FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on SECN+

Kentucky def. Mississippi St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Kentucky 94.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kentucky beat visiting Mississippi St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-14, 25-21) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Kentucky's Brooklyn DeLeye led with 15 kills, and Molly Tuozzo added 12 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
MISSST1714210
UK2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Brooklyn Deleye. Kentucky swept Mississippi St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.3 points, and Mississippi St.'s high was 9% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Kentucky 95% before first serve.

Mississippi St.Kentucky
  • Break %+21.2 pts
    30.251.4

    On serve: 38/74 against 16/53 (Mississippi St. sideout 48.6%).

  • Hitting+.190
    .179.369

    49 K / 11 E against 32 K / 13 E.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    Up 17–14 in the second set, Kentucky scored 8 straight to make it 25–14. The set finished 25–14.

Kentucky above 50Mississippi St. belowMax swing 1.3%

Mississippi St.Kentucky

Aces
Mississippi St. 2·Kentucky 5
Serve err
Mississippi St. 6·Kentucky 7
Blocks
Mississippi St. 3·Kentucky 80 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Mississippi St. 37·Kentucky 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kentucky above 50 · Mississippi St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% MISSSTrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Mississippi St. — set 1, MISSST 9-6 UK. Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by Cayley Hanson). UK win probability 93% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 4.5%95.5% UK

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.7%

Kentucky wins

3-0
57.0%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
9.3%
MISSST break %
33.8% vs this opp
UK break %
46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 1 · MISSST 9-6 UK · MISSST 7% → 9%

  2. 02
    Morgan GaerteAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Morgan Gaerte

    Set 1 · MISSST 7-5 UK · MISSST 6% → 7%

  3. 03
    Noella ObiAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Noella Obi

    Set 1 · MISSST 9-8 UK · UK 92% → 93%

  4. 04
    Morgan GaerteKill+1.0%

    Kill by Morgan Gaerte (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 1 · MISSST 9-9 UK · UK 93% → 94%

  5. 05
    McKenna YatesBad set+0.9%

    Bad set by McKenna Yates

    Set 1 · MISSST 9-10 UK · UK 94% → 95%

  6. 06

    Brooklyn DeLeye stuffed by Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss & Bernardita Aguilar

    Set 1 · MISSST 2-0 UK · MISSST 6% → 7%

  7. 07

    Ava Anderson stuffed by Morgan Gaerte & Gracison Saylors

    Set 1 · MISSST 5-5 UK · UK 94% → 94%

  8. 08
    Lizzie CarrKill+0.8%

    Kill by Lizzie Carr

    Set 1 · MISSST 10-12 UK · UK 95% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38420.20010110031.59.5
37124.250011610008
35217.176000000216
33212.08300010010.53.5
31011.000211810002
3102.5001903000001
35326.077000220005
3000–800500000
3000–1001410000
2011-1.000000000000
1203.667000000002
Team totals3213106.179312637506352
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315439.28202490031.518.5
314431.3230004002115
37111.5450011014310
3214.250360050010.52.5
3000–2101120001
3000–001300000
3619.55600020010.56.5
3509.55600000031.56.5
3000–6211200002
Team totals4911103.3694457472114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MISSST · UK 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 MISSSTUK 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 MISSSTUK 8

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 MISSSTUK 4

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
33%3/9
2
67%6/9
11%1/9
3
55%6/11
14%1/7
4
50%6/12
25%2/8
5
28%5/18
50%6/12
6
71%5/7
38%3/8
All
49%36/74
30%16/53

Kentucky

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
53%8/15
2
86%6/7
40%4/10
3
86%6/7
50%6/12
4
46%6/13
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
67%10/15
All
70%37/53
51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#MISSST-UKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.5
22-0MISSSTMISSSTBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Bernardita Aguilar+0.9
32-1MISSSTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
43-1UKMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Mary Neal+0.6
53-2MISSSTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
64-2UKMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.7
74-3MISSSTUKBlockedGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossblk Lizzie Carr+0.6
85-3UKMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+0.7
95-4MISSSTUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
105-5UKUKBlockedAva Andersonblk Morgan Gaerte, Gracison Saylors+0.8
116-5UKMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Erin Kline+0.6
127-5MISSSTMISSSTAttack errMorgan Gaerte+1.1
137-6MISSSTUKKillGracison Saylorsset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
148-6UKMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+0.8
159-6MISSSTMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.3
169-7MISSSTUK×4KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.7
179-8UKUK×4Attack errNoella Obi+1.1
189-9UKUK×4KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.0
199-10UKUK×4Bad setMcKenna Yates+0.9
2010-10UKMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.6
2110-11MISSSTUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.6
2210-12UKUK×3KillLizzie Carr+0.8
2310-13UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+0.6
2411-13UKMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.4
2511-14MISSSTUK×5Serve errBernardita Aguilar+0.4
2611-15UKUK×5KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
2711-16UKUK×5AceKentuckyaced Mary Neal+0.3
2811-17UKUK×5BlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Lizzie Carr, Georgia Watson+0.2
2911-18UKUK×5KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
3012-18UKMISSSTServe errKentucky+0.1
3112-19MISSSTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+0.1
3212-20UKUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Lindsey Mangelson+0.1
3313-20UKMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline·
3414-20MISSSTMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Erin Kline+0.1
3514-21MISSSTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+0.1
3614-22UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien·
3715-22UKMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Erin Kline·
3815-23MISSSTUKServe errCayley Hanson·
3916-23UKMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson·
4016-24MISSSTUKKillGracison Saylorsset Kassie O'Brien·
4117-24UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson·
4217-25MISSSTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien·
Set 2
11-0MISSSTMISSSTAceMary Nealaced Sidney Burley+0.5
22-0MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.6
32-1MISSSTUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
42-2UKUK×3KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
52-3UKUK×3BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Brooklyn DeLeye, Lizzie Carr+0.4
63-3UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.3
73-4MISSSTUKBad setCayley Hanson+0.3
84-4UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.3
94-5MISSSTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
105-5UKMISSSTServe errKentucky+0.3
115-6MISSSTUKServe errLindsey Mangelson+0.3
125-7UKUKAceKentuckyaced McKenna Yates+0.4
136-7UKMISSSTServe errKentucky+0.3
146-8MISSSTUK×3KillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
156-9UKUK×3BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Gracison Saylors, Kassie O'Brien+0.4
166-10UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+0.3
177-10UKMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Bernardita Aguilar+0.2
188-10MISSSTMISSSTBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Noella Obi, Bernardita Aguilar+0.3
198-11MISSSTUKServe errCayley Hanson+0.2
208-12UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeye+0.3
219-12UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilar+0.2
229-13MISSSTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
2310-13UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.2
2410-14MISSSTUKKillKassie O'Brienset Sidney Burley+0.2
2510-15UKUKBlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Brooklyn DeLeye, Lizzie Carr+0.2
2611-15UKMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.1
2711-16MISSSTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2812-16UKMISSSTServe errKentucky+0.1
2913-16MISSSTMISSSTAttack errGeorgia Watson+0.3
3013-17MISSSTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3114-17UKMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+0.2
3214-18MISSSTUK×8KillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3314-19UKUK×8KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3414-20UKUK×8Attack errPaloma Routaboul+0.1
3514-21UKUK×8KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
3614-22UKUK×8Attack errNoella Obi·
3714-23UKUK×8AceKentuckyaced Lindsey Mangelson·
3814-24UKUK×8KillGracison Saylorsset Kassie O'Brien·
3914-25UKUK×8KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien·
Set 3
10-1UKUK×4KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
20-2UKUK×4BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Morgan Gaerte, Gracison Saylors+0.1
30-3UKUK×4KillGracison Saylorsset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
40-4UKUK×4AceKentuckyaced Paloma Routaboul+0.1
51-4UKMISSSTKillMary Nealset Cayley Hanson+0.1
61-5MISSSTUKServe errMary Neal+0.1
72-5UKMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.1
82-6MISSSTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
93-6UKMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.1
103-7MISSSTUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
113-8UKUK×3Attack errBernardita Aguilar+0.1
123-9UKUK×3KillKassie O'Brienset Cayley Hanson+0.1
134-9UKMISSST×4KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson·
145-9MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.1
156-9MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errKassie O'Brien+0.1
167-9MISSSTMISSST×4KillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+0.1
177-10MISSSTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Sidney Burley+0.1
188-10UKMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+0.1
199-10MISSSTMISSSTKillSydnie Wallerset McKenna Yates+0.2
209-11MISSSTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
219-12UKUKAceKentuckyaced Paloma Routaboul+0.2
2210-12UKMISSSTAttack errLizzie Carr+0.1
2310-13MISSSTUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2411-13UKMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.1
2511-14MISSSTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeye+0.1
2612-14UKMISSSTBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Noella Obi, Bernardita Aguilar+0.1
2713-14MISSSTMISSSTAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.2
2813-15MISSSTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
2913-16UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+0.2
3014-16UKMISSSTAttack errMorgan Gaerte+0.1
3115-16MISSSTMISSSTKillCayley Hansonset Mary Neal+0.3
3215-17MISSSTUK×3KillGracison Saylorsset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3315-18UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3415-19UKUK×3BlockedGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossblk Brooklyn DeLeye, Lizzie Carr+0.2
3516-19UKMISSST×3Serve errKentucky+0.1
3617-19MISSSTMISSST×3AceLindsey Mangelsonaced Sidney Burley+0.2
3718-19MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.3
3818-20MISSSTUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.2
3918-21UKUK×3Attack errPaloma Routaboul+0.3
4018-22UKUK×3KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+0.2
4119-22UKMISSSTKillSydnie Wallerset Erin Kline+0.1
4219-23MISSSTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
4320-23UKMISSSTServe errKentucky·
4420-24MISSSTUKServe errCayley Hanson+0.1
4521-24UKMISSSTServe errKentucky·
4621-25MISSSTUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).