Wake Forest def. UCF 3–2
(15-25, 25-16, 25-18, 14-25, 15-11)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3 | 4* | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 25 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 11 | 2 |
| WAKE | 15 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 15 | 3 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.0% to Wake Forest — set 5, UCF 11-14 WAKE. Kill by Amina Ndiaye (set by Emma Keeping). WAKE win probability 81% → 93%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
UCF wins
Wake Forest wins
- UCF break %
- 46.3% vs this opp
- WAKE break %
- 40.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Amina NdiayeKill+12.0%
Kill by Amina Ndiaye (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · UCF 11-14 WAKE · WAKE 81% → 93%
- 02Patrycja LagidaKill+9.3%
Kill by Patrycja Lagida (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · UCF 0-3 WAKE · WAKE 53% → 62%
- 03Ella ChapmanAttack error+9.1%
Ella Chapman stuffed by Patrycja Lagida
Set 5 · UCF 0-2 WAKE · WAKE 44% → 53%
- 04
- 05Ryleigh WhitekettleAttack error+8.4%
Attack error by Ryleigh Whitekettle
Set 5 · UCF 11-13 WAKE · UCF 10% → 19%
- 06WAKE serverAce+8.2%
Wake Forest ace on Reese Moore
Set 5 · UCF 0-5 WAKE · WAKE 71% → 79%
- 07UCF serverService error+8.1%
UCF service error
Set 5 · UCF 6-10 WAKE · WAKE 76% → 84%
- 08Amina NdiayeKill+7.9%
Kill by Amina Ndiaye (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · UCF 6-11 WAKE · WAKE 84% → 92%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 50 | .220 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | .313 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 21 | .190 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .267 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 19 | 135 | .230 | 45 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 35 | .257 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 19.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 36 | .056 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -.333 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 31 | .129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 30 | 143 | .154 | 49 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 94 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
25-15
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
18-25
Set 4*
25-14
Set 5
11-15
Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
UCF
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27%6/22 | 0%0/6 |
| 2 | 63%5/8 | 25%2/8 |
| 3 | 83%5/6 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 56%5/9 | 29%2/7 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 50%5/10 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 44%4/9 |
| All | 48%30/63 | 32%15/47 |
Wake Forest
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%6/6 | 73%11/15 |
| 2 | 75%6/8 | 63%10/16 |
| 3 | 63%5/8 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 56%5/9 | 0%0/5 |
| 5 | 71%5/7 | 55%6/11 |
| 6 | 56%5/9 | 44%4/9 |
| All | 68%32/47 | 52%33/63 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
189 rallies
Rally log
| # | UCF-WAKE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Catherine Burke | blk Ella Chapman | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UCF | UCF×4 | Ace | UCF server | aced TEAM | +1.6 |
| 5 | 4-1 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Ella Chapman | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 8 | 6-2 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +0.9 |
| 9 | 6-3 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 10 | 7-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Abby Schomers | set Alexa Haley | +1.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | WAKE | WAKE | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Alexa Haley | +1.2 |
| 14 | 9-5 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Catherine Burke | blk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen | +1.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Abby Schomers | +0.9 |
| 17 | 11-6 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +0.6 |
| 18 | 12-6 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey | +0.7 |
| 19 | 13-6 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +0.6 | |
| 20 | 14-6 | UCF | UCF×3 | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Kiki Horne | +0.4 |
| 21 | 14-7 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | +0.5 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +0.5 |
| 24 | 16-8 | UCF | UCF | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Abby Schomers | +0.4 |
| 25 | 16-9 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.2 |
| 26 | 17-9 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.3 | |
| 27 | 18-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.2 | |
| 28 | 19-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Ace | UCF server | aced Mattea Saunders | +0.1 |
| 29 | 19-10 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 20-11 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +0.1 |
| 34 | 21-13 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 35 | 22-13 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Kill | Avah Armour | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen | +0.0 |
| 37 | 24-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Ace | UCF server | aced Dhru Lalaji | +0.0 |
| 38 | 24-14 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Andrea Roman | +0.0 |
| 39 | 24-15 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 40 | 25-15 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Alexa Haley | +1.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | UCF | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | blk Abby Schomers | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | WAKE | UCF | Ball handling | Sanaa Williams | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Sasha Cohen | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | +1.2 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Abby Schomers | +1.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | UCF | WAKE×4 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 18 | 7-11 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +1.9 |
| 19 | 7-12 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Ella Chapman | blk Patrycja Lagida, Catherine Burke | +1.8 |
| 20 | 7-13 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Avah Armour | +1.6 |
| 21 | 8-13 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +0.9 |
| 22 | 8-14 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 23 | 8-15 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Avah Armour | blk Patrycja Lagida | +1.3 |
| 24 | 8-16 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Avah Armour | blk Patrycja Lagida | +1.0 |
| 25 | 9-16 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Abby Schomers | set Avah Armour | +0.5 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +0.7 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced TEAM | +0.6 |
| 28 | 10-18 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +0.4 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +0.2 |
| 31 | 12-19 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Emma Keeping | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Emma Keeping | +0.9 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.1 |
| 35 | 15-20 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +0.6 |
| 36 | 15-21 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | UCF | WAKE×4 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 39 | 16-23 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Kiki Horne | +0.6 |
| 40 | 16-24 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Catherine Burke | +0.2 |
| 41 | 16-25 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced TEAM | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UCF | WAKE | Attack err | Kiki Horne | set Natasha Casey | +2.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +2.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +2.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Fallon Stewart | +3.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +2.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UCF | UCF | Ace | UCF server | aced Patrycja Lagida | +3.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UCF | WAKE×5 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +2.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Alexa Haley | +3.6 |
| 15 | 6-9 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | +3.7 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | +3.7 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Mattea Saunders | +3.5 |
| 18 | 7-11 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Natasha Casey | +2.1 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UCF | UCF | Ace | UCF server | aced Mattea Saunders | +3.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | +3.0 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | +3.6 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Ella Chapman | set Abby Schomers | +2.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.8 |
| 24 | 10-14 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Mikayla Porter | +2.1 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +2.8 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Mikayla Porter | +2.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.9 |
| 28 | 12-16 | WAKE | UCF | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Dhru Lalaji | +2.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.9 |
| 30 | 12-18 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Fallon Stewart | +3.0 |
| 31 | 13-18 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +1.4 |
| 32 | 13-19 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +2.2 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.3 |
| 34 | 15-19 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +2.5 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +2.8 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Mattea Saunders | blk Amina Ndiaye | +2.5 |
| 37 | 16-21 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +1.0 |
| 38 | 16-22 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Serve err | UCF server | +1.7 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.4 |
| 41 | 17-24 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Mikayla Porter | +0.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +0.1 | |
| 43 | 18-25 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | UCF | Attack err | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +2.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Avah Armour | set Nygeria Hart | +2.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Abby Schomers | +4.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +4.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +3.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCF | WAKE | Attack err | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +3.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | UCF×6 | Serve err | WAKE server | +3.2 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +4.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Attack err | Emma Keeping | blk Sasha Cohen, Kiki Horne | +4.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +3.7 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Kill | Ella Chapman | +3.3 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | UCF | UCF×6 | Kill | Kiki Horne | set Abby Schomers | +2.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UCF | WAKE×4 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +3.3 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Kiki Horne | +3.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +4.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | WAKE server | +3.4 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | UCF | UCF | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +4.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +3.2 |
| 20 | 11-9 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +3.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Ace | UCF server | aced Patrycja Lagida | +3.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | UCF | UCF×3 | Kill | Nygeria Hart | +3.2 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | UCF | WAKE | Serve err | UCF server | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +2.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Ella Chapman | set Abby Schomers | +2.6 |
| 26 | 16-10 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +1.9 |
| 27 | 17-10 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Ella Chapman, Avah Armour | +1.2 |
| 28 | 17-11 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.6 |
| 29 | 18-11 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Ella Chapman | set Abby Schomers | +0.9 |
| 30 | 19-11 | UCF | UCF×4 | Ace | UCF server | aced Andrea Roman | +0.7 |
| 31 | 20-11 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Sasha Cohen | +0.3 |
| 32 | 21-11 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Alexa Haley | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 34 | 21-13 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Nygeria Hart | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams | +0.1 |
| 35 | 21-14 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Sanaa Williams, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.2 |
| 36 | 22-14 | WAKE | UCF×4 | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +0.3 |
| 37 | 23-14 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 24-14 | UCF | UCF×4 | Kill | Sasha Cohen | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 25-14 | UCF | UCF×4 | Attack err | Sadie Poeck | +1.0 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UCF | WAKE×7 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +6.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Ella Chapman | blk Patrycja Lagida | +9.1 |
| 3 | 0-3 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +9.3 |
| 4 | 0-4 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Ella Chapman | +9.0 | |
| 5 | 0-5 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Reese Moore | +8.2 |
| 6 | 0-6 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Nygeria Hart | +6.9 | |
| 7 | 0-7 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +5.4 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | WAKE | UCF | Serve err | WAKE server | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | UCF | UCF | Kill | Avah Armour | set Abby Schomers | +4.6 |
| 10 | 2-8 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +5.1 |
| 11 | 3-8 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Kill | Avah Armour | +3.2 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey | +5.8 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UCF | UCF×3 | Kill | Natasha Casey | set Alexa Haley | +7.4 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Emma Keeping | set Patrycja Lagida | +7.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Sasha Cohen | set Abby Schomers | +5.5 |
| 16 | 6-10 | UCF | WAKE×3 | Serve err | UCF server | +8.1 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +7.9 |
| 18 | 6-12 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +5.0 |
| 19 | 7-12 | WAKE | UCF | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Abby Schomers | +1.7 |
| 20 | 8-12 | UCF | UCF | Kill | Nygeria Hart | set Abby Schomers | +3.7 |
| 21 | 8-13 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +5.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | WAKE | UCF×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +2.0 |
| 23 | 10-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers | +4.8 |
| 24 | 11-13 | UCF | UCF×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +8.4 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | UCF | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +12.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Nygeria Hart | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +6.9 |
Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.