FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026 · Neutral site

UCF def. Davidson 3–0

UCF beat Davidson 3-0 (25-19, 25-17, 25-15) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026 at a neutral site. UCF's Ella Chapman led with 12 kills, and Alexa Haley added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set123Sets
UCF2525253
DAVID1917150

Win probability

Davidson above 50 · UCF below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% DAVIDrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Davidson — set 1, UCF 19-18 DAVID. Davidson ace on Kiki Horne. DAVID win probability 11% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCF 85.7%14.3% DAVID

UCF wins

3-0
38.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.3%

Davidson wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
7.6%
UCF break %
46.9% vs this opp
DAVID break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    DavidsonAce+2.2%

    Davidson ace on Kiki Horne

    Set 1 · UCF 19-18 DAVID · DAVID 11% → 14%

  2. 02
    Ella ChapmanKill+2.0%

    Kill by Ella Chapman (set by Abby Schomers)

    Set 1 · UCF 21-18 DAVID · UCF 88% → 90%

  3. 03
    Ella ChapmanKill+1.9%

    Kill by Ella Chapman (set by Abby Schomers)

    Set 1 · UCF 20-18 DAVID · UCF 86% → 88%

  4. 04
    DavidsonAce+1.5%

    Davidson ace on Kiki Horne

    Set 1 · UCF 19-17 DAVID · DAVID 10% → 11%

  5. 05

    Kill by Meile Songaila

    Set 1 · UCF 16-14 DAVID · DAVID 10% → 12%

  6. 06
    UCFAce+1.3%

    UCF ace on Meile Songaila

    Set 1 · UCF 22-18 DAVID · UCF 90% → 92%

  7. 07
    Ariyana JohnsonAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Ariyana Johnson

    Set 1 · UCF 18-14 DAVID · UCF 89% → 91%

  8. 08
    DavidsonAce+1.2%

    Davidson ace on Avah Armour

    Set 1 · UCF 3-2 DAVID · DAVID 12% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCFaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312014.85710010111.513.5
310731.09710221010.510.5
3608.750000102239
3405.800390180010.54.5
3203.667100300002
3000–100200000
39112.66704130010.513.5
35213.231022400007
3000–3012100000
3000–001200000
1012-.500000020000
Team totals481188.420466847336675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39113.6150011002110
37327.148012510008
36128.179001520006
3000–130030010.50.5
2014-.25000200010.50.5
2012-.500000000000
33314.000000000003
3000–023520002
3002.0001201100000
3000–100400000
3000–000100000
11011.00000000010.51.5
11011.000000000001
1012-.50000000010.50.5
Team totals271194.1702631025606351

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UCF · DAVID 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 UCFDAVID 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 UCFDAVID 2

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 UCFDAVID 3

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
54%7/13
2
75%6/8
45%5/11
3
67%6/9
54%7/13
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
100%6/6
45%5/11
6
60%6/10
54%7/13
All
72%38/53
51%37/73

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
30%3/10
2
60%6/10
36%4/11
3
38%6/16
25%2/8
4
55%6/11
33%3/9
5
50%6/12
0%0/6
6
38%5/13
33%3/9
All
49%36/73
28%15/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#UCF-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAVIDUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.0
22-0UCFUCF×3KillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+1.2
33-0UCFUCF×3BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Sasha Cohen, Abby Schomers+1.0
43-1UCFDAVIDAttack errAvah Armour+0.8
53-2DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Avah Armour+1.2
64-2DAVIDUCFServe errDavidson+0.9
75-2UCFUCFBlockedMeile Songailablk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen+1.1
85-3UCFDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.8
96-3DAVIDUCFServe errDavidson+0.8
106-4UCFDAVIDServe errUCF+0.8
117-4DAVIDUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.8
127-5UCFDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
138-5DAVIDUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.9
149-5UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Brooke Briscoe+1.0
1510-5UCFUCF×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.8
1610-6UCFDAVIDServe errUCF+0.5
1711-6DAVIDUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.6
1812-6UCFUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.6
1913-6UCFUCF×3KillAbby Schomersset Ella Chapman+0.4
2013-7UCFDAVID×3Attack errAvah Armour+0.3
2113-8DAVIDDAVID×3KillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.5
2213-9DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedAvah Armourblk Ngodoo Harris, Ellie Ocampo+0.7
2314-9DAVIDUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.6
2414-10UCFDAVIDAttack errAvah Armour+0.5
2514-11DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+1.0
2615-11DAVIDUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.9
2715-12UCFDAVIDServe errUCF+0.8
2816-12DAVIDUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.9
2916-13UCFDAVIDAttack errKiki Horne+0.8
3016-14DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songaila+1.4
3117-14DAVIDUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+1.2
3218-14UCFUCFAttack errAriyana Johnson+1.3
3318-15UCFDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
3419-15DAVIDUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.9
3519-16UCFDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
3619-17DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Kiki Horne+1.5
3719-18DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Kiki Horne+2.2
3820-18DAVIDUCF×4KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.9
3921-18UCFUCF×4KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+2.0
4022-18UCFUCF×4AceUCFaced Meile Songaila+1.3
4123-18UCFUCF×4BlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Ella Chapman+0.7
4223-19UCFDAVIDServe errUCF+0.2
4324-19DAVIDUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.4
4425-19UCFUCFKillAvah Armour+0.1
Set 2
10-1UCFDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.8
20-2DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+1.2
31-2DAVIDUCFServe errDavidson+0.8
42-2UCFUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.0
52-3UCFDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.9
63-3DAVIDUCF×4Serve errDavidson+0.8
74-3UCFUCF×4KillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+1.0
85-3UCFUCF×4KillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+0.9
96-3UCFUCF×4AceUCF+0.8
106-4UCFDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.6
116-5DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Adlee Grissett+0.9
127-5DAVIDUCFServe errDavidson+0.7
138-5UCFUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.8
148-6UCFDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.6
159-6DAVIDUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.6
169-7UCFDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.6
1710-7DAVIDUCF×3Serve errDavidson+0.7
1811-7UCFUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+0.7
1912-7UCFUCF×3KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.6
2012-8UCFDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.4
2112-9DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.7
2213-9DAVIDUCFAttack errEllie Ocampo+0.6
2313-10UCFDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.5
2414-10DAVIDUCFKillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+0.6
2515-10UCFUCFAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.6
2615-11UCFDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.4
2716-11DAVIDUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.5
2817-11UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+0.4
2918-11UCFUCF×3KillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+0.3
3018-12UCFDAVIDBad setAbby Schomers+0.1
3119-12DAVIDUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.2
3219-13UCFDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+0.1
3320-13DAVIDUCFKillAbby Schomersset Fallon Stewart+0.2
3421-13UCFUCFBlockedCayla Weisnerblk Sasha Cohen+0.1
3521-14UCFDAVIDServe errUCF·
3622-14DAVIDUCFKillAbby Schomersset Avah Armour+0.1
3722-15UCFDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou·
3823-15DAVIDUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers·
3924-15UCFUCFAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios·
4024-16UCFDAVIDServe errUCF·
4124-17DAVIDDAVIDAttack errNatasha Casey·
4225-17DAVIDUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers·
Set 3
11-0DAVIDUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
21-1UCFDAVIDServe errUCF+0.4
32-1DAVIDUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
42-2UCFDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.4
53-2DAVIDUCF×3Serve errDavidson+0.4
64-2UCFUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.4
75-2UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Meile Songaila+0.4
85-3UCFDAVIDServe errUCF+0.3
96-3DAVIDUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.3
107-3UCFUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.3
117-4UCFDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.2
128-4DAVIDUCFServe errDavidson+0.3
138-5UCFDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.2
148-6DAVIDDAVIDAttack errAvah Armour+0.4
159-6DAVIDUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.3
169-7UCFDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+0.3
1710-7DAVIDUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
1810-8UCFDAVIDBlockedNygeria Hartblk Ellie Ocampo, Mia Compas+0.3
1911-8DAVIDUCFKillAbby Schomersset Alexa Haley+0.3
2012-8UCFUCFAceUCFaced Brooke Briscoe+0.4
2112-9UCFDAVID×3KillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.3
2212-10DAVIDDAVID×3KillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.5
2312-11DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errNygeria Hart+0.6
2413-11DAVIDUCF×4Serve errDavidson+0.4
2514-11UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+0.5
2615-11UCFUCF×4KillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers+0.4
2716-11UCFUCF×4BlockedMelanie Tillesblk Ella Chapman, Avah Armour+0.3
2816-12UCFDAVIDAttack errAvah Armour+0.2
2916-13DAVIDDAVIDBlockedAvah Armourblk Melanie Tilles, Kinsey Smith+0.4
3017-13DAVIDUCF×3Serve errDavidson+0.3
3118-13UCFUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.3
3219-13UCFUCF×3BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Sasha Cohen+0.2
3319-14UCFDAVIDAttack errAriyana Johnson+0.1
3420-14DAVIDUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.1
3521-14UCFUCF×4KillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.1
3622-14UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers·
3723-14UCFUCF×4KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers·
3823-15UCFDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Ylame Dsamou·
3924-15DAVIDUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers·
4025-15UCFUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers·

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).