FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayACC

0:3

HomeBIG-12

UCF def. Virginia 3–0

(25-22, 25-21, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UVA	22	21	21	0
UCF	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UCF above 50 · UVA below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to UCF — set 1, UVA 22-24 UCF. Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Reese Wuebker). UCF win probability 91% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UVA 10.3%89.7% UCF

Virginia wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.2%

3-2

5.8%

UCF wins

3-0

43.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.2%

UVA break %: 38.6% vs this opp
UCF break %: 48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sasha CohenKill+2.4%
Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Reese Wuebker)
Set 1 · UVA 22-24 UCF · UCF 91% → 93%
02
Reagan EnnistKill+2.1%
Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)
Set 1 · UVA 22-23 UCF · UVA 7% → 9%
03
Avah ArmourKill+1.6%
Kill by Avah Armour (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 1 · UVA 22-25 UCF · UCF 93% → 95%
04
UVA serverAce+1.4%
Virginia ace on Avah Armour
Set 2 · UVA 15-14 UCF · UVA 6% → 8%
05
Avah ArmourKill+1.3%
Kill by Avah Armour (set by Sasha Cohen)
Set 2 · UVA 15-16 UCF · UCF 93% → 95%
06
Reagan EnnistKill+1.2%
Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)
Set 2 · UVA 18-19 UCF · UVA 4% → 5%
07
Caroline LangAttack error+1.2%
Caroline Lang stuffed by Avah Armour & Sasha Cohen
Set 2 · UVA 16-18 UCF · UCF 95% → 96%
08
Reagan EnnistKill+1.2%
Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)
Set 2 · UVA 11-10 UCF · UVA 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Virginiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Reagan EnnistOH	3	11	7	27	.148	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	12
17Reese WuebkerOH	3	9	8	23	.043	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	10
16Emily FowlerMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	1	0	0	0	4	2	6
33Lauryn BowieOH	3	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
5Caroline LangOH	3	4	2	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
11Hannah ScottS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
30Becca WightOH	3	2	3	11	-.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Katie BarrierDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	9	1	0	0	1
14Olivia SiskinS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
7Teagan HoganL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	2	0	0	0
1Meredith ReegL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
8Ruby McDermottL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	22	85	.129	30	3	4	33	9	8	4	64

UCFhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Avah ArmourOH	3	10	3	29	.241	0	1	5	3	3	0	2	1	12
8Ella ChapmanMB	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	9
3Sasha CohenMB	3	5	2	9	.333	2	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	8
1Abby SchomersS	3	1	1	4	.000	32	0	2	4	0	1	3	2.5	3.5
5Fallon StewartOH	3	2	2	5	.000	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	3
20Mikayla PorterS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
16Natasha CaseyOPP	3	10	1	16	.563	0	7	2	3	0	0	3	1.5	18.5
14Kiki HorneOH	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
9Alexa HaleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
2Sarah MendozaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Reese MooreL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	14	91	.286	38	9	14	26	3	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 UVA · UCF 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 7 UVAUCF 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 UVAUCF 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 UVAUCF 7

Bars above the line = UCF leads, below = Virginia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Virginia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	13%1/8
2	41%7/17	53%9/17
3	64%7/11	46%6/13
4	67%6/9	42%5/12
5	38%6/16	14%1/7
6	63%5/8	33%3/9
All	53%39/73	38%25/66

UCF

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	40%4/10
2	47%8/17	20%2/10
3	50%7/14	63%12/19
4	60%6/10	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	50%6/12
6	75%6/8	54%7/13
All	62%41/66	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	UVA-UCF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UVA	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Abby Schomers	+0.8
2	1-1	UCF	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+0.8
3	1-2	UVA	UCF×4	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.8
4	1-3	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+0.9
5	1-4	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+0.8
6	1-5	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.7
7	2-5	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.5
8	3-5	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+0.8
9	3-6	UVA	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
10	3-7	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Reagan Ennist	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+0.7
11	3-8	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Reagan Ennist		+0.6
12	4-8	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.4
13	5-8	UVA	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+0.7
14	5-9	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Becca Wight		+0.6
15	6-9	UCF	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+0.6
16	6-10	UVA	UCF×6	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
17	6-11	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
18	6-12	UCF	UCF×6	Ace	UCF server	aced Meredith Reeg	+0.5
19	6-13	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
20	6-14	UCF	UCF×6	Ace	UCF server	aced Meredith Reeg	+0.2
21	6-15	UCF	UCF×6	Ace	UCF server	aced Katie Barrier	+0.1
22	7-15	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
23	7-16	UVA	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
24	8-16	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.1
25	8-17	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie		+0.1
26	9-17	UCF	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+0.1
27	9-18	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Reagan Ennist		+0.1
28	10-18	UCF	UVA	Attack err	Fallon Stewart		+0.0
29	10-19	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
30	11-19	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.0
31	11-20	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
32	12-20	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+0.0
33	12-21	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
34	13-21	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+0.0
35	13-22	UVA	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
36	14-22	UCF	UVA	Attack err	Avah Armour		+0.0
37	15-22	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Fallon Stewart		+0.0
38	15-23	UVA	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
39	16-23	UCF	UVA×7	Serve err	UCF server		+0.0
40	17-23	UVA	UVA×7	Attack err	Sasha Cohen		+0.0
41	18-23	UVA	UVA×7	Attack err	Avah Armour	blk Lauryn Bowie, Emily Fowler	+0.1
42	19-23	UVA	UVA×7	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+0.2
43	20-23	UVA	UVA×7	Attack err	Avah Armour		+0.5
44	21-23	UVA	UVA×7	Ace	UVA server	aced Avah Armour	+1.0
45	22-23	UVA	UVA×7	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+2.1
46	22-24	UVA	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Reese Wuebker	+2.4
47	22-25	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.6
Set 2
1	1-0	UCF	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+0.6
2	1-1	UVA	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
3	2-1	UCF	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+0.7
4	2-2	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
5	3-2	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.7
6	4-2	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
7	4-3	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Alexa Haley	+0.7
8	5-3	UCF	UVA	Attack err	Abby Schomers	blk Reagan Ennist, Emily Fowler	+0.8
9	6-3	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+1.1
10	6-4	UVA	UCF×4	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.7
11	6-5	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Reese Wuebker	blk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers	+1.0
12	6-6	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+0.9
13	6-7	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	UCF server	aced Teagan Hogan	+0.8
14	7-7	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.7
15	7-8	UVA	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
16	8-8	UCF	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+0.7
17	8-9	UVA	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.7
18	9-9	UCF	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+0.8
19	9-10	UVA	UCF	Serve err	UVA server		+0.7
20	10-10	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.8
21	11-10	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+1.2
22	11-11	UVA	UCF	Serve err	UVA server		+0.8
23	12-11	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+1.0
24	12-12	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Alexa Haley	+0.9
25	13-12	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+1.0
26	13-13	UVA	UCF	Serve err	UVA server		+0.9
27	13-14	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Emily Fowler		+1.1
28	14-14	UCF	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Reese Wuebker	+0.9
29	15-14	UVA	UVA	Ace	UVA server	aced Avah Armour	+1.4
30	15-15	UVA	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
31	15-16	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Sasha Cohen	+1.3
32	16-16	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+1.1
33	16-17	UVA	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
34	16-18	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Caroline Lang	blk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen	+1.2
35	16-19	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
36	17-19	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.6
37	18-19	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+1.2
38	18-20	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
39	19-20	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+1.0
40	19-21	UVA	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.1
41	19-22	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Reagan Ennist		+1.1
42	19-23	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+0.7
43	20-23	UCF	UVA	Attack err	Natasha Casey	blk Reagan Ennist, Emily Fowler	+0.3
44	21-23	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Ella Chapman		+0.7
45	21-24	UVA	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.9
46	21-25	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF server	aced Teagan Hogan	+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	UVA	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.2
2	1-1	UCF	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Teagan Hogan	+0.3
3	2-1	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+0.4
4	3-1	UVA	UVA×3	Ace	UVA server	aced Avah Armour	+0.5
5	3-2	UVA	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
6	4-2	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.4
7	5-2	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Kiki Horne	blk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie	+0.5
8	5-3	UVA	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
9	6-3	UCF	UVA×3	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+0.4
10	7-3	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Ella Chapman		+0.6
11	8-3	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+0.6
12	8-4	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Reagan Ennist	blk Abby Schomers	+0.3
13	8-5	UCF	UCF	Kill	Abby Schomers	set Sasha Cohen	+0.5
14	9-5	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.5
15	9-6	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Reese Wuebker	blk Sasha Cohen, Abby Schomers	+0.4
16	9-7	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Becca Wight	blk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen	+0.5
17	10-7	UCF	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+0.5
18	11-7	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Caroline Lang		+0.6
19	12-7	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Sasha Cohen		+0.6
20	12-8	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Reese Wuebker	blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen	+0.4
21	12-9	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF server	aced Team	+0.5
22	13-9	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.5
23	13-10	UVA	UCF×3	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
24	13-11	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+0.6
25	13-12	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Caroline Lang	blk Ella Chapman	+0.6
26	14-12	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.6
27	14-13	UVA	UCF×7	Attack err	Reagan Ennist		+0.5
28	14-14	UCF	UCF×7	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
29	14-15	UCF	UCF×7	Ace	UCF server	aced Reagan Ennist	+0.6
30	14-16	UCF	UCF×7	Attack err	Reagan Ennist	blk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers	+0.5
31	14-17	UCF	UCF×7	Ace	UCF server	aced Team	+0.4
32	14-18	UCF	UCF×7	Ace	UCF server	aced Team	+0.3
33	14-19	UCF	UCF×7	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.2
34	15-19	UCF	UVA×4	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
35	16-19	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Hannah Scott	+0.3
36	17-19	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.4
37	18-19	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.6
38	18-20	UVA	UCF	Serve err	UVA server		+0.5
39	19-20	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.5
40	19-21	UVA	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
41	19-22	UCF	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Mikayla Porter	+0.6
42	20-22	UCF	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+0.3
43	20-23	UVA	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
44	21-23	UCF	UVA	Serve err	UCF server		+0.3
45	21-24	UVA	UCF	Attack err	Becca Wight		+0.4
46	21-25	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Reese Wuebker	blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Virginia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.