FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026 · Neutral site

Louisville def. Texas 3–0

Louisville beat Texas 3-0 (25-12, 28-26, 25-16) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026 at a neutral site. Chloe Meester led Louisville with 13 kills; Texas' Torrey Stafford had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set123Sets
LOUIS2528253
TEXAS1226160

Win probability

Texas above 50 · Louisville below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.7% LOUISrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.7% to Louisville — set 2, LOUIS 24-24 TEXAS. Kill by Chloe Meester (set by Payton Petersen). TEXAS win probability 21% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOUIS 79.5%20.5% TEXAS

Louisville wins

3-0
31.0%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

Texas wins

3-0
3.4%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.3%
LOUIS break %
42.8% vs this opp
TEXAS break %
36.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Chloe MeesterKill+6.7%

    Kill by Chloe Meester (set by Payton Petersen)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 24-24 TEXAS · LOUIS 79% → 86%

  2. 02

    Kill by Chloe Chicoine (set by Nayelis Cabello)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 26-25 TEXAS · LOUIS 86% → 91%

  3. 03

    Cari Spears stuffed by Kalyssa Blackshear & Brooke Bultema

    Set 2 · LOUIS 28-26 TEXAS · LOUIS 91% → 96%

  4. 04
    LouisvilleService error+4.3%

    Louisville service error

    Set 2 · LOUIS 24-25 TEXAS · TEXAS 14% → 19%

  5. 05
    Chloe MeesterKill+4.3%

    Kill by Chloe Meester (set by Nayelis Cabello)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 25-25 TEXAS · LOUIS 81% → 86%

  6. 06

    Kill by Henley Anderson (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 20-22 TEXAS · TEXAS 16% → 20%

  7. 07

    Chloe Chicoine stuffed by Cari Spears & Nya Bunton

    Set 2 · LOUIS 20-21 TEXAS · TEXAS 12% → 16%

  8. 08

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 26-26 TEXAS · TEXAS 9% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310323.3040004006313
312136.3061006200012
37411.273101100429
31011.000000101434
3005.0003601100010.50.5
3000–100900000
313023.56500010010.513.5
3001.0001211600002
3000–011000001
3000–102200000
Team totals438100.3504136502116978
Texashome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314537.24300410000014
312934.08801240010.513.5
35010.50000000031.56.5
3318.250000000003
31219-.053001630212
3000–2700800000
3000–004100000
3000–300700000
21011.000000000001
2000–011100001
2000–401000000
2000–000100000
Team totals3617109.1743421338306354

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LOUIS · TEXAS 3

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 6 LOUISTEXAS 2

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 3 LOUISTEXAS 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 LOUISTEXAS 2

Bars above the line = Texas leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
20%2/10
2
80%8/10
58%11/19
3
58%7/12
50%7/14
4
100%7/7
36%4/11
5
75%6/8
45%5/11
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
78%43/55
45%35/77

Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
13%1/8
2
50%8/16
20%2/10
3
47%7/15
38%5/13
4
78%7/9
13%1/8
5
50%6/12
13%1/8
6
50%6/12
25%2/8
All
55%42/77
22%12/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#LOUIS-TEXASSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.3
20-2TEXASTEXASAttack errKalyssa Blackshear+2.1
31-2TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+1.3
42-2LOUISLOUISBlockedHenley Andersonblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema+2.0
52-3LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.4
63-3TEXASLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
74-3LOUISLOUIS×4KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.9
85-3LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errCari Spears+1.8
96-3LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Rella Binney+1.5
106-4LOUISTEXASServe errLouisville+1.0
116-5TEXASTEXASAceTexasaced Chloe Chicoine+1.8
127-5TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+1.2
138-5LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.6
148-6LOUISTEXASBad setPayton Petersen+1.0
159-6TEXASLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.1
1610-6LOUISLOUISAceLouisvilleaced Henley Anderson+1.4
1710-7LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.8
1811-7TEXASLOUIS×6Serve errTexas+0.9
1912-7LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedTaylor Harveyblk Chloe Meester, Addison Makun+1.1
2013-7LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedTorrey Staffordblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear+0.8
2114-7LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errCari Spears+0.6
2215-7LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errCari Spears+0.4
2316-7LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errCari Spears+0.2
2416-8LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
2517-8TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
2618-8LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
2718-9LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney·
2819-9TEXASLOUIS×3Serve errTexas·
2920-9LOUISLOUIS×3AceLouisvilleaced Henley Anderson·
3021-9LOUISLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Brooke Bultema·
3121-10LOUISTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney·
3222-10TEXASLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello·
3323-10LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
3423-11LOUISTEXASAttack errBrooke Bultema·
3524-11TEXASLOUISServe errTexas·
3624-12LOUISTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney·
3725-12TEXASLOUISServe errTexas·
Set 2
11-0TEXASLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.9
22-0LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedCari Spearsblk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear+1.2
33-0LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.1
43-1LOUISTEXASServe errLouisville+0.7
54-1TEXASLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
64-2LOUISTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.7
74-3TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson+1.3
84-4TEXASTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.5
95-4TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Chloe Chicoine+1.0
106-4LOUISLOUISBad setRella Binney+1.4
116-5LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.9
127-5TEXASLOUISAttack errTorrey Stafford+0.9
137-6LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.9
148-6TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.9
158-7LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.0
168-8TEXASTEXASAttack errKalyssa Blackshear+1.7
179-8TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.1
189-9LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.2
199-10TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+2.0
2010-10TEXASLOUISBlockedCari Spearsblk Addison Makun+1.2
2111-10LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Ramsey Gary+1.8
2211-11LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.3
2312-11TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.2
2413-11LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.7
2513-12LOUISTEXASServe errLouisville+1.1
2614-12TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+1.2
2715-12LOUISLOUISAttack errCari Spears+1.5
2815-13LOUISTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.9
2916-13TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.0
3016-14LOUISTEXASServe errLouisville+0.9
3116-15TEXASTEXASAceTexasaced Chloe Chicoine+1.8
3217-15TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
3317-16LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.3
3418-16TEXASLOUISBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear+1.4
3518-17LOUISTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+1.3
3619-17TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.5
3719-18LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.4
3819-19TEXASTEXASAttack errKalyssa Blackshear+2.8
3920-19TEXASLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
4020-20LOUISTEXAS×3Attack errBrooke Bultema+2.1
4120-21TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedChloe Chicoineblk Cari Spears, Nya Bunton+3.8
4220-22TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+4.0
4321-22TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+2.0
4421-23LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+3.1
4522-23TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
4622-24LOUISTEXASServe errLouisville+3.7
4723-24TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.8
4824-24LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen+6.7
4924-25LOUISTEXASServe errLouisville+4.3
5025-25TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+4.3
5126-25LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+5.7
5226-26LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+3.7
5327-26TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+3.7
5428-26LOUISLOUISBlockedCari Spearsblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema+4.9
Set 3
10-1LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.5
21-1TEXASLOUIS×4Serve errTexas+0.5
32-1LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
43-1LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.6
54-1LOUISLOUIS×4AceLouisvilleaced Henley Anderson+0.6
64-2LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.4
74-3TEXASTEXASBlockedBrooke Bultemablk Henley Anderson, Nya Bunton+0.6
85-3TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+0.4
96-3LOUISLOUISBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema+0.6
106-4LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.4
117-4TEXASLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
128-4LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
138-5LOUISTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.3
149-5TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+0.3
159-6LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
169-7TEXASTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.6
1710-7TEXASLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
1810-8LOUISTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.4
1911-8TEXASLOUISBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear+0.4
2011-9LOUISTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Ramsey Gary+0.4
2112-9TEXASLOUISServe errTexas+0.4
2213-9LOUISLOUISAttack errHenley Anderson+0.6
2313-10LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
2414-10TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2514-11LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
2615-11TEXASLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2715-12LOUISTEXASBad setPayton Petersen+0.3
2816-12TEXASLOUIS×5KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2917-12LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
3018-12LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Hannah Kenny+0.3
3119-12LOUISLOUIS×5Attack errCari Spears+0.2
3220-12LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3320-13LOUISTEXASKillNya Buntonset Ella Swindle·
3421-13TEXASLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello·
3521-14LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Ella Swindle·
3622-14TEXASLOUISServe errTexas·
3722-15LOUISTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Ella Swindle·
3823-15TEXASLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand·
3923-16LOUISTEXASKillCari Spearsset Ella Swindle·
4024-16TEXASLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
4125-16LOUISLOUISBad setElla Swindle·

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).