Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 9, 2026

AwaySEC

3:1

HomeACC

Arkansas def. Syracuse 3–1

(25-19, 25-23, 12-25, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
ARK	25	25	12	25	3
SYR	19	23	25	14	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SYR above 50 · ARK below

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Arkansas — set 2, ARK 23-22 SYR. Attack error by Kiernan Stamey. SYR win probability 14% → 9%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARK 79.5%20.5% SYR

Arkansas wins

3-0

31.0%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

18.4%

Syracuse wins

3-0

3.4%

3-1

6.8%

3-2

10.3%

ARK break %: 43.3% vs this opp
SYR break %: 37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kiernan StameyAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Kiernan Stamey
Set 2 · ARK 23-22 SYR · ARK 86% → 91%
02
Parker DuncanKill+4.1%
Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Aleki Alexander)
Set 2 · ARK 22-22 SYR · ARK 82% → 86%
03
Abby NicholsonAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Abby Nicholson
Set 1 · ARK 20-19 SYR · ARK 76% → 80%
04
Marie LaurioAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Marie Laurio
Set 2 · ARK 24-22 SYR · ARK 91% → 94%
05
Abby NicholsonKill+3.8%
Kill by Abby Nicholson (set by Charis Burge)
Set 1 · ARK 17-18 SYR · SYR 22% → 26%
06
Charis BurgeAttack error+3.6%
Charis Burge stuffed by Parker Duncan
Set 1 · ARK 21-19 SYR · ARK 80% → 84%
07
Aleki AlexanderAttack error+3.6%
Aleki Alexander stuffed by Bo Nijenhuis & Marie Laurio
Set 2 · ARK 19-21 SYR · SYR 16% → 19%
08
Parker DuncanAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Parker Duncan
Set 2 · ARK 19-20 SYR · SYR 12% → 16%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Arkansasaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Parker DuncanOH	4	20	10	51	.196	0	0	3	11	0	1	3	2.5	22.5
30Romani ThurmanOPP	4	9	3	19	.316	3	0	2	13	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
23Aleki AlexanderMB	4	4	3	13	.077	1	0	0	1	1	2	6	5	9
16Layla SmithMB	4	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	2	1	1	6	4	9
13Kiki RemenspergerS	4	2	1	7	.143	35	1	0	9	0	0	4	2	5
1Laci BohannanOH	2	2	2	20	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Madi BenneL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	8	1	0	0	0	0
25Lakin LaurendineOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	2	1	5	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
15Gaby CornierL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	4	1	0	0	0	2
4Lily DudleyOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Ava RothL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27Journey PeppersMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	23	134	.164	44	5	9	54	7	4	24	16	87

Syracusehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Marie LaurioOH	4	15	8	40	.175	3	0	3	11	2	0	2	1	16
8Kiernan StameyOH	4	8	7	36	.028	2	0	0	10	1	1	2	2	10
12Keila GabrielOPP	4	8	3	21	.238	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
23Abby NicholsonMB	4	4	6	17	-.118	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
1Charis BurgeS	4	3	2	7	.143	31	2	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Bo NijenhuisMB	4	0	1	7	-.143	0	0	0	3	0	2	6	5	5
21Bella RodriguezOH	4	2	1	6	.167	0	2	0	9	2	0	0	0	4
18Yuka UranoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	3	2	14	0	0	0	0	3
19Emma WilliamsOH	2	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		42	29	142	.092	38	7	7	56	5	4	14	11	81

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 ARK · SYR 9

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 ARKSYR 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 ARKSYR 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 ARKSYR 9

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 ARKSYR 2

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = Arkansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Arkansas

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	36%4/11
2	69%9/13	31%4/13
3	90%9/10	10%1/10
4	53%8/15	62%13/21
5	36%8/22	43%6/14
6	100%6/6	59%10/17
All	60%49/82	44%38/86

Syracuse

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	20%2/10
2	69%9/13	44%7/16
3	44%8/18	25%3/12
4	67%8/12	33%4/12
5	53%8/15	62%13/21
6	38%6/16	36%4/11
All	56%48/86	40%33/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

168 rallies

Rally log

#	ARK-SYR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SYR	SYR	Ace	SYR server	aced Madi Benne	+2.0
2	1-1	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+1.3
3	1-2	ARK	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.4
4	1-3	SYR	SYR	Ace	SYR server	aced Aleki Alexander	+2.2
5	2-3	SYR	ARK	Kill	Laci Bohannan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.3
6	2-4	ARK	SYR	Attack err	Kiki Remensperger	blk Kiernan Stamey	+1.5
7	3-4	SYR	ARK	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.4
8	4-4	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+2.1
9	4-5	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+1.5
10	4-6	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Layla Smith	blk Bo Nijenhuis	+2.4
11	5-6	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.4
12	5-7	ARK	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+1.7
13	6-7	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Keila Gabriel	blk Parker Duncan, Aleki Alexander	+1.5
14	7-7	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Bo Nijenhuis	blk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander	+2.3
15	7-8	ARK	SYR	Attack err	Romani Thurman	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Marie Laurio	+1.6
16	8-8	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Marie Laurio	blk Aleki Alexander	+1.5
17	9-8	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Keila Gabriel	blk Aleki Alexander, Laci Bohannan	+2.2
18	9-9	ARK	SYR	Attack err	Laci Bohannan		+1.6
19	10-9	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
20	10-10	ARK	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.6
21	11-10	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.6
22	11-11	ARK	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.7
23	12-11	SYR	ARK	Kill	Kiki Remensperger	set Romani Thurman	+1.6
24	13-11	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Emma Williams	blk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith	+2.3
25	13-12	ARK	SYR	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+1.5
26	13-13	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Layla Smith		+2.7
27	14-13	SYR	ARK	Bad set	Charis Burge		+1.8
28	14-14	ARK	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge		+1.9
29	15-14	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan		+1.9
30	15-15	ARK	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.0
31	16-15	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.0
32	16-16	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+2.1
33	17-16	SYR	ARK	Kill	Aleki Alexander	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.1
34	17-17	ARK	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+2.2
35	17-18	SYR	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+3.8
36	18-18	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.4
37	18-19	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+2.8
38	19-19	SYR	ARK×7	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.6
39	20-19	ARK	ARK×7	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+4.1
40	21-19	ARK	ARK×7	Attack err	Charis Burge	blk Parker Duncan	+3.6
41	22-19	ARK	ARK×7	Attack err	Marie Laurio	blk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith	+2.7
42	23-19	ARK	ARK×7	Ace	ARK server	aced Kiernan Stamey	+1.6
43	24-19	ARK	ARK×7	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.6
44	25-19	ARK	ARK×7	Ace	ARK server	aced Marie Laurio	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	ARK	ARK	Kill	Aleki Alexander	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.3
2	1-1	ARK	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Marie Laurio	+0.9
3	1-2	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Aleki Alexander		+1.5
4	2-2	SYR	ARK×3	Serve err	SYR server		+1.0
5	3-2	ARK	ARK×3	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+1.4
6	4-2	ARK	ARK×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+1.3
7	4-3	ARK	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.9
8	5-3	SYR	ARK	Kill	Laci Bohannan	set Madi Benne	+0.9
9	6-3	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey	blk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith	+1.2
10	6-4	ARK	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.8
11	7-4	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.8
12	7-5	ARK	SYR×3	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Yuka Urano	+0.8
13	7-6	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+1.4
14	7-7	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+1.6
15	8-7	SYR	ARK×3	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Madi Benne	+1.1
16	9-7	ARK	ARK×3	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
17	10-7	ARK	ARK×3	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.3
18	10-8	ARK	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge	set Kiernan Stamey	+0.8
19	11-8	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.9
20	11-9	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.8
21	12-9	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.9
22	12-10	ARK	SYR×5	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.9
23	12-11	SYR	SYR×5	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.6
24	12-12	SYR	SYR×5	Ace	SYR server	aced Laci Bohannan	+1.9
25	12-13	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Romani Thurman	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+2.2
26	12-14	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Laci Bohannan	blk Abby Nicholson	+2.3
27	13-14	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+1.4
28	13-15	ARK	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.7
29	14-15	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.4
30	14-16	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+1.8
31	15-16	SYR	ARK×4	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
32	16-16	ARK	ARK×4	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Romani Thurman	+2.5
33	17-16	ARK	ARK×4	Ace	ARK server	aced Bella Rodriguez	+2.4
34	18-16	ARK	ARK×4	Attack err	Abby Nicholson	blk Layla Smith, Parker Duncan	+2.2
35	18-17	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+1.4
36	19-17	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Romani Thurman	+1.5
37	19-18	ARK	SYR×5	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+1.4
38	19-19	SYR	SYR×5	Ace	SYR server	aced Layla Smith	+2.8
39	19-20	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+3.4
40	19-21	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Aleki Alexander	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Marie Laurio	+3.6
41	19-22	SYR	SYR×5	Ace	SYR server	aced Gaby Cornier	+3.2
42	20-22	SYR	ARK×5	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Madi Benne	+1.3
43	21-22	ARK	ARK×5	Ace	ARK server	aced Marie Laurio	+3.1
44	22-22	ARK	ARK×5	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Aleki Alexander	+4.1
45	23-22	ARK	ARK×5	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+4.6
46	24-22	ARK	ARK×5	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+3.9
47	24-23	ARK	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.4
48	25-23	SYR	ARK	Serve err	SYR server		+3.2
Set 3
1	1-0	SYR	ARK	Kill	Kiki Remensperger	set Madi Benne	+0.5
2	1-1	ARK	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.5
3	2-1	SYR	ARK	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.5
4	2-2	ARK	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge	set Marie Laurio	+0.5
5	2-3	SYR	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+0.8
6	3-3	SYR	ARK	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.5
7	4-3	ARK	ARK	Ace	ARK server	aced Bella Rodriguez	+0.8
8	4-4	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.5
9	5-4	SYR	ARK	Kill	Aleki Alexander	set Madi Benne	+0.5
10	5-5	ARK	SYR×3	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.6
11	5-6	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Parker Duncan	blk Keila Gabriel, Bo Nijenhuis	+0.9
12	5-7	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Parker Duncan	blk Keila Gabriel, Bo Nijenhuis	+1.0
13	6-7	SYR	ARK	Serve err	SYR server		+0.6
14	6-8	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.7
15	7-8	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.6
16	7-9	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+0.7
17	7-10	SYR	SYR	Ace	SYR server	aced Lakin Laurendine	+1.1
18	8-10	SYR	ARK	Kill	Aleki Alexander	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.6
19	8-11	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+0.8
20	9-11	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.6
21	9-12	ARK	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Yuka Urano	+0.8
22	10-12	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Abby Nicholson	blk Layla Smith	+0.6
23	10-13	ARK	SYR×3	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.8
24	10-14	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Marie Laurio		+1.1
25	10-15	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+1.0
26	11-15	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.5
27	11-16	ARK	SYR×9	Attack err	Parker Duncan	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Charis Burge	+0.7
28	11-17	SYR	SYR×9	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+0.8
29	11-18	SYR	SYR×9	Attack err	Aleki Alexander	blk Bo Nijenhuis	+0.6
30	11-19	SYR	SYR×9	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+0.4
31	11-20	SYR	SYR×9	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+0.2
32	11-21	SYR	SYR×9	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Marie Laurio	+0.1
33	11-22	SYR	SYR×9	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+0.0
34	11-23	SYR	SYR×9	Attack err	Lily Dudley		+0.0
35	11-24	SYR	SYR×9	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.0
36	12-24	SYR	ARK	Serve err	SYR server		+0.0
37	12-25	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Kiernan Stamey	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	ARK	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.1
2	2-0	ARK	ARK	Kill	Lakin Laurendine	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.0
3	2-1	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+1.3
4	3-1	SYR	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.3
5	3-2	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+1.4
6	3-3	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Romani Thurman	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Kiernan Stamey	+2.3
7	4-3	SYR	ARK	Serve err	SYR server		+1.5
8	4-4	ARK	SYR	Attack err	Lakin Laurendine		+1.6
9	5-4	SYR	ARK	Serve err	SYR server		+1.6
10	6-4	ARK	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.2
11	6-5	ARK	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.5
12	7-5	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
13	7-6	ARK	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+1.5
14	8-6	SYR	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
15	8-7	ARK	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio		+1.6
16	9-7	SYR	ARK	Attack err	Charis Burge	blk Aleki Alexander	+1.6
17	9-8	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+1.6
18	10-8	SYR	ARK×3	Kill	Lakin Laurendine	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.6
19	11-8	ARK	ARK×3	Attack err	Marie Laurio	blk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith	+2.2
20	12-8	ARK	ARK×3	Attack err	Keila Gabriel	blk Lakin Laurendine, Layla Smith	+1.8
21	12-9	ARK	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.1
22	12-10	SYR	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+2.0
23	13-10	SYR	ARK	Serve err	SYR server		+1.5
24	13-11	ARK	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.4
25	14-11	SYR	ARK	Kill	Lakin Laurendine	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.6
26	14-12	ARK	SYR	Serve err	ARK server		+1.5
27	14-13	SYR	SYR	Ace	SYR server	aced Team	+2.7
28	15-13	SYR	ARK×5	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.0
29	16-13	ARK	ARK×5	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.6
30	17-13	ARK	ARK×5	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.0
31	18-13	ARK	ARK×5	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey	blk Kiki Remensperger, Aleki Alexander	+1.4
32	19-13	ARK	ARK×5	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+0.9
33	19-14	ARK	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.4
34	20-14	SYR	ARK×6	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.5
35	21-14	ARK	ARK×6	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+0.4
36	22-14	ARK	ARK×6	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.2
37	23-14	ARK	ARK×6	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey	blk Parker Duncan, Aleki Alexander	+0.0
38	24-14	ARK	ARK×6	Attack err	Marie Laurio	blk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander	+0.0
39	25-14	ARK	ARK×6	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.