FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

UCF def. Virginia 3–0

UCF beat visiting Virginia 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Avah Armour and Natasha Casey led UCF with 10 kills each; Virginia's Reagan Ennist had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
UVA2221210
UCF2525253

Win probability

UCF above 50 · Virginia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% UCFrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to UCF — set 1, UVA 22-24 UCF. Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Reese Wuebker). UCF win probability 91% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UVA 10.4%89.6% UCF

Virginia wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

UCF wins

3-0
43.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.2%
UVA break %
38.4% vs this opp
UCF break %
48.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sasha CohenKill+2.4%

    Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Reese Wuebker)

    Set 1 · UVA 22-24 UCF · UCF 91% → 93%

  2. 02
    Reagan EnnistKill+2.1%

    Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)

    Set 1 · UVA 22-23 UCF · UVA 7% → 9%

  3. 03
    Avah ArmourKill+1.6%

    Kill by Avah Armour (set by Abby Schomers)

    Set 1 · UVA 22-25 UCF · UCF 93% → 95%

  4. 04
    VirginiaAce+1.4%

    Virginia ace on Avah Armour

    Set 2 · UVA 15-14 UCF · UVA 6% → 8%

  5. 05
    Avah ArmourKill+1.3%

    Kill by Avah Armour (set by Sasha Cohen)

    Set 2 · UVA 15-16 UCF · UCF 93% → 95%

  6. 06
    Reagan EnnistKill+1.2%

    Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)

    Set 2 · UVA 18-19 UCF · UVA 4% → 5%

  7. 07

    Caroline Lang stuffed by Avah Armour & Sasha Cohen

    Set 2 · UVA 16-18 UCF · UCF 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    Reagan EnnistKill+1.2%

    Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)

    Set 2 · UVA 11-10 UCF · UVA 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311727.1480001102112
39823.0430115000010
3319.222010000426
3416.500000100215
3429.222000000004
3000–1800200000
32311-.091000000002
3000–012910001
3000–1100700000
3000–100520000
2000–000120000
2000–001200000
Team totals332285.129303433908464
UCFhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310329.2410153302112
37215.333000001229
3529.333200200638
3114.000320240132.53.5
3225.000012100003
3000–100600000
310116.56307230031.518.5
35313.154000100005
3000–302500000
3000–001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals401491.286389142632161075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UVA · UCF 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 7 UVAUCF 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 UVAUCF 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 UVAUCF 7

Bars above the line = UCF leads, below = Virginia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
13%1/8
2
41%7/17
53%9/17
3
64%7/11
46%6/13
4
67%6/9
42%5/12
5
38%6/16
14%1/7
6
63%5/8
33%3/9
All
53%39/73
38%25/66

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
40%4/10
2
47%8/17
20%2/10
3
50%7/14
63%12/19
4
60%6/10
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
50%6/12
6
75%6/8
54%7/13
All
62%41/66
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#UVA-UCFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UVAUCFKillFallon Stewartset Abby Schomers+0.8
21-1UCFUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.8
31-2UVAUCF×4KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.8
41-3UCFUCF×4Attack errReese Wuebker+0.9
51-4UCFUCF×4Attack errReese Wuebker+0.8
61-5UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.7
72-5UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.5
83-5UVAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.8
93-6UVAUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.6
103-7UCFUCF×3BlockedReagan Ennistblk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey+0.7
113-8UCFUCF×3Attack errReagan Ennist+0.6
124-8UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.4
135-8UVAUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.7
145-9UVAUCFAttack errBecca Wight+0.6
156-9UCFUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+0.6
166-10UVAUCF×6KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.6
176-11UCFUCF×6KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.6
186-12UCFUCF×6AceUCFaced Meredith Reeg+0.5
196-13UCFUCF×6KillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.3
206-14UCFUCF×6AceUCFaced Meredith Reeg+0.2
216-15UCFUCF×6AceUCFaced Katie Barrier+0.1
227-15UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.1
237-16UVAUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.1
248-16UCFUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+0.1
258-17UVAUCFAttack errLauryn Bowie+0.1
269-17UCFUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.1
279-18UVAUCFAttack errReagan Ennist+0.1
2810-18UCFUVAAttack errFallon Stewart·
2910-19UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.1
3011-19UCFUVAServe errUCF·
3111-20UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.1
3212-20UCFUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin·
3312-21UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers·
3413-21UCFUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin·
3513-22UVAUCFKillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers·
3614-22UCFUVAAttack errAvah Armour·
3715-22UVAUVAAttack errFallon Stewart·
3815-23UVAUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers·
3916-23UCFUVA×7Serve errUCF·
4017-23UVAUVA×7Attack errSasha Cohen·
4118-23UVAUVA×7BlockedAvah Armourblk Lauryn Bowie, Emily Fowler+0.1
4219-23UVAUVA×7KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.2
4320-23UVAUVA×7Attack errAvah Armour+0.5
4421-23UVAUVA×7AceVirginiaaced Avah Armour+1.0
4522-23UVAUVA×7KillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+2.1
4622-24UVAUCFKillSasha Cohenset Reese Wuebker+2.4
4722-25UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+1.6
Set 2
11-0UCFUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.6
21-1UVAUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.6
32-1UCFUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.7
42-2UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.6
53-2UCFUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+0.7
64-2UVAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Abby Schomers+1.0
74-3UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Alexa Haley+0.7
85-3UCFUVABlockedAbby Schomersblk Reagan Ennist, Emily Fowler+0.8
96-3UVAUVAAttack errKiki Horne+1.1
106-4UVAUCF×4KillKiki Horneset Abby Schomers+0.7
116-5UCFUCF×4BlockedReese Wuebkerblk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers+1.0
126-6UCFUCF×4KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+0.9
136-7UCFUCF×4AceUCFaced Teagan Hogan+0.8
147-7UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.7
157-8UVAUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.7
168-8UCFUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.7
178-9UVAUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.7
189-9UCFUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.8
199-10UVAUCFServe errVirginia+0.7
2010-10UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.8
2111-10UVAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+1.2
2211-11UVAUCFServe errVirginia+0.8
2312-11UCFUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+1.0
2412-12UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Alexa Haley+0.9
2513-12UCFUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+1.0
2613-13UVAUCFServe errVirginia+0.9
2713-14UCFUCFAttack errEmily Fowler+1.2
2814-14UCFUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Reese Wuebker+0.9
2915-14UVAUVAAceVirginiaaced Avah Armour+1.4
3015-15UVAUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+1.0
3115-16UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Sasha Cohen+1.3
3216-16UCFUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.1
3316-17UVAUCF×3KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+1.0
3416-18UCFUCF×3BlockedCaroline Langblk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen+1.2
3516-19UCFUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+1.0
3617-19UCFUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+0.6
3718-19UVAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+1.2
3818-20UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+1.0
3919-20UCFUVAServe errUCF+1.0
4019-21UVAUCF×3KillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+1.1
4119-22UCFUCF×3Attack errReagan Ennist+1.1
4219-23UCFUCF×3Attack errReese Wuebker+0.7
4320-23UCFUVABlockedNatasha Caseyblk Reagan Ennist, Emily Fowler+0.3
4421-23UVAUVAAttack errElla Chapman+0.7
4521-24UVAUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.9
4621-25UCFUCFAceUCFaced Teagan Hogan+0.4
Set 3
10-1UVAUCFKillSasha Cohenset Abby Schomers+0.3
21-1UCFUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Teagan Hogan+0.3
32-1UVAUVA×3Attack errKiki Horne+0.4
43-1UVAUVA×3AceVirginiaaced Avah Armour+0.5
53-2UVAUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.3
64-2UCFUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+0.4
75-2UVAUVABlockedKiki Horneblk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie+0.5
85-3UVAUCFKillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.3
96-3UCFUVA×3KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.4
107-3UVAUVA×3Attack errElla Chapman+0.6
118-3UVAUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.6
128-4UVAUCFBlockedReagan Ennistblk Abby Schomers+0.3
138-5UCFUCFKillAbby Schomersset Sasha Cohen+0.5
149-5UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.5
159-6UVAUCFBlockedReese Wuebkerblk Sasha Cohen, Abby Schomers+0.4
169-7UCFUCFBlockedBecca Wightblk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen+0.5
1710-7UCFUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.5
1811-7UVAUVA×3KillCaroline Lang+0.6
1912-7UVAUVA×3Attack errSasha Cohen+0.6
2012-8UVAUCFBlockedReese Wuebkerblk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen+0.4
2112-9UCFUCFAceUCF+0.5
2213-9UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.5
2313-10UVAUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Abby Schomers+0.4
2413-11UCFUCF×3Attack errReese Wuebker+0.6
2513-12UCFUCF×3BlockedCaroline Langblk Ella Chapman+0.6
2614-12UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.6
2714-13UVAUCF×7Attack errReagan Ennist+0.5
2814-14UCFUCF×7KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.6
2914-15UCFUCF×7AceUCFaced Reagan Ennist+0.6
3014-16UCFUCF×7BlockedReagan Ennistblk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers+0.5
3114-17UCFUCF×7AceUCF+0.4
3214-18UCFUCF×7AceUCF+0.3
3314-19UCFUCF×7KillElla Chapmanset Abby Schomers+0.2
3415-19UCFUVA×4Serve errUCF+0.1
3516-19UVAUVA×4KillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott+0.3
3617-19UVAUVA×4KillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+0.4
3718-19UVAUVA×4KillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+0.6
3818-20UVAUCFServe errVirginia+0.5
3919-20UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.5
4019-21UVAUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.6
4119-22UCFUCFKillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter+0.6
4220-22UCFUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.3
4320-23UVAUCFKillAvah Armourset Abby Schomers+0.4
4421-23UCFUVAServe errUCF+0.3
4521-24UVAUCFAttack errBecca Wight+0.4
4621-25UCFUCFBlockedReese Wuebkerblk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Virginia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).