West Ga. at UT Martin

Set	1*	2	3*	Sets
W GA	25	16	1	1
UT MAR	15	25	0	1

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

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Win probability

UT MAR above 50 · W GA below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to West Ga. — set 3, W GA 1-0 UT MAR. Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Anezka Ourednikova). UT MAR win probability 38% → 35%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W GA 65.9%34.1% UT MAR

West Ga. wins

3-0

20.6%

3-1

25.3%

3-2

20.0%

UT Martin wins

3-0

6.9%

3-1

12.2%

3-2

15.1%

W GA break %: 46.1% vs this opp
UT MAR break %: 43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Valiree SchmusKill+2.4%
Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Anezka Ourednikova)
Set 3 · W GA 1-0 UT MAR · W GA 62% → 65%
02
Grace-blythe CornettAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Grace-blythe Cornett
Set 1 · W GA 1-2 UT MAR · UT MAR 34% → 36%
03
Luli ArcucciAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Luli Arcucci
Set 1 · W GA 4-3 UT MAR · W GA 65% → 68%
04
Chyler MartinAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Chyler Martin
Set 1 · W GA 6-4 UT MAR · W GA 68% → 70%
05
Brooke MccallAttack error+2.2%
Brooke Mccall stuffed by Dylan Sulcer & Carly Mueller
Set 2 · W GA 5-9 UT MAR · UT MAR 26% → 29%
06
Grace-blythe CornettAttack error+2.2%
Grace-blythe Cornett stuffed by Rylee Key & Chyler Martin
Set 2 · W GA 3-6 UT MAR · UT MAR 24% → 26%
07
Valiree SchmusAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Valiree Schmus
Set 2 · W GA 3-5 UT MAR · UT MAR 22% → 24%
08
W GA serverAce+2.1%
West Ga. ace on Penny Kirkham
Set 1 · W GA 7-4 UT MAR · W GA 70% → 72%

Official NCAA box

Box score

West Ga.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Valiree SchmusOH	3	6	3	12	.250	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	6
10Grace-blythe CornettOH	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	5
24Maddy KirmerMB	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
18Anezka OurednikovaS	3	3	0	4	.750	13	0	1	4	0	1	0.5	3.5
12Milena CetkovicMB	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
6Cassie ThayseOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Brooke MccallOH	3	6	4	22	.091	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
9Adriana MedranoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
15Giorgia MandottiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	8	0	0	0	1
3Giovana RibeiroOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
14Desha Van veldhuizenS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Linett BaranyiMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Allison BowserOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Courtney JosephMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Devin HicksS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Eva ErzenOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Hannah NicholsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
11Ipek BascoskunOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	10	59	.203	19	3	8	21	4	12	6	42

UT Martinhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Rylee KeyMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Sophie DioufMB	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
7Dylan SulcerL/DS	3	1	0	3	.333	12	0	1	5	0	1	0.5	1.5
22Carly MuellerMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
15Luli ArcucciMB	3	0	4	7	-.571	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
6Abby FreundL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0
5Maddy GladsonOPP	3	4	1	9	.333	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	6
11Chyler MartinOH	3	1	4	11	-.273	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
21Mari HaasOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Penny KirkhamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	1
16Mia SaenzMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Riley RushingOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Addie RosalesS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Dyyanna WadeOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Reagan HammS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Ida WiszomirskaS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Lauren MariscalL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
Team totals		17	11	50	.120	15	4	5	19	3	4	2	40

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 W GA · UT MAR 5

Set 1*

25-15

Longest run 6 W GAUT MAR 2

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 W GAUT MAR 5

Set 3*

1-0

Longest run 1 W GAUT MAR 0

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = West Ga. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

82 rallies

Rally log

#	W GA-UT MAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.7
2	1-1	W GA	UT MAR	Serve err	W GA server		+1.8
3	1-2	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Grace-blythe Cornett		+2.3
4	2-2	UT MAR	W GA	Serve err	UT MAR server		+1.8
5	2-3	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Cassie Thayse	+1.9
6	3-3	UT MAR	W GA	Serve err	UT MAR server		+1.8
7	4-3	W GA	W GA	Attack err	Luli Arcucci		+2.3
8	4-4	W GA	UT MAR	Serve err	W GA server		+1.9
9	5-4	UT MAR	W GA×6	Kill	Anezka Ourednikova	set Giorgia Mandotti	+1.9
10	6-4	W GA	W GA×6	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+2.3
11	7-4	W GA	W GA×6	Ace	W GA server	aced Penny Kirkham	+2.1
12	8-4	W GA	W GA×6	Attack err	Luli Arcucci	blk Brooke Mccall, Milena Cetkovic	+1.9
13	9-4	W GA	W GA×6	Kill	Brooke Mccall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.6
14	10-4	W GA	W GA×6	Kill	Brooke Mccall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.4
15	10-5	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.9
16	11-5	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Anezka Ourednikova	set Hannah Nicholson	+1.1
17	12-5	W GA	W GA	Kill	Brooke Mccall		+1.1
18	12-6	W GA	UT MAR	Serve err	W GA server		+0.7
19	12-7	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Brooke Mccall		+1.1
20	13-7	UT MAR	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.1
21	14-7	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-blythe Cornett	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.0
22	15-7	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Milena Cetkovic	+0.7
23	15-8	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Dylan Sulcer	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.4
24	16-8	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Anezka Ourednikova		+0.6
25	16-9	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
26	16-10	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+0.7
27	17-10	UT MAR	W GA×3	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.8
28	18-10	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.6
29	19-10	W GA	W GA×3	Attack err	Sophie Diouf		+0.4
30	19-11	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Reagan Hamm	+0.2
31	19-12	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+0.3
32	20-12	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Maddy Kirmer		+0.4
33	20-13	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.2
34	20-14	UT MAR	UT MAR	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Valiree Schmus	+0.4
35	21-14	UT MAR	W GA×4	Attack err	Chyler Martin	blk Maddy Kirmer, Anezka Ourednikova	+0.5
36	22-14	W GA	W GA×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
37	23-14	W GA	W GA×4	Attack err	Luli Arcucci	blk Brooke Mccall, Milena Cetkovic	+0.1
38	24-14	W GA	W GA×4	Attack err	Luli Arcucci	blk Brooke Mccall, Milena Cetkovic	+0.0
39	24-15	W GA	UT MAR	Serve err	W GA server		+0.0
40	25-15	UT MAR	W GA	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	W GA	UT MAR×3	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.6
2	0-2	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Lauren Mariscal	+2.0
3	0-3	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Rylee Key		+2.0
4	1-3	UT MAR	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.5
5	2-3	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+2.0
6	3-3	W GA	W GA×3	Ace	W GA server	aced TEAM	+2.0
7	3-4	W GA	UT MAR×3	Serve err	W GA server		+1.7
8	3-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+2.2
9	3-6	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Grace-blythe Cornett	blk Rylee Key, Chyler Martin	+2.2
10	4-6	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Maddy Kirmer	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.6
11	4-7	W GA	UT MAR	Serve err	W GA server		+1.8
12	5-7	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.6
13	5-8	W GA	UT MAR×4	Serve err	W GA server		+1.8
14	5-9	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Attack err	Brooke Mccall	blk Dylan Sulcer, Carly Mueller	+2.2
15	5-10	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Valiree Schmus	+2.0
16	5-11	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Valiree Schmus	+1.8
17	6-11	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Brooke Mccall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.1
18	6-12	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.4
19	6-13	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson		+1.5
20	7-13	UT MAR	W GA	Bad set	Anezka Ourednikova		+0.9
21	7-14	W GA	UT MAR×5	Serve err	W GA server		+1.2
22	7-15	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Attack err	Brooke Mccall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.1
23	7-16	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.8
24	7-17	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Valiree Schmus	+0.5
25	7-18	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
26	8-18	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Brooke Mccall		+0.1
27	9-18	W GA	W GA	Ace	W GA server	aced Abby Freund	+0.2
28	9-19	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
29	9-20	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.2
30	10-20	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Grace-blythe Cornett	set Desha Van veldhuizen	+0.1
31	10-21	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.1
32	11-21	UT MAR	W GA×4	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.0
33	12-21	W GA	W GA×4	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.1
34	13-21	W GA	W GA×4	Attack err	Rylee Key		+0.2
35	14-21	W GA	W GA×4	Attack err	Maddy Gladson	blk Giovana Ribeiro, Maddy Kirmer	+0.3
36	14-22	W GA	UT MAR	Attack err	Grace-blythe Cornett	set Desha Van veldhuizen	+0.4
37	15-22	UT MAR	W GA	Attack err	Chyler Martin	blk Desha Van veldhuizen, Maddy Kirmer	+0.2
38	15-23	W GA	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.3
39	15-24	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Brooke Mccall		+0.1
40	16-24	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Brooke Mccall	set Desha Van veldhuizen	+0.0
41	16-25	W GA	UT MAR	Serve err	W GA server		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UT MAR	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+2.4

Score shown after each rally, West Ga. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.