FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026

UCF def. Stetson 3–0

UCF beat visiting Stetson 3-0 (25-17, 25-15, 25-13) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. UCF's Natasha Casey led with 14 kills, and Fallon Stewart added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set123Sets
STETSN1715130
UCF2525253

Win probability

UCF above 50 · Stetson below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 120 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: UCF stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STETSN 0.6%99.4% UCF

Stetson wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.4%

UCF wins

3-0
77.9%
3-1
18.7%
3-2
2.8%
STETSN break %
35.2% vs this opp
UCF break %
54.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35228.10711131010.56.5
3329.11100000111.54.5
33313.000000500214
3026-.33310000132.52.5
3125-.20070040111.52.5
32515-.200000510002
3000–0201200002
3103.333200100001
3000–310200001
3000–000000000
2000–000000000
1118.000000001012
1000–001000000
Team totals161787-.011144232448845
UCFhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37214.3572111000008
3015-.2001300800000
27217.29401020031.59.5
2518.500000103249
2307.42900000111.54.5
2001.000291160010.51.5
314421.4760043002115
3000–312910001
3000–000300000
28218.333000210008
2305.60000000031.54.5
2316.333000111014
2116.000000000001
1000–000200000
Team totals5114108.34347484745121175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STETSN · UCF 11

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 STETSNUCF 7

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 STETSNUCF 11

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 STETSNUCF 5

Bars above the line = UCF leads, below = Stetson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stetson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
25%2/8
2
46%6/13
14%1/7
3
19%5/26
40%4/10
4
67%4/6
38%3/8
5
40%4/10
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
50%4/8
All
40%29/73
34%16/47

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
17%1/6
2
75%6/8
54%7/13
3
75%6/8
75%18/24
4
50%4/8
71%10/14
5
57%4/7
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
60%6/10
All
66%31/47
60%44/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#STETSN-UCFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0STETSNSTETSNBlockedAvah Armourblk Kayla Balfour, Lelia Fitz
21-1STETSNUCF×4BlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers
31-2UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers
41-3UCFUCF×4BlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen
51-4UCFUCF×4AceUCF
62-4UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
72-5STETSNUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers
83-5UCFSTETSN×3BlockedNatasha Caseyblk Andrea Diaz Dominguez, Kayla Balfour
94-5STETSNSTETSN×3AceStetson
105-5STETSNSTETSN×3KillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko
115-6STETSNUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers
125-7UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Karsu Bayraktar
135-8UCFUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
146-8UCFSTETSN×4Bad setAbby Schomers
157-8STETSNSTETSN×4BlockedSasha Cohenblk Vanessa Shevchenko
168-8STETSNSTETSN×4Attack errNatasha Casey
179-8STETSNSTETSN×4AceStetsonaced Kiki Horne
189-9STETSNUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
1910-9UCFSTETSNKillKeely Starnesset Maia Keely Pou
2011-9STETSNSTETSNBlockedAvah Armourblk Keely Starnes
2111-10STETSNUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
2211-11UCFUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers
2312-11UCFSTETSN×3Serve errUCF
2413-11STETSNSTETSN×3KillVanessa Shevchenkoset Maia Keely Pou
2514-11STETSNSTETSN×3Bad setAbby Schomers
2614-12STETSNUCFServe errStetson
2715-12UCFSTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Kayla Balfour
2815-13STETSNUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers
2915-14UCFUCF×3BlockedKayla Balfourblk Sasha Cohen
3015-15UCFUCF×3Attack errLelia Fitz
3116-15UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
3216-16STETSNUCF×7KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers
3316-17UCFUCF×7BlockedLelia Fitzblk Sasha Cohen
3416-18UCFUCF×7KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
3516-19UCFUCF×7KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers
3616-20UCFUCF×7KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley
3716-21UCFUCF×7KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers
3816-22UCFUCF×7KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
3917-22UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
4017-23STETSNUCF×3KillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers
4117-24UCFUCF×3KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers
4217-25UCFUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
Set 2
11-0UCFSTETSNBlockedFallon Stewartblk Kayla Balfour
22-0STETSNSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko
32-1STETSNUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers
43-1UCFSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Avah Armour
53-2STETSNUCF×11KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers
63-3UCFUCF×11Attack errKarsu Bayraktar
73-4UCFUCF×11Attack errKeely Starnes
83-5UCFUCF×11KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
93-6UCFUCF×11KillNatasha Caseyset Alexa Haley
103-7UCFUCF×11BlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Sasha Cohen
113-8UCFUCF×11KillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers
123-9UCFUCF×11KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers
133-10UCFUCF×11BlockedLelia Fitzblk Sasha Cohen, Avah Armour
143-11UCFUCF×11KillSasha Cohen
153-12UCFUCF×11KillSasha Cohen
164-12UCFSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Larissa Hiemer
174-13STETSNUCFBlockedKeely Starnesblk Deana Petrov, Avah Armour
185-13UCFSTETSNAttack errKiki Horne
196-13STETSNSTETSNAceStetsonaced Alexa Haley
206-14STETSNUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
216-15UCFUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers
227-15UCFSTETSN×3KillKarsu Bayraktarset Maia Keely Pou
238-15STETSNSTETSN×3AceStetsonaced Nygeria Hart
249-15STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errEmma Cook
259-16STETSNUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
269-17UCFUCFBlockedVanessa Shevchenkoblk Kiki Horne
2710-17UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
2810-18STETSNUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers
2911-18UCFSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko
3011-19STETSNUCFKillEmma Cookset Abby Schomers
3111-20UCFUCFKillNygeria Hartset Alexa Haley
3212-20UCFSTETSN×3KillLelia Fitzset Vanessa Shevchenko
3313-20STETSNSTETSN×3KillKeely Starnesset Abby Schomers
3414-20STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errNygeria Hart
3514-21STETSNUCF×3KillNygeria Hartset Abby Schomers
3614-22UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Andrea Diaz Dominguez
3714-23UCFUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers
3815-23UCFSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Vanessa Shevchenko
3915-24STETSNUCFKillDeana Petrovset Abby Schomers
4015-25UCFUCFAttack errKarsu Bayraktar
Set 3
10-1STETSNUCFServe errStetson
21-1UCFSTETSNKillSoraya Testonset Vanessa Shevchenko
31-2STETSNUCFKillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter
42-2UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
52-3STETSNUCF×5KillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter
62-4UCFUCF×5KillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter
72-5UCFUCF×5AceUCF
82-6UCFUCF×5KillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter
92-7UCFUCF×5KillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter
103-7UCFSTETSNBlockedMikayla Porterblk Soraya Teston
113-8STETSNUCFBlockedKayla Balfourblk Ella Chapman
124-8UCFSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko
134-9STETSNUCF×5KillDeana Petrovset Andrea Diaz Dominguez
144-10UCFUCF×5Attack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez
154-11UCFUCF×5BlockedAndrea Diaz Dominguezblk Natasha Casey, Deana Petrov
164-12UCFUCF×5KillNygeria Hartset Fallon Stewart
174-13UCFUCF×5KillNatasha Caseyset Fallon Stewart
185-13UCFSTETSNAttack errNatasha Casey
195-14STETSNUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Soraya Teston
205-15UCFUCFBlockedVanessa Shevchenkoblk Natasha Casey, Deana Petrov
216-15UCFSTETSNKillKeely Starnesset Larissa Hiemer
226-16STETSNUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Mikayla Porter
237-16UCFSTETSNBlockedFallon Stewartblk Vanessa Shevchenko, Keely Starnes
247-17STETSNUCFKillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter
258-17UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
268-18STETSNUCFKillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter
278-19UCFUCFKillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter
289-19UCFSTETSNServe errUCF
299-20STETSNUCFKillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter
309-21UCFUCFKillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter
3110-21UCFSTETSNBlockedNygeria Hartblk Lelia Fitz, Kayla Balfour
3210-22STETSNUCFKillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter
3311-22UCFSTETSNAttack errNatasha Casey
3411-23STETSNUCFKillDeana Petrovset Mikayla Porter
3512-23UCFSTETSNKillLarissa Hiemerset Andrea Diaz Dominguez
3613-23STETSNSTETSNBad setNygeria Hart
3713-24STETSNUCFAttack errSoraya Teston
3813-25UCFUCFBad setAndrea Diaz Dominguez

Score shown after each rally, Stetson first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).