Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Syracuse def. FDU 3–1

Syracuse beat visiting FDU 3-1 (25-14, 24-26, 26-24, 25-15) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Syracuse's Kiernan Stamey led with 19 kills.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
FDU142624151
SYR252426253

Win probability

Syracuse above 50 · FDU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.1% FDUrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.1% to FDU — set 3, FDU 24-24 SYR. Attack error by Keila Gabriel. SYR win probability 87% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FDU 11.9%88.1% SYR

FDU wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
6.5%

Syracuse wins

3-0
41.4%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.1%
FDU break %
39.3% vs this opp
SYR break %
48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Keila GabrielAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Keila Gabriel

    Set 3 · FDU 24-24 SYR · FDU 13% → 23%

  2. 02
    Angela MarchettoAttack error+7.8%

    Attack error by Angela Marchetto

    Set 3 · FDU 24-26 SYR · SYR 85% → 92%

  3. 03
    FDUService error+7.3%

    FDU service error

    Set 3 · FDU 24-25 SYR · SYR 77% → 85%

  4. 04
    FDUAce+5.5%

    FDU ace on Bo Nijenhuis

    Set 2 · FDU 26-24 SYR · FDU 12% → 18%

  5. 05

    Kiernan Stamey stuffed by Angela Marchetto & Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez

    Set 2 · FDU 25-24 SYR · FDU 8% → 12%

  6. 06

    Keila Gabriel stuffed by Nora Marginean & Mila Samardzija

    Set 2 · FDU 24-24 SYR · FDU 4% → 8%

  7. 07
    Kiernan StameyAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Kiernan Stamey

    Set 3 · FDU 23-24 SYR · FDU 10% → 13%

  8. 08
    Ava DeGuzmanKill+3.4%

    Kill by Ava DeGuzman (set by Isabella Scarfone)

    Set 3 · FDU 10-6 SYR · FDU 28% → 31%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FDUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411232.2810016104213
49639.07701163031.511.5
46624.00013010102110
47311.364000000218
4138-.250000200634
4205.4002721800004
4000–411900001
3304.750000100003
3000–60110010.50.5
3000–002300000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3920123.1543877469018979
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419643.30200192010.519.5
412123.47813130031.516.5
410729.1031013020212
47214.35710021010.57.5
4204.5004904120031.53.5
4002.000000800000
413429.3100442000017
4000–3201200002
4002.000200510000
Team totals6320146.29557911567286100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FDU · SYR 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 FDUSYR 5

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 6 FDUSYR 8

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 FDUSYR 3

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 FDUSYR 4

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = FDU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
56%10/18
2
64%9/14
0%0/10
3
56%9/16
10%1/10
4
56%9/16
10%1/10
5
43%9/21
18%2/11
6
60%6/10
62%13/21
All
53%52/99
34%27/80

Syracuse

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
58%11/19
2
100%10/10
33%5/15
3
90%9/10
40%6/15
4
82%9/11
36%5/14
5
60%9/15
40%6/15
6
33%6/18
67%14/21
All
66%53/80
47%47/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#FDU-SYRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.1
20-2SYRSYR×3AceSyracuseaced Mila Samardzija+1.0
30-3SYRSYR×3Attack errAngela Marchetto+0.9
41-3SYRFDUBlockedKeila Gabrielblk Angela Marchetto, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.7
51-4FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.7
62-4SYRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.7
72-5FDUSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.7
82-6SYRSYR×3Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.8
92-7SYRSYR×3KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.6
103-7SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.5
113-8FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.5
124-8SYRFDUBlockedBo Nijenhuisblk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman+0.5
134-9FDUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.5
145-9SYRFDU×3Serve errSyracuse+0.5
156-9FDUFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.8
167-9FDUFDU×3Attack errEmma Williams+1.0
177-10FDUSYRAttack errMila Samardzija+0.8
188-10SYRFDUBlockedKeila Gabrielblk Mila Samardzija+0.8
199-10FDUFDUAceFDUaced Kiernan Stamey+1.3
209-11FDUSYR×5KillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.0
219-12SYRSYR×5Attack errAva DeGuzman+1.1
229-13SYRSYR×5Attack errMila Samardzija+0.9
239-14SYRSYR×5AceSyracuse+0.7
249-15SYRSYR×5KillKiernan Stameyset Yuka Urano+0.5
2510-15SYRFDUAttack errKeila Gabriel+0.3
2610-16FDUSYR×3Attack errAva DeGuzman+0.4
2710-17SYRSYR×3Attack errAva DeGuzman+0.3
2810-18SYRSYR×3Attack errMila Samardzija+0.2
2911-18SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+0.1
3011-19FDUSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.1
3111-20SYRSYR×3KillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.1
3211-21SYRSYR×3KillEmma Williams·
3312-21SYRFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone·
3412-22FDUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge·
3513-22SYRFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean·
3613-23FDUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge·
3713-24SYRSYRKillBo Nijenhuisset Charis Burge·
3814-24SYRFDUServe errSyracuse·
3914-25FDUSYRKillBo Nijenhuisset Charis Burge·
Set 2
11-0FDUFDUAttack errAbby Nicholson+0.9
22-0FDUFDUAttack errKeila Gabriel+1.0
32-1FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.7
43-1SYRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.8
53-2FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.7
64-2SYRFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+0.9
74-3FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.7
85-3SYRFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+0.9
95-4FDUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.8
106-4SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+0.9
116-5FDUSYR×8Serve errFDU+0.8
126-6SYRSYR×8AceSyracuse+1.0
136-7SYRSYR×8AceSyracuseaced Mila Samardzija+0.9
146-8SYRSYR×8BlockedIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezblk Keila Gabriel+0.8
156-9SYRSYR×8KillBo Nijenhuis+0.7
166-10SYRSYR×8KillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.6
176-11SYRSYR×8KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.5
186-12SYRSYR×8KillBo Nijenhuisset Charis Burge+0.4
197-12SYRFDU×6Serve errSyracuse+0.2
208-12FDUFDU×6KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.4
219-12FDUFDU×6AceFDU+0.6
2210-12FDUFDU×6AceFDU+0.8
2311-12FDUFDU×6Attack errKiernan Stamey+1.0
2412-12FDUFDU×6KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
2512-13FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.9
2613-13SYRFDU×5KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
2714-13FDUFDU×5AceFDU+1.5
2815-13FDUFDU×5KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.6
2916-13FDUFDU×5KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.7
3017-13FDUFDU×5Attack errKiernan Stamey+1.7
3117-14FDUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.0
3217-15SYRSYRBlockedMila Samardzijablk Charis Burge, Abby Nicholson+1.5
3318-15SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
3418-16FDUSYRServe errFDU+1.2
3518-17SYRSYRAttack errAlessia Zampieri+1.7
3619-17SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+1.7
3719-18FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.4
3819-19SYRSYRAceSyracuse+2.0
3920-19SYRFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+1.8
4020-20FDUSYRBlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Bo Nijenhuis, Charis Burge+1.6
4120-21SYRSYRKillBo Nijenhuisset Charis Burge+2.2
4221-21SYRFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Nora Marginean+1.8
4322-21FDUFDUBlockedEmma Williamsblk Angela Marchetto, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+2.9
4422-22FDUSYR×3KillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+2.1
4522-23SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+3.0
4622-24SYRSYR×3AceSyracuseaced Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+2.5
4723-24SYRFDU×4Serve errSyracuse+1.1
4824-24FDUFDU×4BlockedKeila Gabrielblk Nora Marginean, Mila Samardzija+3.6
4925-24FDUFDU×4BlockedKiernan Stameyblk Angela Marchetto, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+4.5
5026-24FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Bo Nijenhuis+5.5
Set 3
10-1SYRSYRAttack errAva DeGuzman+1.9
21-1SYRFDUBad setCharis Burge+1.6
31-2FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.5
42-2SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Madeline Joyce+1.7
52-3FDUSYRBlockedMila Samardzijablk Charis Burge, Abby Nicholson+1.6
63-3SYRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.7
73-4FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.6
84-4SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+1.8
94-5FDUSYRServe errFDU+1.7
105-5SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+1.8
116-5FDUFDUAttack errEmma Williams+2.7
126-6FDUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.9
137-6SYRFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Madeline Joyce+2.2
148-6FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzman+3.1
159-6FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Kiernan Stamey+3.3
1610-6FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+3.4
1710-7FDUSYR×3KillBo Nijenhuisset Charis Burge+2.2
1810-8SYRSYR×3BlockedAngela Marchettoblk Abby Nicholson, Kiernan Stamey+3.0
1910-9SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Yuka Urano+3.0
2011-9SYRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+2.7
2111-10FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+2.4
2211-11SYRSYRKillCharis Burgeset Keila Gabriel+3.0
2312-11SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.7
2412-12FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+2.4
2513-12SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.8
2613-13FDUSYR×3KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+2.5
2713-14SYRSYR×3AceSyracuseaced Ava DeGuzman+3.2
2813-15SYRSYR×3AceSyracuseaced Mila Samardzija+2.8
2914-15SYRFDUAttack errBo Nijenhuis+2.2
3014-16FDUSYRBad setNora Marginean+2.3
3115-16SYRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Nora Marginean+2.3
3215-17FDUSYR×3Serve errFDU+2.4
3315-18SYRSYR×3AceSyracuse+2.6
3415-19SYRSYR×3BlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Keila Gabriel+1.9
3516-19SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+1.2
3616-20FDUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.5
3717-20SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
3817-21FDUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Yuka Urano+1.5
3918-21SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
4018-22FDUSYRKillCharis Burgeset Bella Rodriguez+1.5
4119-22SYRFDUAttack errEmma Williams+1.0
4219-23FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.5
4320-23SYRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.8
4421-23FDUFDUAceFDUaced Bella Rodriguez+2.0
4521-24FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+2.6
4622-24SYRFDU×3BlockedKeila Gabrielblk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman+1.1
4723-24FDUFDU×3Attack errKiernan Stamey+3.6
4824-24FDUFDU×3Attack errKeila Gabriel+9.1
4924-25FDUSYRServe errFDU+7.3
5024-26SYRSYRAttack errAngela Marchetto+7.8
Set 4
10-1FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.1
21-1SYRFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Ava DeGuzman+1.2
31-2FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.1
41-3SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.3
52-3SYRFDUAttack errKiernan Stamey+1.1
63-3FDUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.6
73-4FDUSYRServe errFDU+1.2
84-4SYRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
95-4FDUFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Madeline Joyce+1.9
105-5FDUSYR×4KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.4
115-6SYRSYR×4KillEmma Williamsset Bella Rodriguez+1.7
125-7SYRSYR×4KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.5
135-8SYRSYR×4Attack errMila Samardzija+1.3
146-8SYRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
156-9FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.0
167-9SYRFDUBad setCharis Burge+1.1
177-10FDUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.1
187-11SYRSYRKillBo Nijenhuis+1.2
198-11SYRFDUServe errSyracuse+0.9
208-12FDUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.9
219-12SYRFDUBlockedKiernan Stameyblk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto+0.9
229-13FDUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.9
2310-13SYRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
2410-14FDUSYR×3Attack errAlessia Zampieri+1.0
2510-15SYRSYR×3KillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.0
2610-16SYRSYR×3KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.7
2711-16SYRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.4
2811-17FDUSYRServe errFDU+0.5
2911-18SYRSYRAttack errAlessia Zampieri+0.4
3012-18SYRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.2
3112-19FDUSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.3
3212-20SYRSYR×3KillKeila Gabrielset Bo Nijenhuis+0.2
3312-21SYRSYR×3KillEmma Williams+0.1
3413-21SYRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone·
3513-22FDUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.1
3614-22SYRFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Madeline Joyce·
3714-23FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge·
3814-24SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge·
3915-24SYRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone·
4015-25FDUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Abby Nicholson·

Score shown after each rally, FDU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).