Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on SECN+

Kentucky def. Auburn 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Kentucky 93.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kentucky won at Auburn 3-1 (25-16, 25-17, 23-25, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Kentucky's Brooklyn DeLeye led with 22 kills, and Asia Thigpen added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
UK252523253
AUBURN161725171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kentucky won it on serve.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.8 points, and Auburn's high was 7% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Kentucky 94% before first serve.

KentuckyAuburn
  • Break %+15.3 pts
    49.534.2

    On serve: 48/97 against 26/76 (Auburn sideout 50.5%).

  • Hitting+.110
    .290.180

    65 K / 23 E against 41 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Down 0–2 in the third set, Kentucky had 6 straight kills to lead 6–2. Final score of the set: 23–25.

Auburn above 50Kentucky belowMax swing 1.8%

KentuckyAuburn

Aces
Kentucky 5·Auburn 4
Serve err
Kentucky 7·Auburn 8
Blocks
Kentucky 7·Auburn 132 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 26 BA
Digs
Kentucky 62·Auburn 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Auburn above 50 · Kentucky below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.8% AUBURNrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Auburn — set 3, UK 23-25 AUBURN. Auburn ace on Asia Thigpen. AUBURN win probability 3% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UK 92.3%7.7% AUBURN

Kentucky wins

3-0
48.9%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.3%

Auburn wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.4%
UK break %
46.5% vs this opp
AUBURN break %
35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    AuburnAce+1.8%

    Auburn ace on Asia Thigpen

    Set 3 · UK 23-25 AUBURN · AUBURN 3% → 5%

  2. 02
    Lauren DrevesKill+1.5%

    Kill by Lauren Dreves

    Set 4 · UK 14-13 AUBURN · AUBURN 3% → 5%

  3. 03
    Belle PatrickKill+1.3%

    Kill by Belle Patrick (set by Shanelle Puetz)

    Set 1 · UK 15-15 AUBURN · AUBURN 6% → 7%

  4. 04

    Georgia Watson stuffed by Anastasija Ivkovic & Grace Havlicek

    Set 4 · UK 0-1 AUBURN · AUBURN 5% → 6%

  5. 05
    Asia ThigpenKill+1.3%

    Kill by Asia Thigpen (set by Molly Tuozzo)

    Set 4 · UK 16-13 AUBURN · UK 96% → 98%

  6. 06
    Lauren DrevesKill+1.3%

    Kill by Lauren Dreves (set by Carson Eickenloff)

    Set 4 · UK 10-9 AUBURN · AUBURN 3% → 4%

  7. 07
    Belle PatrickAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Belle Patrick

    Set 1 · UK 17-15 AUBURN · UK 94% → 95%

  8. 08
    Kassie O'BrienAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Kassie O'Brien

    Set 4 · UK 7-6 AUBURN · AUBURN 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422950.26013411102126
414331.35510116110115
49321.2861000002110
44113.23100020132.56.5
4226.0004910150010.53.5
4000–210310001
414524.3750004002115
4000–002100000
4000–5001000000
Team totals6523145.2905957624210798
Auburnhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415944.13600370031.516.5
49119.42100000073.512.5
48332.156000720219
43210.100000100847
4114.00002130052.55.5
4000–1900500000
4115.0001610300002
4000–3121300001
31011.000002700001
23113.15400000010.53.5
Team totals4118128.18038484650261375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UK · AUBURN 5

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 UKAUBURN 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 UKAUBURN 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 UKAUBURN 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 3 UKAUBURN 3

Bars above the line = Auburn leads, below = Kentucky leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kentucky

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
40%4/10
2
47%7/15
53%8/15
3
70%7/10
36%4/11
4
67%6/9
56%9/16
5
67%6/9
50%6/12
6
100%5/5
38%3/8
All
65%39/60
47%34/72

Auburn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
22%2/9
2
44%7/16
56%9/16
3
44%7/16
30%3/10
4
54%7/13
13%1/8
5
63%5/8
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
53%38/72
35%21/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#UK-AUBURNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UKAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Emily Keiran+0.6
21-1AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.5
32-1UKUKAttack errBelle Patrick+0.7
42-2AUBURN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
53-2AUBURNUKAttack errKate Mansfield+0.5
63-3UKAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+0.6
74-3AUBURNUK×4KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
85-3UKUK×4KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
96-3UKUK×4AceKentucky+0.5
107-3UKUK×4KillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
117-4UKAUBURNServe errKentucky+0.3
128-4AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.3
138-5UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.3
148-6AUBURNAUBURNBlockedGeorgia Watsonblk Belle Patrick, Grace Havlicek+0.6
159-6AUBURNUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
169-7UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.4
1710-7AUBURNUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
1810-8UKAUBURN×3KillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+0.4
1910-9AUBURNAUBURN×3Attack errKassie O'Brien+0.8
2010-10AUBURNAUBURN×3BlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Anastasija Ivkovic, Kate Mansfield+1.0
2111-10AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
2211-11UKAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Carson Eickenloff+0.8
2312-11AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.7
2413-11UKUKBlockedLauren Drevesblk Georgia Watson, Lizzie Carr+0.9
2513-12UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.7
2614-12AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
2715-12UKUKAttack errKate Mansfield+0.8
2815-13UKAUBURN×3KillSymone Simsset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
2915-14AUBURNAUBURN×3KillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+1.0
3015-15AUBURNAUBURN×3KillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+1.3
3116-15AUBURNUK×5KillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
3217-15UKUK×5Attack errBelle Patrick+1.2
3318-15UKUK×5KillAsia Thigpenset Molly Tuozzo+0.9
3419-15UKUK×5KillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
3520-15UKUK×5KillGeorgia Watsonset Molly Tuozzo+0.4
3620-16UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.2
3721-16AUBURNUK×5KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3822-16UKUK×5Attack errBelle Patrick+0.2
3923-16UKUK×5AceKentuckyaced Lauren Dreves+0.1
4024-16UKUK×5KillKennedy Washington·
4125-16UKUK×5BlockedGrace Havlicekblk Kennedy Washington·
Set 2
11-0AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.3
22-0UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
32-1UKAUBURN×4KillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.3
42-2AUBURNAUBURN×4BlockedLizzie Carrblk Lauren Dreves, Kate Mansfield+0.5
52-3AUBURNAUBURN×4Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.6
62-4AUBURNAUBURN×4BlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Anastasija Ivkovic, Kate Mansfield+0.7
73-4AUBURNUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
84-4UKUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Molly Tuozzo+0.6
94-5UKAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+0.5
105-5AUBURNUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
116-5UKUK×3AceKentucky+0.5
127-5UKUK×3AceKentucky+0.5
137-6UKAUBURNAttack errAsia Thigpen+0.3
148-6AUBURNUK×5KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
159-6UKUK×5BlockedBelle Patrickblk Georgia Watson, Kennedy Washington+0.4
1610-6UKUK×5Attack errShanelle Puetz+0.3
1711-6UKUK×5KillGeorgia Watsonset Molly Tuozzo+0.2
1812-6UKUK×5BlockedLauren Drevesblk Asia Thigpen+0.2
1912-7UKAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Shanelle Puetz+0.1
2013-7AUBURNUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2114-7UKUKAttack errLauren Dreves+0.1
2214-8UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.1
2315-8AUBURNUKAttack errBelle Patrick+0.1
2415-9UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.1
2516-9AUBURNUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2616-10UKAUBURN×5KillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.1
2716-11AUBURNAUBURN×5Attack errLizzie Carr+0.1
2816-12AUBURNAUBURN×5Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.2
2916-13AUBURNAUBURN×5AceAuburn+0.3
3016-14AUBURNAUBURN×5AceAuburnaced Brooklyn DeLeye+0.5
3117-14AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
3218-14UKUKAceKentuckyaced Lauren Dreves+0.4
3318-15UKAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.2
3419-15AUBURNUK×5KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
3520-15UKUK×5Attack errBelle Patrick+0.3
3621-15UKUK×5KillAsia Thigpenset Lizzie Carr+0.1
3722-15UKUK×5Attack errBelle Patrick+0.1
3823-15UKUK×5KillGeorgia Watsonset Shanelle Puetz·
3923-16UKAUBURNKillShanelle Puetz·
4024-16AUBURNUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien·
4124-17UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz·
4225-17AUBURNUKAttack errBelle Patrick·
Set 3
10-1UKAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.2
20-2AUBURNAUBURNBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Anastasija Ivkovic, Kate Mansfield+0.3
31-2AUBURNUK×6KillKassie O'Brienset Asia Thigpen+0.2
42-2UKUK×6KillKassie O'Brienset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
53-2UKUK×6KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
64-2UKUK×6KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
75-2UKUK×6KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
86-2UKUK×6KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Carson Eickenloff+0.1
96-3UKAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.1
107-3AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
117-4UKAUBURNAttack errLizzie Carr+0.1
128-4AUBURNUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
138-5UKAUBURN×3KillGreer Chamblessset Shanelle Puetz+0.1
148-6AUBURNAUBURN×3BlockedGeorgia Watsonblk Belle Patrick, Grace Havlicek+0.2
158-7AUBURNAUBURN×3Attack errAsia Thigpen+0.2
169-7AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.1
179-8UKAUBURNKillGreer Chamblessset Shanelle Puetz+0.2
189-9AUBURNAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.3
1910-9AUBURNUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
2010-10UKAUBURNBlockedAsia Thigpenblk Anastasija Ivkovic, Grace Havlicek+0.2
2111-10AUBURNUK×3Serve errAuburn+0.2
2212-10UKUK×3Bad setCarson Eickenloff+0.3
2313-10UKUK×3BlockedAnastasija Ivkovicblk Kennedy Washington, Brooklyn DeLeye+0.2
2413-11UKAUBURNAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.1
2514-11AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2614-12UKAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.1
2714-13AUBURNAUBURNAceAuburnaced Trinity Ward+0.3
2815-13AUBURNUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
2915-14UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.2
3015-15AUBURNAUBURNBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Belle Patrick, Kate Mansfield+0.4
3116-15AUBURNUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
3216-16UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.3
3317-16AUBURNUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
3417-17UKAUBURNKillGrace Havlicekset Shanelle Puetz+0.3
3517-18AUBURNAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.6
3618-18AUBURNUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.4
3718-19UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.4
3819-19AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.4
3920-19UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
4020-20UKAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.4
4120-21AUBURNAUBURNBlockedKennedy Washingtonblk Lauren Dreves, Kate Mansfield+0.8
4221-21AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
4321-22UKAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.6
4422-22AUBURNUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
4522-23UKAUBURNBlockedGeorgia Watsonblk Greer Chambless, Kate Mansfield+0.8
4623-23AUBURNUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
4723-24UKAUBURNServe errKentucky+1.0
4823-25AUBURNAUBURNAceAuburnaced Asia Thigpen+1.8
Set 4
10-1AUBURNAUBURNBlockedGeorgia Watsonblk Anastasija Ivkovic, Grace Havlicek+1.3
21-1AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
32-1UKUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
42-2UKAUBURNServe errKentucky+0.8
53-2AUBURNUKKillAsia Thigpenset Brooklyn DeLeye+0.8
64-2UKUKKillAsia Thigpen+1.0
74-3UKAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+0.7
85-3AUBURNUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
96-3UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
106-4UKAUBURNKillGreer Chamblessset Emily Keiran+0.6
117-4AUBURNUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
127-5UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.6
137-6AUBURNAUBURNAttack errKassie O'Brien+1.1
148-6AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
159-6UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Trinity Ward+1.0
169-7UKAUBURNServe errKentucky+0.7
1710-7AUBURNUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
1810-8UKAUBURNBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Anastasija Ivkovic, Grace Havlicek+0.7
1910-9AUBURNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+1.3
2011-9AUBURNUKServe errAuburn+0.9
2112-9UKUKBad setCarson Eickenloff+1.1
2212-10UKAUBURNServe errKentucky+0.7
2313-10AUBURNUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
2414-10UKUKKillAsia Thigpen+0.9
2514-11UKAUBURN×3KillAnastasija Ivkovicset Carson Eickenloff+0.5
2614-12AUBURNAUBURN×3Attack errGeorgia Watson+1.1
2714-13AUBURNAUBURN×3KillLauren Dreves+1.5
2815-13AUBURNUK×3KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
2916-13UKUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Molly Tuozzo+1.3
3017-13UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
3117-14UKAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Shanelle Puetz+0.5
3218-14AUBURNUK×3KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
3319-14UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
3420-14UKUK×3BlockedGreer Chamblessblk Brooklyn DeLeye, Kennedy Washington+0.3
3520-15UKAUBURNServe errKentucky+0.1
3621-15AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3722-15UKUKBlockedBelle Patrickblk Lizzie Carr, Kassie O'Brien+0.1
3822-16UKAUBURNServe errKentucky·
3923-16AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Trinity Ward+0.1
4024-16UKUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien·
4124-17UKAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff·
4225-17AUBURNUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien·

Score shown after each rally, Kentucky first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).