Wake Forest def. UCF 3–2
Wake Forest beat visiting UCF 3-2 (15-25, 25-16, 25-18, 14-25, 15-11) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Patrycja Lagida led Wake Forest with 15 kills; UCF's Avah Armour had a match-high 16.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 25 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 11 | 2 |
| WAKE | 15 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.0% to Wake Forest — set 5, UCF 11-14 WAKE. Kill by Amina Ndiaye (set by Emma Keeping). WAKE win probability 84% → 95%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UCF wins
Wake Forest wins
- UCF break %
- 43.5% vs this opp
- WAKE break %
- 40.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Amina NdiayeKill+10.0%
Kill by Amina Ndiaye (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · UCF 11-14 WAKE · WAKE 84% → 95%
- 02Patrycja LagidaBlock+9.0%
Ella Chapman stuffed by Patrycja Lagida
Set 5 · UCF 0-2 WAKE · WAKE 52% → 61%
- 03Patrycja LagidaKill+8.8%
Kill by Patrycja Lagida (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · UCF 0-3 WAKE · WAKE 61% → 70%
- 04
- 05Ryleigh WhitekettleAttack error+7.4%
Attack error by Ryleigh Whitekettle
Set 5 · UCF 11-13 WAKE · UCF 8% → 16%
- 06Wake ForestAce+6.9%
Wake Forest ace on Reese Moore
Set 5 · UCF 0-5 WAKE · WAKE 78% → 85%
- 07UCFService error+6.7%
UCF service error
Set 5 · UCF 6-10 WAKE · WAKE 81% → 87%
- 08Natasha CaseyKill+6.6%
Kill by Natasha Casey (set by Alexa Haley)
Set 5 · UCF 5-8 WAKE · UCF 15% → 21%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 50 | .220 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | .313 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 21 | .190 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .267 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 19 | 135 | .230 | 45 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 35 | .257 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 19.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 36 | .056 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -.333 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 31 | .129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 30 | 143 | .154 | 49 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 94 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-15
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
18-25
Set 4
25-14
Set 5
11-15
Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UCF
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27%6/22 | 0%0/6 |
| 2 | 63%5/8 | 25%2/8 |
| 3 | 83%5/6 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 56%5/9 | 29%2/7 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 50%5/10 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 44%4/9 |
| All | 48%30/63 | 32%15/47 |
Wake Forest
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%6/6 | 73%11/15 |
| 2 | 75%6/8 | 63%10/16 |
| 3 | 63%5/8 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 56%5/9 | 0%0/5 |
| 5 | 71%5/7 | 55%6/11 |
| 6 | 56%5/9 | 44%4/9 |
| All | 68%32/47 | 52%33/63 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
189 rallies
| # | UCF-WAKE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UCF | UCF | Blocked | Catherine Burke | blk Ella Chapman | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UCF | UCF×4 | Ace | UCF | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Ella Chapman | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.3 |
| 8 | 6-2 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.4 |
| 9 | 6-3 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Abby Schomers | set Alexa Haley | +1.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | +1.3 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | WAKE | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.1 | |||
| 13 | 8-5 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Alexa Haley | +1.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | UCF | UCF×4 | Blocked | Catherine Burke | blk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen | +2.1 |
| 15 | 10-5 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.8 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Abby Schomers | +1.4 |
| 17 | 11-6 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 18 | 12-6 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Blocked | Amina Ndiaye | blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey | +1.0 |
| 19 | 13-6 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 14-6 | UCF | UCF×3 | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Kiki Horne | +0.8 |
| 21 | 14-7 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +0.4 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +0.8 |
| 24 | 16-8 | UCF | UCF | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Abby Schomers | +0.7 |
| 25 | 16-9 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.3 |
| 26 | 17-9 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Serve err | Wake Forest | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 18-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.4 | |
| 28 | 19-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Ace | UCF | aced Mattea Saunders | +0.2 |
| 29 | 19-10 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | +0.2 | |
| 31 | 20-11 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | Wake Forest | +0.2 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +0.2 |
| 34 | 21-13 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 35 | 22-13 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Kill | Avah Armour | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Blocked | Amina Ndiaye | blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen | +0.1 |
| 37 | 24-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Ace | UCF | aced Dhru Lalaji | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Andrea Roman | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | · |
| 40 | 25-15 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | Wake Forest | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Alexa Haley | +2.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +1.7 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | UCF | Blocked | Sanaa Williams | blk Abby Schomers | +1.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +2.2 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | WAKE | UCF | Ball handling | Sanaa Williams | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 12 | 5-7 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Sasha Cohen | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 14 | 6-8 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +1.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Abby Schomers | +1.6 |
| 17 | 7-10 | UCF | WAKE×4 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.9 |
| 18 | 7-11 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 19 | 7-12 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Blocked | Ella Chapman | blk Patrycja Lagida, Catherine Burke | +2.2 |
| 20 | 7-13 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Avah Armour | +1.8 |
| 21 | 8-13 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.0 |
| 22 | 8-14 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.3 |
| 23 | 8-15 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Blocked | Avah Armour | blk Patrycja Lagida | +1.4 |
| 24 | 8-16 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Blocked | Avah Armour | blk Patrycja Lagida | +1.0 |
| 25 | 9-16 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Abby Schomers | set Avah Armour | +0.5 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +0.7 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | Wake Forest | +0.6 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | Wake Forest | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +0.4 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +0.2 |
| 31 | 12-19 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Emma Keeping | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Emma Keeping | +1.0 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.1 |
| 35 | 15-20 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +0.6 |
| 36 | 15-21 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | Wake Forest | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | UCF | WAKE×4 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 39 | 16-23 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Kiki Horne | +0.6 |
| 40 | 16-24 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Blocked | Kiki Horne | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Catherine Burke | +0.2 |
| 41 | 16-25 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | Wake Forest | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UCF | WAKE | Attack err | Kiki Horne | set Natasha Casey | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +2.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Fallon Stewart | +3.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +3.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | +3.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UCF | UCF | Ace | UCF | aced Patrycja Lagida | +3.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UCF | WAKE×5 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +2.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Alexa Haley | +3.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | +3.9 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | +3.6 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Mattea Saunders | +3.3 |
| 18 | 7-11 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Natasha Casey | +1.9 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UCF | UCF | Ace | UCF | aced Mattea Saunders | +3.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | +2.8 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | +3.4 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Ella Chapman | set Abby Schomers | +1.9 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 24 | 10-14 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Mikayla Porter | +1.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +2.5 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Mikayla Porter | +1.9 |
| 27 | 11-16 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 28 | 12-16 | WAKE | UCF | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Dhru Lalaji | +1.8 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 30 | 12-18 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Fallon Stewart | +2.6 |
| 31 | 13-18 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +1.2 |
| 32 | 13-19 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +1.8 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.1 |
| 34 | 15-19 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +2.2 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +2.4 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | WAKE | WAKE | Blocked | Mattea Saunders | blk Amina Ndiaye | +2.1 |
| 37 | 16-21 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +0.8 |
| 38 | 16-22 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Serve err | UCF | +1.4 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 40 | 16-24 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.3 |
| 41 | 17-24 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Mikayla Porter | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +0.1 | |
| 43 | 18-25 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | UCF | Attack err | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Avah Armour | set Nygeria Hart | +2.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Abby Schomers | +3.8 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +3.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +2.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCF | WAKE | Attack err | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +3.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | UCF×6 | Serve err | Wake Forest | +2.8 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +3.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Blocked | Emma Keeping | blk Sasha Cohen, Kiki Horne | +3.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +3.8 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Kill | Ella Chapman | +3.5 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +3.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UCF | WAKE×4 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 15 | 8-7 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | +3.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +4.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | Wake Forest | +3.2 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +4.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +3.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +3.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Ace | UCF | aced Patrycja Lagida | +4.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Kill | Nygeria Hart | +3.5 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.6 |
| 25 | 15-10 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Ella Chapman | set Abby Schomers | +2.9 |
| 26 | 16-10 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.2 |
| 27 | 17-10 | UCF | UCF×4 | Blocked | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Ella Chapman, Avah Armour | +1.5 |
| 28 | 17-11 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.7 |
| 29 | 18-11 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Ella Chapman | set Abby Schomers | +1.0 |
| 30 | 19-11 | UCF | UCF×4 | Ace | UCF | aced Andrea Roman | +0.8 |
| 31 | 20-11 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Sasha Cohen | +0.4 |
| 32 | 21-11 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Alexa Haley | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 34 | 21-13 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Blocked | Nygeria Hart | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams | +0.1 |
| 35 | 21-14 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Blocked | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Sanaa Williams, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.3 |
| 36 | 22-14 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +0.3 |
| 37 | 23-14 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 24-14 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Sasha Cohen | · | |
| 39 | 25-14 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Sadie Poeck | +1.2 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UCF | WAKE×7 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +6.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Blocked | Ella Chapman | blk Patrycja Lagida | +9.0 |
| 3 | 0-3 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +8.8 |
| 4 | 0-4 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Ella Chapman | +8.1 | |
| 5 | 0-5 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Ace | Wake Forest | aced Reese Moore | +6.9 |
| 6 | 0-6 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Nygeria Hart | +5.5 | |
| 7 | 0-7 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +4.1 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | Wake Forest | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | UCF | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +3.7 |
| 10 | 2-8 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +3.9 |
| 11 | 3-8 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Kill | Avah Armour | +2.5 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | UCF | UCF×3 | Blocked | Patrycja Lagida | blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey | +4.8 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UCF | UCF×3 | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Alexa Haley | +6.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Emma Keeping | set Patrycja Lagida | +6.6 |
| 15 | 6-9 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +4.7 |
| 16 | 6-10 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Serve err | UCF | +6.7 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +6.5 |
| 18 | 6-12 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +3.8 |
| 19 | 7-12 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Abby Schomers | +1.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | UCF | UCF | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Abby Schomers | +3.0 |
| 21 | 8-13 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +3.9 |
| 22 | 9-13 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Blocked | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers | +4.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +7.4 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +10.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | WAKE | WAKE | Blocked | Nygeria Hart | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +5.5 |
Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).