Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 9, 2026

Arkansas def. Syracuse 3–1

Arkansas won at Syracuse 3-1 (25-19, 25-23, 12-25, 25-14) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. Arkansas' Parker Duncan led with 20 kills, and Romani Thurman added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set1234Sets
ARK252512253
SYR192325141

Win probability

Syracuse above 50 · Arkansas below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.4% ARKrally 168 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Arkansas — set 2, ARK 23-22 SYR. Attack error by Kiernan Stamey. SYR win probability 6% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK 91.8%8.2% SYR

Arkansas wins

3-0
47.8%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.7%

Syracuse wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.4%
3-2
4.7%
ARK break %
47.3% vs this opp
SYR break %
36.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kiernan StameyAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Kiernan Stamey

    Set 2 · ARK 23-22 SYR · ARK 94% → 96%

  2. 02

    Kill by Abby Nicholson (set by Charis Burge)

    Set 1 · ARK 17-18 SYR · SYR 10% → 12%

  3. 03
    Abby NicholsonAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Abby Nicholson

    Set 1 · ARK 20-19 SYR · ARK 89% → 91%

  4. 04
    Parker DuncanKill+2.2%

    Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Aleki Alexander)

    Set 2 · ARK 22-22 SYR · ARK 91% → 94%

  5. 05

    Aleki Alexander stuffed by Bo Nijenhuis & Marie Laurio

    Set 2 · ARK 19-21 SYR · SYR 7% → 9%

  6. 06
    SyracuseAce+2.0%

    Syracuse ace on Gaby Cornier

    Set 2 · ARK 19-22 SYR · SYR 9% → 11%

  7. 07
    Parker DuncanBlock+2.0%

    Charis Burge stuffed by Parker Duncan

    Set 1 · ARK 21-19 SYR · ARK 91% → 93%

  8. 08
    ArkansasService error+1.9%

    Arkansas service error

    Set 1 · ARK 18-19 SYR · SYR 11% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4201051.196003110132.522.5
49319.316302130031.510.5
44313.077100112659
45212.250000211649
4217.1433510900425
22220.00000011010.52.5
4000–502810000
33110.20002151010.55.5
3000–021410002
1012-.500000000000
22Ava RothL/DS
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4523134.16444595474241687
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415840.17530311202116
48736.02820010112210
48321.238000200219
44617-.11800040111.55.5
4327.143312230010.55.5
4017-.143000302655
4216.167020920004
4000–2321400003
2218.125000000002
Team totals4229142.09238775654141181

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 ARK · SYR 9

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 ARKSYR 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 ARKSYR 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 ARKSYR 9

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 ARKSYR 2

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = Arkansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
36%4/11
2
69%9/13
31%4/13
3
90%9/10
10%1/10
4
53%8/15
62%13/21
5
36%8/22
43%6/14
6
100%6/6
59%10/17
All
60%49/82
44%38/86

Syracuse

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
20%2/10
2
69%9/13
44%7/16
3
44%8/18
25%3/12
4
67%8/12
33%4/12
5
53%8/15
62%13/21
6
38%6/16
36%4/11
All
56%48/86
40%33/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

168 rallies

#ARK-SYRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SYRSYRAceSyracuseaced Madi Benne+1.0
21-1SYRARKAttack errKiernan Stamey+0.7
31-2ARKSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.8
41-3SYRSYRAceSyracuseaced Aleki Alexander+1.2
52-3SYRARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
62-4ARKSYRBlockedKiki Remenspergerblk Kiernan Stamey+1.0
73-4SYRARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
84-4ARKARKAttack errAbby Nicholson+1.1
94-5ARKSYRServe errArkansas+0.9
104-6SYRSYRBlockedLayla Smithblk Bo Nijenhuis+1.4
115-6SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
125-7ARKSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.1
136-7SYRARKBlockedKeila Gabrielblk Parker Duncan, Aleki Alexander+0.9
147-7ARKARKBlockedBo Nijenhuisblk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander+1.2
157-8ARKSYRBlockedRomani Thurmanblk Bo Nijenhuis, Marie Laurio+1.0
168-8SYRARKBlockedMarie Laurioblk Aleki Alexander+0.9
179-8ARKARKBlockedKeila Gabrielblk Aleki Alexander, Laci Bohannan+1.2
189-9ARKSYRAttack errLaci Bohannan+0.9
1910-9SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
2010-10ARKSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.0
2111-10SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
2211-11ARKSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.0
2312-11SYRARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Romani Thurman+0.9
2413-11ARKARKBlockedEmma Williamsblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+1.2
2513-12ARKSYRAttack errParker Duncan+0.9
2613-13SYRSYRAttack errLayla Smith+1.5
2714-13SYRARKBad setCharis Burge+1.0
2814-14ARKSYRKillCharis Burge+1.2
2915-14SYRARKKillParker Duncan+1.1
3015-15ARKSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.2
3116-15SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
3216-16ARKSYRServe errArkansas+1.3
3317-16SYRARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
3417-17ARKSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.4
3517-18SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+2.3
3618-18SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
3718-19ARKSYRServe errArkansas+1.9
3819-19SYRARK×7KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.7
3920-19ARKARK×7Attack errAbby Nicholson+2.3
4021-19ARKARK×7BlockedCharis Burgeblk Parker Duncan+2.0
4122-19ARKARK×7BlockedMarie Laurioblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+1.4
4223-19ARKARK×7AceArkansasaced Kiernan Stamey+0.8
4324-19ARKARK×7Attack errMarie Laurio+0.3
4425-19ARKARK×7AceArkansasaced Marie Laurio+0.1
Set 2
11-0ARKARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.6
21-1ARKSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Marie Laurio+0.5
31-2SYRSYRAttack errAleki Alexander+0.7
42-2SYRARK×3Serve errSyracuse+0.5
53-2ARKARK×3Attack errAbby Nicholson+0.6
64-2ARKARK×3Attack errKiernan Stamey+0.5
74-3ARKSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.4
85-3SYRARKKillLaci Bohannanset Madi Benne+0.4
96-3ARKARKBlockedKiernan Stameyblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+0.5
106-4ARKSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.3
117-4SYRARKAttack errMarie Laurio+0.3
127-5ARKSYR×3KillMarie Laurioset Yuka Urano+0.4
137-6SYRSYR×3Attack errParker Duncan+0.6
147-7SYRSYR×3Attack errParker Duncan+0.7
158-7SYRARK×3KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.5
169-7ARKARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.6
1710-7ARKARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.5
1810-8ARKSYRKillCharis Burgeset Kiernan Stamey+0.4
1911-8SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
2011-9ARKSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.4
2112-9SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
2212-10ARKSYR×5KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.4
2312-11SYRSYR×5KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.7
2412-12SYRSYR×5AceSyracuseaced Laci Bohannan+0.9
2512-13SYRSYR×5BlockedRomani Thurmanblk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson+1.1
2612-14SYRSYR×5BlockedLaci Bohannanblk Abby Nicholson+1.3
2713-14SYRARKAttack errKiernan Stamey+0.8
2813-15ARKSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.0
2914-15SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
3014-16ARKSYRServe errArkansas+1.1
3115-16SYRARK×4KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
3216-16ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Romani Thurman+1.3
3317-16ARKARK×4AceArkansasaced Bella Rodriguez+1.2
3418-16ARKARK×4BlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Layla Smith, Parker Duncan+1.0
3518-17ARKSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.7
3619-17SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Romani Thurman+0.8
3719-18ARKSYR×5KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.8
3819-19SYRSYR×5AceSyracuseaced Layla Smith+1.4
3919-20SYRSYR×5Attack errParker Duncan+1.8
4019-21SYRSYR×5BlockedAleki Alexanderblk Bo Nijenhuis, Marie Laurio+2.1
4119-22SYRSYR×5AceSyracuseaced Gaby Cornier+2.0
4220-22SYRARK×5KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.9
4321-22ARKARK×5AceArkansasaced Marie Laurio+1.8
4422-22ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Aleki Alexander+2.2
4523-22ARKARK×5Attack errKiernan Stamey+2.4
4624-22ARKARK×5Attack errMarie Laurio+1.9
4724-23ARKSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.8
4825-23SYRARKServe errSyracuse+1.6
Set 3
11-0SYRARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Madi Benne+0.2
21-1ARKSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.2
32-1SYRARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+0.2
42-2ARKSYRKillCharis Burgeset Marie Laurio+0.2
52-3SYRSYRKillBella Rodriguezset Charis Burge+0.4
63-3SYRARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+0.2
74-3ARKARKAceArkansasaced Bella Rodriguez+0.3
84-4ARKSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.2
95-4SYRARKKillAleki Alexanderset Madi Benne+0.2
105-5ARKSYR×3KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.2
115-6SYRSYR×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Keila Gabriel, Bo Nijenhuis+0.4
125-7SYRSYR×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Keila Gabriel, Bo Nijenhuis+0.5
136-7SYRARKServe errSyracuse+0.3
146-8ARKSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.3
157-8SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
167-9ARKSYRServe errArkansas+0.4
177-10SYRSYRAceSyracuseaced Lakin Laurendine+0.5
188-10SYRARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
198-11ARKSYRServe errArkansas+0.4
209-11SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
219-12ARKSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Yuka Urano+0.4
2210-12SYRARKBlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Layla Smith+0.3
2310-13ARKSYR×3KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.4
2410-14SYRSYR×3KillMarie Laurio+0.6
2510-15SYRSYR×3Attack errParker Duncan+0.6
2611-15SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
2711-16ARKSYR×9BlockedParker Duncanblk Bo Nijenhuis, Charis Burge+0.4
2811-17SYRSYR×9KillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.5
2911-18SYRSYR×9BlockedAleki Alexanderblk Bo Nijenhuis+0.4
3011-19SYRSYR×9KillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.3
3111-20SYRSYR×9Attack errParker Duncan+0.2
3211-21SYRSYR×9KillKiernan Stameyset Marie Laurio+0.1
3311-22SYRSYR×9Attack errParker Duncan·
3411-23SYRSYR×9Attack errLily Dudley·
3511-24SYRSYR×9KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge·
3612-24SYRARKServe errSyracuse·
3712-25ARKSYRKillMarie Laurioset Kiernan Stamey·
Set 4
11-0ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
22-0ARKARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.1
32-1ARKSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.8
43-1SYRARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
53-2ARKSYRServe errArkansas+0.9
63-3SYRSYRBlockedRomani Thurmanblk Bo Nijenhuis, Kiernan Stamey+1.4
74-3SYRARKServe errSyracuse+0.9
84-4ARKSYRAttack errLakin Laurendine+1.1
95-4SYRARKServe errSyracuse+1.0
106-4ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
116-5ARKSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.9
127-5SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
137-6ARKSYRKillBella Rodriguezset Charis Burge+1.0
148-6SYRARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
158-7ARKSYRKillMarie Laurio+1.0
169-7SYRARKBlockedCharis Burgeblk Aleki Alexander+1.0
179-8ARKSYRServe errArkansas+1.0
1810-8SYRARK×3KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.0
1911-8ARKARK×3BlockedMarie Laurioblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+1.2
2012-8ARKARK×3BlockedKeila Gabrielblk Lakin Laurendine, Layla Smith+1.0
2112-9ARKSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.6
2212-10SYRSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+1.2
2313-10SYRARKServe errSyracuse+0.9
2413-11ARKSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.9
2514-11SYRARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
2614-12ARKSYRServe errArkansas+0.9
2714-13SYRSYRAceSyracuse+1.7
2815-13SYRARK×5KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
2916-13ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
3017-13ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.1
3118-13ARKARK×5BlockedKiernan Stameyblk Kiki Remensperger, Aleki Alexander+0.8
3219-13ARKARK×5Attack errBella Rodriguez+0.5
3319-14ARKSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.2
3420-14SYRARK×6KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
3521-14ARKARK×6Attack errAbby Nicholson+0.2
3622-14ARKARK×6Attack errMarie Laurio+0.1
3723-14ARKARK×6BlockedKiernan Stameyblk Parker Duncan, Aleki Alexander·
3824-14ARKARK×6BlockedMarie Laurioblk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander·
3925-14ARKARK×6KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger·

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).