FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

UCF def. Stony Brook 3–0

UCF beat visiting Stony Brook 3-0 (25-20, 26-24, 25-22) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Sasha Cohen led UCF with 10 kills; Stony Brook's Ella Sanders had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
STONY2024220
UCF2526253

Win probability

UCF above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% STONYrally 142 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Stony Brook — set 2, STONY 24-24 UCF. Kill by Quinn Anderson (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis). UCF win probability 98% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 6.3%93.7% UCF

Stony Brook wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
3.7%

UCF wins

3-0
52.1%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
11.1%
STONY break %
39.2% vs this opp
UCF break %
51.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Quinn Anderson (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis)

    Set 2 · STONY 24-24 UCF · STONY 2% → 5%

  2. 02
    Abby SchomersKill+1.9%

    Kill by Abby Schomers (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis)

    Set 2 · STONY 24-25 UCF · UCF 95% → 97%

  3. 03

    Avari Amstutz stuffed by Natasha Casey & Sasha Cohen

    Set 2 · STONY 24-26 UCF · UCF 97% → 99%

  4. 04
    Stony BrookAce+1.2%

    Stony Brook ace on Fallon Stewart

    Set 2 · STONY 16-13 UCF · STONY 6% → 7%

  5. 05
    Stony BrookAce+1.1%

    Stony Brook ace on Reese Moore

    Set 2 · STONY 15-13 UCF · STONY 5% → 6%

  6. 06
    Sasha CohenKill+1.0%

    Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Abby Schomers)

    Set 2 · STONY 16-15 UCF · UCF 94% → 95%

  7. 07

    Kill by Fallon Stewart (set by Abby Schomers)

    Set 2 · STONY 16-16 UCF · UCF 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    Ella SandersKill+0.9%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 1 · STONY 12-13 UCF · STONY 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311430.23310092031.512.5
3519.444000001438
36327.111010000007
3227.000121300215
30210-.200000100211
3000–1213400001
310219.42100000010.510.5
3103.333231600004
3000–1711600001
2001.000100710000
1001.000000000000
Team totals3514107.1963486364112766
UCFhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310215.5331011026515
38322.22700040132.510.5
37113.46200020010.57.5
37217.294101110007
3304.7503700100111.54.5
3000–000610000
37417.1761334002111
39417.29400010010.59.5
3001.0004111410001
3000–001100000
3000–000310000
Team totals5116106.33044474784141176

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STONY · UCF 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 STONYUCF 7

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 STONYUCF 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 STONYUCF 4

Bars above the line = UCF leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
20%1/5
2
56%5/9
29%2/7
3
27%4/15
44%4/9
4
44%4/9
56%5/9
5
57%4/7
50%4/8
6
100%3/3
43%3/7
All
50%25/50
42%19/45

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
20%1/5
2
45%5/11
17%1/6
3
67%4/6
67%8/12
4
44%4/9
75%12/16
5
50%4/8
33%2/6
6
80%4/5
20%1/5
All
58%26/45
50%25/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

142 rallies

#STONY-UCFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1STONYUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.5
21-1UCFSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Rayanne Wheat+0.6
31-2STONYUCF×5KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.5
41-3UCFUCF×5BlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Sasha Cohen+0.6
51-4UCFUCF×5KillSasha Cohen+0.5
61-5UCFUCF×5KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.4
71-6UCFUCF×5KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.3
82-6UCFSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.3
92-7STONYUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.3
102-8UCFUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.3
113-8UCFSTONYBlockedKiki Horneblk Mercedes Motton, Damisi Osibodu+0.2
124-8STONYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Carey-Jean Block+0.3
134-9STONYUCFServe errStony Brook+0.3
145-9UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.3
156-9STONYSTONYAttack errElla Chapman+0.5
166-10STONYUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.4
177-10UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.4
187-11STONYUCFKillKiki Horneset Alexa Haley+0.4
198-11UCFSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Taryn Su+0.4
209-11STONYSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Rayanne Wheat+0.7
219-12STONYUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.5
229-13UCFUCFBlockedMercedes Mottonblk Sasha Cohen, Avah Armour+0.5
2310-13UCFSTONY×3BlockedAvah Armourblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton+0.4
2411-13STONYSTONY×3KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.7
2512-13STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.9
2612-14STONYUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.8
2713-14UCFSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.8
2813-15STONYUCF×7Serve errStony Brook+0.8
2913-16UCFUCF×7KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.8
3013-17UCFUCF×7Bad setRayanne Wheat+0.6
3113-18UCFUCF×7BlockedElla Sandersblk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey+0.4
3213-19UCFUCF×7KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
3313-20UCFUCF×7KillKiki Horneset Carey-Jean Block+0.2
3413-21UCFUCF×7KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.1
3514-21UCFSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat·
3615-21STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Alexa Haley+0.1
3716-21STONYSTONY×3BlockedNatasha Caseyblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+0.2
3816-22STONYUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Alexa Haley+0.2
3917-22UCFSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.1
4018-22STONYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.2
4118-23STONYUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
4218-24UCFUCFBlockedAvari Amstutzblk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers+0.1
4319-24UCFSTONYServe errUCF·
4420-24STONYSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Carey-Jean Block+0.1
4520-25STONYUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.1
Set 2
10-1UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Fallon Stewart+0.4
21-1UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.4
31-2STONYUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.4
42-2UCFSTONYAttack errSasha Cohen+0.4
52-3STONYUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.4
63-3UCFSTONY×3KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.4
74-3STONYSTONY×3BlockedSasha Cohenblk Damisi Osibodu+0.6
85-3STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brook+0.7
95-4STONYUCF×6Serve errStony Brook+0.5
105-5UCFUCF×6KillKiki Horneset Natasha Casey+0.6
115-6UCFUCF×6KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.5
125-7UCFUCF×6Attack errElla Sanders+0.4
135-8UCFUCF×6KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.4
145-9UCFUCF×6BlockedMercedes Mottonblk Sasha Cohen, Kiki Horne+0.3
156-9UCFSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.3
167-9STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brook+0.4
178-9STONYSTONY×3BlockedNatasha Caseyblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+0.5
188-10STONYUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.4
199-10UCFSTONY×3Serve errUCF+0.4
2010-10STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brook+0.7
2111-10STONYSTONY×3Attack errNatasha Casey+0.8
2211-11STONYUCFServe errStony Brook+0.6
2312-11UCFSTONYAttack errKiki Horne+0.7
2412-12STONYUCFKillKiki Horneset Alexa Haley+0.6
2513-12UCFSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.7
2613-13STONYUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.6
2714-13UCFSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.8
2815-13STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Reese Moore+1.1
2916-13STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Fallon Stewart+1.2
3016-14STONYUCF×4BlockedQuinn Andersonblk Sasha Cohen, Avah Armour+0.8
3116-15UCFUCF×4KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+1.0
3216-16UCFUCF×4KillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+1.0
3316-17UCFUCF×4BlockedDamisi Osibodublk Sasha Cohen+0.9
3417-17UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Ella Sanders+0.8
3517-18STONYUCFServe errStony Brook+0.8
3618-18UCFSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.9
3718-19STONYUCF×3KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.9
3818-20UCFUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.9
3918-21UCFUCF×3KillElla Chapman+0.7
4019-21UCFSTONYServe errUCF+0.5
4119-22STONYUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.6
4220-22UCFSTONYServe errUCF+0.5
4320-23STONYUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.6
4421-23UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.4
4521-24STONYUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.6
4622-24UCFSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.3
4723-24STONYSTONY×3KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.9
4824-24STONYSTONY×3KillQuinn Andersonset Ayanna Pierre Louis+2.3
4924-25STONYUCFKillAbby Schomersset Ayanna Pierre Louis+1.9
5024-26UCFUCFBlockedAvari Amstutzblk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen+1.9
Set 3
10-1STONYUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.2
20-2UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Ella Sanders+0.2
30-3UCFUCF×3BlockedElla Sandersblk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen+0.1
41-3UCFSTONYServe errUCF+0.1
52-3STONYSTONYBlockedAvah Armourblk Quinn Anderson, Ayanna Pierre Louis+0.2
62-4STONYUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.1
73-4UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.2
84-4STONYSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Taryn Su+0.2
94-5STONYUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.2
105-5UCFSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.2
116-5STONYSTONYAttack errKiki Horne+0.3
126-6STONYUCFServe errStony Brook+0.2
136-7UCFUCFKillAbby Schomersset Zayda Fuertez+0.2
147-7UCFSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.2
158-7STONYSTONY×4BlockedNatasha Caseyblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+0.3
169-7STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brook+0.4
1710-7STONYSTONY×4Attack errKiki Horne+0.4
1810-8STONYUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
1910-9UCFUCF×3KillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.3
2010-10UCFUCF×3AceUCF+0.3
2111-10UCFSTONYServe errUCF+0.3
2211-11STONYUCFKillAbby Schomers+0.3
2311-12UCFUCFBlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Avah Armour+0.3
2412-12UCFSTONYServe errUCF+0.3
2513-12STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.4
2613-13STONYUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.3
2713-14UCFUCFBlockedQuinn Andersonblk Abby Schomers+0.3
2814-14UCFSTONYAttack errAvah Armour+0.3
2914-15STONYUCF×4Attack errElla Sanders+0.3
3014-16UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+0.3
3114-17UCFUCF×4KillSasha Cohenset Zayda Fuertez+0.3
3214-18UCFUCF×4Attack errAvari Amstutz+0.2
3315-18UCFSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.1
3415-19STONYUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.2
3516-19UCFSTONYAttack errFallon Stewart+0.1
3616-20STONYUCFKillFallon Stewartset Sasha Cohen+0.2
3716-21UCFUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.1
3817-21UCFSTONY×4KillAvari Amstutzset Rayanne Wheat+0.1
3918-21STONYSTONY×4KillDamisi Osibodu+0.2
4019-21STONYSTONY×4KillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+0.3
4120-21STONY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
4220-22STONYUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.4
43–4420-24UCF 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
4521-24UCFSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Zayda Fuertez+0.1
4622-24STONYSTONYAttack errAyanna Pierre Louis+0.2
4722-25STONYUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).