FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

BYU def. Arizona 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: BYU 94.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

BYU won at Arizona 3-0 (26-24, 25-19, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. BYU's Elli Mortensen led with 19 kills, and Lulu Po'uha added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
BYU2625253
ARIZ2419180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Elli Mortensen needed just 3 sets for 19 kills. BYU swept Arizona.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.7 points. Arizona peaked at 12% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had BYU at 94%.

BYUArizona
  • Break %+12.4 pts
    47.334.9

    35 of 74 on serve vs 22 of 63, so Arizona's sideout was 52.7%.

  • Hitting+.091
    .224.133

    51 kills, 21 errors vs 31 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    53

    Up 20–19 in the second set, BYU scored 5 straight to make it 25–19. The set finished 25–19.

Arizona above 50BYU belowMax swing 3.7%

BYUArizona

Aces
BYU 5·Arizona 2
Serve err
BYU 6·Arizona 4
Blocks
BYU 2·Arizona 71 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
BYU 55·Arizona 56

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona above 50 · BYU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.7% BYUrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.7% to BYU — set 1, BYU 25-24 ARIZ. Kill by Claire Little Chambers (set by Elli Mortensen). ARIZ win probability 9% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BYU 96.1%3.9% ARIZ

BYU wins

3-0
58.7%
3-1
28.6%
3-2
8.7%

Arizona wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.4%
BYU break %
47.1% vs this opp
ARIZ break %
33.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Claire Little Chambers (set by Elli Mortensen)

    Set 1 · BYU 25-24 ARIZ · BYU 91% → 94%

  2. 02
    Claire Little ChambersAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Claire Little Chambers

    Set 1 · BYU 22-23 ARIZ · ARIZ 8% → 11%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kennedy Osunsanmi (set by Harmony Sample)

    Set 1 · BYU 23-24 ARIZ · ARIZ 9% → 12%

  4. 04

    Kill by Claire Little Chambers (set by Kaylie Kofe)

    Set 1 · BYU 24-24 ARIZ · BYU 88% → 91%

  5. 05

    Kill by Claire Little Chambers (set by Kaylie Kofe)

    Set 1 · BYU 26-24 ARIZ · BYU 94% → 97%

  6. 06

    Sophia Callahan stuffed by Destiny Ndam-Simpson & Journey Tucker

    Set 1 · BYU 19-21 ARIZ · ARIZ 10% → 12%

  7. 07
    Destiny Ndam-SimpsonAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Destiny Ndam-Simpson

    Set 1 · BYU 21-21 ARIZ · BYU 89% → 91%

  8. 08
    Harmony SampleAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Harmony Sample

    Set 1 · BYU 22-21 ARIZ · BYU 91% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

BYUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
319647.27711114000020
311627.185001100010.511.5
3639.33300010111.57.5
35314.143022100007
34317.059000200004
3000–2510300001
36017.353000200006
3003.0002121700001
3000–000000000
3000–1900500000
Team totals5121134.224475655212276
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38235.1712011200219
36224.1672101411018
34111.27300020031.55.5
3225.000221060010.53.5
3139-.222000001012
3000–202800000
39221.3330002002110
3000–0001110000
2000–001000000
1124-.250000000212
1024-.500000000000
1000–100100000
Team totals3116113.1332924565210761

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

BYU vs Arizona

Season series · BYU leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BYU · ARIZ 3

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 BYUARIZ 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 BYUARIZ 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 BYUARIZ 3

Bars above the line = Arizona leads, below = BYU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

BYU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
63%10/16
2
54%7/13
42%5/12
3
64%7/11
46%6/13
4
88%7/8
30%3/10
5
86%6/7
57%8/14
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
65%41/63
47%35/74

Arizona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
38%5/13
2
54%7/13
53%8/15
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
43%6/14
22%2/9
5
67%6/9
25%2/8
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
53%39/74
35%22/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#BYU-ARIZSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARIZBYUKillKelli Jo Burgessset Alex Bower+0.4
21-1BYUARIZServe errBYU+0.5
31-2ARIZARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.8
42-2ARIZBYU×3KillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+0.5
53-2BYUBYU×3KillKate Priorset Kaylie Kofe+0.7
64-2BYUBYU×3KillElli Mortensenset Lulu Po'uha+0.6
74-3BYUARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.4
84-4ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.8
95-4ARIZBYUAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+0.5
105-5BYUARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.6
116-5ARIZBYUServe errArizona+0.5
127-5BYUBYUAceBrooke Hardy+0.7
137-6BYUARIZServe errBYU+0.5
148-6ARIZBYUKillKate Priorset Kaylie Kofe+0.5
158-7BYUARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.5
169-7ARIZBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+0.5
179-8BYUARIZKillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample+0.5
189-9ARIZARIZAttack errElli Mortensen+1.0
1910-9ARIZBYU×3KillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+0.6
2011-9BYUBYU×3Attack errMarina Vosloo+0.8
2112-9BYUBYU×3KillBrooke Hardyset Alex Bower+0.7
2212-10BYUARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Brenna Ginder+0.4
2312-11ARIZARIZAttack errBrooke Hardy+0.9
2413-11ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.6
2513-12BYUARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+0.6
2614-12ARIZBYUKillKate Priorset Kaylie Kofe+0.6
2714-13BYUARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.7
2815-13ARIZBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.7
2915-14BYUARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.7
3015-15ARIZARIZAttack errClaire Little Chambers+1.3
3116-15ARIZBYUKillKelli Jo Burgessset Kaylie Kofe+0.9
3216-16BYUARIZ×3Attack errClaire Little Chambers+1.0
3316-17ARIZARIZ×3Attack errClaire Little Chambers+1.8
3416-18ARIZARIZ×3Attack errClaire Little Chambers+2.1
3517-18ARIZBYUServe errArizona+1.1
3618-18BYUBYUAttack errMarina Vosloo+1.8
3718-19BYUARIZKillHarmony Sampleset Brenna Ginder+1.5
3819-19ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.3
3919-20BYUARIZAttack errElli Mortensen+1.6
4019-21ARIZARIZBlockedSophia Callahanblk Destiny Ndam-Simpson, Journey Tucker+2.7
4120-21ARIZBYU×3KillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.4
4221-21BYUBYU×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+2.5
4322-21BYUBYU×3Attack errHarmony Sample+2.4
4422-22BYUARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+1.7
4522-23ARIZARIZAttack errClaire Little Chambers+3.6
4623-23ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Kaylie Kofe+2.2
4723-24BYUARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+3.2
4824-24ARIZBYU×3KillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+3.2
4925-24BYUBYU×3KillClaire Little Chambersset Elli Mortensen+3.7
5026-24BYUBYU×3KillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+2.7
Set 2
11-0BYUBYU×4BlockedCarlie Cisnerosblk Kelli Jo Burgess+0.4
22-0BYUBYU×4KillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.4
33-0BYUBYU×4KillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.3
44-0BYUBYU×4KillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+0.2
54-1BYUARIZServe errBYU+0.2
64-2ARIZARIZAceCarlie Cisneros+0.3
75-2ARIZBYUKillKelli Jo Burgessset Alex Bower+0.2
86-2BYUBYUAttack errKristen Dear+0.3
96-3BYUARIZAttack errClaire Little Chambers+0.2
106-4ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.3
117-4ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.2
127-5BYUARIZ×3Bad setKate Prior+0.2
137-6ARIZARIZ×3BlockedElli Mortensenblk Journey Tucker, Kennedy Osunsanmi+0.4
147-7ARIZARIZ×3AceHarmony Sample+0.6
158-7ARIZBYUAttack errCarlie Cisneros+0.4
169-7BYUBYUAceElli Mortensen+0.5
179-8BYUARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.3
1810-8ARIZBYUAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.3
1910-9BYUARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+0.4
2011-9ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Kaylie Kofe+0.3
2111-10BYUARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Carlie Cisneros+0.4
2212-10ARIZBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+0.4
2312-11BYUARIZ×3Attack errSophia Callahan+0.4
2412-12ARIZARIZ×3BlockedKelli Jo Burgessblk Destiny Ndam-Simpson, Kristen Dear+0.7
2512-13ARIZARIZ×3BlockedElli Mortensenblk Harmony Sample, Kristen Dear+0.9
2613-13ARIZBYUKillKelli Jo Burgessset Alex Bower+0.5
2713-14BYUARIZKillKristen Dearset Harmony Sample+0.7
2814-14ARIZBYUServe errArizona+0.6
2915-14BYUBYUKillElli Mortensenset Lulu Po'uha+0.8
3015-15BYUARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Brooke Hardy+0.6
3116-15ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Kaylie Kofe+0.6
3216-16BYUARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.6
3316-17ARIZARIZAttack errElli Mortensen+1.1
3417-17ARIZBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+0.7
3518-17BYUBYUKillClaire Little Chambers+1.0
3618-18BYUARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Destiny Ndam-Simpson+0.7
3719-18ARIZBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.7
3820-18BYUBYUAceAlex Bower+0.9
3920-19BYUARIZAttack errKelli Jo Burgess+0.6
4021-19ARIZBYU×5Serve errArizona+0.6
4122-19BYUBYU×5Attack errKristen Dear+0.7
4223-19BYUBYU×5KillKelli Jo Burgessset Brenna Ginder+0.4
4324-19BYUBYU×5Attack errHarmony Sample+0.1
4425-19BYUBYU×5KillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower·
Set 3
10-1ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Destiny Ndam-Simpson+0.2
20-2ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.3
31-2ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.2
42-2BYUBYUAceLulu Po'uhaaced Carlie Cisneros+0.2
52-3BYUARIZServe errBYU+0.2
62-4ARIZARIZAttack errBrooke Hardy+0.3
73-4ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.2
83-5BYUARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.2
94-5ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Kaylie Kofe+0.2
105-5BYUBYUKillKate Prior+0.3
115-6BYUARIZServe errBYU+0.2
126-6ARIZBYU×4KillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+0.2
137-6BYUBYU×4Attack errBritt Carlson+0.3
148-6BYUBYU×4KillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.2
159-6BYUBYU×4AceBrooke Hardyaced Gigi Whann+0.2
169-7BYUARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Kaylie Kofe+0.1
1710-7ARIZBYU×3KillKelli Jo Burgessset Kaylie Kofe+0.1
1811-7BYUBYU×3BlockedBritt Carlsonblk Kelli Jo Burgess, Claire Little Chambers+0.1
1912-7BYUBYU×3KillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.1
2012-8BYUARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+0.1
2113-8ARIZBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+0.1
2214-8BYUBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.1
2314-9BYUARIZ×3Attack errKelli Jo Burgess·
2414-10ARIZARIZ×3BlockedElli Mortensenblk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker+0.1
2514-11ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.1
2615-11ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.1
2716-11BYUBYUAttack errJourney Tucker+0.1
2816-12BYUARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.1
2916-13ARIZARIZBlockedSophia Callahanblk Carlie Cisneros+0.1
3017-13ARIZBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Alex Bower+0.1
3118-13BYUBYUAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+0.1
3218-14BYUARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.1
3319-14ARIZBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+0.1
3420-14BYUBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.1
3520-15BYUARIZBlockedBrooke Hardyblk Marina Vosloo·
3621-15ARIZBYUKillKate Priorset Kaylie Kofe·
3722-15BYUBYUAttack errMarina Vosloo·
3822-16BYUARIZServe errBYU·
3923-16ARIZBYUKillKate Priorset Kaylie Kofe·
4023-17BYUARIZKillHarmony Sampleset Carlie Cisneros·
4124-17ARIZBYUKillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower·
4224-18BYUARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample·
4325-18ARIZBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower·

Score shown after each rally, BYU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).