FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayBIG-12

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

UCF def. UAlbany 3–0

(25-15, 25-22, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UCF	25	25	25	3
ALBANY	15	22	13	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALBANY above 50 · UCF below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to UAlbany — set 2, UCF 20-20 ALBANY. Kill by Pinar Erol (set by Madison Hess). ALBANY win probability 1% → 1%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UCF 98.7%1.3% ALBANY

UCF wins

3-0

71.8%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

4.4%

UAlbany wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.9%

UCF break %: 52.0% vs this opp
ALBANY break %: 34.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Pinar ErolKill+0.4%
Kill by Pinar Erol (set by Madison Hess)
Set 2 · UCF 20-20 ALBANY · ALBANY 1% → 1%
02
Ella ChapmanKill+0.4%
Kill by Ella Chapman (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · UCF 23-21 ALBANY · UCF 99% → 100%
03
Natasha CaseyKill+0.4%
Kill by Natasha Casey (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · UCF 22-21 ALBANY · UCF 99% → 99%
04
Madison HessKill+0.4%
Kill by Madison Hess (set by Kasia Barletta)
Set 2 · UCF 21-21 ALBANY · ALBANY 1% → 1%
05
Lily LottKill+0.3%
Kill by Lily Lott (set by Madison Hess)
Set 1 · UCF 3-5 ALBANY · ALBANY 2% → 2%
06
Kiki HorneKill+0.3%
Kill by Kiki Horne (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · UCF 24-22 ALBANY · UCF 99% → 100%
07
Kiki HorneKill+0.3%
Kill by Kiki Horne (set by Alexa Haley)
Set 2 · UCF 21-20 ALBANY · UCF 99% → 99%
08
ALBANY serverAce+0.3%
UAlbany ace on Fallon Stewart
Set 2 · UCF 17-17 ALBANY · ALBANY 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UCFaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Avah ArmourOH	3	9	3	21	.286	2	1	3	5	1	0	0	10
3Sasha CohenMB	3	8	0	14	.571	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	9
8Ella ChapmanMB	3	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Abby SchomersS	3	4	0	5	.800	35	0	1	5	0	0	0	4
5Fallon StewartOH	3	3	0	4	.750	1	0	2	6	1	0	0	3
20Mikayla PorterS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
16Natasha CaseyOPP	3	8	1	14	.500	0	5	3	0	0	3	1.5	14.5
14Kiki HorneOH	3	11	1	24	.417	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	11
9Alexa HaleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	2	13	0	0	0	2
11Reese MooreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
2Sarah MendozaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
18Deana PetrovMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Emma CookMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	5	91	.473	44	8	12	40	3	6	3	75

UAlbanyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Pinar ErolOH	3	10	4	39	.154	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	10
1Mina BenucciMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Campbell RobinsonMB	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3
5Kiki ProvatasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	2	4	4	0	0	3
7Madison HessS	3	2	0	7	.286	21	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	2.5
21Madison KyleL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	2	6	2	0	0	0
10Lily LottOH	3	6	4	18	.111	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
9Kasia BarlettaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
11Nia GibsonOPP	2	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
4Addy BianchiniS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Sabrina KinkaidOH	1	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		29	13	96	.167	26	3	6	35	8	2	1	50

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 UCF · ALBANY 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 UCFALBANY 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 UCFALBANY 4

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 8 UCFALBANY 3

Bars above the line = UAlbany leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UCF

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	38%3/8
2	78%7/9	50%7/14
3	64%7/11	59%10/17
4	75%6/8	40%4/10
5	50%4/8	75%12/16
6	57%4/7	50%4/8
All	67%35/52	55%40/73

UAlbany

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	14%1/7
2	41%7/17	22%2/9
3	64%7/11	30%3/10
4	27%4/15	36%4/11
5	67%4/6	20%1/5
6	40%4/10	60%6/10
All	45%33/73	33%17/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	UCF-ALBANY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
2	1-1	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+0.2
3	2-1	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
4	2-2	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.2
5	2-3	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Natasha Casey		+0.3
6	3-3	ALBANY	UCF	Attack err	Sabrina Kinkaid	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+0.2
7	3-4	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.2
8	3-5	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.3
9	4-5	ALBANY	UCF×6	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.2
10	5-5	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
11	6-5	UCF	UCF×6	Attack err	Lily Lott		+0.2
12	7-5	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Natasha Casey		+0.2
13	8-5	UCF	UCF×6	Attack err	Sabrina Kinkaid		+0.1
14	9-5	UCF	UCF×6	Attack err	Lily Lott		+0.1
15	9-6	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
16	9-7	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci		+0.2
17	10-7	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Abby Schomers	set Avah Armour	+0.1
18	10-8	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Sabrina Kinkaid	set Madison Hess	+0.1
19	10-9	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Madison Hess	set Lily Lott	+0.2
20	11-9	ALBANY	UCF×3	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.2
21	12-9	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Abby Schomers	set Fallon Stewart	+0.2
22	13-9	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Lily Lott		+0.1
23	13-10	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
24	14-10	ALBANY	UCF×6	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.1
25	15-10	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Sasha Cohen		+0.1
26	16-10	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
27	17-10	UCF	UCF×6	Ace	UCF server	aced Madison Kyle	+0.0
28	18-10	UCF	UCF×6	Ace	UCF server	aced Kiki Provatas	+0.0
29	19-10	UCF	UCF×6	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
30	19-11	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.0
31	19-12	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Avah Armour		+0.0
32	20-12	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+0.0
33	20-13	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Kiki Provatas	+0.0
34	21-13	ALBANY	UCF×3	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Avah Armour	+0.0
35	22-13	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
36	23-13	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+0.0
37	23-14	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.0
38	23-15	ALBANY	ALBANY	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.0
39	24-15	ALBANY	UCF	Attack err	Sabrina Kinkaid		+0.0
40	25-15	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Lily Lott	blk Natasha Casey, Ella Chapman	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF server	aced Team	+0.1
2	1-1	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
3	2-1	ALBANY	UCF	Attack err	Pinar Erol	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+0.1
4	3-1	UCF	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
5	3-2	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.1
6	4-2	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
7	4-3	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.1
8	4-4	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.1
9	5-4	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
10	5-5	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.1
11	6-5	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
12	7-5	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
13	7-6	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.1
14	8-6	ALBANY	UCF×4	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.1
15	9-6	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
16	10-6	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
17	11-6	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.1
18	11-7	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.0
19	12-7	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
20	12-8	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+0.0
21	13-8	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
22	13-9	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+0.0
23	13-10	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Nia Gibson		+0.1
24	14-10	ALBANY	UCF	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+0.1
25	14-11	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
26	14-12	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Addy Bianchini	+0.1
27	15-12	ALBANY	UCF	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.1
28	15-13	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.1
29	16-13	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Abby Schomers	set Alexa Haley	+0.1
30	17-13	UCF	UCF	Kill	Abby Schomers		+0.1
31	17-14	UCF	ALBANY×4	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Addy Bianchini	+0.1
32	17-15	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Mikayla Porter	+0.1
33	17-16	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.2
34	17-17	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Fallon Stewart	+0.3
35	18-17	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.2
36	19-17	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+0.2
37	19-18	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.2
38	20-18	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.2
39	20-19	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.2
40	20-20	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.4
41	21-20	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+0.3
42	21-21	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Madison Hess	set Kasia Barletta	+0.4
43	22-21	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
44	23-21	UCF	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
45	23-22	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+0.2
46	24-22	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
47	25-22	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	ALBANY	UCF	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.0
2	1-1	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.0
3	2-1	ALBANY	UCF×3	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
4	3-1	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
5	4-1	UCF	UCF×3	Ace	UCF server	aced Madison Kyle	+0.0
6	4-2	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.0
7	5-2	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
8	6-2	UCF	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
9	6-3	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.0
10	7-3	ALBANY	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
11	8-3	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
12	9-3	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Campbell Robinson		+0.0
13	9-4	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+0.0
14	10-4	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
15	10-5	UCF	ALBANY×3	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.0
16	10-6	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Avah Armour	+0.0
17	10-7	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Avah Armour	blk Madison Hess, Mina Benucci	+0.0
18	11-7	ALBANY	UCF	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.0
19	11-8	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+0.0
20	11-9	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Kasia Barletta	+0.0
21	12-9	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
22	13-9	UCF	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
23	13-10	UCF	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.0
24	14-10	ALBANY	UCF×8	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
25	15-10	UCF	UCF×8	Attack err	Madison Kyle		+0.0
26	16-10	UCF	UCF×8	Ace	UCF server	aced Kiki Provatas	+0.0
27	17-10	UCF	UCF×8	Ace	UCF server	aced Pinar Erol	+0.0
28	18-10	UCF	UCF×8	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
29	19-10	UCF	UCF×8	Ace	UCF server	aced Kiki Provatas	+0.0
30	20-10	UCF	UCF×8	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+0.0
31	21-10	UCF	UCF×8	Ace	UCF server	aced Kiki Provatas	+0.0
32	21-11	UCF	ALBANY	Serve err	UCF server		+0.0
33	21-12	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+0.0
34	22-12	ALBANY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
35	22-13	UCF	ALBANY	Attack err	Avah Armour		+0.0
36	23-13	ALBANY	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.0
37	24-13	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Reese Moore	+0.0
38	25-13	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Deana Petrov	set Abby Schomers	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.