Louisville def. Syracuse 3–0
Louisville won at Syracuse 3-0 (25-9, 25-13, 25-18) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Louisville's Chloe Meester led with 10 kills, and Nayelis Cabello added 14 digs.
Data through · final Sep 25
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOUIS | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| SYR | 9 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
Win probability
No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Louisville stayed the heavy favorite throughout.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Louisville wins
Syracuse wins
- LOUIS break %
- 55.7% vs this opp
- SYR break %
- 28.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 21 | .238 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .292 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | .625 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 10 | 1 | 19 | .474 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 8 | 87 | .368 | 37 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11.5 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 26 | -.038 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -.063 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .357 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | .063 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | -.294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 23 | 22 | 100 | .010 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 40 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-9
Set 2
25-13
Set 3
25-18
Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Louisville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%5/7 | 64%7/11 |
| 2 | 42%5/12 | 58%7/12 |
| 3 | 45%5/11 | 69%11/16 |
| 4 | 80%4/5 | 64%7/11 |
| 5 | 100%3/3 | 80%12/15 |
| 6 | 100%3/3 | 67%6/9 |
| All | 61%25/41 | 68%50/74 |
Syracuse
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38%5/13 | 0%0/4 |
| 2 | 29%5/17 | 50%5/10 |
| 3 | 44%4/9 | 50%5/10 |
| 4 | 40%4/10 | 60%6/10 |
| 5 | 15%3/20 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 60%3/5 | 0%0/3 |
| All | 32%24/74 | 39%16/41 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
115 rallies
| # | LOUIS-SYR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | ||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Kiernan Stamey | set Yuka Urano |
| 2 | 0-2 | SYR | SYR | Bad set | Addison Makun | |
| 3 | 1-2 | SYR | LOUIS×5 | Blocked | Kiernan Stamey | blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Addison Makun |
| 4 | 2-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 5 | 3-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Attack err | Kiernan Stamey | |
| 6 | 4-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Attack err | Keila Gabriel | |
| 7 | 5-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 8 | 5-3 | LOUIS | SYR | Serve err | Louisville | |
| 9 | 5-4 | SYR | SYR | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | |
| 10 | 6-4 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 11 | 6-5 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Charis Burge | set Kiernan Stamey |
| 12 | 6-6 | SYR | SYR | Kill | Emma Williams | set Kiernan Stamey |
| 13 | 7-6 | SYR | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen |
| 14 | 8-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Ace | Louisville | aced Shalena Queen Howse |
| 15 | 9-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Attack err | Emma Williams | |
| 16 | 10-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Attack err | Abby Nicholson | |
| 17 | 11-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen |
| 18 | 11-7 | LOUIS | SYR | Serve err | Louisville | |
| 19 | 12-7 | SYR | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 20 | 13-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Attack err | Emma Williams | |
| 21 | 14-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Blocked | Kiernan Stamey | blk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun, Chloe Meester |
| 22 | 15-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Blocked | Emma Williams | blk Addison Makun, Nayelis Cabello |
| 23 | 16-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 24 | 17-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 25 | 18-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Attack err | Marie Laurio | |
| 26 | 19-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Ace | Louisville | |
| 27 | 19-8 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Marie Laurio | set Charis Burge |
| 28 | 20-8 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Charis Burge |
| 29 | 21-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 30 | 21-9 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Keila Gabriel | set Charis Burge |
| 31 | 22-9 | SYR | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 32 | 23-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Addison Makun | |
| 33 | 24-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 34 | 25-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Blocked | Keila Gabriel | blk Addison Makun, Chloe Chicoine |
| Set 2 | ||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 2 | 2-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 3 | 2-1 | LOUIS | SYR×3 | Kill | Kiernan Stamey | set Marie Laurio |
| 4 | 2-2 | SYR | SYR×3 | Ace | Syracuse | aced Chloe Chicoine |
| 5 | 2-3 | SYR | SYR×3 | Kill | Abby Nicholson | |
| 6 | 3-3 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 7 | 3-4 | LOUIS | SYR | Serve err | Louisville | |
| 8 | 4-4 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 9 | 5-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | Louisville | aced Shalena Queen Howse |
| 10 | 5-5 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Abby Nicholson | set Charis Burge |
| 11 | 5-6 | SYR | SYR | Attack err | Chloe Meester | |
| 12 | 6-6 | SYR | LOUIS | Serve err | Syracuse | |
| 13 | 6-7 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Bo Nijenhuis | set Charis Burge |
| 14 | 7-7 | SYR | LOUIS×6 | Serve err | Syracuse | |
| 15 | 8-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Bo Nijenhuis | |
| 16 | 9-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 17 | 10-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Keila Gabriel | |
| 18 | 11-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Keila Gabriel | |
| 19 | 12-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Blocked | Emma Williams | blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Addison Makun |
| 20 | 12-8 | LOUIS | SYR | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | |
| 21 | 13-8 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 22 | 14-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | Louisville | |
| 23 | 14-9 | LOUIS | SYR | Serve err | Louisville | |
| 24 | 15-9 | SYR | LOUIS | Blocked | Kiernan Stamey | blk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear |
| 25 | 16-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 26 | 16-10 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Marie Laurio | set Charis Burge |
| 27 | 16-11 | SYR | SYR | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | |
| 28 | 17-11 | SYR | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 29 | 18-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Ace | Louisville | |
| 30 | 19-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 31 | 20-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Ace | Louisville | aced Marie Laurio |
| 32 | 21-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand |
| 33 | 22-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Blocked | Kiernan Stamey | blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema |
| 34 | 23-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Kamden Schrand |
| 35 | 24-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 36 | 24-12 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Abby Nicholson | set Charis Burge |
| 37 | 24-13 | SYR | SYR | Ace | Syracuse | |
| 38 | 25-13 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello |
| Set 3 | ||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Marie Laurio | set Charis Burge |
| 2 | 1-1 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 3 | 1-2 | LOUIS | SYR | Blocked | Nayelis Cabello | blk Kiernan Stamey |
| 4 | 2-2 | SYR | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 5 | 3-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen |
| 6 | 4-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 7 | 5-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen |
| 8 | 6-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Blocked | Kiernan Stamey | blk Kalyssa Blackshear |
| 9 | 6-3 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Marie Laurio | set Charis Burge |
| 10 | 6-4 | SYR | SYR | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | |
| 11 | 7-4 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 12 | 7-5 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Emma Williams | set Charis Burge |
| 13 | 8-5 | SYR | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 14 | 9-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Kamden Schrand |
| 15 | 10-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 16 | 11-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Blocked | Emma Williams | blk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear |
| 17 | 11-6 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Marie Laurio | set Charis Burge |
| 18 | 12-6 | SYR | LOUIS | Attack err | Emma Williams | |
| 19 | 12-7 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Keila Gabriel | set Charis Burge |
| 20 | 13-7 | SYR | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 21 | 14-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Blocked | Keila Gabriel | blk Chloe Meester |
| 22 | 15-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | Louisville | aced Yuka Urano |
| 23 | 16-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | Louisville | |
| 24 | 16-8 | LOUIS | SYR | Kill | Keila Gabriel | set Charis Burge |
| 25 | 16-9 | SYR | SYR | Blocked | Nayelis Cabello | blk Keila Gabriel |
| 26 | 17-9 | SYR | LOUIS | Serve err | Syracuse | |
| 27 | 18-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Abby Nicholson | |
| 28 | 18-10 | LOUIS | SYR×4 | Serve err | Louisville | |
| 29 | 18-11 | SYR | SYR×4 | Kill | Bo Nijenhuis | set Charis Burge |
| 30 | 18-12 | SYR | SYR×4 | Kill | Keila Gabriel | set Charis Burge |
| 31 | 18-13 | SYR | SYR×4 | Kill | Marie Laurio | set Charis Burge |
| 32 | 19-13 | SYR | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 33 | 19-14 | LOUIS | SYR×4 | Kill | Kiernan Stamey | set Yuka Urano |
| 34 | 19-15 | SYR | SYR×4 | Kill | Kiernan Stamey | set Yuka Urano |
| 35 | 19-16 | SYR | SYR×4 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | |
| 36 | 19-17 | SYR | SYR×4 | Kill | Kiernan Stamey | set Yuka Urano |
| 37 | 20-17 | SYR | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 38 | 21-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Ace | Louisville | |
| 39 | 22-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 40 | 22-18 | LOUIS | SYR | Serve err | Louisville | |
| 41 | 23-18 | SYR | LOUIS×3 | Blocked | Emma Williams | blk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear |
| 42 | 24-18 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello |
| 43 | 25-18 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Ace | Louisville | aced Shalena Queen Howse |
Score shown after each rally, Louisville first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).