Kentucky def. Louisville 3–1
Kentucky beat visiting Louisville 3-1 (19-25, 29-27, 25-21, 25-19) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Kentucky's Brooklyn DeLeye led with 22 kills, and Molly Tuozzo added 21 digs.
Data through · final Sep 20
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOUIS | 25 | 27 | 21 | 19 | 1 |
| UK | 19 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.1% to Kentucky — set 2, LOUIS 27-29 UK. Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien). UK win probability 37% → 47%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Louisville wins
Kentucky wins
- LOUIS break %
- 39.9% vs this opp
- UK break %
- 39.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+10.1%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · LOUIS 27-29 UK · UK 37% → 47%
- 02Kennedy WashingtonKill+9.9%
Kill by Kennedy Washington (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · LOUIS 25-26 UK · UK 27% → 37%
- 03LouisvilleAce+9.8%
Louisville ace on Trinity Ward
Set 2 · LOUIS 24-23 UK · LOUIS 70% → 79%
- 04Brooke BultemaKill+6.5%
Kill by Brooke Bultema (set by Payton Petersen)
Set 2 · LOUIS 26-26 UK · LOUIS 63% → 70%
- 05Morgan GaerteKill+6.5%
Kill by Morgan Gaerte (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · LOUIS 26-27 UK · UK 30% → 37%
- 06Nayelis CabelloKill+6.5%
Kill by Nayelis Cabello (set by Chloe Meester)
Set 2 · LOUIS 27-27 UK · LOUIS 63% → 70%
- 07Asia ThigpenKill+6.5%
Kill by Asia Thigpen (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · LOUIS 27-28 UK · UK 30% → 37%
- 08Chloe ChicoineKill+6.5%
Kill by Chloe Chicoine (set by Payton Petersen)
Set 2 · LOUIS 22-22 UK · LOUIS 63% → 70%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 1 | 45 | .356 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 32 | .219 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 4 | 7 | 0 | 14 | .500 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 40 | .075 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 12 | 153 | .255 | 43 | 3 | 8 | 58 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 92 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 52 | .269 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | |
| 4 | 20 | 7 | 41 | .317 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 23 | |
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -.105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 59 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 31 | .323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 73 | 27 | 166 | .277 | 69 | 5 | 8 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6.5 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-19
Set 2
27-29
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
19-25
Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Louisville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 38%6/16 |
| 2 | 50%11/22 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 63%10/16 | 39%7/18 |
| 4 | 67%8/12 | 40%6/15 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 27%3/11 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 53%9/17 |
| All | 58%56/97 | 39%36/93 |
Kentucky
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60%12/20 | 23%3/13 |
| 2 | 73%11/15 | 35%6/17 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 57%13/23 |
| 4 | 56%9/16 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 57%8/14 | 58%11/19 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 61%57/93 | 42%41/97 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
190 rallies
| # | LOUIS-UK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UK | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Lizzie Carr | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.6 |
| 3 | 3-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Blocked | Lizzie Carr | blk Chloe Chicoine, Addison Makun | +2.5 |
| 4 | 4-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Blocked | Lizzie Carr | blk Addison Makun, Chloe Chicoine | +2.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.3 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UK | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.3 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UK | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Morgan Gaerte | +2.3 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.1 |
| 11 | 8-3 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.3 |
| 12 | 9-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Blocked | Morgan Gaerte | blk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Chicoine | +1.7 |
| 13 | 9-4 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 14 | 10-4 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 15 | 10-5 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 16 | 11-5 | UK | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Payton Petersen | +1.1 |
| 17 | 12-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.3 |
| 18 | 13-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Asia Thigpen | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 14-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | Louisville | aced Asia Thigpen | +0.6 |
| 20 | 14-6 | LOUIS | UK×3 | Serve err | Louisville | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 22 | 14-8 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.9 |
| 23 | 15-8 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.8 |
| 24 | 15-9 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.5 |
| 25 | 16-9 | UK | LOUIS | Blocked | Lizzie Carr | blk Addison Makun | +0.7 |
| 26 | 16-10 | LOUIS | UK | Serve err | Louisville | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.4 |
| 29 | 17-12 | UK | UK | Blocked | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte, Asia Thigpen | +1.0 |
| 30 | 18-12 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.0 |
| 31 | 18-13 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.6 |
| 32 | 19-13 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.9 |
| 33 | 20-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Asia Thigpen | +0.8 |
| 34 | 20-14 | LOUIS | UK | Blocked | Chloe Meester | blk Morgan Gaerte, Kennedy Washington | +0.3 |
| 35 | 21-14 | UK | LOUIS | Attack err | Asia Thigpen | +0.5 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | UK | UK | Ace | Kentucky | aced Chloe Meester | +0.6 |
| 38 | 22-16 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Chloe Meester | +0.7 |
| 39 | 22-17 | LOUIS | UK | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.3 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.2 |
| 42 | 24-18 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +0.1 |
| 44 | 25-19 | UK | LOUIS | Blocked | Lizzie Carr | blk Brooke Bultema | +0.2 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UK | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | +2.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +1.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | UK×3 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Molly Tuozzo | +2.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Molly Tuozzo | +2.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UK | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Bad set | Asia Thigpen | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | +2.8 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UK | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Blocked | Morgan Gaerte | blk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester | +2.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | LOUIS | UK×3 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Molly Tuozzo | +1.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Trinity Ward | +3.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UK | LOUIS | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +2.0 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UK | UK | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +3.2 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | UK | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | Louisville | aced Trinity Ward | +3.4 |
| 24 | 13-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.0 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UK | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Blocked | Morgan Gaerte | blk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear | +3.6 |
| 29 | 15-14 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.2 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UK | UK | Ace | Kentucky | aced Chloe Chicoine | +3.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.7 |
| 32 | 16-16 | LOUIS | UK×3 | Serve err | Louisville | +2.6 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Molly Tuozzo | +4.4 |
| 34 | 16-18 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +4.3 |
| 35 | 17-18 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.5 |
| 36 | 17-19 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | UK | UK | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +4.0 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.9 |
| 39 | 19-20 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +4.1 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +2.8 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.8 |
| 43 | 21-22 | UK | LOUIS | Bad set | Brooklyn DeLeye | +2.9 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +6.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +5.3 |
| 46 | 23-23 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +4.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | Louisville | aced Trinity Ward | +9.8 |
| 48 | 24-24 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +6.4 |
| 49 | 25-24 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +6.4 |
| 50 | 25-25 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +6.4 |
| 51 | 25-26 | UK | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +9.9 |
| 52 | 26-26 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Payton Petersen | +6.5 |
| 53 | 26-27 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +6.5 |
| 54 | 27-27 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Chloe Meester | +6.5 |
| 55 | 27-28 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +6.5 |
| 56 | 27-29 | UK | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +10.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UK | LOUIS | Attack err | Morgan Gaerte | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LOUIS | UK | Serve err | Louisville | +2.2 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | UK | LOUIS | Attack err | Lizzie Carr | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.2 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LOUIS | UK | Serve err | Louisville | +2.3 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | UK | LOUIS | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | LOUIS | UK×6 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | UK | UK×6 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +3.8 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +4.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +4.0 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Kassie O'Brien | set Molly Tuozzo | +3.8 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.5 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.0 |
| 16 | 7-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Blocked | Brooklyn DeLeye | blk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun | +3.5 |
| 17 | 7-10 | LOUIS | UK | Blocked | Chloe Meester | blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien | +2.6 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UK | UK | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +3.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen | +2.0 |
| 20 | 8-12 | LOUIS | UK | Serve err | Louisville | +2.4 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | UK | UK | Blocked | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte | +3.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | LOUIS | UK | Serve err | Louisville | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +1.6 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Blocked | Morgan Gaerte | blk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Chicoine | +3.1 |
| 26 | 11-15 | LOUIS | UK×3 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.6 |
| 27 | 11-16 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.2 |
| 28 | 11-17 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | +2.3 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Kamden Schrand | +1.0 |
| 30 | 12-18 | LOUIS | UK | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +1.5 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.9 |
| 32 | 14-18 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.1 |
| 33 | 14-19 | LOUIS | UK×3 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.0 |
| 34 | 14-20 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | UK | UK×3 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Trinity Ward | +1.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +0.3 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Blocked | Kennedy Washington | blk Chloe Meester | +0.8 |
| 38 | 16-22 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.0 |
| 39 | 17-22 | UK | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 40 | 18-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Blocked | Lizzie Carr | blk Addison Makun | +1.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn DeLeye | +2.2 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.5 |
| 43 | 20-23 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen | +1.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +0.6 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.5 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Morgan Gaerte | +3.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Molly Tuozzo | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UK | UK | Blocked | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte | +3.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UK | LOUIS | Attack err | Asia Thigpen | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UK | UK | Ace | Kentucky | aced Hannah Kenny | +3.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UK | LOUIS | Serve err | Kentucky | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | +2.5 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UK | UK | Ace | Kentucky | aced Payton Petersen | +4.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Molly Tuozzo | +2.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UK | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.8 |
| 19 | 8-11 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +2.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.8 |
| 21 | 9-12 | LOUIS | UK×6 | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.9 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Brooklyn DeLeye | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.9 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +3.3 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +2.5 |
| 25 | 9-16 | UK | UK×6 | Blocked | Brooke Bultema | blk Asia Thigpen | +1.8 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UK | UK×6 | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.2 |
| 27 | 10-17 | UK | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Payton Petersen | +0.4 |
| 28 | 11-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Bad set | Kassie O'Brien | +1.0 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Asia Thigpen | +1.6 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.5 |
| 31 | 12-19 | UK | UK | Kill | Asia Thigpen | set Molly Tuozzo | +1.5 |
| 32 | 13-19 | UK | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 33 | 14-19 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.3 |
| 34 | 15-19 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Hannah Kenny | +2.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | LOUIS | UK | Serve err | Louisville | +2.0 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | UK | UK | Kill | Kassie O'Brien | set Trinity Ward | +1.8 |
| 37 | 16-21 | UK | LOUIS | Blocked | Brooklyn DeLeye | blk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun | +0.6 |
| 38 | 17-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Blocked | Brooklyn DeLeye | blk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear | +1.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Kennedy Washington | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.7 |
| 40 | 18-22 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.8 |
| 41 | 18-23 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Lizzie Carr | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.5 |
| 42 | 19-23 | UK | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 43 | 19-24 | LOUIS | UK | Kill | Morgan Gaerte | set Kassie O'Brien | +1.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | UK | UK | Ace | Kentucky | aced Payton Petersen | +0.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).