpenKill+6.5%

    Kill by Asia Thigpen (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 27-28 UK · UK 30% → 37%

  8. 08

    Kill by Chloe Chicoine (set by Payton Petersen)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 22-22 UK · LOUIS 63% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417145.35600010104219
410332.2190003002111
47014.50033011000218
4307.429000002658
45213.23100010132.57.5
4000–302400000
49640.07511121111.511.5
4001.0005101820001
4000–012000001
4001.0001021010000
1000–000000000
Team totals5112153.25543385854181392
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422852.26902411000024
420741.3170116004223
410118.5000004002111
45719-.10500000031.56.5
4205.400591160010.53.5
4000–3121020001
414431.32300051111.515.5
4000–000200000
4000–7002100000
3000–000000000
Team totals7327166.27769586531116.598

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LOUIS · UK 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 LOUISUK 3

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 4 LOUISUK 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 LOUISUK 6

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 LOUISUK 6

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
38%6/16
2
50%11/22
31%5/16
3
63%10/16
39%7/18
4
67%8/12
40%6/15
5
50%8/16
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
53%9/17
All
58%56/97
39%36/93

Kentucky

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
23%3/13
2
73%11/15
35%6/17
3
64%9/14
57%13/23
4
56%9/16
25%3/12
5
57%8/14
58%11/19
6
57%8/14
38%5/13
All
61%57/93
42%41/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

190 rallies

#LOUIS-UKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UKLOUIS×4Attack errLizzie Carr+1.7
22-0LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+2.6
33-0LOUISLOUIS×4BlockedLizzie Carrblk Chloe Chicoine, Addison Makun+2.5
44-0LOUISLOUIS×4BlockedLizzie Carrblk Addison Makun, Chloe Chicoine+2.3
54-1LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.3
64-2UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Nayelis Cabello+2.3
75-2UKLOUIS×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+1.7
86-2LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errMorgan Gaerte+2.3
97-2LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoine+2.0
107-3LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
118-3UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
129-3LOUISLOUISBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Chicoine+1.7
139-4LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
1410-4UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.1
1510-5LOUISUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
1611-5UKLOUIS×4KillNayelis Cabelloset Payton Petersen+1.1
1712-5LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
1813-5LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errAsia Thigpen+0.9
1914-5LOUISLOUIS×4AceLouisvilleaced Asia Thigpen+0.6
2014-6LOUISUK×3Serve errLouisville+0.3
2114-7UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
2214-8UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
2315-8UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.8
2415-9LOUISUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
2516-9UKLOUISBlockedLizzie Carrblk Addison Makun+0.7
2616-10LOUISUKServe errLouisville+0.5
2717-10UKLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
2817-11LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
2917-12UKUKBlockedKalyssa Blackshearblk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte, Asia Thigpen+1.0
3018-12UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.0
3118-13LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
3219-13UKLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.9
3320-13LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Asia Thigpen+0.8
3420-14LOUISUKBlockedChloe Meesterblk Morgan Gaerte, Kennedy Washington+0.3
3521-14UKLOUISAttack errAsia Thigpen+0.5
3621-15LOUISUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3721-16UKUKAceKentuckyaced Chloe Meester+0.6
3822-16UKLOUISKillNayelis Cabelloset Chloe Meester+0.7
3922-17LOUISUKAttack errChloe Meester+0.3
4023-17UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
4123-18LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
4224-18UKLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
4324-19LOUISUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
4425-19UKLOUISBlockedLizzie Carrblk Brooke Bultema+0.2
Set 2
11-0LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand+2.5
21-1LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.6
31-2UKUKKillLizzie Carr+2.6
42-2UKLOUISServe errKentucky+1.7
52-3LOUISUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+1.7
62-4UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+2.7
72-5UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+2.6
83-5UKLOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.6
94-5LOUISLOUIS×3Bad setAsia Thigpen+2.6
105-5LOUISLOUIS×3KillNayelis Cabello+2.8
115-6LOUISUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+1.9
126-6UKLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.8
137-6LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester+2.9
148-6LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+2.9
158-7LOUISUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Molly Tuozzo+1.8
168-8UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+3.0
178-9UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Trinity Ward+3.1
189-9UKLOUISAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+2.0
199-10LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.1
209-11UKUKAttack errChloe Chicoine+3.2
2110-11UKLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
2211-11LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+3.3
2312-11LOUISLOUIS×4AceLouisvilleaced Trinity Ward+3.4
2413-11LOUISLOUIS×4KillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+3.3
2513-12LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
2613-13UKUKKillLizzie Carrset Nayelis Cabello+3.5
2714-13UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+2.4
2815-13LOUISLOUISBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear+3.6
2915-14LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
3015-15UKUKAceKentuckyaced Chloe Chicoine+3.8
3116-15UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+2.7
3216-16LOUISUK×3Serve errLouisville+2.6
3316-17UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+4.4
3416-18UKUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+4.3
3517-18UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+2.5
3617-19LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+3.0
3717-20UKUKAttack errChloe Meester+4.0
3818-20UKLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.9
3919-20LOUISLOUISAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+4.1
4019-21LOUISUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+3.5
4120-21UKLOUISServe errKentucky+2.8
4220-22LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+3.8
4321-22UKLOUISBad setBrooklyn DeLeye+2.9
4422-22LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen+6.5
4522-23LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+5.3
4623-23UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+4.9
4724-23LOUISLOUISAceLouisvilleaced Trinity Ward+9.8
4824-24LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+6.4
4925-24UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand+6.4
5025-25LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+6.4
5125-26UKUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+9.9
5226-26UKLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Payton Petersen+6.5
5326-27LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+6.5
5427-27UKLOUISKillNayelis Cabelloset Chloe Meester+6.5
5527-28LOUISUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+6.5
5627-29UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+10.1
Set 3
11-0UKLOUISAttack errMorgan Gaerte+2.3
22-0LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+3.5
32-1LOUISUKServe errLouisville+2.2
43-1UKLOUISAttack errLizzie Carr+2.3
53-2LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
64-2UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+2.3
74-3LOUISUKServe errLouisville+2.3
85-3UKLOUISAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+2.4
95-4LOUISUK×6KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+2.3
105-5UKUK×6Attack errChloe Meester+3.8
115-6UKUK×6KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+4.0
125-7UKUK×6KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+4.0
135-8UKUK×6KillKassie O'Brienset Molly Tuozzo+3.8
145-9UKUK×6KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+3.5
156-9UKLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
167-9LOUISLOUISBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun+3.5
177-10LOUISUKBlockedChloe Meesterblk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien+2.6
187-11UKUKAttack errChloe Meester+3.6
198-11UKLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen+2.0
208-12LOUISUKServe errLouisville+2.4
218-13UKUKBlockedKalyssa Blackshearblk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte+3.1
229-13UKLOUISServe errKentucky+1.6
239-14LOUISUKServe errLouisville+2.1
2410-14UKLOUISServe errKentucky+1.6
2511-14LOUISLOUISBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Chicoine+3.1
2611-15LOUISUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.6
2711-16UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+3.2
2811-17UKUK×3KillKennedy Washington+2.3
2912-17UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Kamden Schrand+1.0
3012-18LOUISUKAttack errBrooke Bultema+1.5
3113-18UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.9
3214-18LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+2.1
3314-19LOUISUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
3414-20UKUK×3KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
3514-21UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Trinity Ward+1.1
3615-21UKLOUISServe errKentucky+0.3
3716-21LOUISLOUISBlockedKennedy Washingtonblk Chloe Meester+0.8
3816-22LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.0
3917-22UKLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
4018-22LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedLizzie Carrblk Addison Makun+1.2
4119-22LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+2.2
4219-23LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
4320-23UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Payton Petersen+1.1
4420-24LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
4521-24UKLOUISServe errKentucky+0.6
4621-25LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
Set 4
11-0LOUISLOUISAttack errMorgan Gaerte+3.6
21-1LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+2.4
31-2UKUKBlockedKalyssa Blackshearblk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte+3.7
42-2UKLOUISServe errKentucky+2.4
52-3LOUISUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
63-3UKLOUISAttack errAsia Thigpen+2.5
73-4LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.6
83-5UKUKAceKentuckyaced Hannah Kenny+3.9
94-5UKLOUISServe errKentucky+2.4
104-6LOUISUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.6
115-6UKLOUISKillNayelis Cabello+2.5
125-7LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.7
136-7UKLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+2.6
146-8LOUISUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.8
156-9UKUKAceKentuckyaced Payton Petersen+4.1
167-9UKLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Molly Tuozzo+2.4
177-10LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.7
187-11UKUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+3.8
198-11UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen+2.1
209-11LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+3.8
219-12LOUISUK×6KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+2.9
229-13UKUK×6KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+3.9
239-14UKUK×6KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+3.3
249-15UKUK×6KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
259-16UKUK×6BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Asia Thigpen+1.8
269-17UKUK×6KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+1.2
2710-17UKLOUIS×3KillNayelis Cabelloset Payton Petersen+0.4
2811-17LOUISLOUIS×3Bad setKassie O'Brien+1.0
2912-17LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errAsia Thigpen+1.6
3012-18LOUISUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
3112-19UKUKKillAsia Thigpenset Molly Tuozzo+1.5
3213-19UKLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
3314-19LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
3415-19LOUISLOUIS×3KillNayelis Cabelloset Hannah Kenny+2.0
3515-20LOUISUKServe errLouisville+2.0
3615-21UKUKKillKassie O'Brienset Trinity Ward+1.8
3716-21UKLOUISBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun+0.6
3817-21LOUISLOUISBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear+1.5
3917-22LOUISUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+1.7
4018-22UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.8
4118-23LOUISUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
4219-23UKLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
4319-24LOUISUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
4419-25UKUKAceKentuckyaced Payton Petersen+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).