Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Morehead St. def. UT Martin 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Morehead St. 84.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Morehead St. won at UT Martin 3-1 (25-17, 25-18, 25-27, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Morehead St.'s Hollan Everett led with 24 kills, and Courtney Fitzgerald added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
MOREST252525253
UT MAR171827181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, Morehead St. won 51 of 99 points.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.2 points, and UT Martin's high was 14% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Morehead St. at 85%.

Morehead St.UT Martin
  • Break %+12.0 pts
    51.539.5

    On serve: 51/99 against 32/81 (UT Martin sideout 48.5%).

  • Hitting+.140
    .263.123

    57 K / 21 E against 42 K / 26 E.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Up 9–8 in the first set, Morehead St. scored 6 straight to make it 15–8. That set ended 25–17.

UT Martin above 50Morehead St. belowMax swing 3.2%

Morehead St.UT Martin

Aces
Morehead St. 7·UT Martin 3
Serve err
Morehead St. 12·UT Martin 8
Blocks
Morehead St. 10·UT Martin 122 BS · 16 BA vs 2 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Morehead St. 49·UT Martin 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UT Martin above 50 · Morehead St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.2% UT MARrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.2% to UT Martin — set 3, MOREST 25-27 UT MAR. Kill by Sophie Diouf (set by Reagan Hamm). UT MAR win probability 6% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MOREST 79.5%20.5% UT MAR

Morehead St. wins

3-0
31.0%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

UT Martin wins

3-0
3.4%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.3%
MOREST break %
46.8% vs this opp
UT MAR break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophie DioufKill+3.2%

    Kill by Sophie Diouf (set by Reagan Hamm)

    Set 3 · MOREST 25-27 UT MAR · UT MAR 6% → 10%

  2. 02

    Hollan Everett stuffed by Rylee Key & Maddy Gladson

    Set 3 · MOREST 24-25 UT MAR · UT MAR 4% → 6%

  3. 03
    Carly MuellerAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Carly Mueller

    Set 3 · MOREST 24-23 UT MAR · MOREST 96% → 98%

  4. 04
    Amelia NottKill+2.1%

    Kill by Amelia Nott (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 3 · MOREST 25-25 UT MAR · MOREST 94% → 96%

  5. 05
    Sophie DioufKill+2.1%

    Kill by Sophie Diouf (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 3 · MOREST 25-26 UT MAR · UT MAR 4% → 6%

  6. 06
    Sophie DioufAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Sophie Diouf

    Set 3 · MOREST 23-23 UT MAR · MOREST 94% → 96%

  7. 07
    Ella WarrickAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Ella Warrick

    Set 3 · MOREST 21-23 UT MAR · UT MAR 5% → 7%

  8. 08

    Ella Warrick stuffed by Carly Mueller & Maddy Gladson

    Set 3 · MOREST 21-22 UT MAR · UT MAR 4% → 5%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424657.31600140153.527.5
410119.4740413004216
414631.2581117000015
45415.06710050010.55.5
4249-.222000001435
4203.6672601700002
4000–1723500002
4003.000000200211
4000–7021320000
4000–003310000
Team totals5721137.2635271249321610100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410729.103002112132.512.5
410221.3810002402111
44316.06300000132.56.5
43112.16700110073.56.5
4114.0002402110010.51.5
4000–111400001
47520.100000200218
44419.00000050010.54.5
4000–500910000
3203.667120120010.52.5
3011-1.000000100000
21011.000021000003
1024-.500000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4226130.12342384872201280

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Morehead St. vs UT Martin

Season series · Morehead St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MOREST · UT MAR 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 MORESTUT MAR 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 MORESTUT MAR 3

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 MORESTUT MAR 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 MORESTUT MAR 3

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
57%8/14
2
60%6/10
56%9/16
3
50%6/12
50%6/12
4
46%6/13
25%2/8
5
63%5/8
38%3/8
6
50%5/10
69%11/16
All
57%36/63
53%39/74

UT Martin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
30%3/10
2
46%6/13
33%3/9
3
50%6/12
45%5/11
4
75%6/8
54%7/13
5
38%5/13
33%3/9
6
31%5/16
55%6/11
All
47%35/74
43%27/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#MOREST-UT MARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UT MARMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.0
22-0MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Maddy Gladson+1.2
33-0MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Maddy Gladson+1.1
43-1MORESTUT MARBlockedHollan Everettblk Carly Mueller, Dylan Sulcer+0.8
53-2UT MARUT MARAttack errHollan Everett+1.3
64-2UT MARMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.0
75-2MORESTMOREST×3Attack errSophie Diouf+1.2
86-2MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.0
96-3MORESTUT MAR×3BlockedRiley McCloskeyblk Sophie Diouf+0.7
106-4UT MARUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+1.2
116-5UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errHaidyn Carter+1.4
127-5UT MARMORESTServe errUT Martin+1.1
137-6MORESTUT MARAttack errElla Warrick+1.1
148-6UT MARMORESTAttack errMaddy Gladson+1.1
158-7MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.2
169-7UT MARMORESTBlockedChyler Martinblk Amelia Nott, Riley McCloskey+1.1
179-8MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.2
1810-8UT MARMOREST×6KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.2
1911-8MORESTMOREST×6KillHollan Everett+1.4
2012-8MORESTMOREST×6KillHollan Everett+1.1
2113-8MORESTMOREST×6BlockedCarly Muellerblk Amelia Nott, Hollan Everett+0.9
2214-8MORESTMOREST×6BlockedChyler Martinblk Kylie Sharp, Amelia Nott+0.7
2315-8MORESTMOREST×6Attack errDylan Sulcer+0.5
2415-9MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.3
2516-9UT MARMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.3
2616-10MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.3
2717-10UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.3
2817-11MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.2
2918-11UT MARMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+0.3
3018-12MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.2
3118-13UT MARUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.4
3219-13UT MARMORESTServe errUT Martin+0.5
3319-14MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
3420-14UT MARMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.4
3521-14MORESTMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.3
3622-14MORESTMOREST×3Attack errCarly Mueller+0.1
3722-15MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer·
3823-15UT MARMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.1
3923-16MORESTUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm·
4023-17UT MARUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+0.1
4124-17UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.1
4225-17MORESTMORESTAttack errSophie Diouf·
Set 2
10-1MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.9
21-1UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.8
31-2MORESTUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.9
41-3UT MARUT MARAttack errHaidyn Carter+1.3
52-3UT MARMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.9
63-3MORESTMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.1
74-3MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.1
84-4MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.9
95-4UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.8
105-5UT MAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
116-5UT MARMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+0.8
126-6MORESTUT MARKillDylan Sulcerset Abby Freund+0.9
137-6UT MARMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.9
147-7MORESTUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+1.0
157-8UT MARUT MARBlockedAmelia Nottblk Rylee Key, Sophie Diouf+1.4
168-8UT MARMOREST×4Serve errUT Martin+1.0
179-8MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Ella Warrick+1.3
1810-8MORESTMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.1
1911-8MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Maddy Gladson+1.0
2011-9MORESTUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.7
2112-9UT MARMORESTServe errUT Martin+0.8
2213-9MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.8
2313-10MORESTUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
2413-11UT MARUT MARKillMari Haasset Dylan Sulcer+1.0
2514-11UT MARMORESTServe errUT Martin+0.8
2615-11MORESTMORESTBlockedLuli Arcucciblk Hollan Everett+0.9
2715-12MORESTUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Lauren Mariscal+0.6
2816-12UT MARMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+0.7
2917-12MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.7
3017-13MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.4
3118-13UT MARMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.5
3219-13MORESTMORESTAttack errSophie Diouf+0.4
3319-14MORESTUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
3420-14UT MARMORESTAttack errPenny Kirkham+0.3
3520-15MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.2
3621-15UT MARMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.3
3721-16MORESTUT MAR×3KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
3821-17UT MARUT MAR×3Bad setJosie Certa+0.4
3921-18UT MARUT MAR×3KillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.7
4022-18UT MARMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.7
4123-18MORESTMOREST×4Attack errRylee Key+0.5
4224-18MORESTMOREST×4BlockedLuli Arcucciblk Hollan Everett, Haidyn Carter+0.2
4325-18MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa·
Set 3
11-0UT MARMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.4
22-0MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.5
32-1MORESTUT MARKillReagan Hammset Lauren Mariscal+0.4
42-2UT MARUT MARBlockedElla Warrickblk Rylee Key, Sophie Diouf+0.5
53-2UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.4
63-3MORESTUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+0.4
73-4UT MARUT MAR×3KillRiley Rushingset Reagan Hamm+0.6
83-5UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedHollan Everettblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+0.7
94-5UT MARMORESTBad setReagan Hamm+0.5
104-6MORESTUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Reagan Hamm+0.5
114-7UT MARUT MARAttack errRiley McCloskey+0.7
125-7UT MARMOREST×3Serve errUT Martin+0.5
136-7MORESTMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskeyset Reagan Hamm+0.7
147-7MORESTMOREST×3KillAmelia Nott+0.6
157-8MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.5
168-8UT MARMOREST×4Attack errLuli Arcucci+0.5
179-8MORESTMOREST×4Attack errSophie Diouf+0.6
1810-8MORESTMOREST×4KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.6
1911-8MORESTMOREST×4Attack errSophie Diouf+0.5
2011-9MORESTUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Reagan Hamm+0.4
2111-10UT MARUT MARBlockedElla Warrickblk Reagan Hamm, Carly Mueller+0.6
2212-10UT MARMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.5
2312-11MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.5
2413-11UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.5
2513-12MORESTUT MARKillReagan Hammset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
2614-12UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.5
2714-13MORESTUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Reagan Hamm+0.5
2815-13UT MARMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.5
2916-13MORESTMOREST×3Bad setReagan Hamm+0.6
3017-13MORESTMOREST×3Attack errRiley Rushing+0.5
3117-14MORESTUT MAR×4BlockedRiley McCloskeyblk Rylee Key, Riley Rushing+0.3
3217-15UT MARUT MAR×4AceUT Martinaced Tinsley Brown+0.6
3317-16UT MARUT MAR×4AceUT Martinaced Courtney Fitzgerald+0.8
3417-17UT MARUT MAR×4Bad setSydney Sennett+1.0
3518-17UT MARMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.8
3618-18MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.8
3718-19UT MARUT MARAttack errElla Warrick+1.2
3819-19UT MARMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.9
3920-19MORESTMOREST×3Attack errRiley Rushing+1.2
4021-19MORESTMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.1
4121-20MORESTUT MAR×4Serve errMorehead St.+0.7
4221-21UT MARUT MAR×4KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.3
4321-22UT MARUT MAR×4BlockedElla Warrickblk Carly Mueller, Maddy Gladson+1.7
4421-23UT MARUT MAR×4Attack errElla Warrick+1.9
4522-23UT MARMOREST×3Serve errUT Martin+1.0
4623-23MORESTMOREST×3Attack errSophie Diouf+2.0
4724-23MORESTMOREST×3Attack errCarly Mueller+2.3
4824-24MORESTUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.7
4924-25UT MARUT MARBlockedHollan Everettblk Rylee Key, Maddy Gladson+2.7
5025-25UT MARMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.1
5125-26MORESTUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+2.1
5225-27UT MARUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Reagan Hamm+3.2
Set 4
11-0MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.7
21-1MORESTUT MARAttack errHollan Everett+1.4
32-1UT MARMOREST×5KillSydney Sennettset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.3
43-1MORESTMOREST×5AceMorehead St.aced Sophie Diouf+1.6
54-1MORESTMOREST×5BlockedLuli Arcucciblk Hollan Everett, Haidyn Carter+1.4
65-1MORESTMOREST×5KillHaidyn Carterset Sydney Sennett+1.2
76-1MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everett+1.0
86-2MORESTUT MARBlockedHollan Everettblk Rylee Key, Luli Arcucci+0.7
96-3UT MARUT MARBlockedHaidyn Carterblk Carly Mueller+1.2
107-3UT MARMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.9
118-3MORESTMOREST×3Attack errRiley Rushing+1.0
129-3MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.8
139-4MORESTUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Reagan Hamm+0.6
1410-4UT MARMORESTKillSydney Sennettset Riley McCloskey+0.6
1510-5MORESTUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
1611-5UT MARMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.6
1711-6MORESTUT MAR×3KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
1811-7UT MARUT MAR×3KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+1.0
1911-8UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedRiley McCloskeyblk Rylee Key, Sophie Diouf+1.3
2012-8UT MARMOREST×5KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+1.1
2113-8MORESTMOREST×5KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.1
2214-8MORESTMOREST×5AceMorehead St.aced Lauren Mariscal+0.8
2315-8MORESTMOREST×5AceMorehead St.aced Maddy Gladson+0.6
2416-8MORESTMOREST×5BlockedSophie Dioufblk Kylie Sharp, Amelia Nott+0.4
2516-9MORESTUT MARServe errMorehead St.+0.2
2616-10UT MARUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Lauren Mariscal+0.4
2717-10UT MARMORESTServe errUT Martin+0.4
2817-11MORESTUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Reagan Hamm+0.3
2918-11UT MARMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.4
3019-11MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Sophie Diouf+0.3
3119-12MORESTUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Reagan Hamm+0.1
3220-12UT MARMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.2
3321-12MORESTMOREST×3BlockedLuli Arcucciblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+0.1
3422-12MORESTMOREST×3BlockedRiley Rushingblk Haidyn Carter·
3522-13MORESTUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Reagan Hamm·
3622-14UT MARUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal·
3722-15UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errHaidyn Carter+0.1
3823-15UT MARMORESTBlockedMaddy Gladsonblk Hollan Everett+0.1
3923-16MORESTUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer·
4023-17UT MARUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
4123-18UT MARUT MAR×3AceUT Martinaced Courtney Fitzgerald+0.2
4224-18UT MARMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.3
4325-18MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).